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A Revolution Bouncing Back
By Abbas, Haytham
Seven things to consider before planning a
revolution
1- Make sure your stick is strong enough
2- Train well, be prepared
3- Aim right from the begining
4- Know your strength well before jumping
5- Check the maximum height you can reach first
6- Don’t fail your allies
7- If you bounced back don’t take it further
You can do it right!
Thank You
@AbbasAdel
@HaythamMones

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A revolution bouncing back

Editor's Notes

  1. If you don’t want your revolution to fail, you have to check how strong you are on the ground, and how much backup do you have in the community. People in the revolution thought they were strong because they had few millions following them, but the deep state and the inactive crowd were much powerful. They agreed to go for a quick referendum 2 months only after the revolution on amending the constitution, which was one of their major requests and they failed and their real reach on the ground was revealed to be really low.
  2. There were no candidates ready from the revolutionists to take power or who understand the dynamics of the government very well. The only candidates who were ready were the Muslim Brotherhood at that time
  3. During the revolution, people aimed at changing the regime faces, but ignored the deepstate or handing over power to the revolutionsts in transition and instead agreed that the transition period would be solely governed by the military (which was part of the regime) until an election occurs, which shifted things quite dramatic
  4. In Egypt revolutionsists had an opportunity to involve the civil society, which was the most active and powerful component of the society at that time, but they haven’t assessed such strength and made use of it in negotiating terms for example or gaining grassroot supports unlike in Tunisia, where they managed to change in 2012 the law of NGOs to give them more power and freedom, and they have managed to a great extent the transition period and dialogue in the society.
  5. Before revolting, you have to check how high is your aims (in the beginning they wanted a change in the government cabinet but when a lot of people joined they started to raise the aim by requesting the change of the regime without really knowing what things should be changed in the regime other than the faces) and to have plan B for escalating situations
  6. One big problem is getting divided in a revolution, being on one aim together all the way and not allowing any other personal interests or group interests to get in could make a revolution fail. Especially when you turn on some of your allies and tries to harm them. This happened whether by Muslim Brotherhood on 6th of April movement or between revolutionsists and one another.
  7. If you found expectations are higher than what you were thinking, then don’t go back, in 2013, people felt the need for a change in the government after an almost a year of policy failures by Muslim Brotherhood, but instead of choosing back the old regime and the military (which some of the revolutionists did) we should have accepted the current failures and checked how to move forward or at least remain in the same situation.