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Stainless Steel
in Figures
2013
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 2
Disclaimer
The Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum
believes that the informa on presented is
technically correct. However, ISSF does not
represent or warrant the accuracy of the
informa on contained in this document
or its suitability for any general or specific
use. The material contained herein is by
necessity general in nature; it should not
be used or relied upon for any specific or
general applica on without first obtaining
competent advice. ISSF, its members, staff
and consultants specifically disclaim any
and all liability or responsibility of any kind
for loss, damage, or injury resul ng from
the use of the informa on contained in
this brochure.For more informa on about the ac vi es
of ISSF, or the sta s cs in this booklet,
please contact:
Secretary General, ISSF
Rue Colonel Bourg 120
B-1140 Brussels, Belgium
T: +32 (0)2 702 89 16
F: +32 (0)2 702 89 12
E: info@issf.org
Website
More informa on about the work of ISSF
can be found at worldstainless.org.
Extranet
Members can access the worldstainless
Extranet at:
h p://extranet.worldstainless.org
Please note: you must have a valid user ID
and password to access this site.
For more informa on about the
worldstainless Extranet, please contact
Jo Claes (claes@issf.org).
Unless otherwise indicated, all data in
this booklet has been provided by the
Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF).
Data has also been provided by:
1 Interna onal Monetary Fund (IMF)
2 Yale University: School of Forestry
and Environmental Studies
(Reck et al.)
3 Vale Inco
Data Sources
Further Information
Page 3Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Table of Contents
Secretary General’s Message .......................................................... 4
Sec on 1: History and Compe on
Compound annual growth rate of world stainless crude steel produc on........... 5
Regional share of stainless steel produc on (2005 versus 2012) ......................... 5
Stainless steel versus plas cs - produc on evolu on (1980 - 2011) .................... 6
Compound annual growth rate of major metals (1980 - 2012) ............................ 6
Sec on 2: Actual Performance
Stainless crude steel produc on (2006 - 2012p) .................................................. 7
Stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (2011 and 2012p)............................ 8
Stainless steel foreign trade (2011 and 2012) ....................................................... 9
Foreign trade exports of stainless steel (2011 and 2012).................................... 10
Foreign trade exports of stainless steel scrap (2011 and 2012)........................... 11
Apparent stainless steel use by region (2000 - 2012p)....................................... 12
Stainless crude steel produc on by region (2001 - 2012p)................................. 12
Stainless crude steel produc on by grade category (2001 - 2012p)................... 13
Global stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (2001 - 2012p).................... 13
Sec on 3: Poten al
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ...........................14
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Americas (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)........................14
Demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)....15
Demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)..............................15
Demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ............................16
Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2000, 2005, 2010) ............. 16
Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2005 and 2010) ................. 17
GDP PPP per capita versus stainless steel use per capita (2005 and 2010) ......... 18
Comparison of direct versus total stainless steel use (2005 and 2010)............... 19
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 4
Secretary General’s Message
Following the successful introduc on of
Stainless Steel in Figures last year and
Pascal’s indica on that we would con nue
to up-date the brochure on a regular basis,
I am pleased to introduce the second
edi on.
There were several key factors behind the
original decision, made in Pi sburgh in
1996, to establish an interna onal forum
to represent the interests of the stainless
steel industry. One key goal of establishing
ISSF was to enable the industry to build
its own reliable sta s cal database. With
regular updates and consistent repor ng
standards, members would be able to use
this data for their own decision making
purposes. We have achieved a lot in our
first 17 years and we plan to build on
these achievements in the years ahead.
As we said last year, if you have any
comments, sugges ons, or even cri cisms,
please let us know. Your feedback will
enable us to make further improvements
in future edi ons.
This will be the last edi on of Stainless
Steel in Figures which will be prepared by
Peter Kaumanns as he will re re at the
end of this year. I would like to take this
opportunity to pay a special tribute to
Peter. His reless work collec ng, building,
analysing and presen ng a myriad of
sta s cal data and forecas ng models
has provided a backbone for the progress
the stainless industry has made so far.
There will be other opportuni es this year
to say an appropriate farewell to Peter,
but I wanted to dedicate this edi on of
Stainless Steel in Figures to his important
contribu on to our industry.
John Rowe
Secretary General,
Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF)
Brussels, May 2013
Page 5Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
First oil crisis
Second oil crisis
First Gulf war
Asian crises
2001 recession
World
crisis
1 Mt
35.4 Mt
(2012)
1950 2012p
Compound annual growth
Figure 1: Compound annual growth rate of world stainless crude steel
produc on (in Mt): 1950 – 2012p
Figure 2: Regional share of stainless steel produc on: 2005 (le ) and 2012p (right)
34%
11%13%
39%
3%
ChinaOther Asia
(excluding China)
21%
7%
45%
25%
2%
EU-27 Rest of worldAmericas
Section 1: History and Competition
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 6
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Stainless steel
Index: 1990 = 100
33.6 Mt
(2011)
1980 2011
6.9 Mt
Figure 3: Stainless steel produc on versus plas cs produc on: 1980 – 2011. The produc on
evolu on of both materials is similar, though stainless steel is more vola le.
Lead
Carbon steel
Stainless steel
Aluminium
Zinc
Copper
2.29%
2.48%
2.56%
3.52%
5.57%
2.61%
Average: 2.69%
Figure 4: Compound annual growth rate of major metals (%/year): 1980 - 2012
Section 1: History and Competition
Page 7Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Table 1: Stainless crude steel produc on (ingot/slab equivalent) in ‘000 metric tonnes:
2006 – 2012p
p = provisional, r = revised
Note: Major correc on of Chinese data for 2011, not comparable
with previous years.
Country/Region 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011r 2012p
Belgium 1,522 1,521 1,471 1,045 1,306 1,241 1,241
Finland 1,303 975 957 726 998 1,003 1,078
France 529 308 297 202 276 300 285
Germany 1,724 1,505 1,574 1,320 1,509 1,502 1,313
Italy 1,832 1,558 1,471 1,216 1,583 1,602 1,696
Spain 1,257 1,105 998 693 844 807 844
Sweden 684 645 574 445 546 586 510
United Kingdom 375 351 340 224 279 330 294
Other EU 152 148 158 114 152 188 195
European Union 9,379 8,115 7,838 5,986 7,494 7,559 7,455
USA 2,460 2,171 1,925 1,617 2,201 2,074 1,977
Brazil 491 433 390 324 409 413 391
Americas 2,951 2,604 2,315 1,942 2,609 2,486 2,368
Japan 4,073 3,882 3,567 2,607 3,427 3,247 3,166
South Korea 2,278 1,942 1,660 1,677 2,048 2,157 2,167
Taiwan, China 1,724 1,515 1,297 1,468 1,514 1,203 1,109
China 5,299 7,206 6,943 8,805 11,256 14,091 16,087
India 2,006 1,966 1,832 1,721 2,022 2,163 2,279
Asia 15,380 16,510 15,299 16,277 20,267 22,861 24,807
South Africa 727 651 528 546 480 443 503
Russia 131 143 135 86 122 125 112
Ukraine 138 124 104 67 118 147 118
World 28,706 28,146 26,218 24,904 31,090 33,621 35,363
Section 2: Actual Performance
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 8
Western
Europe/
Africa
Central&
Eastern
Europe
The
Americas
Asia
(excluding
China)
China
World
Quarter 1
2011 2,218 89 779 2,238 3,412 8,736
2012 p 2,211 87 607 2,226 3,790 8,922
% change -0.3 -2.6 -22.0 -0.6 11.1 2.1
Quarter 2
2011 2,082 114 598 2,134 3,510 8,438
2012 p 2,065 98 613 2,236 4,006 9,017
% change -0.9 -14.1 2.5 4.8 14.1 6.9
First half
2011 4,300 203 1,377 4,373 6,922 17,174
2012 p 4,276 184 1,220 4,462 7,796 17,939
% change -0.6 -9.0 -11.3 2.0 12.6 4.5
Quarter 3
2011 1,684 104 553 2,220 3,535 8,097
2012 p 1,756 90 603 2,118 4,015 8,582
% change 4.2 -13.7 9.1 -4.6 13.6 6.0
Quarter 4
2011 1,899 84 557 2,177 3,634 8,351
2012 p 1,798 85 545 2,140 4,275 8,843
% change -5.3 0.7 -2.2 -1.7 17.6 5.9
Second half
2011 3,583 188 1,110 4,397 7,169 16,448
2012 p 3,553 175 1,148 4,258 8,291 17,424
% change -0.8 -7.3 3.4 -3.2 15.6 5.9
2011 7,883 391 2,486 8,770 14,091 33,621
Full year 2012 p 7,829 359 2,368 8,720 16,087 35,363
% change -0.7 -8.2 -4.7 -0.6 14.2 5.2
Table 2: Stainless crude steel produc on by quarter in ‘000 metric tonnes:
2011 versus 2012p
Section 2: Actual Performance
Page 9Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Figure5: Stainlesssteelforeigntrade2011(above)and2012(below).In2011,79%ofallstainless
exportswereflatrolledproducts.In2012,thesharewas81%.
Cold flat
46.4% Hot coils
23.3%
Cold bars/wire
7.9%
Semis flat 1.6%
Hot bars/wire rod
10.5%
Semis long 2.5%
Hot plate and sheet 7.8%
Cold flat
47.0%
Hot coils
25.4%
Cold bars/wire
7.6%
Semis flat 1.4%
Hot bars/wire rod
8.4%
Semis long 3.0%
Hot plate and sheet 7.2%
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 10
Origin
Des na on
NAFTA
Lan
America
Western
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Middle
East
Africa
Asia
Others
Total
NAFTA 366.5 80.0 141.6 1.1 3.9 1.3 99.8 0.8 695.1
La n
America
21.3 61.6 17.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 13.8 0.1 120.4
Western
Europe
726.5 73.7 5,478.4 723.7 78.7 66.9 568.1 33.0 7,749.0
Eastern
Europe
14.2 0.9 201.3 131.7 0.7 1.4 6.6 0.0 356.8
MiddleEast 3.6 0.5 21.3 2.0 67.4 0.0 7.8 0.5 103.2
Africa 40.1 22.4 85.0 4.3 16.4 6.4 74.1 0.1 248.8
Asia 389.7 152.5 965.5 189.1 200.1 77.3 4,401.1 94.7 6,469.9
Others 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.9 2.0
Total 1,562.1 391.7 6,910.4 1,052.5 369.1 157.5 5,171.9 130.1 15,745.2
Origin
Des na on
NAFTA
Lan
America
Western
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Middle
East
Africa
Asia
Others
Total
NAFTA 427.5 79.8 148.8 1.5 2.8 1.5 82.8 1.1 745.6
La n
America
37.6 57.7 8.1 0.3 1.5 3.3 10.8 0.1 119.3
Western
Europe
846.3 87.3 5,278.3 698.8 63.8 82.7 510.3 22.8 7,590.3
Eastern
Europe
13.7 0.8 201.1 156.6 2.7 0.7 6.2 0.0 381.9
Middle
East*
4.3 0.3 6.3 0.3 n/a 0.0 7.1 0.4 18.6
Africa 36.6 40.5 88.9 8.2 16.9 6.5 91.9 1.1 290.07
Asia 395.4 155.0 849.0 204.5 145.4 73.4 4,292.5 76.5 6,191.6
Others 0.1 0.0 0.2 - 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 2.6
Total 1,761.4 421.3 6,580.7 1,070.1 233.1 168.5 5,002.5 103.1 15,340.6
Table 3: Foreign trade exports of stainless steel in 2011 (above) and 2012 (below).
(1,000 metric tonnes.) Includes feedstock material for further processing.
Note: *Imports from that region
Section 2: Actual Performance
Page 11Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Origin
Des na on
NAFTA
Lan
America
Western
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Middle
East
Africa
Asia
Others
Total
NAFTA 156.9 1.0 162.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 569.1 0.8 890.5
La n
America
0.6 - 37.4 - - - 14.2 - 52.2
Western
Europe
1.6 0.2 2,138.9 97.4 6.4 0.7 517.4 0.0 2,762.7
Eastern
Europe
0.0 0.1 396.8 70.8 0.0 - 28.0 0.1 495.7
MiddleEast 0.4 - 47.7 - 1.2 0.8 39.3 - 89.4
Africa 0.3 - 18.9 - 1.5 1.1 23.6 - 45.3
Asia 4.8 0.0 35.1 - 0.3 - 592.6 0.2 633.1
Others 0.0 - 6.4 - 0.1 - 44.6 0.0 51.2
Total 164.6 1.3 2,843.3 168.3 9.9 2.7 1,828.9 1.1 5,020.1
Origin
Des na on
NAFTA
Lan
America
Western
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Middle
East
Africa
Asia
Others
Total
NAFTA 168.5 1.2 206.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 574.0 0.2 950.6
La n
America
0.2 0.0 49.4 - 0.0 - 13.2 - 62.8
Western
Europe
3.3 0.6 2,256.3 112.9 5.7 0.2 471.1 0.0 2,850.1
Eastern
Europe
- 1.3 423.9 58.7 0.0 - 18.4 - 502.3
Middle
East*
0.1 - 31.0 - - - 56.5 - 87.6
Africa* 0.0 - 29.5 - - - 33.2 - 62.6
Asia 1.1 0.0 14.0 - 0.5 0.0 563.1 0.0 578.7
Others - - 10.3 0.0 - - 35.9 0.0 46.2
Total 173.2 3.1 3,020.8 171.7 6.5 0.3 1,765.1 0.3 5,140.9
Table 4: Foreign trade exports for stainless steel scrap in 2011 (above) and
2012 (below). (1,000 metric tonnes.)
Note: *Imports from that region
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 12
Figure 6: Apparent stainless steel use by region: 2000 - 2012p
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 20102006
Western Europe Central/Eastern Europe Americas Asia (excl. China) China Others
2011 2012 p
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011*2007
Western Europe/Africa Central/Eastern Europe Americas Asia (excl. China) China
19,187
24,546
28,146
26,218
24,904
20,690
22,840
24,570
28,706
31,094
33,621
-1.0% -0.1% -2.0% -6.8% -5.0%+7.8% +10.4% +7.6% +16.9% +24.9% N/A
2012p
35,363
+5.2%
Figure 7: Stainless crude steel produc on by region: 2001 - 2012p (in ‘000 metric tonnes)
Section 2: Actual Performance
*MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011,not
comparablewithpreviousyears.
Page 13Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011*2007
CrNi grades (300 series)CrMn grades (200 series) Cr grades (400 series) Other/not known
22.1
22.0
23.0
22.8
29.9
25.0
23.0
24.5
28.1
27.9
27.8
71.3
70.6
65.5
64.7
55.2
53.2
70.6
62.3
56.9
57.4
56.5
5.7
6.5
9.4
10.4
13.4
20.4
5.5
10.9
12.5
13.6
13.2
2012p
26.954.317.4
24.4
25.5
24.1
26.0
51.5
57.4
49.9
54.7
23.0
15.6
24.5
17.8
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012p
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2012p2007
Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
2011*
Figure 9: Global stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (in ‘000 metric tonnes)
*MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011and2012.Not
fullycomparablewithpreviousyears(especiallyCrMngrades).f
*MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011,not
comparablewithpreviousyears.
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 14
Section 3: Potential
Stainless Steel Demand Index
Index: 2005 = 100
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
Real Stainless Steel Use
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
Figure 10: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Figure 11: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - The Americas
(Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Stainless Steel Demand Index
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Real Stainless Steel Use
Index: 2005 = 100
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Realstainlesssteeluse:portionofapparentstainlesssteeluse
whichisreallyusedtoproducegoodscontainingstainlesssteel.
Where demand exceeds use, subs tu on of
stainless steel by other materials may be occurring.
Page 15Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Figure 12: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China
(Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Figure 13: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Stainless Steel Demand Index
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Real Stainless Steel Use
Index: 2005 = 100
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Stainless Steel Demand Index
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
Real Stainless Steel Use
Index: 2005 = 100
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
Stainless Steel Demand Index:
aggregated produc on index
weighted by main stainless-using
industrial sectors, and by market size.
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 16
Figure 14: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p)
Stainless Steel Demand Index
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
Real Stainless Steel Use
Index: 2005 = 100
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
Section 3: PotentialTaiw
an,China
Korea
Japan
ItalySw
edenGerm
any
Spain
USAAustraliaUnited
Kingdom
France
Thailand
South
Africa
ChinaTurkeyRussiaM
exicoBrazil
Indonesia
India
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000
2005
2010
Figure 15: Comparison of per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel - selected
countries - 2000, 2005 and 2010 (kilograms/capita). Source: IMF, Yale.
Page 17Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Figure 16: Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (kilograms/capita) for selected
countries - 2005 (above) and 2010 (below). Source: IMF, Yale.
Taiw
an,China
Korea
Japan
ItalySw
edenGerm
any
Spain
USAAustraliaUnited
Kingdom
France
Thailand
South
Africa
ChinaTurkeyRussiaM
exicoBrazil
Indonesia
India
0
5
10
15
20
25
Taiw
an,China
Korea
Japan
ItalySw
edenGerm
any
Spain
USAAustralia
United
Kingdom
France
Thailand
South
Africa
China
TurkeyRussia
M
exico
Brazil
Indonesia
India
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 18
0 5 10 15 20 25
US$5,000
US$10,000
US$15,000
US$20,000
US$25,000
US$30,000
US$35,000
US$40,000
US$45,000
Taiwan, China
Germany
United Kingdom
Thailand
Spain
Korea
Mexico
China
India
Australia
Italy
Indonesia
France
Sweden
Turkey
USA
Japan
South Africa
Brazil
Russia
kg/capita
GDP/capita
2005 (above) and 2010 (below). Source: IMF, Yale.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
US$5,000
US$10,000
US$15,000
US$20,000
US$25,000
US$30,000
US$35,000
US$40,000
US$45,000
US$50,000
Taiwan, ChinaGermanyUnited
Kingdom
Thailand
Spain Korea
Mexico
China
India
Australia
Italy
Indonesia
France
Sweden
Turkey
USA
Japan
South Africa
Brazil
Russia
kg/capita
GDP/capita
Section 3: Potential
Page 19Stainless Steel in Figures 2013
Taiw
an,China
Korea
Japan
Italy
Germ
any
South
Africa
USA
United
Kingdom
France
Spain
China
Russia
M
exico
Brazil
India
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Direct use
Total use
kg/capita
(plustradebalanceofstainlesscontaininggoods)in2005(above)and2010(below).
Source:IMF,Yale,ValeInco.
Taiw
an,China
Korea
Japan
Italy
Germ
any
South
Africa
USA
United
Kingdom
France
Spain
China
Russia
M
exico
Brazil
India
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Direct use
Total use
kg/capita
www.worldstainless.org

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Acero inoxidable en graficos 2013

  • 2. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 2 Disclaimer The Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum believes that the informa on presented is technically correct. However, ISSF does not represent or warrant the accuracy of the informa on contained in this document or its suitability for any general or specific use. The material contained herein is by necessity general in nature; it should not be used or relied upon for any specific or general applica on without first obtaining competent advice. ISSF, its members, staff and consultants specifically disclaim any and all liability or responsibility of any kind for loss, damage, or injury resul ng from the use of the informa on contained in this brochure.For more informa on about the ac vi es of ISSF, or the sta s cs in this booklet, please contact: Secretary General, ISSF Rue Colonel Bourg 120 B-1140 Brussels, Belgium T: +32 (0)2 702 89 16 F: +32 (0)2 702 89 12 E: info@issf.org Website More informa on about the work of ISSF can be found at worldstainless.org. Extranet Members can access the worldstainless Extranet at: h p://extranet.worldstainless.org Please note: you must have a valid user ID and password to access this site. For more informa on about the worldstainless Extranet, please contact Jo Claes (claes@issf.org). Unless otherwise indicated, all data in this booklet has been provided by the Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF). Data has also been provided by: 1 Interna onal Monetary Fund (IMF) 2 Yale University: School of Forestry and Environmental Studies (Reck et al.) 3 Vale Inco Data Sources Further Information
  • 3. Page 3Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Table of Contents Secretary General’s Message .......................................................... 4 Sec on 1: History and Compe on Compound annual growth rate of world stainless crude steel produc on........... 5 Regional share of stainless steel produc on (2005 versus 2012) ......................... 5 Stainless steel versus plas cs - produc on evolu on (1980 - 2011) .................... 6 Compound annual growth rate of major metals (1980 - 2012) ............................ 6 Sec on 2: Actual Performance Stainless crude steel produc on (2006 - 2012p) .................................................. 7 Stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (2011 and 2012p)............................ 8 Stainless steel foreign trade (2011 and 2012) ....................................................... 9 Foreign trade exports of stainless steel (2011 and 2012).................................... 10 Foreign trade exports of stainless steel scrap (2011 and 2012)........................... 11 Apparent stainless steel use by region (2000 - 2012p)....................................... 12 Stainless crude steel produc on by region (2001 - 2012p)................................. 12 Stainless crude steel produc on by grade category (2001 - 2012p)................... 13 Global stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (2001 - 2012p).................... 13 Sec on 3: Poten al Demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ...........................14 Demand versus real stainless steel use - Americas (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)........................14 Demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)....15 Demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012)..............................15 Demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 - Q4 2012) ............................16 Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2000, 2005, 2010) ............. 16 Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (2005 and 2010) ................. 17 GDP PPP per capita versus stainless steel use per capita (2005 and 2010) ......... 18 Comparison of direct versus total stainless steel use (2005 and 2010)............... 19
  • 4. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 4 Secretary General’s Message Following the successful introduc on of Stainless Steel in Figures last year and Pascal’s indica on that we would con nue to up-date the brochure on a regular basis, I am pleased to introduce the second edi on. There were several key factors behind the original decision, made in Pi sburgh in 1996, to establish an interna onal forum to represent the interests of the stainless steel industry. One key goal of establishing ISSF was to enable the industry to build its own reliable sta s cal database. With regular updates and consistent repor ng standards, members would be able to use this data for their own decision making purposes. We have achieved a lot in our first 17 years and we plan to build on these achievements in the years ahead. As we said last year, if you have any comments, sugges ons, or even cri cisms, please let us know. Your feedback will enable us to make further improvements in future edi ons. This will be the last edi on of Stainless Steel in Figures which will be prepared by Peter Kaumanns as he will re re at the end of this year. I would like to take this opportunity to pay a special tribute to Peter. His reless work collec ng, building, analysing and presen ng a myriad of sta s cal data and forecas ng models has provided a backbone for the progress the stainless industry has made so far. There will be other opportuni es this year to say an appropriate farewell to Peter, but I wanted to dedicate this edi on of Stainless Steel in Figures to his important contribu on to our industry. John Rowe Secretary General, Interna onal Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF) Brussels, May 2013
  • 5. Page 5Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 First oil crisis Second oil crisis First Gulf war Asian crises 2001 recession World crisis 1 Mt 35.4 Mt (2012) 1950 2012p Compound annual growth Figure 1: Compound annual growth rate of world stainless crude steel produc on (in Mt): 1950 – 2012p Figure 2: Regional share of stainless steel produc on: 2005 (le ) and 2012p (right) 34% 11%13% 39% 3% ChinaOther Asia (excluding China) 21% 7% 45% 25% 2% EU-27 Rest of worldAmericas Section 1: History and Competition
  • 6. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 6 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Stainless steel Index: 1990 = 100 33.6 Mt (2011) 1980 2011 6.9 Mt Figure 3: Stainless steel produc on versus plas cs produc on: 1980 – 2011. The produc on evolu on of both materials is similar, though stainless steel is more vola le. Lead Carbon steel Stainless steel Aluminium Zinc Copper 2.29% 2.48% 2.56% 3.52% 5.57% 2.61% Average: 2.69% Figure 4: Compound annual growth rate of major metals (%/year): 1980 - 2012 Section 1: History and Competition
  • 7. Page 7Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Table 1: Stainless crude steel produc on (ingot/slab equivalent) in ‘000 metric tonnes: 2006 – 2012p p = provisional, r = revised Note: Major correc on of Chinese data for 2011, not comparable with previous years. Country/Region 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011r 2012p Belgium 1,522 1,521 1,471 1,045 1,306 1,241 1,241 Finland 1,303 975 957 726 998 1,003 1,078 France 529 308 297 202 276 300 285 Germany 1,724 1,505 1,574 1,320 1,509 1,502 1,313 Italy 1,832 1,558 1,471 1,216 1,583 1,602 1,696 Spain 1,257 1,105 998 693 844 807 844 Sweden 684 645 574 445 546 586 510 United Kingdom 375 351 340 224 279 330 294 Other EU 152 148 158 114 152 188 195 European Union 9,379 8,115 7,838 5,986 7,494 7,559 7,455 USA 2,460 2,171 1,925 1,617 2,201 2,074 1,977 Brazil 491 433 390 324 409 413 391 Americas 2,951 2,604 2,315 1,942 2,609 2,486 2,368 Japan 4,073 3,882 3,567 2,607 3,427 3,247 3,166 South Korea 2,278 1,942 1,660 1,677 2,048 2,157 2,167 Taiwan, China 1,724 1,515 1,297 1,468 1,514 1,203 1,109 China 5,299 7,206 6,943 8,805 11,256 14,091 16,087 India 2,006 1,966 1,832 1,721 2,022 2,163 2,279 Asia 15,380 16,510 15,299 16,277 20,267 22,861 24,807 South Africa 727 651 528 546 480 443 503 Russia 131 143 135 86 122 125 112 Ukraine 138 124 104 67 118 147 118 World 28,706 28,146 26,218 24,904 31,090 33,621 35,363 Section 2: Actual Performance
  • 8. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 8 Western Europe/ Africa Central& Eastern Europe The Americas Asia (excluding China) China World Quarter 1 2011 2,218 89 779 2,238 3,412 8,736 2012 p 2,211 87 607 2,226 3,790 8,922 % change -0.3 -2.6 -22.0 -0.6 11.1 2.1 Quarter 2 2011 2,082 114 598 2,134 3,510 8,438 2012 p 2,065 98 613 2,236 4,006 9,017 % change -0.9 -14.1 2.5 4.8 14.1 6.9 First half 2011 4,300 203 1,377 4,373 6,922 17,174 2012 p 4,276 184 1,220 4,462 7,796 17,939 % change -0.6 -9.0 -11.3 2.0 12.6 4.5 Quarter 3 2011 1,684 104 553 2,220 3,535 8,097 2012 p 1,756 90 603 2,118 4,015 8,582 % change 4.2 -13.7 9.1 -4.6 13.6 6.0 Quarter 4 2011 1,899 84 557 2,177 3,634 8,351 2012 p 1,798 85 545 2,140 4,275 8,843 % change -5.3 0.7 -2.2 -1.7 17.6 5.9 Second half 2011 3,583 188 1,110 4,397 7,169 16,448 2012 p 3,553 175 1,148 4,258 8,291 17,424 % change -0.8 -7.3 3.4 -3.2 15.6 5.9 2011 7,883 391 2,486 8,770 14,091 33,621 Full year 2012 p 7,829 359 2,368 8,720 16,087 35,363 % change -0.7 -8.2 -4.7 -0.6 14.2 5.2 Table 2: Stainless crude steel produc on by quarter in ‘000 metric tonnes: 2011 versus 2012p Section 2: Actual Performance
  • 9. Page 9Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Figure5: Stainlesssteelforeigntrade2011(above)and2012(below).In2011,79%ofallstainless exportswereflatrolledproducts.In2012,thesharewas81%. Cold flat 46.4% Hot coils 23.3% Cold bars/wire 7.9% Semis flat 1.6% Hot bars/wire rod 10.5% Semis long 2.5% Hot plate and sheet 7.8% Cold flat 47.0% Hot coils 25.4% Cold bars/wire 7.6% Semis flat 1.4% Hot bars/wire rod 8.4% Semis long 3.0% Hot plate and sheet 7.2%
  • 10. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 10 Origin Des na on NAFTA Lan America Western Europe Eastern Europe Middle East Africa Asia Others Total NAFTA 366.5 80.0 141.6 1.1 3.9 1.3 99.8 0.8 695.1 La n America 21.3 61.6 17.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 13.8 0.1 120.4 Western Europe 726.5 73.7 5,478.4 723.7 78.7 66.9 568.1 33.0 7,749.0 Eastern Europe 14.2 0.9 201.3 131.7 0.7 1.4 6.6 0.0 356.8 MiddleEast 3.6 0.5 21.3 2.0 67.4 0.0 7.8 0.5 103.2 Africa 40.1 22.4 85.0 4.3 16.4 6.4 74.1 0.1 248.8 Asia 389.7 152.5 965.5 189.1 200.1 77.3 4,401.1 94.7 6,469.9 Others 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.9 2.0 Total 1,562.1 391.7 6,910.4 1,052.5 369.1 157.5 5,171.9 130.1 15,745.2 Origin Des na on NAFTA Lan America Western Europe Eastern Europe Middle East Africa Asia Others Total NAFTA 427.5 79.8 148.8 1.5 2.8 1.5 82.8 1.1 745.6 La n America 37.6 57.7 8.1 0.3 1.5 3.3 10.8 0.1 119.3 Western Europe 846.3 87.3 5,278.3 698.8 63.8 82.7 510.3 22.8 7,590.3 Eastern Europe 13.7 0.8 201.1 156.6 2.7 0.7 6.2 0.0 381.9 Middle East* 4.3 0.3 6.3 0.3 n/a 0.0 7.1 0.4 18.6 Africa 36.6 40.5 88.9 8.2 16.9 6.5 91.9 1.1 290.07 Asia 395.4 155.0 849.0 204.5 145.4 73.4 4,292.5 76.5 6,191.6 Others 0.1 0.0 0.2 - 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 2.6 Total 1,761.4 421.3 6,580.7 1,070.1 233.1 168.5 5,002.5 103.1 15,340.6 Table 3: Foreign trade exports of stainless steel in 2011 (above) and 2012 (below). (1,000 metric tonnes.) Includes feedstock material for further processing. Note: *Imports from that region Section 2: Actual Performance
  • 11. Page 11Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Origin Des na on NAFTA Lan America Western Europe Eastern Europe Middle East Africa Asia Others Total NAFTA 156.9 1.0 162.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 569.1 0.8 890.5 La n America 0.6 - 37.4 - - - 14.2 - 52.2 Western Europe 1.6 0.2 2,138.9 97.4 6.4 0.7 517.4 0.0 2,762.7 Eastern Europe 0.0 0.1 396.8 70.8 0.0 - 28.0 0.1 495.7 MiddleEast 0.4 - 47.7 - 1.2 0.8 39.3 - 89.4 Africa 0.3 - 18.9 - 1.5 1.1 23.6 - 45.3 Asia 4.8 0.0 35.1 - 0.3 - 592.6 0.2 633.1 Others 0.0 - 6.4 - 0.1 - 44.6 0.0 51.2 Total 164.6 1.3 2,843.3 168.3 9.9 2.7 1,828.9 1.1 5,020.1 Origin Des na on NAFTA Lan America Western Europe Eastern Europe Middle East Africa Asia Others Total NAFTA 168.5 1.2 206.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 574.0 0.2 950.6 La n America 0.2 0.0 49.4 - 0.0 - 13.2 - 62.8 Western Europe 3.3 0.6 2,256.3 112.9 5.7 0.2 471.1 0.0 2,850.1 Eastern Europe - 1.3 423.9 58.7 0.0 - 18.4 - 502.3 Middle East* 0.1 - 31.0 - - - 56.5 - 87.6 Africa* 0.0 - 29.5 - - - 33.2 - 62.6 Asia 1.1 0.0 14.0 - 0.5 0.0 563.1 0.0 578.7 Others - - 10.3 0.0 - - 35.9 0.0 46.2 Total 173.2 3.1 3,020.8 171.7 6.5 0.3 1,765.1 0.3 5,140.9 Table 4: Foreign trade exports for stainless steel scrap in 2011 (above) and 2012 (below). (1,000 metric tonnes.) Note: *Imports from that region
  • 12. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 12 Figure 6: Apparent stainless steel use by region: 2000 - 2012p 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 20102006 Western Europe Central/Eastern Europe Americas Asia (excl. China) China Others 2011 2012 p 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011*2007 Western Europe/Africa Central/Eastern Europe Americas Asia (excl. China) China 19,187 24,546 28,146 26,218 24,904 20,690 22,840 24,570 28,706 31,094 33,621 -1.0% -0.1% -2.0% -6.8% -5.0%+7.8% +10.4% +7.6% +16.9% +24.9% N/A 2012p 35,363 +5.2% Figure 7: Stainless crude steel produc on by region: 2001 - 2012p (in ‘000 metric tonnes) Section 2: Actual Performance *MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011,not comparablewithpreviousyears.
  • 13. Page 13Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011*2007 CrNi grades (300 series)CrMn grades (200 series) Cr grades (400 series) Other/not known 22.1 22.0 23.0 22.8 29.9 25.0 23.0 24.5 28.1 27.9 27.8 71.3 70.6 65.5 64.7 55.2 53.2 70.6 62.3 56.9 57.4 56.5 5.7 6.5 9.4 10.4 13.4 20.4 5.5 10.9 12.5 13.6 13.2 2012p 26.954.317.4 24.4 25.5 24.1 26.0 51.5 57.4 49.9 54.7 23.0 15.6 24.5 17.8 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012p 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2012p2007 Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 2011* Figure 9: Global stainless crude steel produc on by quarter (in ‘000 metric tonnes) *MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011and2012.Not fullycomparablewithpreviousyears(especiallyCrMngrades).f *MajorcorreconofChinesedatafor2011,not comparablewithpreviousyears.
  • 14. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 14 Section 3: Potential Stainless Steel Demand Index Index: 2005 = 100 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 Real Stainless Steel Use 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 Figure 10: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Europe (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p) Figure 11: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - The Americas (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p) Stainless Steel Demand Index 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Real Stainless Steel Use Index: 2005 = 100 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Realstainlesssteeluse:portionofapparentstainlesssteeluse whichisreallyusedtoproducegoodscontainingstainlesssteel. Where demand exceeds use, subs tu on of stainless steel by other materials may be occurring.
  • 15. Page 15Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Figure 12: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - Asia, excluding China (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p) Figure 13: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - China (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p) Stainless Steel Demand Index 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Real Stainless Steel Use Index: 2005 = 100 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Stainless Steel Demand Index 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 Real Stainless Steel Use Index: 2005 = 100 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 Stainless Steel Demand Index: aggregated produc on index weighted by main stainless-using industrial sectors, and by market size.
  • 16. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 16 Figure 14: Stainless steel demand versus real stainless steel use - World (Q1 2002 to Q4 2012p) Stainless Steel Demand Index 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 Real Stainless Steel Use Index: 2005 = 100 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 Section 3: PotentialTaiw an,China Korea Japan ItalySw edenGerm any Spain USAAustraliaUnited Kingdom France Thailand South Africa ChinaTurkeyRussiaM exicoBrazil Indonesia India 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2000 2005 2010 Figure 15: Comparison of per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel - selected countries - 2000, 2005 and 2010 (kilograms/capita). Source: IMF, Yale.
  • 17. Page 17Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Figure 16: Per-capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (kilograms/capita) for selected countries - 2005 (above) and 2010 (below). Source: IMF, Yale. Taiw an,China Korea Japan ItalySw edenGerm any Spain USAAustraliaUnited Kingdom France Thailand South Africa ChinaTurkeyRussiaM exicoBrazil Indonesia India 0 5 10 15 20 25 Taiw an,China Korea Japan ItalySw edenGerm any Spain USAAustralia United Kingdom France Thailand South Africa China TurkeyRussia M exico Brazil Indonesia India 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
  • 18. Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Page 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 US$5,000 US$10,000 US$15,000 US$20,000 US$25,000 US$30,000 US$35,000 US$40,000 US$45,000 Taiwan, China Germany United Kingdom Thailand Spain Korea Mexico China India Australia Italy Indonesia France Sweden Turkey USA Japan South Africa Brazil Russia kg/capita GDP/capita 2005 (above) and 2010 (below). Source: IMF, Yale. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 US$5,000 US$10,000 US$15,000 US$20,000 US$25,000 US$30,000 US$35,000 US$40,000 US$45,000 US$50,000 Taiwan, ChinaGermanyUnited Kingdom Thailand Spain Korea Mexico China India Australia Italy Indonesia France Sweden Turkey USA Japan South Africa Brazil Russia kg/capita GDP/capita Section 3: Potential
  • 19. Page 19Stainless Steel in Figures 2013 Taiw an,China Korea Japan Italy Germ any South Africa USA United Kingdom France Spain China Russia M exico Brazil India 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Direct use Total use kg/capita (plustradebalanceofstainlesscontaininggoods)in2005(above)and2010(below). Source:IMF,Yale,ValeInco. Taiw an,China Korea Japan Italy Germ any South Africa USA United Kingdom France Spain China Russia M exico Brazil India 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Direct use Total use kg/capita