The document provides an economic outlook and capital markets outlook from Allianz Research for 2023-2024. It projects a moderate recession in major advanced economies at the turn of 2022/2023 due to negative confidence effects from the ongoing energy crisis, followed by subdued recovery and weak growth in 2024. Global growth is forecasted to slow to 1.4% in 2023 and recover modestly to 2.8% in 2024. Central banks will remain determined in fighting high inflation over the coming quarters. The outlook for capital markets is cautiously positive, with a defensive positioning recommended for the short term but allowing some re-risking in the second half of 2023 and 2024. Fixed income is expected