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A New Michigan:
The 2013 Report on
Michigan’s Progress in
Six Opportunities
About Business Leaders for Michigan
Business Leaders for Michigan is a private, non-profit executive leadership organization whose mission is
to develop, advocate and support high-impact strategies that will make Michigan a Top Ten state for job,
economic and personal income growth. The organization’s work is defined by the Michigan Turnaround
Plan, a holistic, fact-based strategy developed to get Michigan’s economy back on track.
Serving as the state's business roundtable, Business Leaders for Michigan is composed of the
chairpersons, chief executive officers, or most senior executives of Michigan’s largest companies and
universities. Our members drive over 25% of the state’s economy, provide over 325,000 direct and
820,000 indirect jobs in Michigan, generate over $1 trillion in annual revenue and serve nearly one half
of all Michigan public university students.
Table of Contents
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2
Michigan’s Overall Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3
Base of Entrepreneurism, Innovation, and Manufacturing . . . . . . . . .5
A New Michigan: One Vision, Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
Aggregate Performance on Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9
The Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
1. Global Engineering Village . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13
2. Gateway to the Midwest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17
3. Higher Education Marketplace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21
4. Life Sciences Hub . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25
5. Global Center for Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29
6. Natural Resources Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33
Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37
Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38
Business Leader for Michigan Board of Directors . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
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In 2009, Business Leaders for Michigan (BLM)
released the Michigan Turnaround Plan, a plan
on how to make Michigan a Top Ten state for
job, economic and personal income growth.
The Plan was updated in 2012 to identify the
six most distinctive assets Michigan had which
could be leveraged to accelerate growth.
These assets include the state’s engineering
prowess, geographic location, and world-class
higher education institutions, among others.
The 2013 New Michigan Report is the first in
an annual series in which Michigan’s progress
in leveraging its assets into economic growth
will be tracked. Michigan’s performance on
various metrics will be charted over time, and
compared to the results achieved in other
high-performing states.
This report provides a baseline of Michigan’s
overall performance relative to other states in
the most recent year for which information is
available. In future years, we will build on this
data and show how Michigan’s relative
performance is changing.
All figures in this report, except for those that
show growth projections, show Michigan’s
rank among all 50 states on a particular
metric. First, we present Michigan’s
performance for the economy, overall. Then we
define each of the six opportunities using a set
of relevant industries, and rank Michigan’s
performance only within these industries for
each opportunity.
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Where we stand
Michigan’s Overall Economy
This section provides a snapshot of Michigan’s current
overall economy on key output metrics BLM believes are
most critical to prosperity. In the BLM annual Economic
Competitiveness Benchmarking Report we compare how
Michigan, as a state, performs against other states on
per capita income. For this report, we are comparing
how Michigan performs against other states in certain
industry sectors.As such, we must use average earnings
as per capita income cannot be tracked by industry.
Projected Growth Scenarios
While growth has increased in the past two years,
Michigan’s growth from 2005-2010 ranked at or near
the bottom on each of these metrics. If it remains on
that path, Michigan would decrease GDP and
employment by 23% and 25%, respectively,
representing a $75.5 billion decline in GDP and a loss
of 822,000 jobs from current levels by the year 2020.
However, if Michigan were to grow similar to the 5th-
fastest growing state for each output metric, Michigan
would increase average earnings by 14%, increase
GDP by $109 billion, and create 391,000 more jobs by
the year 2020. The accompanying charts display
Michigan’s projected levels for each output metric
given different growth rate trajectories.
Michigan’s rank in average earnings is higher than its
rank in per capita personal income because average
earnings are the total earnings per worker, rather than
for the population as a whole.
34,140$ 48.03%
5 53,237$ 60.28%
1 46,962$ 57.98%
M 41 42
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age Population
R A N K
Michigan's Economic Outputs Across All Industries
41st 42nd
$42,211
$34,140 48.03%
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
5th
$53,237
10th
$46,962
5th
$50,702
10th
$47,124
5th
60.28%
10th
57.98%
17th
Outputs
Michigan’s performance on key metrics measuring
economic output is, overall, lower than average. It ranks
in the bottom ten states for employment and GDP, but
ranks in the top 20 states for average earnings.
MICHIGAN’SOVERALLECONOMY
Understanding This Report
Outputs:
Output metrics are a measure of each state’s current
economic performance. For each set of industries that
we define as an economic opportunity, we have
measured the levels of per capita real GDP,
employment, and earnings in each state. We report
these values for Michigan, as well as for the fifth- and
tenth-ranked states, while also showing Michigan’s
ranking among all fifty states for each metric.
Inputs:
A strong showing on input metrics for an opportunity
signals that a state has a strong foundation in the
industries that define that opportunity. Input metrics
reflect high demand, a talented workforce, and a
vibrant supply chain, among other characteristics.
Each category and opportunity has its own specific
input metrics. We report Michigan’s levels and
rankings for each of these metrics, as well as those of
the fifth- and tenth-ranked states per opportunity.
Projected Growth Scenarios:
It is important to note that these scenarios rely on
historical data from 2005-2010, the most recent
available. Any growth Michigan has experienced in
the last two years will be reflected in future reports..
We project what each opportunity would contribute to
Michigan’s GDP, employment, and earnings in 2020
under three different scenarios:
1. If Michigan remains on the same trajectory for
growth as it had between 2005 and 2010,
2. If Michigan follows the patterns of growth between
2005 and 2010 for the 5th-ranked state in each
metric,
3. If Michigan follows the patterns of growth between
2005 and 2010 for the 10th-ranked state in each
metric.
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Where we stand
Base of Entrepreneurism, Innovation, and Manufacturing
An underlying need that spans economy-wide also
pertains to each of the opportunities identified in this
report: a strong base of entrepreneurism, innovation,
and manufacturing can help to inspire economic and
job growth in the state. The Michigan economy, as a
whole, will thrive if the state improves its position in
these areas. This will lead to more companies, better
products, better jobs, and faster economic growth.
Inputs
Michigan presents strengths in its performance on
input metrics for entrepreneurism, innovation, and
manufacturing. It ranks in the top half of states for all
inputs, placing in the top ten for number of existing firms
and R&D spending and just outside of the top ten for
GDP from goods-producing industries and number of
new firms in 2010.9,618 141,344 2,031 85$
5 15,631 204,525 3,127 770$
1 9,919 136,400 2,031 485$
M 12 9 10 24
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 GDP of Goods-Producing
Indsutries
2010 New Firms 2010 Existing Firms 2010 R&D Expenditures at
Universities (1000s)
2011 Venture Capital
Investment (millions)
R A N K
Entrepreneurship, Innovation, & Manufacturing Inputs
24th
9,618
$84.8
141,344
Sources: BEA, U.S. Census Bureau, NSF, Pricewaterhouse Coopers. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
11th
$68,651
12th 9th
5th
$92,615
10th
76,917
5th
15,631
10th
9,919
5th
204,525
10th
136,400
5th
$769.8
10th
$485
10th
$2,031
5th
$3,127
10th
$2,031
BASEOFENTREPRENEURISM,INNOVATION,ANDMANUFACTURING
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A New Michigan:
In 2012, Business Leaders for Michigan laid out how
Michigan could leverage its existing assets in six
fundamental areas of strength to accelerate economic
growth. Like the rest of the Michigan Turnaround Plan,
these opportunities were identified through extensive
research and are based on facts. They are the
opportunities we found would have the greatest impact in
a ten year time period to accelerate growth, but they do
not represent an exhaustive list. They merely constitute
what we concluded to be the best possibilities.
We believe Michigan can build on the following:
One Vision, Six Opportunities
1. Grow and brand its industrial, production, and talent capacity to develop a reputation as a Global Engineering Village
2. Capitalize on its strategic location and infrastructure to become a Gateway to the Midwest
3. Develop a Higher Education Marketplace that boosts the state’s talent base and leverages its innovative strengths.
4. Take advantage of Michigan’s natural resources, to grow a Natural Resources Economy
5. Amplify our automotive and manufacturing expertise to become a Global Center of Mobility
6. Develop a Life Sciences Hub based on our robust health, medical, and bio-pharmaceutical capabilities
ENGINEERING
TALENT
Global
Engineering
Village
Brand the
engineering
sector
•
Grow engineering
education
capacity
•
Grow
engineering
firms
Potentialwaystoleveragetheassets:Opportunities:RelatedIndustriesAssets:
GEOGRAPHIC
LOCATION
Gateway
to the
Midwest
Consolidate
logistics base into
Michigan
•
Scale the
Aerotropolis
•
Invest in strategic
trade-related
infrastructure
HIGHER EDUCATION
SYSTEM
Higher
Education
Marketplace
Strengthen quality,
affordability,
productivity &
economic impact
•
Grow university
enrollment
•
Grow industry &
university
funded R&D
•
Grow commerciali-
zation of R&D
HEALTH & MEDICAL
EXPERTISE
Life
Sciences
Hub
Create a
Hub for
bio-pharmaceutical
R&D
•
Become the Center
for research,
testing &
medical labs
•
Grow medical
tourism
AUTOMOTIVE
INDUSTRY
Global Center
for
Mobility
Lead in
sustainable mobility
•
Lead in multi-
modal systems
•
Lead in vehicle/
infrastructure
technology to
improve
road safety
•
Grow the auto
industry
NATURAL
RESOURCES
Natural
Resources
Economy
Grow agricultural
processing and
exports
•
Grow leisure tourism
•
Lead in alternative
energy technologies
Six Assets and Opportunities to Accelerate Michigan’s Job and Economic Growth
newmichigan
Machinery
manufacturing
Electrical equipment,
appliance, and
component
manufacturing
Nonmetallic mineral
product
manufacturing
Primary metal
manufacturing
Motor vehicle, body,
trailer, and parts
manufacturing
Space research and
technology
Research and
development in
engineering
Engineering services
Air transportation
Rail transportation
Water transportation
Truck transportation
Other transportation
and support
activities
Warehousing and
storage
Highway, street, and
bridge construction
Other heavy and civil
engineering
construction
Process, physical
distribution, and
logistics consulting
Pharmaceutical and
medicine
manufacturing
Medical equipment
and supplies
manufacturing
Medical and
diagnostic
laboratories
Research and
development in
biotechnology
Highway, street, and
bridge construction
Primary metal
manufacturing
Motor vehicle, body,
trailer, and parts
manufacturing
Other transportation
equipment
manufacturing
Rail transportation
Other transportation
and support activities
Urban transit systems
Industrial design and
engineering services
Computer and
electronic product
manufacturing
Crop and animal
production
Forestry, fishing, and
related activities
Oil and gas extraction
Mining, and support
activities for mining
Water transportation
Pipeline transportation
Other transportation
and support activities
Waste management
and remediation
services
Amusement and
recreation
Accommodations
Colleges,
universities, and
professional
schools
Technical and trade
schools
Education
rehabilitation
services
Scientific research
and development
services
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Where we stand
Aggregate Performance on Six Opportunities
Michigan has the chance across six specific
opportunities to improve its performance on key job and
economic indicators. While each of these opportunities
is important on its own, in this section, we review
Michigan’s performance across all of the industries
relevant to the six opportunities, in aggregate.
Outputs
The figure below shows Michigan’s economic output
aggregated across the industries representing all six
opportunities in the Michigan Turnaround Plan. In 2010,
Michigan ranked 13th, 28th, and 27th in the nation for
average earnings, per capita GDP, and employment,
respectively, in these industries. 1
4,657$ 10.55%
5 9,658$ 13.48%
1 7,391$ 12.36%
M 28 25
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age Population
R A N K
Outputs Across Six Opportunities
13th
10th
$56,215
5th
$59,676
5th
$9,658
10th
$7,391
10th
12.4%
5th
13.5%
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
28th
27th
$53,788
$4,657
10.6%
AGGREGATEPERFORMANCEONSIXOPPORTUNITIES
Projected Growth Scenarios
If Michigan were to achieve Top Ten growth
performance in all six opportunities by 2020, the
state’s total economic output would be $36 billion
greater per year, average annual earnings would
increase by as much as $22,000, and the state would
add as many as 330,000 new jobs compared to its
current projected path. From current levels, GDP could
be $26 billion greater, average earnings could be
$11,000 higher, and employment could see an
increase of 129,000 jobs.2
We can’t anticipate how well Michigan will seize each
opportunity or how global economic conditions might
change during the next decade, but these projections
identify the economic potential of these opportunities
and their power in dramatically reversing a decade’s
long downward trend into a brighter future in the
decades beyond.
1 There is extensive overlap between industries included in each
opportunity, so adding up each of the opportunities will not equal the
values calculated for the aggregate performance on all six opportunities.
2 Projected growth scenarios for the aggregate numbers are based on
state performances across all opportunities, taking overlap out of the
equation. Since top 5 growth rates are calculated separately for each
opportunity in other sections, the change realized by achieving the top 5
growth rate on aggregate is not equal to the sum of changes realized by
achieving the top 5 growth rate within each opportunity.
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Six Opportunities in Comparison
to Overall Economy
Overall, while Michigan’s average earnings rank 17th, its
economic performance in terms of GDP and employment
is not competitive in comparison to other states. Overall,
Michigan’sper capita GDP ranks 41st, and employment
ranks 42nd when compared to the 49 other states.
Michigan’s rank in average earnings is higher than its
rank in per capita personal income because average
earnings are the total earnings per worker, rather than for
the population as a whole.The following chart
summarizes Michigan’s performance in the overall
economy, as well as for each of the six opportunities
identified in the Michigan Turnaround Plan. Note
Michigan’s high performance in three areas: Global
Engineering Village, Global Center for Mobility and Higher
Education Marketplace. In the Global Engineering Village
opportunity, Michigan’s average rank across the three
metrics is 7th. In the Global Center for Mobility and
Higher Education Marketplace opportunities, Michigan’s
average rank is14th and 20th, respectively.This is
followed by Life Sciences Hub at 23rd, Gateway to the
Midwest at 31st, and finally Natural Resources Economy
with an average ranking of 33rd.
AGGREGATEPERFORMANCEONSIXOPPORTUNITIES
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The Six Opportunities
1. Global Engineering Village
Engineering services are predicted to experience
significant growth in the upcoming years. The market is
exhibiting increasing demand for high-tech
manufacturing industries such as automotive,
aerospace, medical devices, and precision instruments.
The automotive industry’s adoption of cutting-edge
technology and embracing start-ups could help
Michigan capitalize on this opportunity.65,564$ 2,436$ 4.22%
80,368$ 1,680$ 4.02%
73,563$ 1,376$ 3.37%
14 3 3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K
Global Engineering Village Outputs
14th
3rd 3rd
$65,564
$2,436 4.22%
5th
$80,368
10th
$73,563
5th
$1,680
10th
$1,376
5th
4.02%
10th
3.37%
Where we stand
Outputs
Overall, Michigan ranks highly on output metrics for
industries in the Global Engineering Village opportunity. It
ranks in the top three nationwide for GDP and
employment, and is 14th for average earnings.
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Global Engineering Village opportunity include: Machinery manufacturing; Electrical equipment, appliance, and
component manufacturing; Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing; Primary metal manufacturing; Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and
parts manufacturing; Space research and technology; Research and development in engineering; and, Engineering services.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan ranks well above average in each of the input
metrics for this opportunity.The state ranks in the top
five states for number of engineering firms, engineering
patents awarded, and engineers per capita.
How to leverage our engineering talent
Michigan can become a global engineering village by
branding the engineering sector, growing engineering
education capacity, and growing engineering firms.
1,737 1,903$ 877 65,564$ 2$
5 1,570 3,026$ 712 80,368$ 1$
1 930 1,903$ 605 73,563$ 1$
M 5 4 10 1 14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Engineering Grads/
100,000
2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded 2010 Engineering R&D
(in millions)
2011 Engineers/100,000
R A N K
Global Engineering Village Inputs
10th
129
5th
145
5th
1,570
10th
930
10th
605
5th
712
1st
877
5th
7,291
5th
7,291
10th
4,720
5th
$3,026
10th
$1,903
Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office, National Science Foundation. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
16th
112
1,737
4th
$1,903
10th
Burea
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Projected Growth Scenarios
Despite Michigan’s high performance on input and
output metrics, these industries shrank considerably
between 2005 and 2010 due to the economic
recession and downturn in manufacturing-related
industries that utilize engineering services. If Michigan
follows its current trajectory in Global Engineering
Village industries, by 2020 its GDP and employment in
these industries will decrease from current levels by
65% and 52%, respectively, and average earnings will
decrease by 13% from current levels, in real terms. It’s
important to note that other states are working to be
competitive in this arena. If Michigan follows the
trajectory for the 5th-ranked state, however, it has the
potential to increase earnings and employment by 23%
and 14%, respectively. GDP is projected to decrease by
11% from its current level, even if it experiences Top
Ten growth, as only four states experienced an
increase in real GDP between 2005 and 2010 for
industries associated with this opportunity.
Industry Insights
The National Science Foundation estimates that 80%
of the jobs created in the next decade will require some
form of math and science skills. Recognizing this, the
Engineering Society of Detroit (ESD) is engaged in a
number of school-based activities designed to
encourage more student interest in science,
technology, engineering and math (STEM) fields.
• To encourage minority and female student
participation in STEM courses, the ESD developed
two school-based programs that will serve nearly
2000 students over a three-year period:
- Future City Competition – a cross-curricular
educational program where middle school
students imagine, design, and build cities of the
future over a four-month period.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
- Engineering SMArT Detroit– a 15-week learning
module where students learn about energy
(including alternative energies and the energy
grid) and apply their knowledge to an engineering
design project led by trained professional
engineers.
• To explain the impact of science and engineering on
our day-to-day lives, the ESD underwrites
SciEngiMatheploration, cable television program
with real-life experiments, interviews, and anecdotes
that is available as classroom tool for all Michigan
middle schools.
• To augment learning in the classroom, the ESD has
developed a Speakers Bureau of 110 technical
professionals that visit schools/universities to speak
about the various opportunities that exist within the
engineering and technical professions. The intent is
to grow the bureau to 250 speakers.
• To promote engineering as a career, ESD publishes
a list of Children’s K–12 STEM Summer Camps
available in Michigan each April.
• To drive innovation through facilitation and
cooperation, ESD’s Institute is convening diverse
stakeholders of public policy issues to discuss how
STEM-related career paths for our youth can be
optimized for their quality of life and Michigan’s
economic benefit.
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2. Gateway to the Midwest
The movement of goods and people is crucial to economic
growth and success, and shipments are expected to
grow significantly in the future. Michigan’s unique
geographic location enables it to be accessible by road,
rail, sea or air. Michigan can leverage this advantage by
advancing as an integrated, multi-modal hub for trade.
Specifically, Michigan has the capacity to encourage the
development of aviation-dependent businesses, and take
advantage of international border crossings.These
actions could contribute to building a logistics
infrastructure crucial for facilitating trade in the Midwest.
Where we stand
Outputs
Overall, Michigan ranks lower than average on output
metrics for industries in the Gateway to the Midwest
opportunity. It ranks in the bottom ten nationwide for
GDP and employment, but its earnings levels are higher,
ranking 12th in the U.S.
23,374 46,799$ 8,964$ 32,918$ 46,057$ 749$ 1.44%
17,194 16,213$ 5,724$ 7,174$ 50,163$ 1,721$ 2.65%
8,298 10,886$ 2,638$ 4,788$ 46,829$ 1,392$ 2.31%
1 1 3 3 12 40 41
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age Population
R A N K
Gateway to the Midwest Outputs
12th
40th
41st
$46,057
$749 1.44%
5th
$50,163
10th
$46,829
5th
$1,721
10th
$1,392
5th
2.65%
10th
2.31%
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity include:
Air transportation; Rail transportation; Water transportation; Truck
transportation; Other transportation and support activities;
Warehousing and storage; Highway, street, and bridge construction;
Other heavy and civil engineering construction; and Process, physical
distribution, and logistics consulting.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan ranks well above average in its performance
for each input metric for the Gateway to the Midwest
opportunity. It ranks in the top three states for trans-
border trade with Canada and Mexico, and also in the
top ten for number of logistics firms. 5,783 525$ 579 244 326 23,374$ 46,799$
5 14,815 1,150$ 1,190 1,655 1,794 17,194$ 16,213$
1 6,604 782$ 875 738 845 8,298$ 10,886$
M 10 15 14 16 21 16 1 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Graduates per 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 09-10 Transportation Expenses by State
and Local Governments (millions)
2010 Carloads of Freight by Rail
(origination, in 1000s)
2010 Carloads of Freight by Rail
(termination, in 1000s)
R A N K
Gateway to the Midwest Inputs
14th
525
16th
Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau, Association of American Railroads. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
16
5th
35
10th
27
10th
5,662
15th
$5,783
16th
579
5th
9,590
10th
5,662
10th
$6,604
5th
$14,815
10th
782
5th
1,150
10th
875
5th
1,190
Bureau
5,783 525$ 579 244 326 23,374$ 46,799$ $
5 14,815 1,150$ 1,190 1,655 1,794 17,194$ 16,213$ $
1 6,604 782$ 875 738 845 8,298$ 10,886$ $
M 10 15 14 16 21 16 1 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Cargo Weight Enplaned at
Airports
(lbs, millions)
2011 Cargo Weight Landed at
Airports
(lbs, millions)
2011 Exports to Canada
(millions)
2011 Imports from Canada
(millions)
2011 Exports to Mexico
(millions)
2011 Imports from Mexico
(millions)
R A N K
Gateway to the Midwest Inputs, Cont.
3rd
244
$32,918$23,374
Sources: Bureau of Transprotation Statistics. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
21st
1st
$46,799 $8,96416th
326
1st
3rd
10th
738
5th
1,655
10th
845
5th
1,794
5th
$17,194
10th
$8,298
10th
$10,886
5th
$16,213
10th
$2,638
5th
$5,724
10th
$4,788
5th
$7,174
Bureau of
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How to leverage our geographic location
Michigan has an opportunity to better leverage its above
average performance on input metrics related to this
asset to achieve greater outputs. This can be done by
consolidating a logistics base into Michigan, scaling the
Aerotropolis, and investing in strategic trade-related
infrastructure such as roads, bridges, tunnels, and rail.
Building such a logistics infrastructure requires a broad,
unified commitment from state and local administrations
and permitting authorities, as well as the private sector.
Projected Growth Scenarios
Michigan input levels for this opportunity rank fairly high
across the board. However, its performance in these
industries declined between 2005 and 2010 in GDP,
employment, and earnings due to the economic
recession and downturn in manufacturing output. On its
current course, Michigan will see a decrease in average
earnings and employment in these industries of 14%
and 8%, respectively, by 2020. GDP is projected to
decline by 30% in that period. However, if Michigan can
mimic the growth rates of the 10th-ranked states in
each output, by 2020, earnings and employment will
increase from current levels by 12% and 9%,
respectively, and Michigan could limit its GDP decrease
to 9%. Even if Michigan were able to grow at the rate for
a 5th-ranked state, GDP would still decrease by 4% by
2020.This is because almost all states have recently
experienced a decline in GDP in the industries that make
up this opportunity: between 2005 and 2010, only two
states (Louisiana and North Dakota) saw an increase in
GDP for these industries.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Industry Insights
We have made a great deal of progress toward growing
Michigan as a Gateway to the Midwest:
• An agreement was forged between Michigan and
Canada on the construction of the New International
Trade Crossing (NITC).
• The federal government agreed to allow Michigan to
leverage Canada’s $550 million investment for
Michigan infrastructure related to NITC as match for
$2 billion of federal transportation dollars that can be
used for projects throughout Michigan.
• To date, over $36 million of rail infrastructure
improvements have been made in SE Michigan to
support more efficient intermodal connections. More
improvements are already planned for upcoming
years.
• The Michigan Department of Transportation’s
acquisition of the Norfolk-Southern (NS) railroad line
between Dearborn and Kalamazoo will allow for the
development of accelerated rail between Detroit and
Chicago, increase the viability of passenger rail, and
boost the efficiency of freight rail.
• Construction of new intermodal passenger facilities in
Dearborn and Troy is underway.
• BLM worked with the Michigan Economic
Development Corporation and other key
stakeholders to develop a statewide Logistics and
Supply Chain strategy that will create a foundation
for leveraging our assets and providing opportunities
for Michigan businesses.
• There is increased dialogue between Michigan and
Canada on issues that impact the movement of goods
across our borders.This includes bi-national events
related to border crossings in Detroit, Port Huron, and
Sault Ste. Marie.
• Five Next Michigan Development Corporations have
been created across the state to drive economic
activity around key infrastructure assets.
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3. Higher Education Marketplace
Increasingly, economic growth is being driven by gains in
productivity; in turn, gains in productivity are driven by
talent and talent-generated innovation.As a primary
source of both talent and innovation, our higher
education system represents a major opportunity to grow
Michigan’s economy.
Where we stand
Outputs
Overall, the state’s economic performance in higher
education industries vary by metric, with Michigan
ranking very high in average earnings and close to
average for GDP and Employment.
181 55,192$ 238$ 2.70%
333 57,438$ 771$ 3.70%
267 54,144$ 432$ 3.47%
32 8 33 20
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age Population
R A N K
Outputs for Higher Education Marketplace
8th
33rd
20th
$55,192
$238
2.7%
5th
$57,438
10th
$54,144
5th
$771
10th
$432
5th
3.7%
10th
3.5%
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity include: Colleges, universities, and professional schools; technical
and trade schools; education rehabilitation services; and scientific research and development services.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan is ranked in the top ten states for total degrees
awarded, total enrollment, and science, technology,
engineering and math (STEM) degrees awarded.
However, it ranks lower than average in terms of out-of-
state enrollment and state appropriations to public
universities.
11,430 504,870 9.37% 181 55,192$ $
5 11,564 613,660 39.90% 333 57,438$ $
1 8,485 406,800 28.76% 267 54,144$ $
M 6 8 45 32 8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011
Degrees Awarded
2011
STEM Degrees Awarded
2011
Total Enrollment
(FTE Equivalent)
2011
Out-of-State Enrollment
2009-2010
Per Capita State Appropriations
to Public UniversitiesR A N K
Inputs for Higher Education Marketplace
8th
32nd
10th
113,775
5th
178,134
5th
613,660
10th
406,800
10th
$267
5th
$333
127,527 504,870
$181
6th
11,430
5th
11,564
10th
8,485
8th
45th
9.4%
5th
39.9%
10th
28.8%
Sources: National Center for Education Statistics. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
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How to leverage our higher education assets
Michigan’s opportunities as a higher education
marketplace can be facilitated by growing community
college and university enrollment, growing industry-
funded and university-funded research and
development, and growing the commercialization of
research and development.To accomplish this, Michigan
should set a concrete goal of being among the top ten
states for higher education, as measured in quality,
affordability, productivity and economic impact.A
performance-based funding approach for state support
would encourage our colleges and universities to strive
to be best in class without undermining the strength of
these institutions. Similarly, colleges and universities
should increase in- and out-of-state enrollments and
accelerate support for and spin-off of business creation
opportunities.
Projected Growth Scenarios
On its current trajectory, by 2020 Michigan will see an
increase in employment of 14% in higher education.
Earnings and GDP in higher education, however, would
decrease by 17% and 11%, respectively. If the state
attained the growth rate of the 10th-fastest growing
state in this industry, Michigan would increase higher
education earnings, real GDP, and employment by 20%,
9%, and 35%, respectively.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Industry Insights
• Michigan ranks near the bottom of the 50 states in
per resident support for higher education. Over the
last decade, the state dropped its financial support for
higher education by 50 percent when inflation is
taken into account, causing tuition to nearly double
and student debt to escalate.
• In 2012, the state began to reverse the decade of
disinvestment in our colleges and universities and
marginally increased funding based on performance
metrics.
• Michigan enrollment of out-of-state students increased
from 14 to 15% of total enrollments last year.
• Michigan ranks 9th in the nation in number of
international students enrolled in state universities;
the University of Michigan and Michigan State
University are in the top 10 nationally of international
student enrollment.
• While still in high school, students now can access
postsecondary experiences and non-credit programs
that lead to industry recognized skills or credentials
through dual enrollment programs.
• All 15 universities, and all 28 community colleges
now participate in Statewide Reverse Transfer
agreement.
• Community colleges play an increasingly important
role in workforce development through custom
training programs like the Michigan New Jobs
Training Program – which has now trained nearly
10,000 new workers.
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4. Life Sciences Hub
Demand for higher quality of life is projected to grow
among developing and developed nations alike.
Seeking solutions in life sciences is causing healthcare
expenditures to outpace GDP in the developed world.
Michigan already has a high amount of bio-science
degrees awarded, as well as high-end medical research
facilities. Developing bio-pharmaceutical products, the
bio-science arena, and market research and testing can
help to promote the development of Michigan as a Life
Sciences Hub.
Where we stand
Outputs
Overall, the state’s performance on output metrics in
life sciences is about average, with Michigan ranking
28th for GDP and employment, and 18th for average
earnings.
235 61,124$ 286$ 0.32%
648 85,823$ 958$ 0.72%
436 72,108$ 662$ 0.55%
19 18 28 28
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K
Life Sciences Hub Outputs
28th 28th$61,124
$286 0.32%
10th
$72,108
5th
$958
10th
$662
5th
0.72%
10th
0.55%18th
5th
$85,823
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Life Sciences Hub opportunity include:
Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing, Medical equipment
and supplies manufacturing, Medical and diagnostic laboratories,
Hospitals and nursing and residential care, and Research and
development in biotechnology.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan ranks in the top half of states for each input
metric that we look at for life sciences industries, and is
in the top ten states for number of firms as well as R&D
spent at universities in related disciplines.
1,122 28$ 1,775 235 61,$
5 1,859 231$ 2,838 648 85,$
1 1,122 152$ 2,152 436 72,$
M 9 10 24 11 19
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Life sciences grads per
100,000
2010 Number of Firms 2010 Life sciences R&D
Spending at Universities
(1000s)
2011 Venture capital
investment in life sciences
firms (millions)
Open clinical trials
(as of Dec 4, 2012)
2011 Patents Awarded
R A N K
Life Sciences Hub Inputs
11th
$1,122 1,775
9th
3,167
$28
Sources: National Science Foundation, National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, Pricewaterhouse Coopers, National Instutite of Health, U.S. Patent & Trade Office
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
19th
218
10th
24th
235
19th
5th
278
10th
258
10th
2,817
5th
4,156
10th
$1,122
5th
$1,859
10th
152
5th
231
10th
2,152
5th
2,838
10th
436
5th
648
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How to leverage our health and
medical expertise
Michigan can leverage its health and medical expertise
and establish itself as a life sciences hub by creating a
center for bio-pharmaceutical R&D, attracting new
research, testing, and medical labs, and growing
medical tourism.
Projected Growth
Michigan is on track to increase GDP in life sciences hub
industries by 34% by 2020. It also is on track to
decrease average earnings and employment by 0.2%,
5%, respectively, by 2020 in these industries. However, if
Michigan’s growth rates were equal to those of the 10th-
ranked state in growth in each metric, it would increase
the same measures by 141%, 21% and 32%,
respectively, by 2020.This would translate into an
additional $13,000 in average earnings in these
industries, $40 billion in output, and 7,000 additional
jobs from current levels.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Industry Insights
• Employment grew in Michigan’s agricultural
feedstock/chemicals (13%) and medical devices
sectors (8.1%) during the period of 2007-2010
despite declines at the national level.
• Michigan was recognized in 2012 as both a “Sizeable
State” and “Concentrated State” in terms of medical
device sector employment – a rise in placement that
puts it right behind traditional device-leading states.
• Michigan saw a 20% growth in the
Research/Testing/Medical Laboratories sector during
2007-2010, largely attributable to an increase in new
entrepreneurial ventures.
• A “We Work for Health” report revealed 4,928
vendor relationships and total expenditures of
$1,087,533, 451 paid by 17 global
biopharmaceutical companies to vendors in
Michigan during 2011–demonstrating the state’s
significant bioscience industry economic footprint.
• Michigan ranks 9th nationally in number of clinical
trials conducted (7,607) through 2012, and of them,
4,179 clinical trials were sponsored by
biopharmaceutical companies.
• Michigan ranked 10th nationally ($1,028,561) in
bioscience research funding received in 2011.
• The University of Michigan launched the Center for
Discovery of New Medicines that will help accelerate
the development of early stage research discoveries
to the marketplace through interdisciplinary efforts
and industry collaboration.
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5. Global Center for Mobility
By 2020, the global automotive industry is projected
to expand by 31 percent. Almost a quarter of units
produced are expected to be hybrid vehicles. By
2050, the internal combustion engine and the hybrid
alike are expected to be eclipsed by electric cars
powered exclusively by fuel cells and batteries.
Michigan, long the center for automotive innovation,
has a unique opportunity to continue to expand with
changing technologies. The state must focus on
transforming its existing automotive cluster to a
robust technological and production base capable of
meeting the demands of global mobility. To advance
Where we stand
Outputs
Overall, the state’s performance in industries related to
the Global Center for Mobility opportunity is above
average, with Michigan ranking in the top ten for
employment in Global Center for Mobility industries.
as a Global Center of Mobility, Michigan can increase
its focus on sustainable transportation that is multi-
modal and develop cutting-edge research and
technology for vehicles.
4.69% 68,319$ 2,100$ 3.86%
4.33% 84,685$ 3,378$ 3.87%
3.38% 76,278$ 2,651$ 3.29%
4 18 19 6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age Population
R A N K
Global Center for Mobility Outputs
19th
6th
$68,319 $2,100
3.86%
5th
$84,685
10th
$76,278
5th
$3,378
10th
$2,651
5th
3.87%
10th
3.29%
18th
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Global Center for Mobility opportunity include:
Highway, street, and bridge construction; Primary metal manufacturing;
Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and parts manufacturing; Other transportation
equipment manufacturing; Rail transportation; Other transportation and
support activities; Urban transit systems; Industrial design and
engineering services; and Computer and electronic product manufacturing.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan has high performance on input metrics for the
Global Center for Mobility opportunity.The state is ranked
in the top ten for number of auto-ready grads, patents
awarded, and share of national GDP, earnings, and
employment in mobility industries. It is also ranked 12th
in number of firms in Global Center for Mobility industries.
1,344 3.13% 4.40% 4.69% 68,319$ $
5 484 3.57% 4.40% 4.33% 84,685$ $
1 369 3.00% 3.64% 3.38% 76,278$ $
M 12 2 8 5 4 18
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Auto-ready Grads 2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded Share of National GDP Share of National
Earnings
Share of National
EmploymentR A N K
Global Center for Mobility Inputs
5th
1,344
4.40%
12th
7,530
3.13%
Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office, Bureau of Economic. AnalysisAnalysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
10th
6,502
2nd
8th
4.69%
4th5th
7,621
10th
6,502
5th
11,749
10th
7,917
5th
484
10th
369
5th
3.57%
10th
3.00%
5th
4.43%
10th
3.66%
5th
4.33%
10th
3.38%
Bureau o
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How to leverage our automotive industry
Michigan is the number one state for vehicle research
and development, the number one state for vehicle
production and home to 47 of the top 50 automotive
suppliers.Whatever technologies emerge to power the
cars of the future, Michigan is uniquely positioned to
design and build the future of transportation with our
unmatched network of suppliers, talent, and R&D
capabilities. It is here, in our labs and factories, that we
should strive to develop the next-generation of electric
powertrains, battery cells and cathode materials, and it is
here that we can design, test and manufacture electric
motors and work to improve the efficiency of
conventional power trains.The state can leverage its
automotive and mobility industry prominence to lead in
sustainable mobility, multi-modal systems, vehicle and
infrastructure technology to improve road safety, and
auto industry growth.
Projected Growth
Despite its current high performance in the auto industry,
the state’s prominence shrank over most the past decade
due in part to the downturn in the industry during the
recession. If the state maintains the growth trajectory in
mobility industries it has established from 2005-2010,
Michigan’s GDP and employment in these industries would
decrease by 68% and 51%, respectively, and its average
earnings in these industries would decrease by 13% by the
year 2020. However, by building on its inherent strengths in
this area, Michigan has a significant opportunity to turn this
trend around. In fact, there are signs that Michigan’s
automotive industry is leading the state’s recovery. If this
continues and Michigan were to achieve the growth rate
of the 10th-fastest growing state for each metric,
Michigan’s GDP, employment, and earnings in these
industries would increase from their current levels by
78%, 23%, and 23%, respectively, by 2020.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Industry Insights
• In 2012, Michigan added 12,400 jobs in automotive
manufacturing (more than any other state by far).This
change allowed us to maintain our position as the
largest automotive state in auto manufacturing
employment by two to one over our nearest
competitor (Ohio).
• Michigan’s second fastest growing area of
employment was in the professional, scientific, and
technical services industry. During 2012, 8,400 new
jobs were created, primarily in the auto-related R&D
and product development sectors.
• Michigan is the leader in automotive R&D spending,
at over $11 billion, ranking 2nd in private sector
R&D spending overall amongst the 50 states
(behind California).
• For the first time in 10 years, Michigan will produce
more vehicles than Canada.
• The University of Michigan is conducting a federal
safety pilot study for connected vehicles,
demonstrating cutting-edge wireless communication
technologies.
50,565 1,037$ 2.97%
57,250 6,726$ 6.63%
55,260 3,794$ 4.67%
16 46 37
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010
Average Earnings
2010 Per Capita GDP 2010
Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K
Natural Resources Economy Outputs
46th
37th
$50,464
$1,037
2.97%
5th
$57,250
10th
$55,260
10th
$3,794
10th
4.67%16th
5th
$6,726
5th
6.63%
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6. Natural Resources Economy
Today, the demand for natural resources is more
pressing than ever. The provision of these commodities,
as well as the development of technologies that
maximize the productivity of scarce resources, will be
crucial for succeeding in natural resources markets.
Michigan has competitive advantages in agricultural
innovation and can leverage its natural beauty to
increase its tourism industry. Supporting policies and
regulations that grow agricultural industries and
tourism can help Michigan to leverage its assets to
claim the opportunity.
Where we stand
Outputs
The state’s performance in the natural resources
economy varies by output metric, ranking in the lower
half of states for employment and GDP, but in the top half
for average earnings.
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau
Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
Note: Industries in the Natural Resources Economy opportunity include:
Crop and animal production; Forestry, fishing, and related activities; Oil
and gas extraction; Mining, and support activities for mining; Water
transportation; Pipeline transportation; Other transportation and support
activities; Waste management and remediation services; Amusement and
recreation; and Accommodations.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Inputs
Michigan has high performance on most input metrics
related to the natural resources economy.The state
ranks in the top ten for number of firms in natural
resources industries and spending on tourism. Its
performance on graduates in natural-resources-related
fields, however, is lower than most states. 89 14,148$ 50,565$ 1,037$
169 25,134$ 57,250$ 6,726$
105 16,824$ 55,260$ 3,794$
9 13 8 16 46
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2011 Graduates per 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded 2009 Total Spending on
Tourism (in 1000s)R A N K
Natural Resources Economy Inputs
8th
10,380 $14,148
89
Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
39th
30
9th 13th
5th
80
10th
66
5th
13,455
10th
10,214
5th
169
10th
105
5th
$25,134
10th
$16,824
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How to leverage our natural resources
Agricultural processing and exports can be increased by
supporting policies and regulations designed to grow the
industry, increasing agricultural engineering solutions,
expanding the export transportation infrastructure, and
helping expand overseas markets.To grow Michigan’s
tourism opportunities, we need to market our easy
access to major population centers, relatively low costs,
and the intrinsic and varied attractiveness of our natural
amenities.We must also strategically develop travel and
hospitality infrastructures.
With our plentiful supply of fresh water, we can work
now to attract water-intensive industries to the state,
ensuring that they adopt safe, sustainable practices to
protect our water resources. Finally, we should also
pursue the prudent utilization of natural shale, wind and
precious minerals resources.
Projected Growth
According to the current trajectory, by 2020 Michigan’s
earnings and employment would decrease by 28% and
14%, respectively, and its GDP would increase by 19%
in industries related to the natural resources economy. If
Michigan were to achieve the growth rate of the 10th-
fastest growing state, Michigan’s earnings, GDP, and
employment would increase from their current levels by
25%, 21%, and 20%, respectively, in natural resources
industries.This growth would add $12,700 to average
earnings in these industries, $2.8 billion to annual GDP,
and an additional 40,000 employees to current levels.
THESIXOPPORTUNITIES
Industry Insights
• In 2012, the agriculture and food industry contributed
$91.4 billion to our state’s economy — a nearly 50
percent growth in the past eight years.
• Improving market access is a continual challenge for
our farmers. Michigan is ranked 13th worst nationally
in the overall condition of our bridges.This is not
conducive to efficient business when 37.1 million
tons of agricultural commodities are shipped using
our roads and bridges, and 90 percent of farm
commodities are shipped by truck.
• A large, qualified work force is needed to sustain the
agriculture industry. In the past decade student
enrollment in agriculture, food and natural resource
courses has declined 20 percent.
• Parks and trail systems are being seen by more
communities as assets to be enhanced, publicized,
connected to local economic development plans, and
leveraged to drive people into utilizing local
businesses.
• Michigan’s tourism market brought in an estimated
$17.7 billion in visitor spending and provided
200,000 jobs for Michiganders in 2011.
• A substantial national investment has been made in
the hunting and fishing community, with Cabela’s
opening a Saginaw store and planning another in
Grand Rapids. Bass Pro Shop is also engaged in
expansion efforts in Mt. Pleasant. Field & Stream has
named Michigan as the number one place for fly-
fishing in the U.S.
• Timber has risen in the public eye as a strong
economic driver in the state.The Governor has
proposed the creation of a timber conference for early
spring to help raise awareness.
• The widespread recognition of the Pure Michigan
brand has been responsible for building and
enhancing the state’s image, and has played a pivotal
role in driving up hotel occupancies and creating
overall tourism growth in the state. Regionally, the
transformation of Cobo Center and the resurgence of
economic development in downtown Detroit have
poised the city to become a more competitive
destination for tourism and convention business.
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Conclusion
No one is going to hand us what it takes to take
advantage of these opportunities to accelerate economic
growth; we have to earn it.We have to recognize that we
compete in a global marketplace and embrace
leadership, policies, and attitudes that promote growth.
We have to focus our limited resources on building the
infrastructure and assets that will contribute most to our
economic future.We have to forge a sense of common
purpose among government, the private sector, and the
institutions and organizations that bolster our economic
life.And we have to remain vigilant so we recognize
changing economic conditions and seize new
opportunities as they arise.
The all-important point is that new levels of growth are
eminently achievable for Michigan, but we can increase
the odds and accelerate the pace of achievement if we
take advantage of these unique opportunities.
Appendix
Methodology
Research for the 2013 New Michigan Report
conducted by Anderson Economic Group, a research
and consulting firm with expertise in economics, public
policy, finance, and industry analysis.
The data presented in this report is from several
sources, all of which are publicly available. The report
used the most recent data available for which there
was a complete data set. Earnings data is presented in
2010 dollars, including future projections. Dollar
amounts for all input metrics are in nominal amounts
for the corresponding year. Real GDP figures are
presented in chained 2005 dollars. (This is the
conventional way to present real GDP data, as used by
the Bureau of Economic Analysis.)
Identification of opportunity components
In order to estimate Michigan’s performance for each
of the six opportunities, a set of 4- and 6-digit NAICS
industries associated with each opportunity were
determined. 2010 U.S. Census Bureau County
Business Patterns (CBP) data was used associated with
these codes for employment and earnings estimates.
Furthermore, BEA industries associated with each
opportunity were used to estimate measures of
economic output (GDP).
Estimation methods
Input metrics
Each opportunity has an identified set of input metrics
which contribute to job and economic growth in
Michigan. Each metric uses the most recent data
available from the data sources. Select metrics were
used to measure inputs in each opportunity. These
include the following:
• Patents Awarded: A set of patent codes were
identified that were associated with each opportunity
to aggregate the total patents for that opportunity
from 2011 data.
• Number of Firms: The number of firms were
calculated based on the NAICS codes identified
during the classification process. These correspond
to “number of establishments” in CBP.
• Graduates: For each opportunity, a cluster of
degrees and certificates were identified that are
relevant to the opportunity at hand. Using the
Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System
(IPEDS) provided by the National Center for
Education Statistics (NCES), completions were
calculated, by state, in the 2010-2011 school year
for those categories. The data include degrees and
certificates conferred at public and non-profit
institutions, and do not include values from for-profit
institutions.
CONCLUSION
BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN
I2013
ITHENEWMICHIGAN
PAGES
39 I 40
Output metrics
For each opportunity, economic output is calculated in
terms of GDP, employment, and earnings.Real GDP
values, presented in 2005 chained dollars, are
aggregated across each category for each
opportunity’s total value from the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA). Employment presented is the number of
employees on the payroll at the time of data collection
(March), and is an aggregation of the data for each
NAICS industry in each category. Employment is shown
as a share of the working-age population, which is the
population of people in the state between the ages of
20 and 64, according to U.S. Census Bureau data.
Average earnings is calculated by aggregating the total
earnings associated with each NAICS category, and
dividing it by the total aggregate employment. For
employment and earnings in the “Higher Education”
opportunity, also includes numbers for public
universities from the National Center for Education
Statistics (NCES) Integrated Postsecondary Education
Data System (IPEDS) because CBP data includes only
private universities and colleges.
Note that, if Michigan’s rank in an opportunity is lower
than the rank for the overall economy, that does not
imply that the absolute value of the relevant metric is
lower for that opportunity than for the overall economy.
For example, Michigan ranks 18th in average earnings
in the Life Sciences Hub opportunity, but ranks 17th in
average earnings when considering the economy as a
whole, despite the fact that Michigan’s average
earnings in Life Sciences Hub industries are $61,000
compared to average earnings economy-wide of
$42,000. The rank for Michigan is lower in the Life
Sciences Hub opportunity because the industries that
characterize this opportunity tend to be higher-paying
industries in all states, and Michigan’s average
earnings within these industries are just a bit lower,
relative to other states, than the average earnings in
Michigan’s overall economy.
GDP
For each opportunity, a set of industries were chosen
that aligned with BEA GDP categories for each
opportunity. These correspond to the “Related
Industries” displayed in the report. For most of the
industries, the entire amount of the Real GDP was used
within that category in the BEA data. For the Life
Sciences Hub opportunity, however, only the following
BEA categories were used: “Miscellaneous
manufacturing;” “Professional, scientific, and technical
services;” “Ambulatory health care services;” and
“Chemical manufacturing.” In order to determine which
proportion should be used for each of these industries,
we used the ratio of more detailed NAICS codes total
earnings to the total earnings of the NAICS industry
that corresponds to the broader GDP categories. That
ratio was then applied to GDP data. For example, to
determine the amount of real GDP attributable to
medical equipment manufacturing, the real GDP in the
“Miscellaneous manufacturing” category, according to
the BEA, was multiplied by the ratio of medical
equipment manufacturing earnings (NAICS 3391) to
miscellaneous manufacturing earnings (NAICS 339),
according to County Business Patterns data.
Employment and Earnings
Due to the nature of CBP data, some information for
certain industries is withheld. For these data, a specific
method was used in order to estimate the missing
data.
• For employment data withheld, we used the average
in the range of values given by relevant code in the
data. For example, the letter “b” indicates a range of
20-99 employees. For all recorded instances of b,
included an assumption of employment of 59.5.
APPENDIX
• Earnings data may be withheld to avoid disclosing
information for specific companies. In order to
estimate earnings when there was withheld data, we
followed several steps:
- If data for 4-digit NAICS codes was withheld,
when available, average earnings data were used
for the associated 3-digit NAICS codes, multiplied
it by the number of employees in the industry, and
added it to the total earnings from the remainder
of data for the opportunity
- In the event that the 3-digit NAICS code also
contained withheld data, there was a reliance on
estimations using US earnings data. The overall
ratios from state to US earnings data for all
reported values in CBP was determined. From
those ratios, we estimated withheld data by taking
each state’s average earnings ratio, and applied it
to the average US earnings in each 3-digit
category, and multiplied the resulting value by
employment in each industry.
• If data from a state was too low to report in earnings
or employment for a given NAICS code, we assigned
a value of zero for that NAICS category.
For the performance of Michigan’s job and economic
growth across all six opportunities, any duplicated
codes or categories were eliminated in order to ensure
that values were not overestimated.
It merits note that employment data for government
workers and farm workers are not available in the
sources, so this data is not included in totals shown.
See Appendix B for a list of all industries excluded from
the totals.
Projected Growth Scenarios
For each set of output metrics, 2020 levels for
Michigan are estimated according to several different
projected growth rates: Michigan’s historical growth
rate, a “Top Five” historical growth rate, and a “Top
Ten” historical growth rate. Growth rates were
calculated based on data for each output metric in
each opportunity for 2005-2010 data. States were
ranked based on how quickly they grew in each metric,
separately, from 2005 to 2010. Then, for each separate
metric, the “Top Five” growth rate was simply the fifth-
ranked state in growth of that metric. Similarly, the “Top
Ten” growth rate was that of the tenth-ranked state in
growth of that metric.
The calculated growth rates were then applied to
Michigan’s 2010 levels, and the state’s 2020
performance in different scenarios was projected,
assuming that its growth rate would be equal to the
“Top Five,” “Top Ten,” and Michigan growth rate. These
values do not account for population change, or any
other shift in economic or demographic factors.
Projected growth scenarios use real GDP as a metric,
and not per capita real GDP, as is used for all other
estimations. This is consistent with projections that the
population in Michigan will remain stagnant for the next
ten years, rendering growth in real GDP and per capita
real GDP equal.
3 2005 values for earnings were adjusted to 2010 dollars according to an
annual inflation rate of approximately 2%. In the case that NAICS industries
were different between 2005 and 2010, we estimated 2005 values based
on its share of a higher-level code.
BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN
I2013
ITHENEWMICHIGAN
PAGES
41 I 42
List of NAICS Industries
for Each Opportunity
2012
NAICS
Code Description
Global Engineering Village
3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial Synthetic
Fibers and Filaments Manufacturing
3271 Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing
3272 Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
3311 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel
3313 Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing
3314 Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production
and Processing
3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery
Manufacturing
3332 Industrial Machinery Manufacturing
3333 Commercial and Service Industry Machinery
Manufacturing
3335 Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing
3336 Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission
Equipment Manufacturing
3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing
3341 Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing
3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component
Manufacturing
3345 Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and
Control Instruments Manufacturing
3346 Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and
Optical Media
3351 Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing
3359 Other Electrical Equipment and Component
Manufacturing
3361 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing
3362 Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing
3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing
3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing
3391 Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing
8112 Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and
Maintenance
8113 Commercial and Industrial Machinery and
Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic)
Repair and Maintenance
9271 Space Research and Technology*
54171 Research and Development in the Physical,
Engineering, and Life Sciences
336992 Military Armored Vehicle, Tank, and Tank
Component Manufacturing
541330 Engineering Services
Gateway to the Midwest
2373 Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction
2379 Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
4811 Scheduled Air Transportation
4812 Nonscheduled Air Transportation
4821 Rail Transportation*
4831 Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water
Transportation
4832 Inland Water Transportation
4841 General Freight Trucking
4842 Specialized Freight Trucking
4881 Support Activities for Air Transportation
4882 Support Activities for Rail Transportation
4883 Support Activities for Water Transportation
4884 Support Activities for Road Transportation
4885 Freight Transportation Arrangement
4889 Other Support Activities for Transportation
4911 Postal Service*
4921 Couriers and Express Delivery Services
4931 Warehousing and Storage
541614 Process, Physical Distribution, and Logistics
Consulting Services
Higher Education Marketplace**
5417 Scientific Research and Development Services
6112 Junior Colleges
6113 Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools
6114 Business Schools and Computer and Management
Training
6115 Technical and Trade Schools
6116 Other Schools and Instruction
6117 Educational Support Services
6243 Vocational Rehabilitation Services
8132 Grantmaking and Giving Services
923110 Administration of Education Programs*
Natural Resources Economy
1111 Oilseed and Grain Farming*
1112 Vegetable and Melon Farming*
1113 Fruit and Tree Nut Farming*
1114 Greenhouse, Nursery, and Floriculture Production*
1119 Other Crop Farming*
1121 Cattle Ranching and Farming*
1122 Hog and Pig Farming*
1123 Poultry and Egg Production*
1124 Sheep and Goat Farming*
1125 Aquaculture*
1129 Other Animal Production*
1131 Timber Tract Operations
1132 Forest Nurseries and Gathering of Forest Products
APPENDIX
1133 Logging
1141 Fishing
1142 Hunting and Trapping
1151 Support Activities for Crop Production
1152 Support Activities for Animal Production
1153 Support Activities for Forestry
2111 Oil and Gas Extraction
2121 Coal Mining
2122 Metal Ore Mining
2123 Nonmetallic Mineral Mining and Quarrying
2131 Support Activities for Mining
2371 Utility System Construction
3112 Grain and Oilseed Milling
3253 Pesticide, Fertilizer, and Other Agricultural
Chemical Manufacturing
3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery
Manufacturing
4235 Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant
Wholesalers
4245 Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers
4831 Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water
Transportation
4832 Inland Water Transportation
4855 Charter Bus Industry
4861 Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil
4862 Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
4869 Other Pipeline Transportation
4871 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land
4872 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water
4879 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other
4883 Support Activities for Water Transportation
5615 Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services
5622 Waste Treatment and Disposal
5629 Remediation and Other Waste Management
Services
7121 Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions
7139 Other Amusement and Recreation Industries
7211 Traveler Accommodation
7212 RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational
Camps
9241 Administration of Environmental Quality Programs*
54171 Research and Development in the Physical,
Engineering, and Life Sciences
221310 Water Supply and Irrigation Systems
311119 Other Animal Food Manufacturing
424910 Farm Supplies Merchant Wholesalers
481111 Scheduled Passenger Air Transportation
541330 Engineering Services
541620 Environmental Consulting Services
541690 Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services
Global Center for Mobility
2373 Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction
3311 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel
3313 Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing
3336 Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission
Equipment Manufacturing
3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing
3341 Computer and Peripheral Equipment
Manufacturing
3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component
Manufacturing
3345 Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and
Control Instruments Manufacturing
3359 Other Electrical Equipment and Component
Manufacturing
3361 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing
3362 Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing
3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing
3365 Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing
3366 Ship and Boat Building
3369 Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
4821 Rail Transportation*
4851 Urban Transit Systems
4852 Interurban and Rural Bus Transportation
4882 Support Activities for Rail Transportation
4884 Support Activities for Road Transportation
5415 Computer Systems Design and Related Services
9241 Administration of Environmental Quality Programs
9251 Administration of Housing Programs, Urban
Planning, and Community Development
54171 Research and Development in the Physical,
Engineering, and Life Sciences
541330 Engineering Services
541420 Industrial Design Services
Life Sciences Hub
3254 Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing
3391 Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing
6215 Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories
541711 Research and Development in Biotechnology
* Data for NAICS industry was unavailable and therefore not included in
presented totals.
** For employment and earnings in the “Higher Education Marketplace”
opportunity, we also added data from the National Center for Education
Staistics Integrategrated Postsecondary Education Data System for public
institutions
BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN
I2013
ITHENEWMICHIGAN
PAGES
43 I 44
JAMES B. NICHOLSON
CHAIR OF THE BOARD
President & Chief Executive Officer
PVS Chemicals, Inc.
TERENCE E. ADDERLEY
Executive Chairman
Kelly Services, Inc.
DANIEL F. AKERSON
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
General Motors Company
G. MARK ALYEA
President & Chief Operating Officer
Alro Steel Corporation
GERARD M. ANDERSON
President & Chief Executive Officer
DTE Energy Company
DAVID W. BARFIELD
Chief Executive Officer
The Bartech Group, Inc.
ALBERT M. BERRIZ
Chief Executive Officer
McKinley, Inc.
MARK J. BISSELL
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
BISSELL Inc.
STEPHEN K. CARLISLE
VP, Global Product Planning
General Motors Company
MARY SUE COLEMAN
President
University of Michigan
TIMOTHY P. COLLINS
Senior Vice President, Michigan Region
Comcast Cable
ROBERT S. CUBBIN
President & Chief Executive Officer
Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc.
WALTER P. CZARNECKI
Executive Vice President & Director
Penske Corporation
KURT L. DARROW
Chairman, President & CEO
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
DAVID C. DAUCH
President & Chief Operating Officer
American Axle & Manufacturing
RICHARD L. DeVORE
Regional President, Detroit & SE Michigan
PNC Financial Services Group
DOUGLAS L. DeVOS
President
Amway
J. PATRICK DOYLE
President & Chief Executive Officer
Domino’s Pizza
JAMES E. DUNLAP
Senior Executive VP, Director of
Regional & Commercial Banking
Huntington
MATTHEW B. ELLIOTT
Michigan Market President & Market
Executive, Global Commercial Banking
Bank of America
JEFF M. FETTIG
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Whirlpool Corporation
WILLIAM CLAY FORD, JR.
Executive Chairman
Ford Motor Company
DANIEL GILBERT
Chairman & Founder
Quicken Loans Inc.
ALLAN D. GILMOUR
President
Wayne State University
ALFRED R. GLANCY III
Executive Chairman
Unico Investment Group LLC
DAN GORDON
Chief Executive Officer
Gordon Food Service, Inc.
STEPHEN E. GORMAN
Executive Vice President & COO
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
JAMES P. HACKETT
President & Chief Executive Officer
Steelcase Inc.
RONALD E. HALL
President & Chief Executive Officer
Bridgewater Interiors, LLC
RICHARD G. HAWORTH
Chairman Emeritus
Haworth, Inc.
CHRISTOPHER ILITCH
President & Chief Executive Officer
Ilitch Holdings, Inc.
MICHAEL J. JANDERNOA
Board of Directors
Perrigo Company
MILES E. JONES
Co-Chairman of the Board
Dawn Food Products, Inc.
DAVID W. JOOS
Chairman
CMS Energy Corporation
HANS-WERNER KAAS
Senior Director-Detroit Office
McKinsey & Company
ALAN JAY KAUFMAN
Chairman, President & CEO
Kaufman Financial Group
JOHN C. KENNEDY
President & Chief Executive Officer
Autocam
STEPHEN M. KIRCHER
President & Chief Executive Officer,
Boyne Eastern Operations
Boyne Resorts
BLAKE W. KRUEGER
Chairman of the Board,
Chief Executive Officer & President
Wolverine World Wide, Inc.
BRIAN K. LARCHE
President & Chief Executive Officer
Engineered Machined Products, Inc.
ANDREW N. LIVERIS
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Dow Chemical Company
KEVIN A. LOBO
President & Chief Executive Officer
Stryker Corporation
DANIEL J. LOEPP
President & Chief Executive Officer
Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan
EVAN D. LYALL
Chief Executive Officer
Roush Enterprises, Inc.
BEN C. MAIBACH III
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Barton Malow Company
RICHARD A. MANOOGIAN
Chairman Emeritus
Masco Corporation
Business Leaders for Michigan - 2013 Board of Directors
BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN2013BOARDOFDIRECTORS
KENNETH E. MARBLESTONE
President
RBS Citizens and Charter One -
Michigan & Ohio
FLORINE MARK
President & Chief Executive Officer
The WW Group, Inc.
SARAH L. McCLELLAND
President, Michigan Market
Chase
CHARLES G. McCLURE
Chairman, President & CEO
Meritor, Inc.
DAVID E. MEADOR
Executive Vice President & CFO
DTE Energy
HANK MEIJER
Co-Chairman & CEO
Meijer, Inc.
MICHAEL MILLER
Director of Business & Industrial
Markets & Head of Ann Arbor Office
Google, Inc.
FREDERICK K. MINTURN
President & Chief Executive Officer
MSX International
PAUL J. MUELLER
President – Midwest Region
The Hanover Insurance Group
MARK A. MURRAY
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Meijer, Inc.
CATHLEEN H. NASH
President & Chief Executive Officer
Citizens Republic Bancorp
THOMAS D. OGDEN
President – Comerica Bank Michigan
Comerica Bank
JAMES O’LEARY
Chairman, President & CEO
Kaydon Corporation
WILLIAM U. PARFET
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
MPI Research
CYNTHIA J. PASKY
Founder, President & CEO
Strategic Staffing Solutions
ROGER S. PENSKE
Chairman
Penske Corporation
WILLIAM F. PICKARD
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
GlobalAutomotiveAlliance
SANDRA E. PIERCE
Vice Chairman of FirstMerit Corporation;
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of
FirstMerit Michigan
GERRY PODESTA
Senior Vice President, NA Polyurethanes
BASF
CHARLES H. PODOWSKI
President & Chief Executive Officer
The Auto Club Group
STEPHEN R. POLK
Chairman, President & Chief Executive
Officer
R. L. Polk & Co.
JOHN RAKOLTA, JR.
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Walbridge
MICHAEL T. RITCHIE
Executive Vice President
Comerica Bank
DOUG ROTHWELL
President & Chief Executive Officer
Business Leaders for Michigan
ANDRA M. RUSH
President & Chief Executive Officer
Dakkota Integrated Systems, LLC
JOHN G. RUSSELL
President & Chief Executive Officer
CMS Energy Corporation &
Consumers Energy
RICHARD F. RUSSELL
President & Chief Executive Officer
Amerisure Companies
ALAN F. SCHULTZ
Chairman
Valassis
J. DONALD SHEETS
Executive Vice President & CFO;
Regional President, North America
Dow Corning
BRAD SIMMONS
Director, Office of the Executive Chairman
Ford Motor Company
LOU ANNA K. SIMON, Ph.D.
President
Michigan State University
SAM SIMON
Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Atlas Oil Company
MATTHEW J. SIMONCINI
President & Chief Executive Officer
Lear Corporation
BRIG SORBER
President & Chief Executive Officer
Two Men and a Truck/International, Inc.
DOUGLAS W. STOTLAR
President & Chief Executive Officer
Con-Way Inc.
ROBERT S. TAUBMAN
Chairman & CEO, President
Taubman, Inc.
MICHAEL J. TIERNEY
President & Chief Executive Officer
Flagstar Bank, FSB
SAMUEL VALENTI III
Chairman of the Board
TriMas Corporation
STEPHEN A. VAN ANDEL
Chairman
Amway
MICHELLE L. VAN DYKE
Regional President
Fifth Third Bank
JAMES R. VERRIER
President & Chief Executive Officer
BorgWarner Inc.
TIMOTHY WADHAMS
President & Chief Executive Officer
Masco Corporation
BRIAN C. WALKER
President & Chief Executive Officer
Herman Miller, Inc.
WILLIAM H. WEIDEMAN
Executive Vice President & CFO
The Dow Chemical Company
WILLIAM C. YOUNG
Chief Executive Officer
Plastipak Holdings, Inc.
Visteon Corporation
A New Michigan: The 2013 Report on Michigan's Progress in Six Opportunities
A New Michigan: The 2013 Report on Michigan's Progress in Six Opportunities
A New Michigan: The 2013 Report on Michigan's Progress in Six Opportunities

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A New Michigan: The 2013 Report on Michigan's Progress in Six Opportunities

  • 1. A New Michigan: The 2013 Report on Michigan’s Progress in Six Opportunities
  • 2. About Business Leaders for Michigan Business Leaders for Michigan is a private, non-profit executive leadership organization whose mission is to develop, advocate and support high-impact strategies that will make Michigan a Top Ten state for job, economic and personal income growth. The organization’s work is defined by the Michigan Turnaround Plan, a holistic, fact-based strategy developed to get Michigan’s economy back on track. Serving as the state's business roundtable, Business Leaders for Michigan is composed of the chairpersons, chief executive officers, or most senior executives of Michigan’s largest companies and universities. Our members drive over 25% of the state’s economy, provide over 325,000 direct and 820,000 indirect jobs in Michigan, generate over $1 trillion in annual revenue and serve nearly one half of all Michigan public university students.
  • 3. Table of Contents Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Michigan’s Overall Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 Base of Entrepreneurism, Innovation, and Manufacturing . . . . . . . . .5 A New Michigan: One Vision, Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Aggregate Performance on Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 The Six Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 1. Global Engineering Village . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 2. Gateway to the Midwest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 3. Higher Education Marketplace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 4. Life Sciences Hub . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 5. Global Center for Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 6. Natural Resources Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Business Leader for Michigan Board of Directors . . . . . . . . . . . . .43
  • 5. In 2009, Business Leaders for Michigan (BLM) released the Michigan Turnaround Plan, a plan on how to make Michigan a Top Ten state for job, economic and personal income growth. The Plan was updated in 2012 to identify the six most distinctive assets Michigan had which could be leveraged to accelerate growth. These assets include the state’s engineering prowess, geographic location, and world-class higher education institutions, among others. The 2013 New Michigan Report is the first in an annual series in which Michigan’s progress in leveraging its assets into economic growth will be tracked. Michigan’s performance on various metrics will be charted over time, and compared to the results achieved in other high-performing states. This report provides a baseline of Michigan’s overall performance relative to other states in the most recent year for which information is available. In future years, we will build on this data and show how Michigan’s relative performance is changing. All figures in this report, except for those that show growth projections, show Michigan’s rank among all 50 states on a particular metric. First, we present Michigan’s performance for the economy, overall. Then we define each of the six opportunities using a set of relevant industries, and rank Michigan’s performance only within these industries for each opportunity.
  • 6. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 3 I 4 Where we stand Michigan’s Overall Economy This section provides a snapshot of Michigan’s current overall economy on key output metrics BLM believes are most critical to prosperity. In the BLM annual Economic Competitiveness Benchmarking Report we compare how Michigan, as a state, performs against other states on per capita income. For this report, we are comparing how Michigan performs against other states in certain industry sectors.As such, we must use average earnings as per capita income cannot be tracked by industry. Projected Growth Scenarios While growth has increased in the past two years, Michigan’s growth from 2005-2010 ranked at or near the bottom on each of these metrics. If it remains on that path, Michigan would decrease GDP and employment by 23% and 25%, respectively, representing a $75.5 billion decline in GDP and a loss of 822,000 jobs from current levels by the year 2020. However, if Michigan were to grow similar to the 5th- fastest growing state for each output metric, Michigan would increase average earnings by 14%, increase GDP by $109 billion, and create 391,000 more jobs by the year 2020. The accompanying charts display Michigan’s projected levels for each output metric given different growth rate trajectories. Michigan’s rank in average earnings is higher than its rank in per capita personal income because average earnings are the total earnings per worker, rather than for the population as a whole. 34,140$ 48.03% 5 53,237$ 60.28% 1 46,962$ 57.98% M 41 42 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age Population R A N K Michigan's Economic Outputs Across All Industries 41st 42nd $42,211 $34,140 48.03% Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 5th $53,237 10th $46,962 5th $50,702 10th $47,124 5th 60.28% 10th 57.98% 17th Outputs Michigan’s performance on key metrics measuring economic output is, overall, lower than average. It ranks in the bottom ten states for employment and GDP, but ranks in the top 20 states for average earnings.
  • 7. MICHIGAN’SOVERALLECONOMY Understanding This Report Outputs: Output metrics are a measure of each state’s current economic performance. For each set of industries that we define as an economic opportunity, we have measured the levels of per capita real GDP, employment, and earnings in each state. We report these values for Michigan, as well as for the fifth- and tenth-ranked states, while also showing Michigan’s ranking among all fifty states for each metric. Inputs: A strong showing on input metrics for an opportunity signals that a state has a strong foundation in the industries that define that opportunity. Input metrics reflect high demand, a talented workforce, and a vibrant supply chain, among other characteristics. Each category and opportunity has its own specific input metrics. We report Michigan’s levels and rankings for each of these metrics, as well as those of the fifth- and tenth-ranked states per opportunity. Projected Growth Scenarios: It is important to note that these scenarios rely on historical data from 2005-2010, the most recent available. Any growth Michigan has experienced in the last two years will be reflected in future reports.. We project what each opportunity would contribute to Michigan’s GDP, employment, and earnings in 2020 under three different scenarios: 1. If Michigan remains on the same trajectory for growth as it had between 2005 and 2010, 2. If Michigan follows the patterns of growth between 2005 and 2010 for the 5th-ranked state in each metric, 3. If Michigan follows the patterns of growth between 2005 and 2010 for the 10th-ranked state in each metric.
  • 8. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 5 I 6 Where we stand Base of Entrepreneurism, Innovation, and Manufacturing An underlying need that spans economy-wide also pertains to each of the opportunities identified in this report: a strong base of entrepreneurism, innovation, and manufacturing can help to inspire economic and job growth in the state. The Michigan economy, as a whole, will thrive if the state improves its position in these areas. This will lead to more companies, better products, better jobs, and faster economic growth. Inputs Michigan presents strengths in its performance on input metrics for entrepreneurism, innovation, and manufacturing. It ranks in the top half of states for all inputs, placing in the top ten for number of existing firms and R&D spending and just outside of the top ten for GDP from goods-producing industries and number of new firms in 2010.9,618 141,344 2,031 85$ 5 15,631 204,525 3,127 770$ 1 9,919 136,400 2,031 485$ M 12 9 10 24 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 GDP of Goods-Producing Indsutries 2010 New Firms 2010 Existing Firms 2010 R&D Expenditures at Universities (1000s) 2011 Venture Capital Investment (millions) R A N K Entrepreneurship, Innovation, & Manufacturing Inputs 24th 9,618 $84.8 141,344 Sources: BEA, U.S. Census Bureau, NSF, Pricewaterhouse Coopers. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 11th $68,651 12th 9th 5th $92,615 10th 76,917 5th 15,631 10th 9,919 5th 204,525 10th 136,400 5th $769.8 10th $485 10th $2,031 5th $3,127 10th $2,031
  • 10. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 7 I 8 A New Michigan: In 2012, Business Leaders for Michigan laid out how Michigan could leverage its existing assets in six fundamental areas of strength to accelerate economic growth. Like the rest of the Michigan Turnaround Plan, these opportunities were identified through extensive research and are based on facts. They are the opportunities we found would have the greatest impact in a ten year time period to accelerate growth, but they do not represent an exhaustive list. They merely constitute what we concluded to be the best possibilities. We believe Michigan can build on the following: One Vision, Six Opportunities 1. Grow and brand its industrial, production, and talent capacity to develop a reputation as a Global Engineering Village 2. Capitalize on its strategic location and infrastructure to become a Gateway to the Midwest 3. Develop a Higher Education Marketplace that boosts the state’s talent base and leverages its innovative strengths. 4. Take advantage of Michigan’s natural resources, to grow a Natural Resources Economy 5. Amplify our automotive and manufacturing expertise to become a Global Center of Mobility 6. Develop a Life Sciences Hub based on our robust health, medical, and bio-pharmaceutical capabilities
  • 11. ENGINEERING TALENT Global Engineering Village Brand the engineering sector • Grow engineering education capacity • Grow engineering firms Potentialwaystoleveragetheassets:Opportunities:RelatedIndustriesAssets: GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION Gateway to the Midwest Consolidate logistics base into Michigan • Scale the Aerotropolis • Invest in strategic trade-related infrastructure HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM Higher Education Marketplace Strengthen quality, affordability, productivity & economic impact • Grow university enrollment • Grow industry & university funded R&D • Grow commerciali- zation of R&D HEALTH & MEDICAL EXPERTISE Life Sciences Hub Create a Hub for bio-pharmaceutical R&D • Become the Center for research, testing & medical labs • Grow medical tourism AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY Global Center for Mobility Lead in sustainable mobility • Lead in multi- modal systems • Lead in vehicle/ infrastructure technology to improve road safety • Grow the auto industry NATURAL RESOURCES Natural Resources Economy Grow agricultural processing and exports • Grow leisure tourism • Lead in alternative energy technologies Six Assets and Opportunities to Accelerate Michigan’s Job and Economic Growth newmichigan Machinery manufacturing Electrical equipment, appliance, and component manufacturing Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing Primary metal manufacturing Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and parts manufacturing Space research and technology Research and development in engineering Engineering services Air transportation Rail transportation Water transportation Truck transportation Other transportation and support activities Warehousing and storage Highway, street, and bridge construction Other heavy and civil engineering construction Process, physical distribution, and logistics consulting Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing Medical and diagnostic laboratories Research and development in biotechnology Highway, street, and bridge construction Primary metal manufacturing Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and parts manufacturing Other transportation equipment manufacturing Rail transportation Other transportation and support activities Urban transit systems Industrial design and engineering services Computer and electronic product manufacturing Crop and animal production Forestry, fishing, and related activities Oil and gas extraction Mining, and support activities for mining Water transportation Pipeline transportation Other transportation and support activities Waste management and remediation services Amusement and recreation Accommodations Colleges, universities, and professional schools Technical and trade schools Education rehabilitation services Scientific research and development services
  • 12. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 9 I 10 Where we stand Aggregate Performance on Six Opportunities Michigan has the chance across six specific opportunities to improve its performance on key job and economic indicators. While each of these opportunities is important on its own, in this section, we review Michigan’s performance across all of the industries relevant to the six opportunities, in aggregate. Outputs The figure below shows Michigan’s economic output aggregated across the industries representing all six opportunities in the Michigan Turnaround Plan. In 2010, Michigan ranked 13th, 28th, and 27th in the nation for average earnings, per capita GDP, and employment, respectively, in these industries. 1 4,657$ 10.55% 5 9,658$ 13.48% 1 7,391$ 12.36% M 28 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age Population R A N K Outputs Across Six Opportunities 13th 10th $56,215 5th $59,676 5th $9,658 10th $7,391 10th 12.4% 5th 13.5% Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 28th 27th $53,788 $4,657 10.6%
  • 13. AGGREGATEPERFORMANCEONSIXOPPORTUNITIES Projected Growth Scenarios If Michigan were to achieve Top Ten growth performance in all six opportunities by 2020, the state’s total economic output would be $36 billion greater per year, average annual earnings would increase by as much as $22,000, and the state would add as many as 330,000 new jobs compared to its current projected path. From current levels, GDP could be $26 billion greater, average earnings could be $11,000 higher, and employment could see an increase of 129,000 jobs.2 We can’t anticipate how well Michigan will seize each opportunity or how global economic conditions might change during the next decade, but these projections identify the economic potential of these opportunities and their power in dramatically reversing a decade’s long downward trend into a brighter future in the decades beyond. 1 There is extensive overlap between industries included in each opportunity, so adding up each of the opportunities will not equal the values calculated for the aggregate performance on all six opportunities. 2 Projected growth scenarios for the aggregate numbers are based on state performances across all opportunities, taking overlap out of the equation. Since top 5 growth rates are calculated separately for each opportunity in other sections, the change realized by achieving the top 5 growth rate on aggregate is not equal to the sum of changes realized by achieving the top 5 growth rate within each opportunity.
  • 14. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 11 I 12 Six Opportunities in Comparison to Overall Economy Overall, while Michigan’s average earnings rank 17th, its economic performance in terms of GDP and employment is not competitive in comparison to other states. Overall, Michigan’sper capita GDP ranks 41st, and employment ranks 42nd when compared to the 49 other states. Michigan’s rank in average earnings is higher than its rank in per capita personal income because average earnings are the total earnings per worker, rather than for the population as a whole.The following chart summarizes Michigan’s performance in the overall economy, as well as for each of the six opportunities identified in the Michigan Turnaround Plan. Note Michigan’s high performance in three areas: Global Engineering Village, Global Center for Mobility and Higher Education Marketplace. In the Global Engineering Village opportunity, Michigan’s average rank across the three metrics is 7th. In the Global Center for Mobility and Higher Education Marketplace opportunities, Michigan’s average rank is14th and 20th, respectively.This is followed by Life Sciences Hub at 23rd, Gateway to the Midwest at 31st, and finally Natural Resources Economy with an average ranking of 33rd.
  • 16. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 13 I 14 The Six Opportunities 1. Global Engineering Village Engineering services are predicted to experience significant growth in the upcoming years. The market is exhibiting increasing demand for high-tech manufacturing industries such as automotive, aerospace, medical devices, and precision instruments. The automotive industry’s adoption of cutting-edge technology and embracing start-ups could help Michigan capitalize on this opportunity.65,564$ 2,436$ 4.22% 80,368$ 1,680$ 4.02% 73,563$ 1,376$ 3.37% 14 3 3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K Global Engineering Village Outputs 14th 3rd 3rd $65,564 $2,436 4.22% 5th $80,368 10th $73,563 5th $1,680 10th $1,376 5th 4.02% 10th 3.37% Where we stand Outputs Overall, Michigan ranks highly on output metrics for industries in the Global Engineering Village opportunity. It ranks in the top three nationwide for GDP and employment, and is 14th for average earnings. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Global Engineering Village opportunity include: Machinery manufacturing; Electrical equipment, appliance, and component manufacturing; Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing; Primary metal manufacturing; Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and parts manufacturing; Space research and technology; Research and development in engineering; and, Engineering services.
  • 17. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan ranks well above average in each of the input metrics for this opportunity.The state ranks in the top five states for number of engineering firms, engineering patents awarded, and engineers per capita. How to leverage our engineering talent Michigan can become a global engineering village by branding the engineering sector, growing engineering education capacity, and growing engineering firms. 1,737 1,903$ 877 65,564$ 2$ 5 1,570 3,026$ 712 80,368$ 1$ 1 930 1,903$ 605 73,563$ 1$ M 5 4 10 1 14 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Engineering Grads/ 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded 2010 Engineering R&D (in millions) 2011 Engineers/100,000 R A N K Global Engineering Village Inputs 10th 129 5th 145 5th 1,570 10th 930 10th 605 5th 712 1st 877 5th 7,291 5th 7,291 10th 4,720 5th $3,026 10th $1,903 Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office, National Science Foundation. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 16th 112 1,737 4th $1,903 10th Burea
  • 18. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 15 I 16 Projected Growth Scenarios Despite Michigan’s high performance on input and output metrics, these industries shrank considerably between 2005 and 2010 due to the economic recession and downturn in manufacturing-related industries that utilize engineering services. If Michigan follows its current trajectory in Global Engineering Village industries, by 2020 its GDP and employment in these industries will decrease from current levels by 65% and 52%, respectively, and average earnings will decrease by 13% from current levels, in real terms. It’s important to note that other states are working to be competitive in this arena. If Michigan follows the trajectory for the 5th-ranked state, however, it has the potential to increase earnings and employment by 23% and 14%, respectively. GDP is projected to decrease by 11% from its current level, even if it experiences Top Ten growth, as only four states experienced an increase in real GDP between 2005 and 2010 for industries associated with this opportunity. Industry Insights The National Science Foundation estimates that 80% of the jobs created in the next decade will require some form of math and science skills. Recognizing this, the Engineering Society of Detroit (ESD) is engaged in a number of school-based activities designed to encourage more student interest in science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) fields. • To encourage minority and female student participation in STEM courses, the ESD developed two school-based programs that will serve nearly 2000 students over a three-year period: - Future City Competition – a cross-curricular educational program where middle school students imagine, design, and build cities of the future over a four-month period.
  • 19. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES - Engineering SMArT Detroit– a 15-week learning module where students learn about energy (including alternative energies and the energy grid) and apply their knowledge to an engineering design project led by trained professional engineers. • To explain the impact of science and engineering on our day-to-day lives, the ESD underwrites SciEngiMatheploration, cable television program with real-life experiments, interviews, and anecdotes that is available as classroom tool for all Michigan middle schools. • To augment learning in the classroom, the ESD has developed a Speakers Bureau of 110 technical professionals that visit schools/universities to speak about the various opportunities that exist within the engineering and technical professions. The intent is to grow the bureau to 250 speakers. • To promote engineering as a career, ESD publishes a list of Children’s K–12 STEM Summer Camps available in Michigan each April. • To drive innovation through facilitation and cooperation, ESD’s Institute is convening diverse stakeholders of public policy issues to discuss how STEM-related career paths for our youth can be optimized for their quality of life and Michigan’s economic benefit.
  • 20. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 17 I 18 2. Gateway to the Midwest The movement of goods and people is crucial to economic growth and success, and shipments are expected to grow significantly in the future. Michigan’s unique geographic location enables it to be accessible by road, rail, sea or air. Michigan can leverage this advantage by advancing as an integrated, multi-modal hub for trade. Specifically, Michigan has the capacity to encourage the development of aviation-dependent businesses, and take advantage of international border crossings.These actions could contribute to building a logistics infrastructure crucial for facilitating trade in the Midwest. Where we stand Outputs Overall, Michigan ranks lower than average on output metrics for industries in the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity. It ranks in the bottom ten nationwide for GDP and employment, but its earnings levels are higher, ranking 12th in the U.S. 23,374 46,799$ 8,964$ 32,918$ 46,057$ 749$ 1.44% 17,194 16,213$ 5,724$ 7,174$ 50,163$ 1,721$ 2.65% 8,298 10,886$ 2,638$ 4,788$ 46,829$ 1,392$ 2.31% 1 1 3 3 12 40 41 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age Population R A N K Gateway to the Midwest Outputs 12th 40th 41st $46,057 $749 1.44% 5th $50,163 10th $46,829 5th $1,721 10th $1,392 5th 2.65% 10th 2.31% Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity include: Air transportation; Rail transportation; Water transportation; Truck transportation; Other transportation and support activities; Warehousing and storage; Highway, street, and bridge construction; Other heavy and civil engineering construction; and Process, physical distribution, and logistics consulting.
  • 21. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan ranks well above average in its performance for each input metric for the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity. It ranks in the top three states for trans- border trade with Canada and Mexico, and also in the top ten for number of logistics firms. 5,783 525$ 579 244 326 23,374$ 46,799$ 5 14,815 1,150$ 1,190 1,655 1,794 17,194$ 16,213$ 1 6,604 782$ 875 738 845 8,298$ 10,886$ M 10 15 14 16 21 16 1 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Graduates per 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 09-10 Transportation Expenses by State and Local Governments (millions) 2010 Carloads of Freight by Rail (origination, in 1000s) 2010 Carloads of Freight by Rail (termination, in 1000s) R A N K Gateway to the Midwest Inputs 14th 525 16th Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau, Association of American Railroads. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 16 5th 35 10th 27 10th 5,662 15th $5,783 16th 579 5th 9,590 10th 5,662 10th $6,604 5th $14,815 10th 782 5th 1,150 10th 875 5th 1,190 Bureau 5,783 525$ 579 244 326 23,374$ 46,799$ $ 5 14,815 1,150$ 1,190 1,655 1,794 17,194$ 16,213$ $ 1 6,604 782$ 875 738 845 8,298$ 10,886$ $ M 10 15 14 16 21 16 1 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Cargo Weight Enplaned at Airports (lbs, millions) 2011 Cargo Weight Landed at Airports (lbs, millions) 2011 Exports to Canada (millions) 2011 Imports from Canada (millions) 2011 Exports to Mexico (millions) 2011 Imports from Mexico (millions) R A N K Gateway to the Midwest Inputs, Cont. 3rd 244 $32,918$23,374 Sources: Bureau of Transprotation Statistics. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 21st 1st $46,799 $8,96416th 326 1st 3rd 10th 738 5th 1,655 10th 845 5th 1,794 5th $17,194 10th $8,298 10th $10,886 5th $16,213 10th $2,638 5th $5,724 10th $4,788 5th $7,174 Bureau of
  • 22. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 19 I 20 How to leverage our geographic location Michigan has an opportunity to better leverage its above average performance on input metrics related to this asset to achieve greater outputs. This can be done by consolidating a logistics base into Michigan, scaling the Aerotropolis, and investing in strategic trade-related infrastructure such as roads, bridges, tunnels, and rail. Building such a logistics infrastructure requires a broad, unified commitment from state and local administrations and permitting authorities, as well as the private sector. Projected Growth Scenarios Michigan input levels for this opportunity rank fairly high across the board. However, its performance in these industries declined between 2005 and 2010 in GDP, employment, and earnings due to the economic recession and downturn in manufacturing output. On its current course, Michigan will see a decrease in average earnings and employment in these industries of 14% and 8%, respectively, by 2020. GDP is projected to decline by 30% in that period. However, if Michigan can mimic the growth rates of the 10th-ranked states in each output, by 2020, earnings and employment will increase from current levels by 12% and 9%, respectively, and Michigan could limit its GDP decrease to 9%. Even if Michigan were able to grow at the rate for a 5th-ranked state, GDP would still decrease by 4% by 2020.This is because almost all states have recently experienced a decline in GDP in the industries that make up this opportunity: between 2005 and 2010, only two states (Louisiana and North Dakota) saw an increase in GDP for these industries.
  • 23. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Industry Insights We have made a great deal of progress toward growing Michigan as a Gateway to the Midwest: • An agreement was forged between Michigan and Canada on the construction of the New International Trade Crossing (NITC). • The federal government agreed to allow Michigan to leverage Canada’s $550 million investment for Michigan infrastructure related to NITC as match for $2 billion of federal transportation dollars that can be used for projects throughout Michigan. • To date, over $36 million of rail infrastructure improvements have been made in SE Michigan to support more efficient intermodal connections. More improvements are already planned for upcoming years. • The Michigan Department of Transportation’s acquisition of the Norfolk-Southern (NS) railroad line between Dearborn and Kalamazoo will allow for the development of accelerated rail between Detroit and Chicago, increase the viability of passenger rail, and boost the efficiency of freight rail. • Construction of new intermodal passenger facilities in Dearborn and Troy is underway. • BLM worked with the Michigan Economic Development Corporation and other key stakeholders to develop a statewide Logistics and Supply Chain strategy that will create a foundation for leveraging our assets and providing opportunities for Michigan businesses. • There is increased dialogue between Michigan and Canada on issues that impact the movement of goods across our borders.This includes bi-national events related to border crossings in Detroit, Port Huron, and Sault Ste. Marie. • Five Next Michigan Development Corporations have been created across the state to drive economic activity around key infrastructure assets.
  • 24. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 21 I 22 3. Higher Education Marketplace Increasingly, economic growth is being driven by gains in productivity; in turn, gains in productivity are driven by talent and talent-generated innovation.As a primary source of both talent and innovation, our higher education system represents a major opportunity to grow Michigan’s economy. Where we stand Outputs Overall, the state’s economic performance in higher education industries vary by metric, with Michigan ranking very high in average earnings and close to average for GDP and Employment. 181 55,192$ 238$ 2.70% 333 57,438$ 771$ 3.70% 267 54,144$ 432$ 3.47% 32 8 33 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age Population R A N K Outputs for Higher Education Marketplace 8th 33rd 20th $55,192 $238 2.7% 5th $57,438 10th $54,144 5th $771 10th $432 5th 3.7% 10th 3.5% Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Gateway to the Midwest opportunity include: Colleges, universities, and professional schools; technical and trade schools; education rehabilitation services; and scientific research and development services.
  • 25. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan is ranked in the top ten states for total degrees awarded, total enrollment, and science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) degrees awarded. However, it ranks lower than average in terms of out-of- state enrollment and state appropriations to public universities. 11,430 504,870 9.37% 181 55,192$ $ 5 11,564 613,660 39.90% 333 57,438$ $ 1 8,485 406,800 28.76% 267 54,144$ $ M 6 8 45 32 8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Degrees Awarded 2011 STEM Degrees Awarded 2011 Total Enrollment (FTE Equivalent) 2011 Out-of-State Enrollment 2009-2010 Per Capita State Appropriations to Public UniversitiesR A N K Inputs for Higher Education Marketplace 8th 32nd 10th 113,775 5th 178,134 5th 613,660 10th 406,800 10th $267 5th $333 127,527 504,870 $181 6th 11,430 5th 11,564 10th 8,485 8th 45th 9.4% 5th 39.9% 10th 28.8% Sources: National Center for Education Statistics. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC
  • 26. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 23 I 24 How to leverage our higher education assets Michigan’s opportunities as a higher education marketplace can be facilitated by growing community college and university enrollment, growing industry- funded and university-funded research and development, and growing the commercialization of research and development.To accomplish this, Michigan should set a concrete goal of being among the top ten states for higher education, as measured in quality, affordability, productivity and economic impact.A performance-based funding approach for state support would encourage our colleges and universities to strive to be best in class without undermining the strength of these institutions. Similarly, colleges and universities should increase in- and out-of-state enrollments and accelerate support for and spin-off of business creation opportunities. Projected Growth Scenarios On its current trajectory, by 2020 Michigan will see an increase in employment of 14% in higher education. Earnings and GDP in higher education, however, would decrease by 17% and 11%, respectively. If the state attained the growth rate of the 10th-fastest growing state in this industry, Michigan would increase higher education earnings, real GDP, and employment by 20%, 9%, and 35%, respectively.
  • 27. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Industry Insights • Michigan ranks near the bottom of the 50 states in per resident support for higher education. Over the last decade, the state dropped its financial support for higher education by 50 percent when inflation is taken into account, causing tuition to nearly double and student debt to escalate. • In 2012, the state began to reverse the decade of disinvestment in our colleges and universities and marginally increased funding based on performance metrics. • Michigan enrollment of out-of-state students increased from 14 to 15% of total enrollments last year. • Michigan ranks 9th in the nation in number of international students enrolled in state universities; the University of Michigan and Michigan State University are in the top 10 nationally of international student enrollment. • While still in high school, students now can access postsecondary experiences and non-credit programs that lead to industry recognized skills or credentials through dual enrollment programs. • All 15 universities, and all 28 community colleges now participate in Statewide Reverse Transfer agreement. • Community colleges play an increasingly important role in workforce development through custom training programs like the Michigan New Jobs Training Program – which has now trained nearly 10,000 new workers.
  • 28. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 25 I 26 4. Life Sciences Hub Demand for higher quality of life is projected to grow among developing and developed nations alike. Seeking solutions in life sciences is causing healthcare expenditures to outpace GDP in the developed world. Michigan already has a high amount of bio-science degrees awarded, as well as high-end medical research facilities. Developing bio-pharmaceutical products, the bio-science arena, and market research and testing can help to promote the development of Michigan as a Life Sciences Hub. Where we stand Outputs Overall, the state’s performance on output metrics in life sciences is about average, with Michigan ranking 28th for GDP and employment, and 18th for average earnings. 235 61,124$ 286$ 0.32% 648 85,823$ 958$ 0.72% 436 72,108$ 662$ 0.55% 19 18 28 28 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K Life Sciences Hub Outputs 28th 28th$61,124 $286 0.32% 10th $72,108 5th $958 10th $662 5th 0.72% 10th 0.55%18th 5th $85,823 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Life Sciences Hub opportunity include: Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing, Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing, Medical and diagnostic laboratories, Hospitals and nursing and residential care, and Research and development in biotechnology.
  • 29. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan ranks in the top half of states for each input metric that we look at for life sciences industries, and is in the top ten states for number of firms as well as R&D spent at universities in related disciplines. 1,122 28$ 1,775 235 61,$ 5 1,859 231$ 2,838 648 85,$ 1 1,122 152$ 2,152 436 72,$ M 9 10 24 11 19 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Life sciences grads per 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 2010 Life sciences R&D Spending at Universities (1000s) 2011 Venture capital investment in life sciences firms (millions) Open clinical trials (as of Dec 4, 2012) 2011 Patents Awarded R A N K Life Sciences Hub Inputs 11th $1,122 1,775 9th 3,167 $28 Sources: National Science Foundation, National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, Pricewaterhouse Coopers, National Instutite of Health, U.S. Patent & Trade Office Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 19th 218 10th 24th 235 19th 5th 278 10th 258 10th 2,817 5th 4,156 10th $1,122 5th $1,859 10th 152 5th 231 10th 2,152 5th 2,838 10th 436 5th 648
  • 30. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 27 I 28 How to leverage our health and medical expertise Michigan can leverage its health and medical expertise and establish itself as a life sciences hub by creating a center for bio-pharmaceutical R&D, attracting new research, testing, and medical labs, and growing medical tourism. Projected Growth Michigan is on track to increase GDP in life sciences hub industries by 34% by 2020. It also is on track to decrease average earnings and employment by 0.2%, 5%, respectively, by 2020 in these industries. However, if Michigan’s growth rates were equal to those of the 10th- ranked state in growth in each metric, it would increase the same measures by 141%, 21% and 32%, respectively, by 2020.This would translate into an additional $13,000 in average earnings in these industries, $40 billion in output, and 7,000 additional jobs from current levels.
  • 31. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Industry Insights • Employment grew in Michigan’s agricultural feedstock/chemicals (13%) and medical devices sectors (8.1%) during the period of 2007-2010 despite declines at the national level. • Michigan was recognized in 2012 as both a “Sizeable State” and “Concentrated State” in terms of medical device sector employment – a rise in placement that puts it right behind traditional device-leading states. • Michigan saw a 20% growth in the Research/Testing/Medical Laboratories sector during 2007-2010, largely attributable to an increase in new entrepreneurial ventures. • A “We Work for Health” report revealed 4,928 vendor relationships and total expenditures of $1,087,533, 451 paid by 17 global biopharmaceutical companies to vendors in Michigan during 2011–demonstrating the state’s significant bioscience industry economic footprint. • Michigan ranks 9th nationally in number of clinical trials conducted (7,607) through 2012, and of them, 4,179 clinical trials were sponsored by biopharmaceutical companies. • Michigan ranked 10th nationally ($1,028,561) in bioscience research funding received in 2011. • The University of Michigan launched the Center for Discovery of New Medicines that will help accelerate the development of early stage research discoveries to the marketplace through interdisciplinary efforts and industry collaboration.
  • 32. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 29 I 30 5. Global Center for Mobility By 2020, the global automotive industry is projected to expand by 31 percent. Almost a quarter of units produced are expected to be hybrid vehicles. By 2050, the internal combustion engine and the hybrid alike are expected to be eclipsed by electric cars powered exclusively by fuel cells and batteries. Michigan, long the center for automotive innovation, has a unique opportunity to continue to expand with changing technologies. The state must focus on transforming its existing automotive cluster to a robust technological and production base capable of meeting the demands of global mobility. To advance Where we stand Outputs Overall, the state’s performance in industries related to the Global Center for Mobility opportunity is above average, with Michigan ranking in the top ten for employment in Global Center for Mobility industries. as a Global Center of Mobility, Michigan can increase its focus on sustainable transportation that is multi- modal and develop cutting-edge research and technology for vehicles. 4.69% 68,319$ 2,100$ 3.86% 4.33% 84,685$ 3,378$ 3.87% 3.38% 76,278$ 2,651$ 3.29% 4 18 19 6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age Population R A N K Global Center for Mobility Outputs 19th 6th $68,319 $2,100 3.86% 5th $84,685 10th $76,278 5th $3,378 10th $2,651 5th 3.87% 10th 3.29% 18th Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Global Center for Mobility opportunity include: Highway, street, and bridge construction; Primary metal manufacturing; Motor vehicle, body, trailer, and parts manufacturing; Other transportation equipment manufacturing; Rail transportation; Other transportation and support activities; Urban transit systems; Industrial design and engineering services; and Computer and electronic product manufacturing.
  • 33. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan has high performance on input metrics for the Global Center for Mobility opportunity.The state is ranked in the top ten for number of auto-ready grads, patents awarded, and share of national GDP, earnings, and employment in mobility industries. It is also ranked 12th in number of firms in Global Center for Mobility industries. 1,344 3.13% 4.40% 4.69% 68,319$ $ 5 484 3.57% 4.40% 4.33% 84,685$ $ 1 369 3.00% 3.64% 3.38% 76,278$ $ M 12 2 8 5 4 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Auto-ready Grads 2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded Share of National GDP Share of National Earnings Share of National EmploymentR A N K Global Center for Mobility Inputs 5th 1,344 4.40% 12th 7,530 3.13% Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office, Bureau of Economic. AnalysisAnalysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 10th 6,502 2nd 8th 4.69% 4th5th 7,621 10th 6,502 5th 11,749 10th 7,917 5th 484 10th 369 5th 3.57% 10th 3.00% 5th 4.43% 10th 3.66% 5th 4.33% 10th 3.38% Bureau o
  • 34. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 31 I 32 How to leverage our automotive industry Michigan is the number one state for vehicle research and development, the number one state for vehicle production and home to 47 of the top 50 automotive suppliers.Whatever technologies emerge to power the cars of the future, Michigan is uniquely positioned to design and build the future of transportation with our unmatched network of suppliers, talent, and R&D capabilities. It is here, in our labs and factories, that we should strive to develop the next-generation of electric powertrains, battery cells and cathode materials, and it is here that we can design, test and manufacture electric motors and work to improve the efficiency of conventional power trains.The state can leverage its automotive and mobility industry prominence to lead in sustainable mobility, multi-modal systems, vehicle and infrastructure technology to improve road safety, and auto industry growth. Projected Growth Despite its current high performance in the auto industry, the state’s prominence shrank over most the past decade due in part to the downturn in the industry during the recession. If the state maintains the growth trajectory in mobility industries it has established from 2005-2010, Michigan’s GDP and employment in these industries would decrease by 68% and 51%, respectively, and its average earnings in these industries would decrease by 13% by the year 2020. However, by building on its inherent strengths in this area, Michigan has a significant opportunity to turn this trend around. In fact, there are signs that Michigan’s automotive industry is leading the state’s recovery. If this continues and Michigan were to achieve the growth rate of the 10th-fastest growing state for each metric, Michigan’s GDP, employment, and earnings in these industries would increase from their current levels by 78%, 23%, and 23%, respectively, by 2020.
  • 35. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Industry Insights • In 2012, Michigan added 12,400 jobs in automotive manufacturing (more than any other state by far).This change allowed us to maintain our position as the largest automotive state in auto manufacturing employment by two to one over our nearest competitor (Ohio). • Michigan’s second fastest growing area of employment was in the professional, scientific, and technical services industry. During 2012, 8,400 new jobs were created, primarily in the auto-related R&D and product development sectors. • Michigan is the leader in automotive R&D spending, at over $11 billion, ranking 2nd in private sector R&D spending overall amongst the 50 states (behind California). • For the first time in 10 years, Michigan will produce more vehicles than Canada. • The University of Michigan is conducting a federal safety pilot study for connected vehicles, demonstrating cutting-edge wireless communication technologies.
  • 36. 50,565 1,037$ 2.97% 57,250 6,726$ 6.63% 55,260 3,794$ 4.67% 16 46 37 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2010 Average Earnings 2010 Per Capita GDP 2010 Employment/Working Age PopulationR A N K Natural Resources Economy Outputs 46th 37th $50,464 $1,037 2.97% 5th $57,250 10th $55,260 10th $3,794 10th 4.67%16th 5th $6,726 5th 6.63% BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 33 I 34 6. Natural Resources Economy Today, the demand for natural resources is more pressing than ever. The provision of these commodities, as well as the development of technologies that maximize the productivity of scarce resources, will be crucial for succeeding in natural resources markets. Michigan has competitive advantages in agricultural innovation and can leverage its natural beauty to increase its tourism industry. Supporting policies and regulations that grow agricultural industries and tourism can help Michigan to leverage its assets to claim the opportunity. Where we stand Outputs The state’s performance in the natural resources economy varies by output metric, ranking in the lower half of states for employment and GDP, but in the top half for average earnings. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC Note: Industries in the Natural Resources Economy opportunity include: Crop and animal production; Forestry, fishing, and related activities; Oil and gas extraction; Mining, and support activities for mining; Water transportation; Pipeline transportation; Other transportation and support activities; Waste management and remediation services; Amusement and recreation; and Accommodations.
  • 37. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Inputs Michigan has high performance on most input metrics related to the natural resources economy.The state ranks in the top ten for number of firms in natural resources industries and spending on tourism. Its performance on graduates in natural-resources-related fields, however, is lower than most states. 89 14,148$ 50,565$ 1,037$ 169 25,134$ 57,250$ 6,726$ 105 16,824$ 55,260$ 3,794$ 9 13 8 16 46 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011 Graduates per 100,000 2010 Number of Firms 2011 Patents Awarded 2009 Total Spending on Tourism (in 1000s)R A N K Natural Resources Economy Inputs 8th 10,380 $14,148 89 Sources: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Patent & Trade Office. Analysis: Anderson Economic Group, LLC 39th 30 9th 13th 5th 80 10th 66 5th 13,455 10th 10,214 5th 169 10th 105 5th $25,134 10th $16,824
  • 38. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 35 I 36 How to leverage our natural resources Agricultural processing and exports can be increased by supporting policies and regulations designed to grow the industry, increasing agricultural engineering solutions, expanding the export transportation infrastructure, and helping expand overseas markets.To grow Michigan’s tourism opportunities, we need to market our easy access to major population centers, relatively low costs, and the intrinsic and varied attractiveness of our natural amenities.We must also strategically develop travel and hospitality infrastructures. With our plentiful supply of fresh water, we can work now to attract water-intensive industries to the state, ensuring that they adopt safe, sustainable practices to protect our water resources. Finally, we should also pursue the prudent utilization of natural shale, wind and precious minerals resources. Projected Growth According to the current trajectory, by 2020 Michigan’s earnings and employment would decrease by 28% and 14%, respectively, and its GDP would increase by 19% in industries related to the natural resources economy. If Michigan were to achieve the growth rate of the 10th- fastest growing state, Michigan’s earnings, GDP, and employment would increase from their current levels by 25%, 21%, and 20%, respectively, in natural resources industries.This growth would add $12,700 to average earnings in these industries, $2.8 billion to annual GDP, and an additional 40,000 employees to current levels.
  • 39. THESIXOPPORTUNITIES Industry Insights • In 2012, the agriculture and food industry contributed $91.4 billion to our state’s economy — a nearly 50 percent growth in the past eight years. • Improving market access is a continual challenge for our farmers. Michigan is ranked 13th worst nationally in the overall condition of our bridges.This is not conducive to efficient business when 37.1 million tons of agricultural commodities are shipped using our roads and bridges, and 90 percent of farm commodities are shipped by truck. • A large, qualified work force is needed to sustain the agriculture industry. In the past decade student enrollment in agriculture, food and natural resource courses has declined 20 percent. • Parks and trail systems are being seen by more communities as assets to be enhanced, publicized, connected to local economic development plans, and leveraged to drive people into utilizing local businesses. • Michigan’s tourism market brought in an estimated $17.7 billion in visitor spending and provided 200,000 jobs for Michiganders in 2011. • A substantial national investment has been made in the hunting and fishing community, with Cabela’s opening a Saginaw store and planning another in Grand Rapids. Bass Pro Shop is also engaged in expansion efforts in Mt. Pleasant. Field & Stream has named Michigan as the number one place for fly- fishing in the U.S. • Timber has risen in the public eye as a strong economic driver in the state.The Governor has proposed the creation of a timber conference for early spring to help raise awareness. • The widespread recognition of the Pure Michigan brand has been responsible for building and enhancing the state’s image, and has played a pivotal role in driving up hotel occupancies and creating overall tourism growth in the state. Regionally, the transformation of Cobo Center and the resurgence of economic development in downtown Detroit have poised the city to become a more competitive destination for tourism and convention business.
  • 40. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 37 I 38 Conclusion No one is going to hand us what it takes to take advantage of these opportunities to accelerate economic growth; we have to earn it.We have to recognize that we compete in a global marketplace and embrace leadership, policies, and attitudes that promote growth. We have to focus our limited resources on building the infrastructure and assets that will contribute most to our economic future.We have to forge a sense of common purpose among government, the private sector, and the institutions and organizations that bolster our economic life.And we have to remain vigilant so we recognize changing economic conditions and seize new opportunities as they arise. The all-important point is that new levels of growth are eminently achievable for Michigan, but we can increase the odds and accelerate the pace of achievement if we take advantage of these unique opportunities.
  • 41. Appendix Methodology Research for the 2013 New Michigan Report conducted by Anderson Economic Group, a research and consulting firm with expertise in economics, public policy, finance, and industry analysis. The data presented in this report is from several sources, all of which are publicly available. The report used the most recent data available for which there was a complete data set. Earnings data is presented in 2010 dollars, including future projections. Dollar amounts for all input metrics are in nominal amounts for the corresponding year. Real GDP figures are presented in chained 2005 dollars. (This is the conventional way to present real GDP data, as used by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.) Identification of opportunity components In order to estimate Michigan’s performance for each of the six opportunities, a set of 4- and 6-digit NAICS industries associated with each opportunity were determined. 2010 U.S. Census Bureau County Business Patterns (CBP) data was used associated with these codes for employment and earnings estimates. Furthermore, BEA industries associated with each opportunity were used to estimate measures of economic output (GDP). Estimation methods Input metrics Each opportunity has an identified set of input metrics which contribute to job and economic growth in Michigan. Each metric uses the most recent data available from the data sources. Select metrics were used to measure inputs in each opportunity. These include the following: • Patents Awarded: A set of patent codes were identified that were associated with each opportunity to aggregate the total patents for that opportunity from 2011 data. • Number of Firms: The number of firms were calculated based on the NAICS codes identified during the classification process. These correspond to “number of establishments” in CBP. • Graduates: For each opportunity, a cluster of degrees and certificates were identified that are relevant to the opportunity at hand. Using the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) provided by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), completions were calculated, by state, in the 2010-2011 school year for those categories. The data include degrees and certificates conferred at public and non-profit institutions, and do not include values from for-profit institutions. CONCLUSION
  • 42. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 39 I 40 Output metrics For each opportunity, economic output is calculated in terms of GDP, employment, and earnings.Real GDP values, presented in 2005 chained dollars, are aggregated across each category for each opportunity’s total value from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Employment presented is the number of employees on the payroll at the time of data collection (March), and is an aggregation of the data for each NAICS industry in each category. Employment is shown as a share of the working-age population, which is the population of people in the state between the ages of 20 and 64, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. Average earnings is calculated by aggregating the total earnings associated with each NAICS category, and dividing it by the total aggregate employment. For employment and earnings in the “Higher Education” opportunity, also includes numbers for public universities from the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) because CBP data includes only private universities and colleges. Note that, if Michigan’s rank in an opportunity is lower than the rank for the overall economy, that does not imply that the absolute value of the relevant metric is lower for that opportunity than for the overall economy. For example, Michigan ranks 18th in average earnings in the Life Sciences Hub opportunity, but ranks 17th in average earnings when considering the economy as a whole, despite the fact that Michigan’s average earnings in Life Sciences Hub industries are $61,000 compared to average earnings economy-wide of $42,000. The rank for Michigan is lower in the Life Sciences Hub opportunity because the industries that characterize this opportunity tend to be higher-paying industries in all states, and Michigan’s average earnings within these industries are just a bit lower, relative to other states, than the average earnings in Michigan’s overall economy. GDP For each opportunity, a set of industries were chosen that aligned with BEA GDP categories for each opportunity. These correspond to the “Related Industries” displayed in the report. For most of the industries, the entire amount of the Real GDP was used within that category in the BEA data. For the Life Sciences Hub opportunity, however, only the following BEA categories were used: “Miscellaneous manufacturing;” “Professional, scientific, and technical services;” “Ambulatory health care services;” and “Chemical manufacturing.” In order to determine which proportion should be used for each of these industries, we used the ratio of more detailed NAICS codes total earnings to the total earnings of the NAICS industry that corresponds to the broader GDP categories. That ratio was then applied to GDP data. For example, to determine the amount of real GDP attributable to medical equipment manufacturing, the real GDP in the “Miscellaneous manufacturing” category, according to the BEA, was multiplied by the ratio of medical equipment manufacturing earnings (NAICS 3391) to miscellaneous manufacturing earnings (NAICS 339), according to County Business Patterns data. Employment and Earnings Due to the nature of CBP data, some information for certain industries is withheld. For these data, a specific method was used in order to estimate the missing data. • For employment data withheld, we used the average in the range of values given by relevant code in the data. For example, the letter “b” indicates a range of 20-99 employees. For all recorded instances of b, included an assumption of employment of 59.5.
  • 43. APPENDIX • Earnings data may be withheld to avoid disclosing information for specific companies. In order to estimate earnings when there was withheld data, we followed several steps: - If data for 4-digit NAICS codes was withheld, when available, average earnings data were used for the associated 3-digit NAICS codes, multiplied it by the number of employees in the industry, and added it to the total earnings from the remainder of data for the opportunity - In the event that the 3-digit NAICS code also contained withheld data, there was a reliance on estimations using US earnings data. The overall ratios from state to US earnings data for all reported values in CBP was determined. From those ratios, we estimated withheld data by taking each state’s average earnings ratio, and applied it to the average US earnings in each 3-digit category, and multiplied the resulting value by employment in each industry. • If data from a state was too low to report in earnings or employment for a given NAICS code, we assigned a value of zero for that NAICS category. For the performance of Michigan’s job and economic growth across all six opportunities, any duplicated codes or categories were eliminated in order to ensure that values were not overestimated. It merits note that employment data for government workers and farm workers are not available in the sources, so this data is not included in totals shown. See Appendix B for a list of all industries excluded from the totals. Projected Growth Scenarios For each set of output metrics, 2020 levels for Michigan are estimated according to several different projected growth rates: Michigan’s historical growth rate, a “Top Five” historical growth rate, and a “Top Ten” historical growth rate. Growth rates were calculated based on data for each output metric in each opportunity for 2005-2010 data. States were ranked based on how quickly they grew in each metric, separately, from 2005 to 2010. Then, for each separate metric, the “Top Five” growth rate was simply the fifth- ranked state in growth of that metric. Similarly, the “Top Ten” growth rate was that of the tenth-ranked state in growth of that metric. The calculated growth rates were then applied to Michigan’s 2010 levels, and the state’s 2020 performance in different scenarios was projected, assuming that its growth rate would be equal to the “Top Five,” “Top Ten,” and Michigan growth rate. These values do not account for population change, or any other shift in economic or demographic factors. Projected growth scenarios use real GDP as a metric, and not per capita real GDP, as is used for all other estimations. This is consistent with projections that the population in Michigan will remain stagnant for the next ten years, rendering growth in real GDP and per capita real GDP equal. 3 2005 values for earnings were adjusted to 2010 dollars according to an annual inflation rate of approximately 2%. In the case that NAICS industries were different between 2005 and 2010, we estimated 2005 values based on its share of a higher-level code.
  • 44. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 41 I 42 List of NAICS Industries for Each Opportunity 2012 NAICS Code Description Global Engineering Village 3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Manufacturing 3271 Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing 3272 Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing 3311 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing 3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel 3313 Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing 3314 Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing 3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery Manufacturing 3332 Industrial Machinery Manufacturing 3333 Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing 3335 Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing 3336 Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Manufacturing 3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing 3341 Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing 3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing 3345 Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing 3346 Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and Optical Media 3351 Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing 3359 Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing 3361 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing 3362 Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing 3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing 3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing 3391 Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing 8112 Electronic and Precision Equipment Repair and Maintenance 8113 Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 9271 Space Research and Technology* 54171 Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences 336992 Military Armored Vehicle, Tank, and Tank Component Manufacturing 541330 Engineering Services Gateway to the Midwest 2373 Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 2379 Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 4811 Scheduled Air Transportation 4812 Nonscheduled Air Transportation 4821 Rail Transportation* 4831 Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water Transportation 4832 Inland Water Transportation 4841 General Freight Trucking 4842 Specialized Freight Trucking 4881 Support Activities for Air Transportation 4882 Support Activities for Rail Transportation 4883 Support Activities for Water Transportation 4884 Support Activities for Road Transportation 4885 Freight Transportation Arrangement 4889 Other Support Activities for Transportation 4911 Postal Service* 4921 Couriers and Express Delivery Services 4931 Warehousing and Storage 541614 Process, Physical Distribution, and Logistics Consulting Services Higher Education Marketplace** 5417 Scientific Research and Development Services 6112 Junior Colleges 6113 Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools 6114 Business Schools and Computer and Management Training 6115 Technical and Trade Schools 6116 Other Schools and Instruction 6117 Educational Support Services 6243 Vocational Rehabilitation Services 8132 Grantmaking and Giving Services 923110 Administration of Education Programs* Natural Resources Economy 1111 Oilseed and Grain Farming* 1112 Vegetable and Melon Farming* 1113 Fruit and Tree Nut Farming* 1114 Greenhouse, Nursery, and Floriculture Production* 1119 Other Crop Farming* 1121 Cattle Ranching and Farming* 1122 Hog and Pig Farming* 1123 Poultry and Egg Production* 1124 Sheep and Goat Farming* 1125 Aquaculture* 1129 Other Animal Production* 1131 Timber Tract Operations 1132 Forest Nurseries and Gathering of Forest Products
  • 45. APPENDIX 1133 Logging 1141 Fishing 1142 Hunting and Trapping 1151 Support Activities for Crop Production 1152 Support Activities for Animal Production 1153 Support Activities for Forestry 2111 Oil and Gas Extraction 2121 Coal Mining 2122 Metal Ore Mining 2123 Nonmetallic Mineral Mining and Quarrying 2131 Support Activities for Mining 2371 Utility System Construction 3112 Grain and Oilseed Milling 3253 Pesticide, Fertilizer, and Other Agricultural Chemical Manufacturing 3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery Manufacturing 4235 Metal and Mineral (except Petroleum) Merchant Wholesalers 4245 Farm Product Raw Material Merchant Wholesalers 4831 Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water Transportation 4832 Inland Water Transportation 4855 Charter Bus Industry 4861 Pipeline Transportation of Crude Oil 4862 Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas 4869 Other Pipeline Transportation 4871 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land 4872 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Water 4879 Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other 4883 Support Activities for Water Transportation 5615 Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services 5622 Waste Treatment and Disposal 5629 Remediation and Other Waste Management Services 7121 Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions 7139 Other Amusement and Recreation Industries 7211 Traveler Accommodation 7212 RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps 9241 Administration of Environmental Quality Programs* 54171 Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences 221310 Water Supply and Irrigation Systems 311119 Other Animal Food Manufacturing 424910 Farm Supplies Merchant Wholesalers 481111 Scheduled Passenger Air Transportation 541330 Engineering Services 541620 Environmental Consulting Services 541690 Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services Global Center for Mobility 2373 Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 3311 Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing 3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel 3313 Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing 3336 Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Manufacturing 3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing 3341 Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing 3344 Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing 3345 Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing 3359 Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing 3361 Motor Vehicle Manufacturing 3362 Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing 3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing 3365 Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing 3366 Ship and Boat Building 3369 Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 4821 Rail Transportation* 4851 Urban Transit Systems 4852 Interurban and Rural Bus Transportation 4882 Support Activities for Rail Transportation 4884 Support Activities for Road Transportation 5415 Computer Systems Design and Related Services 9241 Administration of Environmental Quality Programs 9251 Administration of Housing Programs, Urban Planning, and Community Development 54171 Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences 541330 Engineering Services 541420 Industrial Design Services Life Sciences Hub 3254 Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing 3391 Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing 6215 Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories 541711 Research and Development in Biotechnology * Data for NAICS industry was unavailable and therefore not included in presented totals. ** For employment and earnings in the “Higher Education Marketplace” opportunity, we also added data from the National Center for Education Staistics Integrategrated Postsecondary Education Data System for public institutions
  • 46. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN I2013 ITHENEWMICHIGAN PAGES 43 I 44 JAMES B. NICHOLSON CHAIR OF THE BOARD President & Chief Executive Officer PVS Chemicals, Inc. TERENCE E. ADDERLEY Executive Chairman Kelly Services, Inc. DANIEL F. AKERSON Chairman & Chief Executive Officer General Motors Company G. MARK ALYEA President & Chief Operating Officer Alro Steel Corporation GERARD M. ANDERSON President & Chief Executive Officer DTE Energy Company DAVID W. BARFIELD Chief Executive Officer The Bartech Group, Inc. ALBERT M. BERRIZ Chief Executive Officer McKinley, Inc. MARK J. BISSELL Chairman & Chief Executive Officer BISSELL Inc. STEPHEN K. CARLISLE VP, Global Product Planning General Motors Company MARY SUE COLEMAN President University of Michigan TIMOTHY P. COLLINS Senior Vice President, Michigan Region Comcast Cable ROBERT S. CUBBIN President & Chief Executive Officer Meadowbrook Insurance Group, Inc. WALTER P. CZARNECKI Executive Vice President & Director Penske Corporation KURT L. DARROW Chairman, President & CEO La-Z-Boy Incorporated DAVID C. DAUCH President & Chief Operating Officer American Axle & Manufacturing RICHARD L. DeVORE Regional President, Detroit & SE Michigan PNC Financial Services Group DOUGLAS L. DeVOS President Amway J. PATRICK DOYLE President & Chief Executive Officer Domino’s Pizza JAMES E. DUNLAP Senior Executive VP, Director of Regional & Commercial Banking Huntington MATTHEW B. ELLIOTT Michigan Market President & Market Executive, Global Commercial Banking Bank of America JEFF M. FETTIG Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Whirlpool Corporation WILLIAM CLAY FORD, JR. Executive Chairman Ford Motor Company DANIEL GILBERT Chairman & Founder Quicken Loans Inc. ALLAN D. GILMOUR President Wayne State University ALFRED R. GLANCY III Executive Chairman Unico Investment Group LLC DAN GORDON Chief Executive Officer Gordon Food Service, Inc. STEPHEN E. GORMAN Executive Vice President & COO Delta Air Lines, Inc. JAMES P. HACKETT President & Chief Executive Officer Steelcase Inc. RONALD E. HALL President & Chief Executive Officer Bridgewater Interiors, LLC RICHARD G. HAWORTH Chairman Emeritus Haworth, Inc. CHRISTOPHER ILITCH President & Chief Executive Officer Ilitch Holdings, Inc. MICHAEL J. JANDERNOA Board of Directors Perrigo Company MILES E. JONES Co-Chairman of the Board Dawn Food Products, Inc. DAVID W. JOOS Chairman CMS Energy Corporation HANS-WERNER KAAS Senior Director-Detroit Office McKinsey & Company ALAN JAY KAUFMAN Chairman, President & CEO Kaufman Financial Group JOHN C. KENNEDY President & Chief Executive Officer Autocam STEPHEN M. KIRCHER President & Chief Executive Officer, Boyne Eastern Operations Boyne Resorts BLAKE W. KRUEGER Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer & President Wolverine World Wide, Inc. BRIAN K. LARCHE President & Chief Executive Officer Engineered Machined Products, Inc. ANDREW N. LIVERIS Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Dow Chemical Company KEVIN A. LOBO President & Chief Executive Officer Stryker Corporation DANIEL J. LOEPP President & Chief Executive Officer Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan EVAN D. LYALL Chief Executive Officer Roush Enterprises, Inc. BEN C. MAIBACH III Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Barton Malow Company RICHARD A. MANOOGIAN Chairman Emeritus Masco Corporation Business Leaders for Michigan - 2013 Board of Directors
  • 47. BUSINESSLEADERSFORMICHIGAN2013BOARDOFDIRECTORS KENNETH E. MARBLESTONE President RBS Citizens and Charter One - Michigan & Ohio FLORINE MARK President & Chief Executive Officer The WW Group, Inc. SARAH L. McCLELLAND President, Michigan Market Chase CHARLES G. McCLURE Chairman, President & CEO Meritor, Inc. DAVID E. MEADOR Executive Vice President & CFO DTE Energy HANK MEIJER Co-Chairman & CEO Meijer, Inc. MICHAEL MILLER Director of Business & Industrial Markets & Head of Ann Arbor Office Google, Inc. FREDERICK K. MINTURN President & Chief Executive Officer MSX International PAUL J. MUELLER President – Midwest Region The Hanover Insurance Group MARK A. MURRAY Co-Chief Executive Officer Meijer, Inc. CATHLEEN H. NASH President & Chief Executive Officer Citizens Republic Bancorp THOMAS D. OGDEN President – Comerica Bank Michigan Comerica Bank JAMES O’LEARY Chairman, President & CEO Kaydon Corporation WILLIAM U. PARFET Chairman & Chief Executive Officer MPI Research CYNTHIA J. PASKY Founder, President & CEO Strategic Staffing Solutions ROGER S. PENSKE Chairman Penske Corporation WILLIAM F. PICKARD Chairman & Chief Executive Officer GlobalAutomotiveAlliance SANDRA E. PIERCE Vice Chairman of FirstMerit Corporation; Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of FirstMerit Michigan GERRY PODESTA Senior Vice President, NA Polyurethanes BASF CHARLES H. PODOWSKI President & Chief Executive Officer The Auto Club Group STEPHEN R. POLK Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer R. L. Polk & Co. JOHN RAKOLTA, JR. Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Walbridge MICHAEL T. RITCHIE Executive Vice President Comerica Bank DOUG ROTHWELL President & Chief Executive Officer Business Leaders for Michigan ANDRA M. RUSH President & Chief Executive Officer Dakkota Integrated Systems, LLC JOHN G. RUSSELL President & Chief Executive Officer CMS Energy Corporation & Consumers Energy RICHARD F. RUSSELL President & Chief Executive Officer Amerisure Companies ALAN F. SCHULTZ Chairman Valassis J. DONALD SHEETS Executive Vice President & CFO; Regional President, North America Dow Corning BRAD SIMMONS Director, Office of the Executive Chairman Ford Motor Company LOU ANNA K. SIMON, Ph.D. President Michigan State University SAM SIMON Chief Executive Officer & Chairman Atlas Oil Company MATTHEW J. SIMONCINI President & Chief Executive Officer Lear Corporation BRIG SORBER President & Chief Executive Officer Two Men and a Truck/International, Inc. DOUGLAS W. STOTLAR President & Chief Executive Officer Con-Way Inc. ROBERT S. TAUBMAN Chairman & CEO, President Taubman, Inc. MICHAEL J. TIERNEY President & Chief Executive Officer Flagstar Bank, FSB SAMUEL VALENTI III Chairman of the Board TriMas Corporation STEPHEN A. VAN ANDEL Chairman Amway MICHELLE L. VAN DYKE Regional President Fifth Third Bank JAMES R. VERRIER President & Chief Executive Officer BorgWarner Inc. TIMOTHY WADHAMS President & Chief Executive Officer Masco Corporation BRIAN C. WALKER President & Chief Executive Officer Herman Miller, Inc. WILLIAM H. WEIDEMAN Executive Vice President & CFO The Dow Chemical Company WILLIAM C. YOUNG Chief Executive Officer Plastipak Holdings, Inc. Visteon Corporation