Financial Statement Analysis and Forecast for Hill's Pet Nutrition ItaliaIlyaKozhelskiy
Financial Statement Analysis and Forecast for Hill's Pet Nutrition Italia - a project work for the Corporate Finance course at Ca' Foscari University of Venice
By Sofia Balducci, Ilya Kozhelskiy, Rebecca Tan and Matilda Mignon
Financial Statement Analysis and Forecast for Hill's Pet Nutrition ItaliaIlyaKozhelskiy
Financial Statement Analysis and Forecast for Hill's Pet Nutrition Italia - a project work for the Corporate Finance course at Ca' Foscari University of Venice
By Sofia Balducci, Ilya Kozhelskiy, Rebecca Tan and Matilda Mignon
2. DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding the
prospects of the business, estimates for operating and financial results, and
those regarding Cia. Hering's growth prospects. These are merely projections
and, as such, are based exclusively on the expectations of Cia. Hering
management concerning the future of the business and its continued access
to capital to fund the Company’s business Plan. Such forward-looking
statements depend, substantially, on changes in market conditions,
government regulations, competitive pressures, the performance of the
Brazilian economy and the industry, among other factors and risks disclosed
in Cia. Hering’s filed disclosure documents and are, therefore, subject to
change without prior notice.
4. HIGHLIGHTS 4Q13 AND 2013
Gross Revenues growth of 10.2% in the quarter and 12.6% in 2013;
EBITDA of R$137.7 million if 4Q13, 3.5% growth, and R$ 439.0 million in 2013, 7.8% growth;
Net income of R$ 101.7 million (+0.7%) in 4Q13 and R$ 318.2 million in 2013 (+2.3%);
Hering Store Network:
Addition of 77 stores to the network, ending the year with 592 stores;
10.1% sales growth in the quarter and in the year, reaching R$ 584.0 million and R$1,572.0
million respectively
70 stores openings guidance – 662 until the end of 2014
Hering Kids:
Stores network expansion, with 43 openings in 2013
Stores openings guidance of 30 stores – 100 until the end of 2014
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7. HERING STORE NETWORK PERFORMANCE
Hering Store Network (Sell Out R$ Millions)
Promotional Campaigns
+10.1%
+77 stores
-0.6%
1,428.1
135
135
2012
Expansão
Expansion
SSS
1,572.0
2013
SSS growth acceleration to +1.1% in 4Q13, ending the year with a 0.6% in comparison to
2012. In the quarter was promoted the “Anticipate your Christmas” campaign, stimulating
sales both before and after christmas.
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10. GROSS PROFIT AND GROSS MARGIN
47.3%
45.9%
46.3%
44.9%
6.5%
46.7%
45.5%
11.7%
679.2
212.1
4Q13
45.2%
758.5
225.9
4Q12
46.2%
Gross Profit
2012
Gross Margin
2013
Cash Gross Margin
Gross margins of 45.2% (0.3 p.p.) in 2013 and 44.9% (-1.4 p.p.) in 4Q13, due to higher
costs pressure, lower level of fiscal incentives and challenging sales scenario.
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11. EBITDA AND EBITDA MARGIN
29.0%
27.4%
27.3%
26.1%
7.8%
407.4
439.0
3.5%
133.0
137.7
4Q12
4Q13
EBITDA
2012
2013
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA of R$ 137.7 million in 4Q13, totalling R$ 439.0 million in the year with EBITDA
margin of 26.1% (-1.2 p.p.), mainly due to the drop in gross margin.
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12. NET INCOME AND NET MARGIN
22.1%
20.2%
20.9%
18.9%
311.0
101.0
4Q12
0.7%
2.3%
318.2
101.7
4Q13
Net Income
2012
2013
Net Margin
Net income of R$ 318.2 million (+2.3%) with net margin of 18.9% (-2.0 p.p.) in the year,
as a consequence of the reduction in EBITDA margin and higher income and social
contribution taxes.
13. CAPEX
Per Activity ( R$ millions)
13.7%
63.5
6.0
1.8
72.2
8.4
2.6
26.6
22.3
23.9
21.7
2.5
0.3
8.8
2.6
1.3
7.8
33.4
34.6
2012
2013
-9.2%
12.3
10.0
4Q12
4Q13
Industry
IT
Others
Stores
CAPEX in 2013 totalled R$ 72.2 million, with a 13.7% growth in the year, mainly due to
the increase in IT investments.
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14. CASH FLOW
Cash Flow - Consolidated (R$ thousand)
4Q12
4Q13
Chg.
2012
EBITDA
Non cash items
Current Income tax and Social Contribution
Working Capital Investment
(Increase) in trade accounts receivable
(Increase) decrease in inventories
Increase (decrease) in accounts payable to suppliers
Increase (decrease) in taxes payable
Others
CapEx
Free Cash Flow
132,982
1,680
(33,340)
(95,442)
(106,716)
7,352
5,627
(248)
(1,457)
(23,893)
(18,013)
137,666
1,214
(34,752)
(110,814)
(104,859)
10,956
(18,411)
16,204
(14,704)
(21,691)
(28,377)
4,684
(466)
(1,412)
(15,372)
1,857
3,604
(24,038)
16,452
(13,247)
2,202
(10,364)
407,396
4,236
(95,911)
(43,506)
(67,615)
6,361
30,130
(16,895)
4,513
(63,489)
208,726
2013
438,994
4,701
(116,654)
(131,139)
(48,805)
(84,573)
(1,550)
(1,132)
4,921
(72,217)
123,685
Chg.
31,598
465
(20,743)
(87,633)
18,810
(90,934)
(31,680)
15,763
408
(8,728)
(85,041)
* Dividends distribution: R$ 49.9 million were destined as a proposal to be distributed through the approval of the General Shareholders
Meeting.
Free cash flow in the year reached R$ 123.7 million, a decrease of R$ 85 million in
comparison to 2012, as a function of the increase in EBITDA compensated by the
increases in inventory levels and higher income and social contribution taxes increase.
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17. OUTLOOK
Challenging scenario in 1H14, both in sales and margins
Hering brand:
New strategy should begin generating results starting in 2H14
Opening of 70 Hering Stores in 2014
Market share increase in the multi-brand retail and in the north and northeast regions
Hering For You – Launching in the winter collection and opening of the first store in the 1st semester
Children Market – Focus on the Hering Kids network expansions (30 openings in 2014)
New dzarm.´s business plan under development
Besides the short term challenges, we remain optimistic with the potential of our brands and the new
management structure should allow us to accelerate growth in our current brands as well as
developing new growth platforms
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18. INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM
Fabio Hering – CEO
Frederico Oldani – CFO and IRO
Daniel Popovich – IR Analyst
Tel. +55 (11) 3371-4867
E-mail: ri@hering.com.br
Website: www.ciahering.com.br/ri