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The Community Solar
Opportunity for TGC
August 2015
Asher Talerman
Summer Associate
Community Solar’s Expansion
 Fastest growing segment of solar industry
 115 MW currently installed
 E2016 ~500MW
 2020, annual 500 MW opportunity
 Compound annual growth of 59%
 An untapped market: 50-75% of utility customers without a suitable roof
 Easier applicability to low-income households, renters, lower FICO scores
 Overall trend – users don’t want to own an asset; rather rent/share
 Uber, Airbnb …
 Residential Solar more of a threat to utilities, Community Solar more of an opportunity for
their involvement
 Leverage access to customers and low cost of capital
Utilities Shifting Priorities?
 Over the next 5 years, relationship b/w rate-payer, utility, developer much more
dynamic than before
 Legislation forcing utilities’ hand (Recent examples):
 Minnesota’s RPS set at 30% renewables with 1.5% specifically for solar by 2025
 Colorado’s “Community Solar Gardens Act” – CPUC compliance plan for utilities, XCEL
Energy particularly
 Some acting individually: Tuscon Electric Power
 Customers buy specific output from utility owned system, 10 yr fixed contract
 No framework for 3rd party developers to sell community solar in AZ
 Still pushing back – particularly vs. Net-metering rates (NEM) including Virtual NEM
 Across the board TOU rates (CA) will benefit value added of solar DG
Major Players
 Clean Energy Collective
 creates a special-purpose entity to manage each community-funded solar project
 Large presence in Massachusetts in addition to MN and CO.
 SunShare
 Partnership with NRG, big in both Minnesota and Colorado
 Soveren Solar
 Exclusively Vermont projects
 SolarCity
 Partnership with Sunrise Energy Ventures in Minnesota, 100 1 MW projects around Minneapolis – St. Paul
 Arista Power
 NY State based Solar Gardens, involved in NYSERDA MicroGrid opportunities
 Geromino Energy
 Minnesota Utility-scale developer, involved in Wind farms as well
 Ecoplexus
 Numerous Colorado Community Solar Gardens
Different State Programs
 Utilities can own facility directly and include rate-base for solar generation
 Alternatively, buy power through PPA and present that generation as opt-in to ratepayers
 California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota all mandate utilities to set up Community Solar specific
programs
 California
 SB 43 Mandates 600 MW of Community Solar interconnected by July 1st, 2016
 Public Utilities Commission yet to make final ruling on mandate’s structure for utility – developer relationship
 Massachusetts
 Full SREC-II credit, robust Virtual NEM program
 However, cap on NEM capacity
 Colorado
 XCEL Energy to purchase solar garden energy to fill portion of RPS (20-40%)
 RECs belong to subscriber as well
 Minnesota
 5 MW cap on Community Solar Gardens
 XCEL Energy purchases power in much the same way as Colorado (fill RPS requirement, RECs)
 Many more applications to interconnect projects than program capacity since Dec. 2014 (oversupply)
 743 MW pipeline – worth looking into despite heavy number of applications
True Green’s Entry and Value
 Community Solar different from classic “Utility Scale” through customer choice
aspect
 Private DG owners have experience managing attractive, low cost deals, delivering
savings
 Utilities not built for this type of service
 True Green offers:
 Lower tech. + operational risk
 Reduced upfront capital cost
 Willingness to develop effective projects smaller than IOU’s will do themselves
 Efficient monetization of tax credits
 Turnkey provider alternative
 Not only own and operate system, but design program, acquire customers, bear risk
 Popular with cooperatives
 Not so much with IOU’s (taken out of revenue stream)
Vital Partnerships
 Challenge in Community Solar is customer identification and outreach to excite about the concept
 Providing an intimate experience to track their share of solar production
 Biggest risk is undersold program supply
 Larger program / site, harder to sell out
 TGC won’t be managing massive customer account portfolio
 Outsourcing:
 Customer acquisition and continuing management
 Subscription administration, turnover management
 Software specific for Community Solar account management
 Tendril
 Marketed at Utilities, but platform for acquisition, lead qualification and account management applies to
turnkey developer too
 CEC’s RemoteMeter
 production tracking and integration, on-bill crediting, customer contracts, and overall program management
 LGCY Power (Residential reseller of SunEdison panels)
Pricing + Crediting Basics
 Customer charged for subscribed share of solar generation
 Usually pay for a certain number of kW of larger system and/or the resulting production
 Receives credit on utility bill for offset grid resources
 I.e., the utility’s pre-existing power that was not utilized
 How to value the credit?
1. NEM: full retail rate (not sustainable)
2. Disaggregated: customer pays for T&D
3. VoS: Value of Solar – debate, studies, legislation to find true VoS ongoing
4. FiT Rate (where applicable
CCA: Community Choice Aggregator
 Alternative utility model cropping up in CA
 Utility controls power lines, charges of T&D, but –
 Control over power choices shifts to CCA entity
 Local control over power mix
 Marin County Energy offering:
1. 50% Renewable
2. 100% Renewable
3. 100% Local Solar
 Trying to bring down local solar price – more community solar DG
 Different counties + municipalities can join up in same CCA
 Program consolidation = lower cost offerings
MicroGrids
 Hurricane Sandy  states investing in resiliency programs
 Microgrids powered by community solar
 NY, CT, NJ, MA, MD
 NYSERDA offering “prize money” for feasibility assessments, engineering
designs for grids in designated areas
 Many in NYC area and Long Island
 Ex: ConEd replacing $1Billion investment in Brooklyn substation upgrades with
likewise investment into “independently operated DG”
 NY Utilities are banned from owning DG systems.
 Microgrids, Community Solar, CHP bundled into single opportunity type …
Summary
 Global consumer markets are growing more accustomed to a “share” economy
 No reason to think electricity services will not or cannot go in the same direction
 Community Solar is the fastest growing segment of U.S. Solar Industry
 Accesses a huge swath of otherwise untapped residential market
 California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York are where 3rd party
opportunities will be in upcoming years
 True Green offers experience and platform to develop effective systems and
deliver true savings to rate-payers
 Customer interaction will require partnerships
 CCAs (Community Choice Aggregators) and MicroGrids present alternative
opportunities to develop projects on the Community Solar Model

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Asher Comm Solar Pres. final

  • 1. The Community Solar Opportunity for TGC August 2015 Asher Talerman Summer Associate
  • 2. Community Solar’s Expansion  Fastest growing segment of solar industry  115 MW currently installed  E2016 ~500MW  2020, annual 500 MW opportunity  Compound annual growth of 59%  An untapped market: 50-75% of utility customers without a suitable roof  Easier applicability to low-income households, renters, lower FICO scores  Overall trend – users don’t want to own an asset; rather rent/share  Uber, Airbnb …  Residential Solar more of a threat to utilities, Community Solar more of an opportunity for their involvement  Leverage access to customers and low cost of capital
  • 3. Utilities Shifting Priorities?  Over the next 5 years, relationship b/w rate-payer, utility, developer much more dynamic than before  Legislation forcing utilities’ hand (Recent examples):  Minnesota’s RPS set at 30% renewables with 1.5% specifically for solar by 2025  Colorado’s “Community Solar Gardens Act” – CPUC compliance plan for utilities, XCEL Energy particularly  Some acting individually: Tuscon Electric Power  Customers buy specific output from utility owned system, 10 yr fixed contract  No framework for 3rd party developers to sell community solar in AZ  Still pushing back – particularly vs. Net-metering rates (NEM) including Virtual NEM  Across the board TOU rates (CA) will benefit value added of solar DG
  • 4. Major Players  Clean Energy Collective  creates a special-purpose entity to manage each community-funded solar project  Large presence in Massachusetts in addition to MN and CO.  SunShare  Partnership with NRG, big in both Minnesota and Colorado  Soveren Solar  Exclusively Vermont projects  SolarCity  Partnership with Sunrise Energy Ventures in Minnesota, 100 1 MW projects around Minneapolis – St. Paul  Arista Power  NY State based Solar Gardens, involved in NYSERDA MicroGrid opportunities  Geromino Energy  Minnesota Utility-scale developer, involved in Wind farms as well  Ecoplexus  Numerous Colorado Community Solar Gardens
  • 5. Different State Programs  Utilities can own facility directly and include rate-base for solar generation  Alternatively, buy power through PPA and present that generation as opt-in to ratepayers  California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota all mandate utilities to set up Community Solar specific programs  California  SB 43 Mandates 600 MW of Community Solar interconnected by July 1st, 2016  Public Utilities Commission yet to make final ruling on mandate’s structure for utility – developer relationship  Massachusetts  Full SREC-II credit, robust Virtual NEM program  However, cap on NEM capacity  Colorado  XCEL Energy to purchase solar garden energy to fill portion of RPS (20-40%)  RECs belong to subscriber as well  Minnesota  5 MW cap on Community Solar Gardens  XCEL Energy purchases power in much the same way as Colorado (fill RPS requirement, RECs)  Many more applications to interconnect projects than program capacity since Dec. 2014 (oversupply)  743 MW pipeline – worth looking into despite heavy number of applications
  • 6. True Green’s Entry and Value  Community Solar different from classic “Utility Scale” through customer choice aspect  Private DG owners have experience managing attractive, low cost deals, delivering savings  Utilities not built for this type of service  True Green offers:  Lower tech. + operational risk  Reduced upfront capital cost  Willingness to develop effective projects smaller than IOU’s will do themselves  Efficient monetization of tax credits  Turnkey provider alternative  Not only own and operate system, but design program, acquire customers, bear risk  Popular with cooperatives  Not so much with IOU’s (taken out of revenue stream)
  • 7. Vital Partnerships  Challenge in Community Solar is customer identification and outreach to excite about the concept  Providing an intimate experience to track their share of solar production  Biggest risk is undersold program supply  Larger program / site, harder to sell out  TGC won’t be managing massive customer account portfolio  Outsourcing:  Customer acquisition and continuing management  Subscription administration, turnover management  Software specific for Community Solar account management  Tendril  Marketed at Utilities, but platform for acquisition, lead qualification and account management applies to turnkey developer too  CEC’s RemoteMeter  production tracking and integration, on-bill crediting, customer contracts, and overall program management  LGCY Power (Residential reseller of SunEdison panels)
  • 8. Pricing + Crediting Basics  Customer charged for subscribed share of solar generation  Usually pay for a certain number of kW of larger system and/or the resulting production  Receives credit on utility bill for offset grid resources  I.e., the utility’s pre-existing power that was not utilized  How to value the credit? 1. NEM: full retail rate (not sustainable) 2. Disaggregated: customer pays for T&D 3. VoS: Value of Solar – debate, studies, legislation to find true VoS ongoing 4. FiT Rate (where applicable
  • 9. CCA: Community Choice Aggregator  Alternative utility model cropping up in CA  Utility controls power lines, charges of T&D, but –  Control over power choices shifts to CCA entity  Local control over power mix  Marin County Energy offering: 1. 50% Renewable 2. 100% Renewable 3. 100% Local Solar  Trying to bring down local solar price – more community solar DG  Different counties + municipalities can join up in same CCA  Program consolidation = lower cost offerings
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  • 11. MicroGrids  Hurricane Sandy  states investing in resiliency programs  Microgrids powered by community solar  NY, CT, NJ, MA, MD  NYSERDA offering “prize money” for feasibility assessments, engineering designs for grids in designated areas  Many in NYC area and Long Island  Ex: ConEd replacing $1Billion investment in Brooklyn substation upgrades with likewise investment into “independently operated DG”  NY Utilities are banned from owning DG systems.  Microgrids, Community Solar, CHP bundled into single opportunity type …
  • 12. Summary  Global consumer markets are growing more accustomed to a “share” economy  No reason to think electricity services will not or cannot go in the same direction  Community Solar is the fastest growing segment of U.S. Solar Industry  Accesses a huge swath of otherwise untapped residential market  California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York are where 3rd party opportunities will be in upcoming years  True Green offers experience and platform to develop effective systems and deliver true savings to rate-payers  Customer interaction will require partnerships  CCAs (Community Choice Aggregators) and MicroGrids present alternative opportunities to develop projects on the Community Solar Model