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GENERATION AI
2
2
Legal and disclosures
69 companies
9.0x NTM
Revenue
This document has been prepared by Accel (including its UK-based investment advisor Accel Partners Management LLP (“Accel London”)). Accel London is a limited
liability partnership incorporated in England and Wales with registered number OC303424, having its registered office at 1 New Burlington Place, London, W1S 2HR.
Accel London is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with registration number 222503.
This document is not directed at and should not be distributed, published, or used in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, or use would be unlawful.
This document is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer, or a solicitation or recommendation, to purchase or sell any security,
investment product or service and should not be treated as such. This document forms part of a presentation to persons who have been invited to attend such
presentation and must be read and considered in the context of that presentation only.
This document is the property of Accel and is addressed to its recipients exclusively and confidentially for their personal use. It may not be reproduced (in whole or in
part), transmitted, modified, or used for any other purpose without Accel’s prior written permission.
This document does not contain personalised recommendations or advice, is not intended to endorse or recommend a particular course of action or to be construed
or relied on as investment, legal, business, accounting, tax or other professional advice. It does not substitute professional advice on investment in financial products.
As such, before entering into any transaction, recipients should consider carefully the suitability of a transaction to their particular circumstances and, where
necessary, obtain independent professional advice in respect of risks, as well as any legal, regulatory, credit, tax, and accounting consequences.
All information used in this document has been obtained from sources believed to reliable as at their date of publication, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
No representation or warranties are given or implied with respect to information contained in this document and no reliance should be placed on the contents
of this document.
Accel Confidential
Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 3
APPENDIX
WHAT’S NEXT
2023 EUROSCAPE
MARKET UPDATE
INTRODUCTION
1
4
4
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 1999-PRESENT
~14 Years
2000: 14 years for NASDAQ to return to 80% of its peak…
Note: Excludes short-term bounceback in H2-2000
Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis
INTRODUCTION
4,045
Nov-2013
5,049
Mar-2000
5
5
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 1999-PRESENT
18 mo
2021: Only 18 MONTHS to reach the same milestone!
Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis
INTRODUCTION
16,057
Nov-2021
12,976
May-2023
6
6
Tech Titans up 36% in the past year, adding $2.4T of market cap -
NVIDIA joins the $1T+ Club
COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$1T
Note: Comparison between September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2023.
Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis
Tech dominating
$1T+ market
cap club
adding $2.4T in
LTM
INTRODUCTION
7
7
Cloud Giants up ~40% in the last year, adding $1T of market cap
Paypal exiting
$100B club
CLOUD COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$100B
+75% Increase 50-75% Increase 20-50% Increase Decrease
Note: Comparison between September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2023. Market cap rounded to nearest $5B. Non-USD market capitalisations
converted to USD using historic FX.
Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis
INTRODUCTION
8
8
Cloud is eating software…and MSFT is eating cloud…
CLOUD COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$100B
Note: Data as of September 30, 2020 and September 30, 2023. Market cap rounded to nearest $5B. Chart not to scale.
Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis
$115B
$130B
$145B
$195B $290B $2,345B
$230B
INTRODUCTION
$150B
2023
$110B
$125B
$135B $180B
$185B
$235B
$230B
2020
$1,590B
9
9
… dominating cloud, security and AI
MOST RECENT QUARTER ANNUALISED
$88B
(+12% y/y)
$96B
(+15% y/y)
$32B
(+28% y/y)
$20B
(+33% y/y)
$6.2B
(+27% y/y)
$2.2B
(+54% y/y)
$10B equity investment into OpenAI
New AI-powered products:
● Github Copilot suggests code in real-time
● Microsoft 365 Copilot leverages LLMs across
Office Suite
● Microsoft Security Copilot uncovers, investigates, and
responds to threats
Azure will power all OpenAI workloads across research,
products and API services.
Reportedly developing proprietary AI chips to reduce
reliance on NVIDIA
CY22 REVENUE
Cloud Security Generative AI
Source: CapIQ, Public Filings, Accel Analysis, Press Reports
INTRODUCTION
10
10
Euroscape recovering - up 29% YTD
69 companies
9.0x NTM
Revenue
GLOBAL EUROSCAPE INDEX
+27%
+29%
Note: Selection of US, Europe and Israeli cloud companies (including previously public companies). Companies that comprise the Accel Euroscape
indices are listed in the appendix.
Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ
INTRODUCTION
11
11
Euroscape multiples reverting to 10-YR pre-Covid average
23.2x
Covid Peak
6.1x
10 yr Pre-COVID Average 6.2x
Sept-23
NTM REVENUE MULTIPLES - GLOBAL EUROSCAPE
Note: Selection of US, Europe and Israeli cloud companies (including previously public companies). Companies that comprise the Accel Euroscape
indices are listed in the appendix. Pre-Covid average based on 2022 Euroscape constituents for consistency
Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ
INTRODUCTION
12
12
Accel loves Cloud and AI globally
20+
IPOs
65+
UNICORNS
370+
COMPANIES
$9B+
INVESTED
INTRODUCTION
Accel Confidential
Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 13
INTRODUCTION
APPENDIX
WHAT’S NEXT
2023 EUROSCAPE
MARKET UPDATE
2
Market backdrop: rates stabilising as inflation declines
Source: OECD, Bank of England, ECB, US Federal Reserve
5.50%
5.25%
4.00%
5.90%
4.30%
3.80%
14
Interest Rates Inflation (CPI) Unemployment Rates
MARKET UPDATE
3.70%
5.90%
6.30%
15
15
Narrative shifting from hard to soft landing
“I think a hard landing is
substantially more likely”
SEP - 2022
Larry Summers, Economist & Fmr.
US Treasury Secretary
SEP - 2022
“Our central case is a hard
landing by the end of 2023…
I will be stunned if we don’t
have a recession in 2023”
Stanley Drunkenmiller, Fmr. Chairman
& President of Duquesne Capital
FEB - 2023
“With consumption and
inflation reheating, risks of a
hard landing resembling a
boom/bust are growing”
Lisa Shalett, CIO of Morgan Stanley
Wealth Management
JUL - 2023
“We’ve seen these repeated
predictions that recession is right
around the corner — and the data
has instead delivered continued
resilience in the economy”
Lael Brainard, Director of National
Economic Council
AUG - 2023
“We have been too bearish
on the US economy; soft(er)
landing probabilities
have increased”
“Rising hopes for a softer landing”,
JP. Morgan Private Bank Report
SEP - 2023
“The chance of having a relatively
soft landing and navigating
through this has gone up very
meaningfully over the last
12 months”
David Solomon, CEO of
Goldman Sachs
Source: Press Coverage, JP Morgan Private Banking Report
MARKET UPDATE
Fastest growing cloud companies moving to profitability
as growth slowed down…
Notes: Growth rate is NTM. FCF margin is LTM. Consensus NTM Rev Estimates used for Q4-22 to Q2-23.
Source: Accel Analysis, CapitalIQ
EUROSCAPE FASTEST GROWING COMPANIES
Top quartile by Q2-23 NTM growth rate
GROWTH RATE - AVERAGE
16
FCF MARGIN - AVERAGE
MARKET UPDATE
…BUT decline in growth not always balanced enough by
profitability, making rule of 40 companies a rare breed
Notes: Growth Rate is most recent quarter revenue growth (YoY). FCF margin on LTM basis. y-Axis cut at 100%
(with companies growing >100% shown as 100%). 2023 also includes new Rule of 40 companies.
Source: Accel Analysis, CapIQ
9.8x
EV / NTM Rev
N = 16
5.4x
EV / NTM Rev
N = 21
17
SEP-21 RULE OF 40 COMPANIES - GROWTH VS FCF
N = 35
MARKET UPDATE
2021 2023
TOP 5 FASTEST GROWING EUROSCAPE COMPANIES AS OF Q2-23
Fastest growing companies continue to be dominated by cyber
18
Source: Accel Analysis, CapIQ
MARKET UPDATE
IPO Price: $30.00
Sep 29th Price: $34.45
First signs of IPO window reopening…
SAAS / CLOUD IPOs
19
Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ, Qatalyst
MARKET UPDATE
…with many companies reaching scale
EUROPE / ISRAEL UNITED STATES
20
MARKET UPDATE
Strategic M&A regaining momentum after slow 2022
2022 TAKE PRIVATES ($B)
33%
Median Share Price Premium
vs. Last Unaffected Day*
AGGREGATE STRATEGIC M&A VALUE FOR LARGE DEALS LARGEST STRATEGIC M&A BY EV LTM
Target EV Acquirer
$29.6B
$10.5B
$4.6B
$4.4B
$3.6B
$2.0B
$1.5B
$1.3B
21
1) Annualised (excluding Splunk) as of September 30, 2023
Note: Deals with $500M+ enterprise value
Source: Accel Analysis, Qatalyst
n 5 14 8 10 16 7 8
Average $1.7B $3.1B $2.3B $5.2B $3.9B $4.4B $6.3B
MARKET UPDATE
Big tech acquisitions declining as regulatory pressure increases
AGGREGATE COUNT OF BIG TECH ACQUISITIONS
22
Note: Crunchbase data includes all M&A as of Sept. 30, 2023; 2023 annualised
Source: Accel Analysis, Techcrunch, Bloomberg, Crunchbase
MARKET UPDATE
Cloud take-private activity remaining strong
AGGREGATE SPONSOR-LED EV FOR LARGE DEALS 3
LARGEST SPONSOR TAKE PRIVATE DEALS BY EV LTM
n 3 10 6 3 9 12 11
Average $2.2B $1.8B $3.7B $5.6B $6.0B $5.1B $3.2B
Target EV
NTM Revenue
Multiple
Premium 2
Acquirer(s)
$11.7B 7.1x 62%
$8.0B 8.4x 77%
$6.1B 5.8x 17%
$4.6B 6.5x 29%
$4.3B 11.4x 44%
$2.9B 2.6x 60%
$2.4B 7.0x 46%
$2.0B 8.4x 53%
Overall Average 3
$3.4B 6.7x 51%
23
1) 2023 Annualised as of September 30, 2023
2) Premium indicates unaffected premium based on day prior to
transaction announcement or of day prior to rumors of a potential transaction
3) Deals with $500M+ Enterprise Value
Source: Accel Analysis, Qatalyst, Pitchbook, CapIQ
MARKET UPDATE
vs. 39% previous 12M
Cloud venture financing normalising to pre-Covid levels
Notes: US excluding OpenAI $10B deal (Jan-23), Inflection $1.3B deal (Jun-23) and Anthropic $1.25B deal (Sep-23)
Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom, Historical Euroscapes
US - TOTAL CAPITAL RAISED IN CLOUD
EUROPE / ISRAEL - TOTAL CAPITAL RAISED IN CLOUD
~65% Decrease
~60% Decrease
24
MARKET UPDATE
…despite Israel being disproportionately impacted on the
late-stage side
ISRAEL - NUMBER OF CLOUD ROUNDS OVER $50M
~80% Decrease
1. Annualised
Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom
ISRAEL - CUMULATIVE VALUE OF ROUNDS OVER $50M
25
~80% Decrease
1 1
MARKET UPDATE
Europe/Israel still above pre-COVID levels in terms of overall
share of US venture financing
TOTAL EU/IL VENTURE CAPITAL IN SAAS/CLOUD (% OF US SAAS/CLOUD VC)
26
MARKET UPDATE
Notes: US excluding OpenAI $10B deal (Jan-23), Inflection $1.3B deal (Jun-23) and Anthropic $1.25B deal (Sep-23)
Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom, Historical Euroscapes
Unicorn creation tracing pre-COVID levels
— Gen AI major driver of new unicorns
NEW CLOUD/SAAS UNICORNS OVER TIME
EU/IL
US
COVID
First Lockdown
60%+ of LTM
new unicorns
are Gen AI
native
~45% new LTM
unicorns in
EU/IL Gen AI vs.
~75% in US
Notes: H2 2023 Annualised
Source: CB Insights
4
2
27
New Gen AI Unicorns
EUROPE / ISRAEL
UNITED STATES
MARKET UPDATE
What about down rounds 🤔
— looking back at the 2022 Euroscape Unicorn health check
EUROPE & ISRAEL - UNICORN FUNDING - LTM
122
Yes
No
2022 EUROSCAPE - UNICORN PREDICTION
Analysis of cash raised and burn rate led Accel forecast;
few up rounds with flat rounds being more probable
1) Does not include secondary rounds; includes acquisitions
Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase
11
3
28
Only ~5% of EU / IL
Unicorns have faced
down rounds in the last
year - compared to
~10% flat / up rounds
MARKET UPDATE
What about up rounds 🤔
— Largest non-Gen AI deals at similar scale across US and EU/IL…
UNITED STATES - LARGEST PRIVATE NON-GEN AI ROUNDS LTM
EUROPE & ISRAEL - LARGEST PRIVATE NON-GEN AI ROUNDS LTM
Notes: Excludes convertible notes
Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase 29
MARKET UPDATE
…while largest Gen AI rounds dominated by
US foundational models
Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase
UNITED STATES - LARGEST GEN AI PRIVATE ROUNDS LTM
EUROPE & ISRAEL - LARGEST GEN AI PRIVATE ROUNDS LTM
May-23
Feb-23
30
Total: $0.9B Total: $14.1B
Sept-23
MARKET UPDATE
Can Europe/Israel catch up in the global AI race?
— EU talent producing 50% more AI publications than the US
Source: Stanford AI Index Report 2023 / Center for Security and Emerging Technology, 2022
AI JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS (% OF WORLD TOTAL), 2021 AI JOURNAL CITATIONS (% OF WORLD TOTAL), 2021
31
MARKET UPDATE
EU/IL AI talent pool deep
and highly distributed
32
Source: Accel Analysis
MARKET UPDATE
33
33
Foundational
Models
Infrastructure
Applications
Promising European & Israeli companies across the Gen AI stack
MARKET UPDATE
Accel Confidential
Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI
12
34
INTRODUCTION
MARKET UPDATE
APPENDIX
WHAT’S NEXT
2023 EUROSCAPE
3
2023 Accel Euroscape
35
2,200+
EU & ISRAEL BORN SAAS COMPANIES
25+
COUNTRIES
HOW?
WHO?
● Market Attractiveness
● Competitive Differentiation
● Product
● Team Strength
● Momentum (ARR, FTEs)
● Customer Feedback
2023 EUROSCAPE
First - Congratulations to last year’s graduates!
New Unicorns
Acquired
36
2023 EUROSCAPE
37
Accel 2023 Euroscape
Top 100 EU & Israel cloud companies valued at less than $1bn
E-COMMERCE /
MARKETING
PRODUCTIVITY /
COLLABORATION
FINANCE / HR /
LEGAL
COMPLIANCE
BLOCKCHAIN /
CRYPTO
SALES / SUPPORT
DATA / BI /
ANALYTICS
AUTOMATION
PAYMENTS /
BANKING INFRA
DEVELOPERS /
INFRASTRUCTURE
SECURITY
GENERATIVE AI
VERTICAL SAAS
2023 EUROSCAPE
Notes: Excludes companies under $1M revenue
2023 Accel Euroscape
— At a glance
Note: Funding figures as of September 30, 2023
Source: Accel Analysis, CB Insights, Dealroom, Pitchbook 38
~17,200
EMPLOYEES
$7.6B
TOTAL FUNDING
23
COUNTRIES
$19.5M
AVG. SERIES A FUNDING
$81.3M
AVERAGE FUNDING
24%
LTM FTE GROWTH
2023 EUROSCAPE
Last 6 Months
Gen AI standing out in terms of hiring velocity
GROWTH BY CATEGORY - GROWTH (%) Last 12 Months
Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn
39
2023 EUROSCAPE
Euroscape winners raised $7.6B;
— Gen AI and Vertical SaaS seeing largest increase vs. last year
Note: Funding figures as of September 30, 2023
Source: Accel Analysis, CB Insights, Dealroom, Pitchbook
FUNDING BY CATEGORY ($M)
40
$7.6B
TOTAL RAISED
2022 2023
2023 EUROSCAPE
Most winners founded 4-5 years ago…
YEARS FROM FOUNDING
Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn 41
5 YRS
MEDIAN
2022 2023
2023 EUROSCAPE
Winners showing lower employee count and financing than in 2022
NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES CAPITAL RAISED
Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn, Crunchbase, Dealroom, Pitchbook 42
NUMBER OF COMPANIES BY CATEGORY
2023
2022
2023 EUROSCAPE
2023
2022
G2 Score: Winners have deep customer focus
Score & Review Growth
+35%
+134%
Notes: Sales / Support category excluded due to low review count
Source: Accel Analysis, G2
43
G2 Average Score and Growth
Score by Category
2023 EUROSCAPE
Accel Confidential
Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 44
2023 EUROSCAPE
INTRODUCTION
MARKET UPDATE
APPENDIX
WHAT’S NEXT
4
45
45
EMERGENCE OF GEN AI-NATIVE
TOOLING & INFRASTRUCTURE
What’s Next?
NON-HUMAN IDENTITY, DATA &
APPLICATIONS AS THE NEXT
CYBER SECURITY FRONTIERS
ENTERPRISES TRANSITIONING TO
THE MODERN DATA STACK
EMERGENCE OF SPECIALISED
GEN AI APPLICATIONS
EVERYONE CAN BE AN ARTIST:
GEN AI POWERED MEDIA CREATION
BECOMING UBIQUITOUS
INTELLIGENT AUTOMATION
SUPERCHARGING ENTERPRISES
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Emergence of specialised Gen AI applications
Source: Goldman Sachs
TOP INDUSTRIES AFFECTED BY AUTOMATION VIA AI
46
Share of Industry Employment Exposed to AI (US)
● Generative AI unlocking new verticalised applications
built with smaller & dedicated models and industry specific
workflows
● Vertical AI applications leverage large amounts of domain
specific data in order to tune and adapt underlying
foundational models to better serve specific use-cases.
● Application quality is rapidly evolving due to ever
increasing access to data and through reinforcement
learning from human feedback
● Key areas for specialisation include legal, healthcare and
drug discovery
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Everyone can be an artist
— Gen AI powered media creation becoming ubiquitous
SAMPLE GEN AI USE-CASES
47
● Generative AI lowering the bar to create highly realistic
content (Video, Images, Speech) using a simple text editor
● Increasing range of use-cases from synthetic video
and voice to personalised avatars and computer
generated images
● Real time content creation emerging to unlock deep level
of personalisation for both creative and business
applications use-cases
● Performance of underlying models rapidly evolving as
transformer model architecture enables step change in AI
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Emergence of Gen AI-native tooling & infrastructure
MARKET SEGMENTATION
48
● With the explosion of Generative AI applications and
use-cases, start-ups and enterprises alike are turning to
Gen AI-specific tooling / infrastructure for LLMs
● LLM developers are demanding new tools across the entire
stack - from monitoring and observability to model tuning
and databases
● Open source becoming an integral part of emerging
Generative AI tooling / infrastructure stack
Compute & Interference
Foundational Models
Model Tuning
Developer Tools
Monitoring & Observability
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Intelligent automation supercharging enterprises
2023 IT LEADERS SURVEY: DO YOU EXPECT YOUR BUDGET FOR
INTELLIGENT AUTOMATION TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT YEAR?
Source: Trends & Spends Report 2023, Intelligent Automation Network
49
● AI is expanding the potential of automation to address
more complex business problems
● Incumbent leaders like Microsoft, UiPath, ServiceNow,
and Celonis are leveraging proprietary AI and 3rd party
LLMs to address a broader range of enterprise use-cases
(e.g. content creation, text-to-code, document handling,
communications mining, and process mining)
● New generation of Gen AI native players building
intelligent automation tools that businesses can interact
with via natural language
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Source: Ocient, Beyond Big Data: Hyperscale Take Flight, 2023. Statista.
Enterprises transitioning to the modern data stack
IT LEADERS DATA PRIORITIES - 2023
50
● A critical mass of enterprises are moving to cloud data
infrastructure with ~50% of enterprise workflows now
happening in the cloud driving growth in the tooling
and infrastructure supporting the transition
● Modern data stack emerging with ‘best-in-breed’
tools in areas such transformation, data warehousing,
governance & data quality, and BI tooling
● Data structures increasingly in focus as companies
explore new AI use-cases
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
Source: Team8 2023, CISO Village Survey
Non-Human Identity, Data & Applications
as the next cyber security frontiers
CISO 2023 SURVEY: BUDGET LINE EXPANSION EXPECTATIONS
51
● Cloud adoption continues to grow with AWS, Google Cloud
and Microsoft Cloud now representing a combined >$200B
of run-rate revenue
● Cloud requires a new breed of tools to manage security
risks across infrastructure, identity, application and data.
While most CISOs now have infrastructure and identity
solutions in place, many are yet to focus on applications,
development pipeline and data landscape
● We expect enterprises continue to expand application
security across the org, and to seek out tools that provide
visibility on how their data is stored and whether it is at risk
WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
32
Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI
12
2023 EUROSCAPE
5
INTRODUCTION
MARKET UPDATE
WHAT’S NEXT
52
APPENDIX
List of companies in Accel Euroscape Index
53
54
54
Thank you!

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Euroscape 2023: Soft Landing Emerges

  • 2. 2 2 Legal and disclosures 69 companies 9.0x NTM Revenue This document has been prepared by Accel (including its UK-based investment advisor Accel Partners Management LLP (“Accel London”)). Accel London is a limited liability partnership incorporated in England and Wales with registered number OC303424, having its registered office at 1 New Burlington Place, London, W1S 2HR. Accel London is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority with registration number 222503. This document is not directed at and should not be distributed, published, or used in any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, or use would be unlawful. This document is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer, or a solicitation or recommendation, to purchase or sell any security, investment product or service and should not be treated as such. This document forms part of a presentation to persons who have been invited to attend such presentation and must be read and considered in the context of that presentation only. This document is the property of Accel and is addressed to its recipients exclusively and confidentially for their personal use. It may not be reproduced (in whole or in part), transmitted, modified, or used for any other purpose without Accel’s prior written permission. This document does not contain personalised recommendations or advice, is not intended to endorse or recommend a particular course of action or to be construed or relied on as investment, legal, business, accounting, tax or other professional advice. It does not substitute professional advice on investment in financial products. As such, before entering into any transaction, recipients should consider carefully the suitability of a transaction to their particular circumstances and, where necessary, obtain independent professional advice in respect of risks, as well as any legal, regulatory, credit, tax, and accounting consequences. All information used in this document has been obtained from sources believed to reliable as at their date of publication, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranties are given or implied with respect to information contained in this document and no reliance should be placed on the contents of this document.
  • 3. Accel Confidential Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 3 APPENDIX WHAT’S NEXT 2023 EUROSCAPE MARKET UPDATE INTRODUCTION 1
  • 4. 4 4 NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 1999-PRESENT ~14 Years 2000: 14 years for NASDAQ to return to 80% of its peak… Note: Excludes short-term bounceback in H2-2000 Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis INTRODUCTION 4,045 Nov-2013 5,049 Mar-2000
  • 5. 5 5 NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX 1999-PRESENT 18 mo 2021: Only 18 MONTHS to reach the same milestone! Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis INTRODUCTION 16,057 Nov-2021 12,976 May-2023
  • 6. 6 6 Tech Titans up 36% in the past year, adding $2.4T of market cap - NVIDIA joins the $1T+ Club COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$1T Note: Comparison between September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2023. Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis Tech dominating $1T+ market cap club adding $2.4T in LTM INTRODUCTION
  • 7. 7 7 Cloud Giants up ~40% in the last year, adding $1T of market cap Paypal exiting $100B club CLOUD COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$100B +75% Increase 50-75% Increase 20-50% Increase Decrease Note: Comparison between September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2023. Market cap rounded to nearest $5B. Non-USD market capitalisations converted to USD using historic FX. Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis INTRODUCTION
  • 8. 8 8 Cloud is eating software…and MSFT is eating cloud… CLOUD COMPANIES WITH MARKET CAP >$100B Note: Data as of September 30, 2020 and September 30, 2023. Market cap rounded to nearest $5B. Chart not to scale. Source: CapIQ, Accel Analysis $115B $130B $145B $195B $290B $2,345B $230B INTRODUCTION $150B 2023 $110B $125B $135B $180B $185B $235B $230B 2020 $1,590B
  • 9. 9 9 … dominating cloud, security and AI MOST RECENT QUARTER ANNUALISED $88B (+12% y/y) $96B (+15% y/y) $32B (+28% y/y) $20B (+33% y/y) $6.2B (+27% y/y) $2.2B (+54% y/y) $10B equity investment into OpenAI New AI-powered products: ● Github Copilot suggests code in real-time ● Microsoft 365 Copilot leverages LLMs across Office Suite ● Microsoft Security Copilot uncovers, investigates, and responds to threats Azure will power all OpenAI workloads across research, products and API services. Reportedly developing proprietary AI chips to reduce reliance on NVIDIA CY22 REVENUE Cloud Security Generative AI Source: CapIQ, Public Filings, Accel Analysis, Press Reports INTRODUCTION
  • 10. 10 10 Euroscape recovering - up 29% YTD 69 companies 9.0x NTM Revenue GLOBAL EUROSCAPE INDEX +27% +29% Note: Selection of US, Europe and Israeli cloud companies (including previously public companies). Companies that comprise the Accel Euroscape indices are listed in the appendix. Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ INTRODUCTION
  • 11. 11 11 Euroscape multiples reverting to 10-YR pre-Covid average 23.2x Covid Peak 6.1x 10 yr Pre-COVID Average 6.2x Sept-23 NTM REVENUE MULTIPLES - GLOBAL EUROSCAPE Note: Selection of US, Europe and Israeli cloud companies (including previously public companies). Companies that comprise the Accel Euroscape indices are listed in the appendix. Pre-Covid average based on 2022 Euroscape constituents for consistency Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ INTRODUCTION
  • 12. 12 12 Accel loves Cloud and AI globally 20+ IPOs 65+ UNICORNS 370+ COMPANIES $9B+ INVESTED INTRODUCTION
  • 13. Accel Confidential Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 13 INTRODUCTION APPENDIX WHAT’S NEXT 2023 EUROSCAPE MARKET UPDATE 2
  • 14. Market backdrop: rates stabilising as inflation declines Source: OECD, Bank of England, ECB, US Federal Reserve 5.50% 5.25% 4.00% 5.90% 4.30% 3.80% 14 Interest Rates Inflation (CPI) Unemployment Rates MARKET UPDATE 3.70% 5.90% 6.30%
  • 15. 15 15 Narrative shifting from hard to soft landing “I think a hard landing is substantially more likely” SEP - 2022 Larry Summers, Economist & Fmr. US Treasury Secretary SEP - 2022 “Our central case is a hard landing by the end of 2023… I will be stunned if we don’t have a recession in 2023” Stanley Drunkenmiller, Fmr. Chairman & President of Duquesne Capital FEB - 2023 “With consumption and inflation reheating, risks of a hard landing resembling a boom/bust are growing” Lisa Shalett, CIO of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management JUL - 2023 “We’ve seen these repeated predictions that recession is right around the corner — and the data has instead delivered continued resilience in the economy” Lael Brainard, Director of National Economic Council AUG - 2023 “We have been too bearish on the US economy; soft(er) landing probabilities have increased” “Rising hopes for a softer landing”, JP. Morgan Private Bank Report SEP - 2023 “The chance of having a relatively soft landing and navigating through this has gone up very meaningfully over the last 12 months” David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs Source: Press Coverage, JP Morgan Private Banking Report MARKET UPDATE
  • 16. Fastest growing cloud companies moving to profitability as growth slowed down… Notes: Growth rate is NTM. FCF margin is LTM. Consensus NTM Rev Estimates used for Q4-22 to Q2-23. Source: Accel Analysis, CapitalIQ EUROSCAPE FASTEST GROWING COMPANIES Top quartile by Q2-23 NTM growth rate GROWTH RATE - AVERAGE 16 FCF MARGIN - AVERAGE MARKET UPDATE
  • 17. …BUT decline in growth not always balanced enough by profitability, making rule of 40 companies a rare breed Notes: Growth Rate is most recent quarter revenue growth (YoY). FCF margin on LTM basis. y-Axis cut at 100% (with companies growing >100% shown as 100%). 2023 also includes new Rule of 40 companies. Source: Accel Analysis, CapIQ 9.8x EV / NTM Rev N = 16 5.4x EV / NTM Rev N = 21 17 SEP-21 RULE OF 40 COMPANIES - GROWTH VS FCF N = 35 MARKET UPDATE 2021 2023
  • 18. TOP 5 FASTEST GROWING EUROSCAPE COMPANIES AS OF Q2-23 Fastest growing companies continue to be dominated by cyber 18 Source: Accel Analysis, CapIQ MARKET UPDATE
  • 19. IPO Price: $30.00 Sep 29th Price: $34.45 First signs of IPO window reopening… SAAS / CLOUD IPOs 19 Source: Accel Analysis, Capital IQ, Qatalyst MARKET UPDATE
  • 20. …with many companies reaching scale EUROPE / ISRAEL UNITED STATES 20 MARKET UPDATE
  • 21. Strategic M&A regaining momentum after slow 2022 2022 TAKE PRIVATES ($B) 33% Median Share Price Premium vs. Last Unaffected Day* AGGREGATE STRATEGIC M&A VALUE FOR LARGE DEALS LARGEST STRATEGIC M&A BY EV LTM Target EV Acquirer $29.6B $10.5B $4.6B $4.4B $3.6B $2.0B $1.5B $1.3B 21 1) Annualised (excluding Splunk) as of September 30, 2023 Note: Deals with $500M+ enterprise value Source: Accel Analysis, Qatalyst n 5 14 8 10 16 7 8 Average $1.7B $3.1B $2.3B $5.2B $3.9B $4.4B $6.3B MARKET UPDATE
  • 22. Big tech acquisitions declining as regulatory pressure increases AGGREGATE COUNT OF BIG TECH ACQUISITIONS 22 Note: Crunchbase data includes all M&A as of Sept. 30, 2023; 2023 annualised Source: Accel Analysis, Techcrunch, Bloomberg, Crunchbase MARKET UPDATE
  • 23. Cloud take-private activity remaining strong AGGREGATE SPONSOR-LED EV FOR LARGE DEALS 3 LARGEST SPONSOR TAKE PRIVATE DEALS BY EV LTM n 3 10 6 3 9 12 11 Average $2.2B $1.8B $3.7B $5.6B $6.0B $5.1B $3.2B Target EV NTM Revenue Multiple Premium 2 Acquirer(s) $11.7B 7.1x 62% $8.0B 8.4x 77% $6.1B 5.8x 17% $4.6B 6.5x 29% $4.3B 11.4x 44% $2.9B 2.6x 60% $2.4B 7.0x 46% $2.0B 8.4x 53% Overall Average 3 $3.4B 6.7x 51% 23 1) 2023 Annualised as of September 30, 2023 2) Premium indicates unaffected premium based on day prior to transaction announcement or of day prior to rumors of a potential transaction 3) Deals with $500M+ Enterprise Value Source: Accel Analysis, Qatalyst, Pitchbook, CapIQ MARKET UPDATE vs. 39% previous 12M
  • 24. Cloud venture financing normalising to pre-Covid levels Notes: US excluding OpenAI $10B deal (Jan-23), Inflection $1.3B deal (Jun-23) and Anthropic $1.25B deal (Sep-23) Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom, Historical Euroscapes US - TOTAL CAPITAL RAISED IN CLOUD EUROPE / ISRAEL - TOTAL CAPITAL RAISED IN CLOUD ~65% Decrease ~60% Decrease 24 MARKET UPDATE
  • 25. …despite Israel being disproportionately impacted on the late-stage side ISRAEL - NUMBER OF CLOUD ROUNDS OVER $50M ~80% Decrease 1. Annualised Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom ISRAEL - CUMULATIVE VALUE OF ROUNDS OVER $50M 25 ~80% Decrease 1 1 MARKET UPDATE
  • 26. Europe/Israel still above pre-COVID levels in terms of overall share of US venture financing TOTAL EU/IL VENTURE CAPITAL IN SAAS/CLOUD (% OF US SAAS/CLOUD VC) 26 MARKET UPDATE Notes: US excluding OpenAI $10B deal (Jan-23), Inflection $1.3B deal (Jun-23) and Anthropic $1.25B deal (Sep-23) Source: Accel Analysis, Dealroom, Historical Euroscapes
  • 27. Unicorn creation tracing pre-COVID levels — Gen AI major driver of new unicorns NEW CLOUD/SAAS UNICORNS OVER TIME EU/IL US COVID First Lockdown 60%+ of LTM new unicorns are Gen AI native ~45% new LTM unicorns in EU/IL Gen AI vs. ~75% in US Notes: H2 2023 Annualised Source: CB Insights 4 2 27 New Gen AI Unicorns EUROPE / ISRAEL UNITED STATES MARKET UPDATE
  • 28. What about down rounds 🤔 — looking back at the 2022 Euroscape Unicorn health check EUROPE & ISRAEL - UNICORN FUNDING - LTM 122 Yes No 2022 EUROSCAPE - UNICORN PREDICTION Analysis of cash raised and burn rate led Accel forecast; few up rounds with flat rounds being more probable 1) Does not include secondary rounds; includes acquisitions Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase 11 3 28 Only ~5% of EU / IL Unicorns have faced down rounds in the last year - compared to ~10% flat / up rounds MARKET UPDATE
  • 29. What about up rounds 🤔 — Largest non-Gen AI deals at similar scale across US and EU/IL… UNITED STATES - LARGEST PRIVATE NON-GEN AI ROUNDS LTM EUROPE & ISRAEL - LARGEST PRIVATE NON-GEN AI ROUNDS LTM Notes: Excludes convertible notes Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase 29 MARKET UPDATE
  • 30. …while largest Gen AI rounds dominated by US foundational models Source: Pitchbook, Dealroom, Crunchbase UNITED STATES - LARGEST GEN AI PRIVATE ROUNDS LTM EUROPE & ISRAEL - LARGEST GEN AI PRIVATE ROUNDS LTM May-23 Feb-23 30 Total: $0.9B Total: $14.1B Sept-23 MARKET UPDATE
  • 31. Can Europe/Israel catch up in the global AI race? — EU talent producing 50% more AI publications than the US Source: Stanford AI Index Report 2023 / Center for Security and Emerging Technology, 2022 AI JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS (% OF WORLD TOTAL), 2021 AI JOURNAL CITATIONS (% OF WORLD TOTAL), 2021 31 MARKET UPDATE
  • 32. EU/IL AI talent pool deep and highly distributed 32 Source: Accel Analysis MARKET UPDATE
  • 33. 33 33 Foundational Models Infrastructure Applications Promising European & Israeli companies across the Gen AI stack MARKET UPDATE
  • 34. Accel Confidential Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 12 34 INTRODUCTION MARKET UPDATE APPENDIX WHAT’S NEXT 2023 EUROSCAPE 3
  • 35. 2023 Accel Euroscape 35 2,200+ EU & ISRAEL BORN SAAS COMPANIES 25+ COUNTRIES HOW? WHO? ● Market Attractiveness ● Competitive Differentiation ● Product ● Team Strength ● Momentum (ARR, FTEs) ● Customer Feedback 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 36. First - Congratulations to last year’s graduates! New Unicorns Acquired 36 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 37. 37 Accel 2023 Euroscape Top 100 EU & Israel cloud companies valued at less than $1bn E-COMMERCE / MARKETING PRODUCTIVITY / COLLABORATION FINANCE / HR / LEGAL COMPLIANCE BLOCKCHAIN / CRYPTO SALES / SUPPORT DATA / BI / ANALYTICS AUTOMATION PAYMENTS / BANKING INFRA DEVELOPERS / INFRASTRUCTURE SECURITY GENERATIVE AI VERTICAL SAAS 2023 EUROSCAPE Notes: Excludes companies under $1M revenue
  • 38. 2023 Accel Euroscape — At a glance Note: Funding figures as of September 30, 2023 Source: Accel Analysis, CB Insights, Dealroom, Pitchbook 38 ~17,200 EMPLOYEES $7.6B TOTAL FUNDING 23 COUNTRIES $19.5M AVG. SERIES A FUNDING $81.3M AVERAGE FUNDING 24% LTM FTE GROWTH 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 39. Last 6 Months Gen AI standing out in terms of hiring velocity GROWTH BY CATEGORY - GROWTH (%) Last 12 Months Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn 39 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 40. Euroscape winners raised $7.6B; — Gen AI and Vertical SaaS seeing largest increase vs. last year Note: Funding figures as of September 30, 2023 Source: Accel Analysis, CB Insights, Dealroom, Pitchbook FUNDING BY CATEGORY ($M) 40 $7.6B TOTAL RAISED 2022 2023 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 41. Most winners founded 4-5 years ago… YEARS FROM FOUNDING Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn 41 5 YRS MEDIAN 2022 2023 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 42. Winners showing lower employee count and financing than in 2022 NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES CAPITAL RAISED Source: Accel Analysis, LinkedIn, Crunchbase, Dealroom, Pitchbook 42 NUMBER OF COMPANIES BY CATEGORY 2023 2022 2023 EUROSCAPE 2023 2022
  • 43. G2 Score: Winners have deep customer focus Score & Review Growth +35% +134% Notes: Sales / Support category excluded due to low review count Source: Accel Analysis, G2 43 G2 Average Score and Growth Score by Category 2023 EUROSCAPE
  • 44. Accel Confidential Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 44 2023 EUROSCAPE INTRODUCTION MARKET UPDATE APPENDIX WHAT’S NEXT 4
  • 45. 45 45 EMERGENCE OF GEN AI-NATIVE TOOLING & INFRASTRUCTURE What’s Next? NON-HUMAN IDENTITY, DATA & APPLICATIONS AS THE NEXT CYBER SECURITY FRONTIERS ENTERPRISES TRANSITIONING TO THE MODERN DATA STACK EMERGENCE OF SPECIALISED GEN AI APPLICATIONS EVERYONE CAN BE AN ARTIST: GEN AI POWERED MEDIA CREATION BECOMING UBIQUITOUS INTELLIGENT AUTOMATION SUPERCHARGING ENTERPRISES WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 46. Emergence of specialised Gen AI applications Source: Goldman Sachs TOP INDUSTRIES AFFECTED BY AUTOMATION VIA AI 46 Share of Industry Employment Exposed to AI (US) ● Generative AI unlocking new verticalised applications built with smaller & dedicated models and industry specific workflows ● Vertical AI applications leverage large amounts of domain specific data in order to tune and adapt underlying foundational models to better serve specific use-cases. ● Application quality is rapidly evolving due to ever increasing access to data and through reinforcement learning from human feedback ● Key areas for specialisation include legal, healthcare and drug discovery WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 47. Everyone can be an artist — Gen AI powered media creation becoming ubiquitous SAMPLE GEN AI USE-CASES 47 ● Generative AI lowering the bar to create highly realistic content (Video, Images, Speech) using a simple text editor ● Increasing range of use-cases from synthetic video and voice to personalised avatars and computer generated images ● Real time content creation emerging to unlock deep level of personalisation for both creative and business applications use-cases ● Performance of underlying models rapidly evolving as transformer model architecture enables step change in AI WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 48. Emergence of Gen AI-native tooling & infrastructure MARKET SEGMENTATION 48 ● With the explosion of Generative AI applications and use-cases, start-ups and enterprises alike are turning to Gen AI-specific tooling / infrastructure for LLMs ● LLM developers are demanding new tools across the entire stack - from monitoring and observability to model tuning and databases ● Open source becoming an integral part of emerging Generative AI tooling / infrastructure stack Compute & Interference Foundational Models Model Tuning Developer Tools Monitoring & Observability WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 49. Intelligent automation supercharging enterprises 2023 IT LEADERS SURVEY: DO YOU EXPECT YOUR BUDGET FOR INTELLIGENT AUTOMATION TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT YEAR? Source: Trends & Spends Report 2023, Intelligent Automation Network 49 ● AI is expanding the potential of automation to address more complex business problems ● Incumbent leaders like Microsoft, UiPath, ServiceNow, and Celonis are leveraging proprietary AI and 3rd party LLMs to address a broader range of enterprise use-cases (e.g. content creation, text-to-code, document handling, communications mining, and process mining) ● New generation of Gen AI native players building intelligent automation tools that businesses can interact with via natural language WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 50. Source: Ocient, Beyond Big Data: Hyperscale Take Flight, 2023. Statista. Enterprises transitioning to the modern data stack IT LEADERS DATA PRIORITIES - 2023 50 ● A critical mass of enterprises are moving to cloud data infrastructure with ~50% of enterprise workflows now happening in the cloud driving growth in the tooling and infrastructure supporting the transition ● Modern data stack emerging with ‘best-in-breed’ tools in areas such transformation, data warehousing, governance & data quality, and BI tooling ● Data structures increasingly in focus as companies explore new AI use-cases WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 51. Source: Team8 2023, CISO Village Survey Non-Human Identity, Data & Applications as the next cyber security frontiers CISO 2023 SURVEY: BUDGET LINE EXPANSION EXPECTATIONS 51 ● Cloud adoption continues to grow with AWS, Google Cloud and Microsoft Cloud now representing a combined >$200B of run-rate revenue ● Cloud requires a new breed of tools to manage security risks across infrastructure, identity, application and data. While most CISOs now have infrastructure and identity solutions in place, many are yet to focus on applications, development pipeline and data landscape ● We expect enterprises continue to expand application security across the org, and to seek out tools that provide visibility on how their data is stored and whether it is at risk WHAT’S NEXT - GEN AI
  • 52. 32 Euroscape 2023 – Generation AI 12 2023 EUROSCAPE 5 INTRODUCTION MARKET UPDATE WHAT’S NEXT 52 APPENDIX
  • 53. List of companies in Accel Euroscape Index 53