The document discusses various visions of the future including climate disruption, catalytic innovation, resource collapse, and participatory culture. It then outlines three potential scenarios: a participatory future driven by bottom-up collaboration but also instability; an interconnected future where information and ideas are shared through technology but old rules around IP and privacy are abandoned; and a leapfrog future where catastrophe and opportunity drive new economic and social models through disruption and unanticipated consequences. The document is signed by Jamais Cascio of Open the Future.

1. FUTURE: TO GO Jamais Cascio
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4. What’s Our Vision of The Future?
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12. THE BIG PICTURE
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14. climate disruption
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19. catalytic innovation
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25. resource collapse
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30. participatory culture
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35. financial meltdown
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40. new models of
development
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45. ubiquitous
transparency
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50. the rise of the post-
hegemonic era
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55. manifesting as...
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57. resource conflicts
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59. new resources
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61. refugees and migration
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63. new model communities
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65. pandemic disease
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67. new tools for watching the world
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69. top-down control
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71. bottom-up sousveillance
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73. economic dislocation
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75. new industries
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77. resilience: the capacity of a system to tolerate
disturbance without collapsing, to withstand shocks, to
rebuild itself when necessary, and to improve itself
when possible.
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78. THREE SCENARIOS
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79. participatory
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81. participatory future
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82. participatory future
Bottom-up drivers enable greater collaboration and
participation, but also greater instability.
This is a future of Open Source Design and Global Guerillas.
This is a world where power comes from the Commons.
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84. interconnected future
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85. interconnected future
Technology-driven changes enable more sharing of
information and ideas, but abandon the remnants of old
intellectual property and privacy rules.
This is a future of the Smart Cities and Augmented Reality.
This is a world where power comes from Relationships.
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87. leapfrog future
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88. leapfrog future
Catastrophe and Opportunity combine to drive the
creation of new economic, political, and social models.
This is a future of Massive Disruptions and Unanticipated
Consequences.
This is a world where power comes from Creativity.
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89. THE BIG PICTURE
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92. Jamais Cascio
cascio@openthefuture.com
OPEN THE FUTURE
Thursday, February 19, 2009