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EXOPLANETS
A Neptune-mass exoplanet in close orbit around a
very low-mass star challenges formation models
Guðmundur Stefánsson1
*, Suvrath Mahadevan2,3,4
, Yamila Miguel5,6
, Paul Robertson7
,
Megan Delamer2,3
, Shubham Kanodia8
, Caleb I. Cañas9
, Joshua N. Winn1
, Joe P. Ninan10
,
Ryan C. Terrien11
, Rae Holcomb7
, Eric B. Ford2,3,12,13
, Brianna Zawadzki2,3
, Brendan P. Bowler14
,
Chad F. Bender15
, William D. Cochran16,17
, Scott Diddams18,19,20
, Michael Endl16,14
,
Connor Fredrick19,20
, Samuel Halverson21
, Fred Hearty2,3
, Gary J. Hill17,14
, Andrea S. J. Lin2,3
,
Andrew J. Metcalf22,19,20
, Andrew Monson15
, Lawrence Ramsey2,3
, Arpita Roy23,24
†,
Christian Schwab25
, Jason T. Wright2,3,26
, Gregory Zeimann27,17
Theories of planet formation predict that low-mass stars should rarely host exoplanets with masses
exceeding that of Neptune. We used radial velocity observations to detect a Neptune-mass exoplanet
orbiting LHS 3154, a star that is nine times less massive than the Sun. The exoplanet’s orbital
period is 3.7 days, and its minimum mass is 13.2 Earth masses. We used simulations to show that the high
planet-to-star mass ratio (>3.5 × 10−4
) is not an expected outcome of either the core accretion or
gravitational instability theories of planet formation. In the core-accretion simulations, we show that
close-in Neptune-mass planets are only formed if the dust mass of the protoplanetary disk is an order of
magnitude greater than typically observed around very low-mass stars.
L
ow-mass red dwarf stars—those with
spectra classified as M dwarfs—are the
most common stars close to the Sun and
throughout the Milky Way Galaxy (1, 2).
Gas giant planets are much rarer around
M dwarfs than the more massive F, G, and K
dwarf stars (3), and the vast majority of plan-
ets orbiting M dwarfs are less massive than
Neptune (4, 5). Few planets have been detected
orbiting the least massive (<0.25 solar masses)
and coolest M dwarfs, known as very low-mass
dwarfs. This is because very low-mass dwarfs
are faint and emit most of their radiation at
infrared wavelengths, at which exoplanet de-
tection techniques are less sensitive than at
optical wavelengths.
The planetary systems around very low-mass
dwarfs TRAPPIST-1 (6) and Teegarden’s star
(7) both contain compact systems of small
(probably rocky) planets. The formation of
such systems is compatible with the core-
accretion theory of planet formation (8–11),
within which the outcome depends strong-
ly on the total mass of small solid particles
(dust) within the protoplanetary disk from
which the planets formed (9). Observations
of dust disk masses of protoplanetary disks
have shown that typical disk dust masses
are lower than required to explain observed
planetary systems around other stars (12, 13).
Protoplanetary disk dust masses are observed
to scale with stellar mass (14, 15), implying that
the disks around very low-mass stars might
have dust masses sufficient to form Earth-mass
planets but not giant planets. However, the
uncertainties in theoretical models and the
large dispersion in observed dust masses are
consistent with a small fraction of low-mass
stars hosting close-orbiting planets with a
mass of ≳10 Earth masses (M⊕).
Massive planet candidates have been de-
tected around a few very low-mass dwarfs, but
in all cases, the planets have very wide orbits.
Examples include GJ 3512 b [mass, >0.46 Jupiter
masses (Mjup); orbital period of 203 days] (16)
and TZ Ari b (mass, >0.21Mjup; orbital period
of 771 days) (17). These gas giants were inter-
preted as having formed through a mechanism
other than core accretion, such as gravitational
instability within a massive gaseous outer disk,
which produces more wide-orbiting planets
than close-orbiting planets (18). Giant planets
have not been observed on close orbits around
very low-mass dwarfs.
A planet orbiting LHS 3154
We observed the low-mass M dwarf LHS 3154
(coordinates are provided in Table 1), located
15.7531 ± 0.0084 pc from the Sun. We used the
Habitable-zone Planet Finder (HPF) (19, 20), a
near-infrared spectrograph (resolving power
R = 55,000) on the 10-m Hobby-Eberly Tele-
scope (HET) at McDonald Observatory in
Texas, USA (21, 22). The observations were
taken as part of a survey designed to search
for planets around very low-mass dwarfs (19).
We obtained 137 spectra between 23 January
2020 and 13 April 2022, from which we mea-
sured the radial velocity (RV) (Fig. 1A) (23). A
periodogram of the RV data (Fig. 1B) indicates
a periodic Doppler shift, which we interpret as
being due to a planet with an orbital period of
3.7 days; the corresponding false-alarm prob-
ability is≪0:1%. The RV residuals (Fig. 1, B and
E) contain no evidence of another planet in the
system. The only other peak in the periodogram
with <0.1% false alarm probability is a 1-day alias
of the 3.7-day period (Fig. 1C).
We fitted a one-planet orbital model to the
RV data (23). The measured properties of LHS
3154 and our inferred properties of the orbit-
ing planet, LHS 3154 b, are summarized in
Table 1. We estimate the stellar mass and ra-
dius as 0.1118 ± 0.0027 solar masses (M⊙) and
0.1405 ± 0.0038 solar radii (R⊙), respectively,
on the basis of scaling relationships for M
dwarfs (24, 25). All uncertainties are 1s unless
stated otherwise. We determined the stellar
effective temperature (Teff) as 2861 ± 77 K
using the HPF-SPECMATCH (26) software, which
compares a given HPF spectrum with a library
of other spectra with known properties. The
metallicity of the star (its proportion of ele-
ments heavier than helium), which is difficult
to constrain for verylow-massstars, is consistent
with the Sun’s metallicity (23). The low eccen-
tricity of LHS 3154b, e ¼ 0:076þ0:057
0:047 , is con-
sistent with a circular orbit at 95% confidence.
Excluding nonplanetary explanations
Stellar activity, the intrinsic variations of a
star’s atmosphere, can produce apparent radial-
RESEARCH
1
Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA. 2
Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
16802, USA. 3
Center for Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 4
Institute for Particle Physics and Astrophysics, Eidgenössische
Technische Hochschule Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland. 5
Leiden Observatory, Leiden University, 2300 RA Leiden, Netherlands. 6
Space Research Organisation of the Netherlands, NL-3584 CA
Utrecht, Netherlands. 7
Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697, USA. 8
Earth and Planets Laboratory, Carnegie Institution for Science, Washington,
DC 20015, USA. 9
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. 10
Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, Mumbai 400005, India.
11
Department of Physics and Astronomy, Carleton College, Northfield, MN 55057, USA. 12
Center for Astrostatistics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 13
Institute
for Computational and Data Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 14
Department of Astronomy, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA.
15
Steward Observatory, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA. 16
Center for Planetary Systems Habitability, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. 17
McDonald
Observatory, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. 18
Electrical, Computer and Energy Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80305, USA. 19
National Institute of
Standards and Technology, Boulder, CO 80305, USA. 20
Department of Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA. 21
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology,
Pasadena, CA 91109, USA. 22
Space Vehicles Directorate, Air Force Research Laboratory, Kirtland AFB, NM 87117, USA. 23
Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA.
24
Department of Physics and Astronomy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA. 25
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109,
Australia. 26
Penn State Extraterrestrial Intelligence Center, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 27
Hobby-Eberly Telescope, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
78712, USA.
*Corresponding author. Email: gstefansson@princeton.edu
†Present address: Schmidt Futures, New York, NY 10011, USA.
Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 1 of 5
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velocity shifts that can be misidentified as a
planetary signal (27). We used several metrics
to assess the stellar activity of LHS 3154—
including the differential line width indicator
and the chromatic index indicators (7)—and
found no correlation between the RV signal
and activity indicators in the HPF spectra (23).
We obtained an additional optical spectrum of
LHS 3154 using the Low-Resolution Spectro-
graph (LRS2) (28) on the HET (resolving power
R = 2500), which showed no evidence of emis-
sion in the Ha line. Previous work (29) has
shown that very low-mass M dwarfs without
detectable Ha emission rotate slowly; we used
their scaling relationship to estimate the ro-
tation period of LHS 3154 as 114 ± 22 days.
Such slow rotation is consistent with the nar-
row stellar lines in the HPF spectra. Time-series
photometry from the Transiting Exoplanet
Survey Satellite (30) shows no evidence of
stellar rotation–induced photometric varia-
bility at short periods (10 days), nor of flar-
ing. Time-series photometry over a longer time
span from the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF)
(31) shows no evidence for variability on time
scales near the 3.7-day period of the planetary
signal but does show evidence for variations on
time scales between 90 and 140 days (23), which
is consistent with our estimated rotation rate.
We therefore conclude that LHS 3154b is a
slowly rotatinginactive starand thatthe 3.7-day
RV signal is not caused by stellar activity.
The model fitted to the RVs indicates that
LHS 3154b has a minimum mass of msini ¼
13:15þ0:84
0:82 M⊕, where m is the planet mass
and i is the orbital inclination (which is un-
known). To derive an upper limit on the planet’s
mass, we used astrometric information from
the Gaia spacecraft. A sufficiently massive com-
panion would induce detectable astrometric
motion, which would appear as excess astro-
metric noise in the Gaia data (32). For LHS 3154,
the Gaia Data Release 3 (33) catalog reported
an excess astrometric noise of 316 micro–arc sec
with a significance of 27.7s. However, the data
release does not specify the time scale of the
astrometric variability, making it impossible to
determine whether it is from the 3.7-day planet
or an additional long-period companion. Gaia
astrometry for very red stars is known to be
affected by larger systematic errors than for
Sun-like stars (34, 35), so the significance of
the astrometric excess noise is likely overesti-
mated. The Gaia renormalized unit-weight error
(RUWE) parameter accounts for the color-
dependent systematic issues and has been
shown to be a better indicator of a compan-
ion object than is the astrometric excess (34).
LHS 3154’s RUWE value of 1.12 (33) is con-
sistent with a single star. Even so, if we assume
that all of the observed excess astrometric
noise is due to a planet on a 3.7-day orbit, and
assuming a single-star astrometric solution
(36), we obtain a 3s mass limit of 32Mjup.
This rules out a stellar binary companion as
the origin of the RV variations. Only inclina-
tions ≤0.2° would lead to a mass above 13Mjup,
the approximate minimum mass for deuterium
fusion, which is sometimes used to distinguish
giant planets from brown dwarfs. Although
such an orientation would occur in only ~10−5
of randomly oriented orbital planes, RV sur-
veys are known to detect such face-on systems
and misidentify them as planet candidates
(37). Given the known low occurrence rate of
brown dwarfs on short-period orbits (38), and
the astrometric constraint of 32Mjup, we favor
the interpretation that LHS 3154 b is a plane-
tary mass object.
Comparison with planet formation models
In Fig. 2, we compare the planet-to-star mass
ratio of LHS 3154b with planets around other
very low-mass M dwarfs, restricted to those with
masses known to within 30%. We used LHS
3154b’s mass ratio of 3.5 × 10−4
to test theories
of planet formation around low-mass stars.
In the core-accretion model of planet forma-
tion, planets grow from initial over densities
(known as cores) in a protoplanetary disk, which
accrete dust and gas from the surrounding disk.
Models in which initial cores grow through
the accretion of ~1-km-sized solid bodies (called
planetesimals) (8–10, 39), or by accreting pebble-
sized material (40, 41), predict that very low-
mass stars are only capable of forming compact
systems of rocky planets on short-period or-
bits. The maximum mass of planets formed
through core accretion in simulations of the
planetesimal-driven scenario around low-mass
stars is about 5M⊕ (9), and 3M⊕ in the pebble
accretion–driven scenario (40, 41). With a
Table 1. Properties of the star LHS 3154 and planet LHS 3154b. The stellar parameters were derived
by using the HPF-SPECMATCH code applied to the HPF spectra (23) and scaling relations for M dwarfs
(24, 25). The Ha emission is given as the logarithmic ratio of Ha luminosity (LHa) to the overall bolometric
luminosity (Lbol). The planet parameters were derived from an orbital model fitted to the HPF RVs (23).
Median values are listed, and uncertainties denote the 68% credible intervals. Right ascension and declination
coordinates are on the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS) at epoch 2016.0. BJDTDB is the
barycentric Julian date. The rotation period is estimated from a scaling relationship for inactive M stars (29).
Stellar parameters Value Reference
Right ascension 16h
06m
32s
.78 (33)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Declination +40°54′24′′.64 (33)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Absolute radial velocity (km s–1
) –42.05 ± 0.34 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Spectral type M6.5 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
V-band magnitude 17.65 ± 0.20 (45)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
TESS magnitude 13.2266 ± 0.007 (45)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
J-band magnitude 11.05 ± 0.018 (45)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
KS-band magnitude 10.072 ± 0.019 (45)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Effective temperature (K) 2861 ± 77 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mass (solar masses, M⊙) 0.1118 ± 0.0027 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Radius (solar radii, R⊙) 0.1405 ± 0.0038 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Luminosity (solar luminosities, L⊙) 0:0019þ0:00015
0:00014 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Distance (pc) 15.7531 ± 0.0084 (46)
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Rotation period (days) 114 ± 22 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Space velocities (km s–1
)
U = –42.32 ± 0.10,
V = –54.53 ± 0.21,
W = 4.16 ± 0.25
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Age (109
years) 5þ4
2
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Ha emission (logLHa/Lbol) ≤–5.3 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Projected rotational velocity (km s–1
) 2 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Planet parameters
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Orbital period (days) 3:71778þ0:00080
0:00081
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Time of conjunction (BJDTDB) 2458874þ0:14
0:14
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Time of periastron (BJDTDB) 2458874:02þ0:67
0:57
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Eccentricity 0:076þ0:057
0:047
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Argument of periastron (deg) 82þ102
47
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Radial velocity semiamplitude (m s–1
) 23:4þ1:5
1:4
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Minimum mass m sin i (M⊕) 13:15þ0:84
0:82
This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Orbital semimajor axis (au) 0.02262 ± 0.00018 This work
.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE
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A
B
C D
E
P=3.71days
Fig. 1. HPF radial velocity observations of LHS 3154b. (A) Radial velocity
(RV) as a function of Universal Time date (black data points) and the orbital
model fitted to the data (red line). The parameters of the model are listed
in Table 1. (B) Residuals (black data points) between the RV observations and
the model. The gray dashed line indicates 0 m s–1
. (C) Periodogram of the RV
data (black; arbitrary units). A peak at 3.7 days is labeled in red. The vertical red
dashed line indicates the 1-day alias of the 3.7 peak. The black horizontal dashed line
indicates the 0.1% false-alarm probability (FAP) line. (D) Phase-folded radial
velocities. The best-fitting period P and RV semiamplitude K are listed at top right
and in Table 1. The red curve is the best-fitting model, and the grey shading indicates
the 1s and 3s credible regions, respectively. (E) Phase-folded residuals. All error
bars denote 1s uncertainties.
Fig. 2. Planet-to-star mass ratios for planets
orbiting very low-mass stars. The sample is
restricted to planet mass measurements (m)
with an uncertainty smaller than 30% and host
star masses of M★  0:25M⊙. Circles indicate
transiting planets with measured masses.
Triangles indicate planets detected with the
RV technique, for which only a lower mass limit
(m sin i) is available. Colors indicate the host
star stellar effective temperature (color bar).
LHS 3154b is in red; black labels indicate other
exoplanets discussed in the text and other
M dwarf planets with high planet-to-star mass
ratios. Error bars denote 1s uncertainties
and are shown for all planets; in some cases,
they are smaller than the symbol size.
LHS 3154b
Trappist-1g
Trappist-1b
GJ 1214b GJ 1265b
LHS 1140b
GJ 3512b
TZ Ari b
Teegarden b
LP 791-18c
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minimum mass of 13:2M⊕, LHS 3154b is diffi-
cult to explain with core-accretion models.
Core-accretion simulations
The outcomes of planet-formation models de-
pend sensitively on the assumed protoplanetary
disk properties, especially the total disk dust
mass and its surface-density distribution as a
function of distance from the star. We performed
planet-formation simulations for the LHS 3154
system based on the core-accretion scenario by
modifying a previous model (9) to include gas
accretion (supplementary text) (23, 42).
We show in Fig. 3 the resulting simulation
outcomes for four combinations of assumed
total disk mass and disk surface density dis-
tribution, the latter parameterized by a power
law index g. Results are shown in Fig. 3A from
simulations in which the disk dust masses
are drawn from a distribution of masses
consistent with observations for a 0.1M⊙
star (15) and a nominal surface density dis-
tribution with power law index g = 1 (23).
Simulations with these parameters do not
form any close-orbiting planets as massive as
LHS 3154b. The results from simulations in
which the median mass of the disk dust mass
distribution has been increased by an order of
magnitude are shown in Fig. 3B. Simulation
results are shown in Fig. 3, C and D, for the
same mass distributions as in Fig. 3, A and B,
but in more compact disks (g = 1.5). A small
number of planets with properties similar to
those of LHS 3154b are produced in the two
simulations with higher total dust mass distrib-
utions (Fig. 3, B and D). In those simulations,
the larger amounts of solid material produce
on average more massive initial cores, which
can grow into more massive planets. The more
compact disks increase the density of dust
close to the star, leading to more collisions
that form close orbiting planets. However, we
found that more compact disks alone, without
larger dust disk masses (Fig. 3C), do not form
planets similar to LHS 3154b in our simulations.
Gravitational instability models
Another possible way to form massive plan-
ets is through gravitational instability, which
has been invoked to explain massive gas giant
planets around low-mass stars, such as the
wide-orbiting gas giant planet GJ 3512b (mass
0.46Mjup; P = 203 days) (16). However, LHS
3154b’s mass of 13:2M⊕ is much lower than
the minimum mass of planets formed from gra-
vitational instability: Simulations of gravi-
tational instability around a 0.1M⊙ star found
minimum mass fragments ofe60M⊕ (16)—about
five times larger than the lower limit for LHS
3154b. Gravitational instability preferentially
forms planets on wide orbits (16). Although
we cannot rule out the gravitational instab-
ility mechanism, if LHS 3154b formed through
gravitational instability followed by inward
migration, it would require even greater proto-
planetary disk masses than we considered
above for the core-accretion scenario.
High disk masses
Both potential formation mechanisms require
protoplanetary disks that have substantially
greater dust masses than are typically observed
around very low-mass stars (15). One possible
solution to this discrepancy is if a large frac-
tion of the dust in protoplanetary disks around
More
Compact
Disk
(
)
A Typical Assumptions B 10x Mdust
Distribution
C Compact Disk
Increasing Mdust
Orbital Period [d] Orbital Period [d]
Orbital Distance [au]
Orbital Distance [au]
D Compact Disk + 10x Mdust
Distribution
Close-in Neptunes
LHS 3154b
Fraction: 1/300
Fraction: 1/300 Fraction: 3%
Fraction: 1%
Fig. 3. Results from our simulations of core-accretion planet formation.
Planet mass is shown as a function of orbital distance in astronomical units
(au). Circles indicate results from simulated systems, 300 in each panel,
colored by the disk dust mass in that simulation. LHS 3154b is indicated with
an orange arrow in (A) to (D), with its base indicating the minimum mass
of 13.2 Earth masses. Gray boxes highlight the region and corresponding
frequencies of close-in Neptune-mass planets (periods from 1 to 10 days and
masses from 10 to 100 Earth masses) formed in the simulations. (A) Results
from typical assumptions (23), drawing the protoplanetary disk dust mass
Mdust from a distribution with a median of ~
Mdust ¼ 0:8M⊕ and a disk power law
index of g = 1.0. (B) Same as in (A) but with higher median of the disk dust
mass distribution, by an order of magnitude, with ~
Mdust ¼ 8M⊕. (C) Same as
in (A) but with g = 1.5. (D) Same as in (B) but with g = 1.5. Typical assumptions
of planet formation (A) are incapable of forming planets as massive as LHS
3154b around 0.1M⊙ stars. To form LHS 3154b–mass planets requires us to
increase the mass of the disk (B), preferably in more compact disks (D) that
have higher dust surface densities close to the star, facilitating formation of
close-in massive planets.
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low-mass stars grows to centimeter sizes or
more (43, 44); pebbles of that size would not be
detected by the millimeter observations used
to estimate the overall dust masses, causing
them to underestimate. Another possibility is
that disks accrete large amounts of addition-
al material from the surrounding parent mol-
ecular cloud (12). A third possibility is that
protoplanetary cores form soon (within 1 million
years) after the host protostar, when protoplan-
etary disks are expected to be more massive than
at later times. This would enable runaway accre-
tion of gases and thereby the formation of a gas
giant planet (13).
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v.1.0.0. Zenodo (2023); https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8402572.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We thank the three anonymous referees for their helpful comments
and suggestions, which improved the quality of this paper.
Computations were performed at the Pennsylvania State
University’s Institute for Computational and Data Sciences (ICDS).
The Hobby-Eberly Telescope (HET) is a joint project of the
University of Texas at Austin, the Pennsylvania State University,
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, and Georg-August-
Universität Göttingen. The HET is named in honor of its principal
benefactors, William P. Hobby and Robert E. Eberly. The Low
Resolution Spectrograph 2 (LRS2) was developed and funded by
the University of Texas at Austin McDonald Observatory and
Department of Astronomy and by Pennsylvania State University.
We thank the Leibniz-Institut für Astrophysik Potsdam (AIP) and
the Institut für Astrophysik Göttingen (IAG) for their contributions
to the construction of the integral field units. Funding: This
work was partially supported by funding from the Center for
Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds, which is supported by the
Pennsylvania State University, the Eberly College of Science, and
the Pennsylvania Space Grant Consortium. G.S. acknowledges
support provided by NASA through the NASA Hubble Fellowship
grant HST-HF2-51519.001-A awarded by the Space Telescope
Science Institute, which is operated by the Association of
Universities for Research in Astronomy, for NASA under contract
NAS5-26555. Y.M. acknowledges support from the European
Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation program (grant agreement 101088557,
N-GINE). C.I.C. acknowledges support through an appointment to
the NASA Postdoctoral Program at the Goddard Space Flight
Center administered by Oak Ridge Associated Universities through
a contract with NASA. We acknowledge support from NSF grants
AST-1006676 (S.M., C.F.B., and L.R), AST-1126413 (S.M., C.F.B.,
L.R., R.C.T., A.R., G.S., and P.R.), AST-1310885 (S.M. and C.F.B),
AST-1310875 (S.D, A.J.M, and C.F.), AST-2108493 (P.R.), AST-
2108512 (S.M. and M.D.), AST-2108569 (R.C.T.), AST-2108801
(W.D.C. and M.E.), the NASA Astrobiology Institute (NAI;
NNA09DA76A) (S.M.), and PSARC (S.M.). We acknowledge support
from the Heising-Simons Foundation through grant 2017-0494
(M.E.) and 2019-1177 (E.B.F.). S.H. acknowledges support for work
performed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute
of Technology, which was under a contract with NASA
(80NM0018D0004). S.M., P.R., and G.S. performed work as part of
NASA’s CHAMPs team, supported by NASA under grant
80NSSC23K1399 issued through the Interdisciplinary Consortia for
Astrobiology Research (ICAR) program. Author contributions:
G.S. analyzed the RVs and host star properties, interpreted the
results, and led the manuscript writing. S.M. is principal
investigator of the HPF instrument, provided oversight, and
assisted with analysis and interpretation. Y.M. led the planet-
formation simulations, with G.S. providing assistance. P.R.
provided leadership in obtaining the HPF observations and worked
with G.S. and S.M. on the interpretation of the result. M.D.
contributed to the RV analysis and revision of the manuscript.
C.I.C. and B.P.B. provided the Gaia upper mass limit constraints
and investigated the false-positive scenarios. J.N.W. provided
interpretation and revision of the manuscript. G.Z., S.K., G.J.H., and
G.S. reduced and interpreted the LRS2 spectra. B.Z. and E.B.F.
contributed to the interpretation of the planet formation
simulations. R.H. aided with the TESS photometric analysis. J.P.N.,
C.F.B., A.R., and R.C.T. extracted the HPF spectra and performed
wavelength calibration, working with S.D., A.J.M., and C.F. to
determine the wavelength solution for the HPF spectra. W.D.C. and
M.E. led HPF observing programs used to discover the planet. G.S.,
S.M., P.R., J.P.N., C.F.B., R.C.T., A.R., S.H., S.K., F.H., A.S.J.L., A.M.,
L.R., C.S., and J.T.W. contributed to the design, monitoring, and
execution of the HPF Survey, during which these observations were
carried out. All authors contributed to the interpretation of the
result. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing
interests. Data and materials availability: The HPF radial
velocities and activity indicators are provided as machine-readable
files in data S1 and data S2, respectively. The 137 HPF spectra
are available on Zenodo (47). The HPF-SERVAL code used to
extract the RVs is available at https://github.com/gummiks/
hpfserval_lhs3154 and is archived in the same Zenodo repository
(47). The planet formation simulation code is available at https://
github.com/AstroYamila-Team/PlanetFormation_SmallStars
and is also archived on Zenodo (48). License information:
Copyright © 2023 the authors, some rights reserved; exclusive
licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science.
No claim to original US government works. https://www.science.
org/about/science-licenses-journal-article-reuse
SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS
science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abo0233
Materials and Methods
Supplementary Text
Figs. S1 to S8
Table S1
References (49–91)
Data S1 and S2
Submitted 17 October 2022; accepted 9 October 2023
10.1126/science.abo0233
RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE
Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 5 of 5
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Science (ISSN 1095-9203) is published by the American Association for the Advancement of Science. 1200 New York Avenue NW,
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Copyright © 2023 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim
to original U.S. Government Works
A Neptune-mass exoplanet in close orbit around a very low-mass star challenges
formation models
Guðmundur Stefánsson, Suvrath Mahadevan, Yamila Miguel, Paul Robertson, Megan Delamer, Shubham Kanodia, Caleb
I. Cañas, Joshua N. Winn, Joe P. Ninan, Ryan C. Terrien, Rae Holcomb, Eric B. Ford, Brianna Zawadzki, Brendan P.
Bowler, Chad F. Bender, William D. Cochran, Scott Diddams, Michael Endl, Connor Fredrick, Samuel Halverson, Fred
Hearty, Gary J. Hill, Andrea S. J. Lin, Andrew J. Metcalf, Andrew Monson, Lawrence Ramsey, Arpita Roy, Christian
Schwab, Jason T. Wright, and Gregory Zeimann
Science 382 (6674), . DOI: 10.1126/science.abo0233
Editor’s summary
Planets form in protoplanetary disks of gas and dust around young stars that are undergoing their own formation
process. The amount of material in the disk determines how big the planets can grow. Stefánsson et al. observed a
nearby low-mass star using near-infrared spectroscopy. They detected Doppler shifts due to an orbiting exoplanet of at
least 13 Earth masses, which is almost the mass of Neptune. Theoretical models do not predict the formation of such a
massive planet around a low-mass star (see the Perspective by Masset). The authors used simulations to show that its
presence could be explained if the protoplanetary disk were 10 times more massive than expected for the host star. —
Keith T. Smith
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https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abo0233
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A Neptune-mass exoplanet in close orbit around avery low-mass star challenges formation models

  • 1. EXOPLANETS A Neptune-mass exoplanet in close orbit around a very low-mass star challenges formation models Guðmundur Stefánsson1 *, Suvrath Mahadevan2,3,4 , Yamila Miguel5,6 , Paul Robertson7 , Megan Delamer2,3 , Shubham Kanodia8 , Caleb I. Cañas9 , Joshua N. Winn1 , Joe P. Ninan10 , Ryan C. Terrien11 , Rae Holcomb7 , Eric B. Ford2,3,12,13 , Brianna Zawadzki2,3 , Brendan P. Bowler14 , Chad F. Bender15 , William D. Cochran16,17 , Scott Diddams18,19,20 , Michael Endl16,14 , Connor Fredrick19,20 , Samuel Halverson21 , Fred Hearty2,3 , Gary J. Hill17,14 , Andrea S. J. Lin2,3 , Andrew J. Metcalf22,19,20 , Andrew Monson15 , Lawrence Ramsey2,3 , Arpita Roy23,24 †, Christian Schwab25 , Jason T. Wright2,3,26 , Gregory Zeimann27,17 Theories of planet formation predict that low-mass stars should rarely host exoplanets with masses exceeding that of Neptune. We used radial velocity observations to detect a Neptune-mass exoplanet orbiting LHS 3154, a star that is nine times less massive than the Sun. The exoplanet’s orbital period is 3.7 days, and its minimum mass is 13.2 Earth masses. We used simulations to show that the high planet-to-star mass ratio (>3.5 × 10−4 ) is not an expected outcome of either the core accretion or gravitational instability theories of planet formation. In the core-accretion simulations, we show that close-in Neptune-mass planets are only formed if the dust mass of the protoplanetary disk is an order of magnitude greater than typically observed around very low-mass stars. L ow-mass red dwarf stars—those with spectra classified as M dwarfs—are the most common stars close to the Sun and throughout the Milky Way Galaxy (1, 2). Gas giant planets are much rarer around M dwarfs than the more massive F, G, and K dwarf stars (3), and the vast majority of plan- ets orbiting M dwarfs are less massive than Neptune (4, 5). Few planets have been detected orbiting the least massive (<0.25 solar masses) and coolest M dwarfs, known as very low-mass dwarfs. This is because very low-mass dwarfs are faint and emit most of their radiation at infrared wavelengths, at which exoplanet de- tection techniques are less sensitive than at optical wavelengths. The planetary systems around very low-mass dwarfs TRAPPIST-1 (6) and Teegarden’s star (7) both contain compact systems of small (probably rocky) planets. The formation of such systems is compatible with the core- accretion theory of planet formation (8–11), within which the outcome depends strong- ly on the total mass of small solid particles (dust) within the protoplanetary disk from which the planets formed (9). Observations of dust disk masses of protoplanetary disks have shown that typical disk dust masses are lower than required to explain observed planetary systems around other stars (12, 13). Protoplanetary disk dust masses are observed to scale with stellar mass (14, 15), implying that the disks around very low-mass stars might have dust masses sufficient to form Earth-mass planets but not giant planets. However, the uncertainties in theoretical models and the large dispersion in observed dust masses are consistent with a small fraction of low-mass stars hosting close-orbiting planets with a mass of ≳10 Earth masses (M⊕). Massive planet candidates have been de- tected around a few very low-mass dwarfs, but in all cases, the planets have very wide orbits. Examples include GJ 3512 b [mass, >0.46 Jupiter masses (Mjup); orbital period of 203 days] (16) and TZ Ari b (mass, >0.21Mjup; orbital period of 771 days) (17). These gas giants were inter- preted as having formed through a mechanism other than core accretion, such as gravitational instability within a massive gaseous outer disk, which produces more wide-orbiting planets than close-orbiting planets (18). Giant planets have not been observed on close orbits around very low-mass dwarfs. A planet orbiting LHS 3154 We observed the low-mass M dwarf LHS 3154 (coordinates are provided in Table 1), located 15.7531 ± 0.0084 pc from the Sun. We used the Habitable-zone Planet Finder (HPF) (19, 20), a near-infrared spectrograph (resolving power R = 55,000) on the 10-m Hobby-Eberly Tele- scope (HET) at McDonald Observatory in Texas, USA (21, 22). The observations were taken as part of a survey designed to search for planets around very low-mass dwarfs (19). We obtained 137 spectra between 23 January 2020 and 13 April 2022, from which we mea- sured the radial velocity (RV) (Fig. 1A) (23). A periodogram of the RV data (Fig. 1B) indicates a periodic Doppler shift, which we interpret as being due to a planet with an orbital period of 3.7 days; the corresponding false-alarm prob- ability is≪0:1%. The RV residuals (Fig. 1, B and E) contain no evidence of another planet in the system. The only other peak in the periodogram with <0.1% false alarm probability is a 1-day alias of the 3.7-day period (Fig. 1C). We fitted a one-planet orbital model to the RV data (23). The measured properties of LHS 3154 and our inferred properties of the orbit- ing planet, LHS 3154 b, are summarized in Table 1. We estimate the stellar mass and ra- dius as 0.1118 ± 0.0027 solar masses (M⊙) and 0.1405 ± 0.0038 solar radii (R⊙), respectively, on the basis of scaling relationships for M dwarfs (24, 25). All uncertainties are 1s unless stated otherwise. We determined the stellar effective temperature (Teff) as 2861 ± 77 K using the HPF-SPECMATCH (26) software, which compares a given HPF spectrum with a library of other spectra with known properties. The metallicity of the star (its proportion of ele- ments heavier than helium), which is difficult to constrain for verylow-massstars, is consistent with the Sun’s metallicity (23). The low eccen- tricity of LHS 3154b, e ¼ 0:076þ0:057 0:047 , is con- sistent with a circular orbit at 95% confidence. Excluding nonplanetary explanations Stellar activity, the intrinsic variations of a star’s atmosphere, can produce apparent radial- RESEARCH 1 Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA. 2 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 3 Center for Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 4 Institute for Particle Physics and Astrophysics, Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland. 5 Leiden Observatory, Leiden University, 2300 RA Leiden, Netherlands. 6 Space Research Organisation of the Netherlands, NL-3584 CA Utrecht, Netherlands. 7 Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697, USA. 8 Earth and Planets Laboratory, Carnegie Institution for Science, Washington, DC 20015, USA. 9 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. 10 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, Mumbai 400005, India. 11 Department of Physics and Astronomy, Carleton College, Northfield, MN 55057, USA. 12 Center for Astrostatistics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 13 Institute for Computational and Data Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 14 Department of Astronomy, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. 15 Steward Observatory, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA. 16 Center for Planetary Systems Habitability, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. 17 McDonald Observatory, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. 18 Electrical, Computer and Energy Engineering, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80305, USA. 19 National Institute of Standards and Technology, Boulder, CO 80305, USA. 20 Department of Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA. 21 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA. 22 Space Vehicles Directorate, Air Force Research Laboratory, Kirtland AFB, NM 87117, USA. 23 Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA. 24 Department of Physics and Astronomy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA. 25 School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia. 26 Penn State Extraterrestrial Intelligence Center, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA. 27 Hobby-Eberly Telescope, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA. *Corresponding author. Email: gstefansson@princeton.edu †Present address: Schmidt Futures, New York, NY 10011, USA. Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 1 of 5 Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023
  • 2. velocity shifts that can be misidentified as a planetary signal (27). We used several metrics to assess the stellar activity of LHS 3154— including the differential line width indicator and the chromatic index indicators (7)—and found no correlation between the RV signal and activity indicators in the HPF spectra (23). We obtained an additional optical spectrum of LHS 3154 using the Low-Resolution Spectro- graph (LRS2) (28) on the HET (resolving power R = 2500), which showed no evidence of emis- sion in the Ha line. Previous work (29) has shown that very low-mass M dwarfs without detectable Ha emission rotate slowly; we used their scaling relationship to estimate the ro- tation period of LHS 3154 as 114 ± 22 days. Such slow rotation is consistent with the nar- row stellar lines in the HPF spectra. Time-series photometry from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (30) shows no evidence of stellar rotation–induced photometric varia- bility at short periods (10 days), nor of flar- ing. Time-series photometry over a longer time span from the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) (31) shows no evidence for variability on time scales near the 3.7-day period of the planetary signal but does show evidence for variations on time scales between 90 and 140 days (23), which is consistent with our estimated rotation rate. We therefore conclude that LHS 3154b is a slowly rotatinginactive starand thatthe 3.7-day RV signal is not caused by stellar activity. The model fitted to the RVs indicates that LHS 3154b has a minimum mass of msini ¼ 13:15þ0:84 0:82 M⊕, where m is the planet mass and i is the orbital inclination (which is un- known). To derive an upper limit on the planet’s mass, we used astrometric information from the Gaia spacecraft. A sufficiently massive com- panion would induce detectable astrometric motion, which would appear as excess astro- metric noise in the Gaia data (32). For LHS 3154, the Gaia Data Release 3 (33) catalog reported an excess astrometric noise of 316 micro–arc sec with a significance of 27.7s. However, the data release does not specify the time scale of the astrometric variability, making it impossible to determine whether it is from the 3.7-day planet or an additional long-period companion. Gaia astrometry for very red stars is known to be affected by larger systematic errors than for Sun-like stars (34, 35), so the significance of the astrometric excess noise is likely overesti- mated. The Gaia renormalized unit-weight error (RUWE) parameter accounts for the color- dependent systematic issues and has been shown to be a better indicator of a compan- ion object than is the astrometric excess (34). LHS 3154’s RUWE value of 1.12 (33) is con- sistent with a single star. Even so, if we assume that all of the observed excess astrometric noise is due to a planet on a 3.7-day orbit, and assuming a single-star astrometric solution (36), we obtain a 3s mass limit of 32Mjup. This rules out a stellar binary companion as the origin of the RV variations. Only inclina- tions ≤0.2° would lead to a mass above 13Mjup, the approximate minimum mass for deuterium fusion, which is sometimes used to distinguish giant planets from brown dwarfs. Although such an orientation would occur in only ~10−5 of randomly oriented orbital planes, RV sur- veys are known to detect such face-on systems and misidentify them as planet candidates (37). Given the known low occurrence rate of brown dwarfs on short-period orbits (38), and the astrometric constraint of 32Mjup, we favor the interpretation that LHS 3154 b is a plane- tary mass object. Comparison with planet formation models In Fig. 2, we compare the planet-to-star mass ratio of LHS 3154b with planets around other very low-mass M dwarfs, restricted to those with masses known to within 30%. We used LHS 3154b’s mass ratio of 3.5 × 10−4 to test theories of planet formation around low-mass stars. In the core-accretion model of planet forma- tion, planets grow from initial over densities (known as cores) in a protoplanetary disk, which accrete dust and gas from the surrounding disk. Models in which initial cores grow through the accretion of ~1-km-sized solid bodies (called planetesimals) (8–10, 39), or by accreting pebble- sized material (40, 41), predict that very low- mass stars are only capable of forming compact systems of rocky planets on short-period or- bits. The maximum mass of planets formed through core accretion in simulations of the planetesimal-driven scenario around low-mass stars is about 5M⊕ (9), and 3M⊕ in the pebble accretion–driven scenario (40, 41). With a Table 1. Properties of the star LHS 3154 and planet LHS 3154b. The stellar parameters were derived by using the HPF-SPECMATCH code applied to the HPF spectra (23) and scaling relations for M dwarfs (24, 25). The Ha emission is given as the logarithmic ratio of Ha luminosity (LHa) to the overall bolometric luminosity (Lbol). The planet parameters were derived from an orbital model fitted to the HPF RVs (23). Median values are listed, and uncertainties denote the 68% credible intervals. Right ascension and declination coordinates are on the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS) at epoch 2016.0. BJDTDB is the barycentric Julian date. The rotation period is estimated from a scaling relationship for inactive M stars (29). Stellar parameters Value Reference Right ascension 16h 06m 32s .78 (33) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Declination +40°54′24′′.64 (33) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Absolute radial velocity (km s–1 ) –42.05 ± 0.34 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Spectral type M6.5 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... V-band magnitude 17.65 ± 0.20 (45) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... TESS magnitude 13.2266 ± 0.007 (45) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... J-band magnitude 11.05 ± 0.018 (45) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... KS-band magnitude 10.072 ± 0.019 (45) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Effective temperature (K) 2861 ± 77 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Mass (solar masses, M⊙) 0.1118 ± 0.0027 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Radius (solar radii, R⊙) 0.1405 ± 0.0038 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Luminosity (solar luminosities, L⊙) 0:0019þ0:00015 0:00014 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Distance (pc) 15.7531 ± 0.0084 (46) ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Rotation period (days) 114 ± 22 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Space velocities (km s–1 ) U = –42.32 ± 0.10, V = –54.53 ± 0.21, W = 4.16 ± 0.25 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Age (109 years) 5þ4 2 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Ha emission (logLHa/Lbol) ≤–5.3 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Projected rotational velocity (km s–1 ) 2 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Planet parameters ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Orbital period (days) 3:71778þ0:00080 0:00081 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Time of conjunction (BJDTDB) 2458874þ0:14 0:14 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Time of periastron (BJDTDB) 2458874:02þ0:67 0:57 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Eccentricity 0:076þ0:057 0:047 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Argument of periastron (deg) 82þ102 47 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Radial velocity semiamplitude (m s–1 ) 23:4þ1:5 1:4 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Minimum mass m sin i (M⊕) 13:15þ0:84 0:82 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Orbital semimajor axis (au) 0.02262 ± 0.00018 This work ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 2 of 5 Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023
  • 3. A B C D E P=3.71days Fig. 1. HPF radial velocity observations of LHS 3154b. (A) Radial velocity (RV) as a function of Universal Time date (black data points) and the orbital model fitted to the data (red line). The parameters of the model are listed in Table 1. (B) Residuals (black data points) between the RV observations and the model. The gray dashed line indicates 0 m s–1 . (C) Periodogram of the RV data (black; arbitrary units). A peak at 3.7 days is labeled in red. The vertical red dashed line indicates the 1-day alias of the 3.7 peak. The black horizontal dashed line indicates the 0.1% false-alarm probability (FAP) line. (D) Phase-folded radial velocities. The best-fitting period P and RV semiamplitude K are listed at top right and in Table 1. The red curve is the best-fitting model, and the grey shading indicates the 1s and 3s credible regions, respectively. (E) Phase-folded residuals. All error bars denote 1s uncertainties. Fig. 2. Planet-to-star mass ratios for planets orbiting very low-mass stars. The sample is restricted to planet mass measurements (m) with an uncertainty smaller than 30% and host star masses of M★ 0:25M⊙. Circles indicate transiting planets with measured masses. Triangles indicate planets detected with the RV technique, for which only a lower mass limit (m sin i) is available. Colors indicate the host star stellar effective temperature (color bar). LHS 3154b is in red; black labels indicate other exoplanets discussed in the text and other M dwarf planets with high planet-to-star mass ratios. Error bars denote 1s uncertainties and are shown for all planets; in some cases, they are smaller than the symbol size. LHS 3154b Trappist-1g Trappist-1b GJ 1214b GJ 1265b LHS 1140b GJ 3512b TZ Ari b Teegarden b LP 791-18c RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 3 of 5 Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023
  • 4. minimum mass of 13:2M⊕, LHS 3154b is diffi- cult to explain with core-accretion models. Core-accretion simulations The outcomes of planet-formation models de- pend sensitively on the assumed protoplanetary disk properties, especially the total disk dust mass and its surface-density distribution as a function of distance from the star. We performed planet-formation simulations for the LHS 3154 system based on the core-accretion scenario by modifying a previous model (9) to include gas accretion (supplementary text) (23, 42). We show in Fig. 3 the resulting simulation outcomes for four combinations of assumed total disk mass and disk surface density dis- tribution, the latter parameterized by a power law index g. Results are shown in Fig. 3A from simulations in which the disk dust masses are drawn from a distribution of masses consistent with observations for a 0.1M⊙ star (15) and a nominal surface density dis- tribution with power law index g = 1 (23). Simulations with these parameters do not form any close-orbiting planets as massive as LHS 3154b. The results from simulations in which the median mass of the disk dust mass distribution has been increased by an order of magnitude are shown in Fig. 3B. Simulation results are shown in Fig. 3, C and D, for the same mass distributions as in Fig. 3, A and B, but in more compact disks (g = 1.5). A small number of planets with properties similar to those of LHS 3154b are produced in the two simulations with higher total dust mass distrib- utions (Fig. 3, B and D). In those simulations, the larger amounts of solid material produce on average more massive initial cores, which can grow into more massive planets. The more compact disks increase the density of dust close to the star, leading to more collisions that form close orbiting planets. However, we found that more compact disks alone, without larger dust disk masses (Fig. 3C), do not form planets similar to LHS 3154b in our simulations. Gravitational instability models Another possible way to form massive plan- ets is through gravitational instability, which has been invoked to explain massive gas giant planets around low-mass stars, such as the wide-orbiting gas giant planet GJ 3512b (mass 0.46Mjup; P = 203 days) (16). However, LHS 3154b’s mass of 13:2M⊕ is much lower than the minimum mass of planets formed from gra- vitational instability: Simulations of gravi- tational instability around a 0.1M⊙ star found minimum mass fragments ofe60M⊕ (16)—about five times larger than the lower limit for LHS 3154b. Gravitational instability preferentially forms planets on wide orbits (16). Although we cannot rule out the gravitational instab- ility mechanism, if LHS 3154b formed through gravitational instability followed by inward migration, it would require even greater proto- planetary disk masses than we considered above for the core-accretion scenario. High disk masses Both potential formation mechanisms require protoplanetary disks that have substantially greater dust masses than are typically observed around very low-mass stars (15). One possible solution to this discrepancy is if a large frac- tion of the dust in protoplanetary disks around More Compact Disk ( ) A Typical Assumptions B 10x Mdust Distribution C Compact Disk Increasing Mdust Orbital Period [d] Orbital Period [d] Orbital Distance [au] Orbital Distance [au] D Compact Disk + 10x Mdust Distribution Close-in Neptunes LHS 3154b Fraction: 1/300 Fraction: 1/300 Fraction: 3% Fraction: 1% Fig. 3. Results from our simulations of core-accretion planet formation. Planet mass is shown as a function of orbital distance in astronomical units (au). Circles indicate results from simulated systems, 300 in each panel, colored by the disk dust mass in that simulation. LHS 3154b is indicated with an orange arrow in (A) to (D), with its base indicating the minimum mass of 13.2 Earth masses. Gray boxes highlight the region and corresponding frequencies of close-in Neptune-mass planets (periods from 1 to 10 days and masses from 10 to 100 Earth masses) formed in the simulations. (A) Results from typical assumptions (23), drawing the protoplanetary disk dust mass Mdust from a distribution with a median of ~ Mdust ¼ 0:8M⊕ and a disk power law index of g = 1.0. (B) Same as in (A) but with higher median of the disk dust mass distribution, by an order of magnitude, with ~ Mdust ¼ 8M⊕. (C) Same as in (A) but with g = 1.5. (D) Same as in (B) but with g = 1.5. Typical assumptions of planet formation (A) are incapable of forming planets as massive as LHS 3154b around 0.1M⊙ stars. To form LHS 3154b–mass planets requires us to increase the mass of the disk (B), preferably in more compact disks (D) that have higher dust surface densities close to the star, facilitating formation of close-in massive planets. RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 4 of 5 Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the three anonymous referees for their helpful comments and suggestions, which improved the quality of this paper. Computations were performed at the Pennsylvania State University’s Institute for Computational and Data Sciences (ICDS). The Hobby-Eberly Telescope (HET) is a joint project of the University of Texas at Austin, the Pennsylvania State University, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, and Georg-August- Universität Göttingen. The HET is named in honor of its principal benefactors, William P. Hobby and Robert E. Eberly. The Low Resolution Spectrograph 2 (LRS2) was developed and funded by the University of Texas at Austin McDonald Observatory and Department of Astronomy and by Pennsylvania State University. We thank the Leibniz-Institut für Astrophysik Potsdam (AIP) and the Institut für Astrophysik Göttingen (IAG) for their contributions to the construction of the integral field units. Funding: This work was partially supported by funding from the Center for Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds, which is supported by the Pennsylvania State University, the Eberly College of Science, and the Pennsylvania Space Grant Consortium. G.S. acknowledges support provided by NASA through the NASA Hubble Fellowship grant HST-HF2-51519.001-A awarded by the Space Telescope Science Institute, which is operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, for NASA under contract NAS5-26555. Y.M. acknowledges support from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement 101088557, N-GINE). C.I.C. acknowledges support through an appointment to the NASA Postdoctoral Program at the Goddard Space Flight Center administered by Oak Ridge Associated Universities through a contract with NASA. We acknowledge support from NSF grants AST-1006676 (S.M., C.F.B., and L.R), AST-1126413 (S.M., C.F.B., L.R., R.C.T., A.R., G.S., and P.R.), AST-1310885 (S.M. and C.F.B), AST-1310875 (S.D, A.J.M, and C.F.), AST-2108493 (P.R.), AST- 2108512 (S.M. and M.D.), AST-2108569 (R.C.T.), AST-2108801 (W.D.C. and M.E.), the NASA Astrobiology Institute (NAI; NNA09DA76A) (S.M.), and PSARC (S.M.). We acknowledge support from the Heising-Simons Foundation through grant 2017-0494 (M.E.) and 2019-1177 (E.B.F.). S.H. acknowledges support for work performed at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, which was under a contract with NASA (80NM0018D0004). S.M., P.R., and G.S. performed work as part of NASA’s CHAMPs team, supported by NASA under grant 80NSSC23K1399 issued through the Interdisciplinary Consortia for Astrobiology Research (ICAR) program. Author contributions: G.S. analyzed the RVs and host star properties, interpreted the results, and led the manuscript writing. S.M. is principal investigator of the HPF instrument, provided oversight, and assisted with analysis and interpretation. Y.M. led the planet- formation simulations, with G.S. providing assistance. P.R. provided leadership in obtaining the HPF observations and worked with G.S. and S.M. on the interpretation of the result. M.D. contributed to the RV analysis and revision of the manuscript. C.I.C. and B.P.B. provided the Gaia upper mass limit constraints and investigated the false-positive scenarios. J.N.W. provided interpretation and revision of the manuscript. G.Z., S.K., G.J.H., and G.S. reduced and interpreted the LRS2 spectra. B.Z. and E.B.F. contributed to the interpretation of the planet formation simulations. R.H. aided with the TESS photometric analysis. J.P.N., C.F.B., A.R., and R.C.T. extracted the HPF spectra and performed wavelength calibration, working with S.D., A.J.M., and C.F. to determine the wavelength solution for the HPF spectra. W.D.C. and M.E. led HPF observing programs used to discover the planet. G.S., S.M., P.R., J.P.N., C.F.B., R.C.T., A.R., S.H., S.K., F.H., A.S.J.L., A.M., L.R., C.S., and J.T.W. contributed to the design, monitoring, and execution of the HPF Survey, during which these observations were carried out. All authors contributed to the interpretation of the result. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests. Data and materials availability: The HPF radial velocities and activity indicators are provided as machine-readable files in data S1 and data S2, respectively. The 137 HPF spectra are available on Zenodo (47). The HPF-SERVAL code used to extract the RVs is available at https://github.com/gummiks/ hpfserval_lhs3154 and is archived in the same Zenodo repository (47). The planet formation simulation code is available at https:// github.com/AstroYamila-Team/PlanetFormation_SmallStars and is also archived on Zenodo (48). License information: Copyright © 2023 the authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original US government works. https://www.science. org/about/science-licenses-journal-article-reuse SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abo0233 Materials and Methods Supplementary Text Figs. S1 to S8 Table S1 References (49–91) Data S1 and S2 Submitted 17 October 2022; accepted 9 October 2023 10.1126/science.abo0233 RESEARCH | RESEARCH ARTICLE Stefánsson et al., Science 382, 1031–1035 (2023) 1 December 2023 5 of 5 Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023
  • 6. Use of this article is subject to the Terms of service Science (ISSN 1095-9203) is published by the American Association for the Advancement of Science. 1200 New York Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20005. The title Science is a registered trademark of AAAS. Copyright © 2023 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works A Neptune-mass exoplanet in close orbit around a very low-mass star challenges formation models Guðmundur Stefánsson, Suvrath Mahadevan, Yamila Miguel, Paul Robertson, Megan Delamer, Shubham Kanodia, Caleb I. Cañas, Joshua N. Winn, Joe P. Ninan, Ryan C. Terrien, Rae Holcomb, Eric B. Ford, Brianna Zawadzki, Brendan P. Bowler, Chad F. Bender, William D. Cochran, Scott Diddams, Michael Endl, Connor Fredrick, Samuel Halverson, Fred Hearty, Gary J. Hill, Andrea S. J. Lin, Andrew J. Metcalf, Andrew Monson, Lawrence Ramsey, Arpita Roy, Christian Schwab, Jason T. Wright, and Gregory Zeimann Science 382 (6674), . DOI: 10.1126/science.abo0233 Editor’s summary Planets form in protoplanetary disks of gas and dust around young stars that are undergoing their own formation process. The amount of material in the disk determines how big the planets can grow. Stefánsson et al. observed a nearby low-mass star using near-infrared spectroscopy. They detected Doppler shifts due to an orbiting exoplanet of at least 13 Earth masses, which is almost the mass of Neptune. Theoretical models do not predict the formation of such a massive planet around a low-mass star (see the Perspective by Masset). The authors used simulations to show that its presence could be explained if the protoplanetary disk were 10 times more massive than expected for the host star. — Keith T. Smith View the article online https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abo0233 Permissions https://www.science.org/help/reprints-and-permissions Downloaded from https://www.science.org on December 14, 2023