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INDIA
July – December 2015
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
2015 ENDS WITH
THE LOWEST NEW LAUNCHES AND
SALES VOLUME SINCE 2010
RESIDENTIAL
480,424
466,422
458,228
419,439
309,730
244,944
361,483
368,568
359,548
329,630
274,109
263,720
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
No.ofunits
Launches Absorption
NCR, MUMBAI AND BENGALURU WITNESS
SHARPEST FALL IN LAUNCHES
ANNUAL LAUNCHES & SALES TREND
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
In h2 2015, SALES VOLUME held
steady to THE previous year’s
level, but NEW LAUNCHES STILL
LAG BEHIND
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
268,309
197,223
221,923
187,199
150,471
131,445
199,810
167,836
186,771
134,166
138,165
142,671
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015
No.ofunits
Launches Absorption
NEW LAUNCHES FALL BY 13% y-o-y
from 1,50,471 to 1,31,445 units
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
HALF-YEARLY LAUNCHES & SALES TREND
-13%
Supply pressure IS Easing;
UNWINDING OF UNSOLD
INVENTORY HAPPENING
AT A FAST PACE
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
644,345
691,300
714,577
714,972
710,340
691,591
600,000
620,000
640,000
660,000
680,000
700,000
720,000
740,000
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015
No.ofunitsUnsold inventory comes back to
2013 level
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
UNSOLD INVENTORY
SHARP RISE IN QUARTERS TO SELL
UNSOLD INVENTORY ARRESTED
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
QUARTERS TO SELL UNSOLD INVENTORY TREND
6
8
10
12
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015
QTS
Sharp fall in price growth
arrested; prices growing at
a steady 3% per annum rate
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
Growth down from 9% to 3% in the
last 36 months
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015
Pricegrowth
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
PRICE GROWTH
Home buyers avoiding
projects in initial stages of
construction; low level of
confidence in project
delivery
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
Confidence in NCR market falls
the most; but Mumbai gains
31%
50%
35%
41%
34%
29%
39%
33%
38%
34%
39%
35%
26%
20%
22%
24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Mumbai NCR Bengaluru Pune Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata Ahmedabad
%ofSales
2013 2015
SALES TREND IN PROJECTS WHICH ARE IN THE INITIAL
STAGES OF CONSTRUCTION
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
PUNE CONTINUES TO BE THE BEST
MARKET IN INDIA; NCR the worst
QTS VS. AGE OF INVENTORY ACROSS CITIES
Mumbai
NCR
Bengaluru
Pune
Chennai
Hyderabad
Kolkata
Ahmedabad
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters
QTS
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
Demand outstrips supply for
the 2nd straight year;
2015 closes at the highest
levels since 2011
office
43.6
48.3
43.1
36.3
34.8
35.5
37.0
41.2
32.2
33.6
38.3
40.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
mnsqft
New Completions Absorption
While absorption increased by 7% in
2015, new completions grew by just 2%
ANNUAL TREND OF NEW COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTION
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
Vacancy levels are at a
record 8-year low
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
Vacancy levels fall to 15.8% in 2015
from their 2012 peak of 21%
ANNUAL VACANCY TREND
17%
21%
15.8%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
H2 2015 WITNESSES HIGHEST
HALF-YEARLY DEMAND FOR
OFFICE SPACE since 2012
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
BUT NEW COMPLETIONS STILL BELOW
THEIR H2 2012 PEAK LEVELS
NEW COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTION IN H2
Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
23.1
19.2
18.5
19.7
14.7
15.2
20.4
22.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015
mnsqft
New Completions Absorption
KEY TAKEAWAYS
RESIDENTIAL
2015 ENDS WITH THE LOWEST NEW LAUNCHES AND
SALES VOLUME SINCE 2010
OFFICE
at 84.2%, OCCUPANCY HIGHEST SINCE 2008
Severe supply crunch of quality office space
putting upward pressure on rentals
INDIA
July – December 2015

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All India Real Estate Presentation

  • 2. Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad 2015 ENDS WITH THE LOWEST NEW LAUNCHES AND SALES VOLUME SINCE 2010 RESIDENTIAL
  • 3. 480,424 466,422 458,228 419,439 309,730 244,944 361,483 368,568 359,548 329,630 274,109 263,720 - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 No.ofunits Launches Absorption NCR, MUMBAI AND BENGALURU WITNESS SHARPEST FALL IN LAUNCHES ANNUAL LAUNCHES & SALES TREND Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 4. In h2 2015, SALES VOLUME held steady to THE previous year’s level, but NEW LAUNCHES STILL LAG BEHIND Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 5. 268,309 197,223 221,923 187,199 150,471 131,445 199,810 167,836 186,771 134,166 138,165 142,671 - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 H2 2010 H2 2011 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 No.ofunits Launches Absorption NEW LAUNCHES FALL BY 13% y-o-y from 1,50,471 to 1,31,445 units Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad HALF-YEARLY LAUNCHES & SALES TREND -13%
  • 6. Supply pressure IS Easing; UNWINDING OF UNSOLD INVENTORY HAPPENING AT A FAST PACE Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 7. 644,345 691,300 714,577 714,972 710,340 691,591 600,000 620,000 640,000 660,000 680,000 700,000 720,000 740,000 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 No.ofunitsUnsold inventory comes back to 2013 level Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad UNSOLD INVENTORY
  • 8. SHARP RISE IN QUARTERS TO SELL UNSOLD INVENTORY ARRESTED Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad QUARTERS TO SELL UNSOLD INVENTORY TREND 6 8 10 12 H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 QTS
  • 9. Sharp fall in price growth arrested; prices growing at a steady 3% per annum rate Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 10. Growth down from 9% to 3% in the last 36 months 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% H1 2013 H2 2013 H1 2014 H2 2014 H1 2015 H2 2015 Pricegrowth Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad PRICE GROWTH
  • 11. Home buyers avoiding projects in initial stages of construction; low level of confidence in project delivery Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 12. Confidence in NCR market falls the most; but Mumbai gains 31% 50% 35% 41% 34% 29% 39% 33% 38% 34% 39% 35% 26% 20% 22% 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Mumbai NCR Bengaluru Pune Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata Ahmedabad %ofSales 2013 2015 SALES TREND IN PROJECTS WHICH ARE IN THE INITIAL STAGES OF CONSTRUCTION Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Ahmedabad
  • 13. PUNE CONTINUES TO BE THE BEST MARKET IN INDIA; NCR the worst QTS VS. AGE OF INVENTORY ACROSS CITIES Mumbai NCR Bengaluru Pune Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata Ahmedabad 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters QTS
  • 14. Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad Demand outstrips supply for the 2nd straight year; 2015 closes at the highest levels since 2011 office
  • 15. 43.6 48.3 43.1 36.3 34.8 35.5 37.0 41.2 32.2 33.6 38.3 40.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 mnsqft New Completions Absorption While absorption increased by 7% in 2015, new completions grew by just 2% ANNUAL TREND OF NEW COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTION Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
  • 16. Vacancy levels are at a record 8-year low Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
  • 17. Vacancy levels fall to 15.8% in 2015 from their 2012 peak of 21% ANNUAL VACANCY TREND 17% 21% 15.8% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
  • 18. H2 2015 WITNESSES HIGHEST HALF-YEARLY DEMAND FOR OFFICE SPACE since 2012 Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad
  • 19. BUT NEW COMPLETIONS STILL BELOW THEIR H2 2012 PEAK LEVELS NEW COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTION IN H2 Across Mumbai, NCR, Pune, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad 23.1 19.2 18.5 19.7 14.7 15.2 20.4 22.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 H2 2012 H2 2013 H2 2014 H2 2015 mnsqft New Completions Absorption
  • 20. KEY TAKEAWAYS RESIDENTIAL 2015 ENDS WITH THE LOWEST NEW LAUNCHES AND SALES VOLUME SINCE 2010 OFFICE at 84.2%, OCCUPANCY HIGHEST SINCE 2008 Severe supply crunch of quality office space putting upward pressure on rentals