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Rising Food Prices and the Implications for People living
              with HIV in Southern Africa

             Reflections from a Rapid Appraisal


Scott Drimie, Stuart Gillespie, Paul Jere, John Msuya, Jefter Mxotshwa and
                                 Joe Muriuki

               Facilitated by UNAIDS, NAP+ SAR and EAR
A combination of new and ongoing forces has
  underpinned global food prices

• Surging demand:
   –   Rising energy prices
   –   Income and population growth
   –   Globalisation
   –   Urbanisation


• Diminishing supply:
   –   Land and water constraints
   –   Underinvestment in rural infrastructure and agricultural innovation
   –   Lack of access to inputs
   –   Weather disruptions are impairing productivity growth and the
       needed production response.
More volatile food prices
           800                                                    125
                    Corn
                    Wheat                                         100
           600      Rice




                                                                        US$/barrel
 US$/ton




                    Oil (right scale)                             75
           400
                                                                  50

           200
                                                                  25

             0                                                    0




Prices fell partly because of financial crisis and recession
                                        Source: Data from FAO 2009 and IMF 2009.
Commodity Food Price Increases
Maputo, Mozambique - September 2010
What does this have to do with the AIDS response?

 • Hunger and HIV often coexist, and they often interact.

    – 22 of 30 “high-risk countries” in need of external food
      assistance, are in sub-Saharan Africa (WFP), many of
      which have serious AIDS epidemics.

    – In southern Africa households and communities
      continue to struggle as multiple shocks and stresses -
      - social, economic, political, environmental, health-
      related -- threaten their livelihood bases (SADC
      Framework on HIV and AIDS).
The HIV and AIDS Timeline

                                           ART
                   Sero-                         OIs
                 conversion
                                                        Death
                              Asymptomatic Period
                                                                Impact
          HIV-




     Prevention Positive Living          Treatment Support Impact Mitigation


                          Comprehensive Response

Source: C-SAFE
How are high food prices affecting HIV prevention?


  •   Sudden increases in food insecurity can lead to distress migration as people
      search for work and food. Mobility is a marker of enhanced risk of HIV
      exposure, both for the person moving, and for other adults who may remain
      at home.

  •   Food insecurity at the household level is likely to translate over time into
      higher rates of adult malnutrition with possible detrimental effects on
      immune status.

  •   Recent studies in Botswana, Swaziland, Malawi, Zambia and Tanzania
      have shown associations between acute food insecurity and unprotected
      transactional sex among poor women.
How are higher food prices affecting care &
                  treatment?

• Adults living with HIV require 10–30% more energy than
  before they were infected, and children may need up to
  100% more.

• The rising cost of food may seriously constrain the ability
  to ensure an adequate nutritional intake:
  In Zambia and Malawi reports that those on ART who are chronically ill need
  somebody to escort them to the clinics. With the challenges of rising food prices and
  transport costs, this became difficult .


  In Zimbabwe, reports indicate that people living with HIV in remote and chronically
  food insecure areas are having problems accessing basic foods due to situation
  exacerbated by high prices.
How is higher food prices affecting mitigation
               of AIDS impacts?
• Often the poor and food insecure experience enduring
  livelihood impacts from concurrent health and economic
  shocks.

• Children may be taken out of school to work:
  MANET+


• The increase in costs pressurise extended families as
  basis of safety net.

• Rising food prices impacted on essential care and
  support programs for children:
  CINDI and Child Welfare in Pietermaritzburg
What can be done?
• The food price crisis—superimposed as it is on a
  broader and deeper livelihoods crisis in southern
  and eastern Africa—strengthens the multi-pronged
  rationale for linking food and nutrition security with
  AIDS programming.

• It also makes it much harder to achieve and
  sustain such integration.

• Assessment, monitoring and tracking of
  vulnerability, food insecurity and the interactions
  between HIV and hunger.
What can be done?
• Sustained food and nutritional assistance linked
  with treatment programs in areas of chronic
  food insecurity.

• Going beyond short-term assistance, to build
  bridges between agriculture and health sectors
• .
• Strengthening resilience in the face of
  downstream impacts of AIDS-related disease
  and death—through enhancing local capacity
  and providing options and incentives for safe
  livelihood strategies.

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Agricultural Extension and AIDS in Zambia

  • 1. Rising Food Prices and the Implications for People living with HIV in Southern Africa Reflections from a Rapid Appraisal Scott Drimie, Stuart Gillespie, Paul Jere, John Msuya, Jefter Mxotshwa and Joe Muriuki Facilitated by UNAIDS, NAP+ SAR and EAR
  • 2. A combination of new and ongoing forces has underpinned global food prices • Surging demand: – Rising energy prices – Income and population growth – Globalisation – Urbanisation • Diminishing supply: – Land and water constraints – Underinvestment in rural infrastructure and agricultural innovation – Lack of access to inputs – Weather disruptions are impairing productivity growth and the needed production response.
  • 3. More volatile food prices 800 125 Corn Wheat 100 600 Rice US$/barrel US$/ton Oil (right scale) 75 400 50 200 25 0 0 Prices fell partly because of financial crisis and recession Source: Data from FAO 2009 and IMF 2009.
  • 4.
  • 6. Maputo, Mozambique - September 2010
  • 7. What does this have to do with the AIDS response? • Hunger and HIV often coexist, and they often interact. – 22 of 30 “high-risk countries” in need of external food assistance, are in sub-Saharan Africa (WFP), many of which have serious AIDS epidemics. – In southern Africa households and communities continue to struggle as multiple shocks and stresses - - social, economic, political, environmental, health- related -- threaten their livelihood bases (SADC Framework on HIV and AIDS).
  • 8. The HIV and AIDS Timeline ART Sero- OIs conversion Death Asymptomatic Period Impact HIV- Prevention Positive Living Treatment Support Impact Mitigation Comprehensive Response Source: C-SAFE
  • 9. How are high food prices affecting HIV prevention? • Sudden increases in food insecurity can lead to distress migration as people search for work and food. Mobility is a marker of enhanced risk of HIV exposure, both for the person moving, and for other adults who may remain at home. • Food insecurity at the household level is likely to translate over time into higher rates of adult malnutrition with possible detrimental effects on immune status. • Recent studies in Botswana, Swaziland, Malawi, Zambia and Tanzania have shown associations between acute food insecurity and unprotected transactional sex among poor women.
  • 10. How are higher food prices affecting care & treatment? • Adults living with HIV require 10–30% more energy than before they were infected, and children may need up to 100% more. • The rising cost of food may seriously constrain the ability to ensure an adequate nutritional intake: In Zambia and Malawi reports that those on ART who are chronically ill need somebody to escort them to the clinics. With the challenges of rising food prices and transport costs, this became difficult . In Zimbabwe, reports indicate that people living with HIV in remote and chronically food insecure areas are having problems accessing basic foods due to situation exacerbated by high prices.
  • 11. How is higher food prices affecting mitigation of AIDS impacts? • Often the poor and food insecure experience enduring livelihood impacts from concurrent health and economic shocks. • Children may be taken out of school to work: MANET+ • The increase in costs pressurise extended families as basis of safety net. • Rising food prices impacted on essential care and support programs for children: CINDI and Child Welfare in Pietermaritzburg
  • 12. What can be done? • The food price crisis—superimposed as it is on a broader and deeper livelihoods crisis in southern and eastern Africa—strengthens the multi-pronged rationale for linking food and nutrition security with AIDS programming. • It also makes it much harder to achieve and sustain such integration. • Assessment, monitoring and tracking of vulnerability, food insecurity and the interactions between HIV and hunger.
  • 13. What can be done? • Sustained food and nutritional assistance linked with treatment programs in areas of chronic food insecurity. • Going beyond short-term assistance, to build bridges between agriculture and health sectors • . • Strengthening resilience in the face of downstream impacts of AIDS-related disease and death—through enhancing local capacity and providing options and incentives for safe livelihood strategies.