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Space Environment
Lecture 51 – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Breakup model
Professor Hugh Lewis
SESA3038 Space Environment
Overview of lecture 51
• In this lecture we introduce the NASA standard breakup model, which was
developed using (in part) results from the SOCIT series of HVI
experiments
• We see how to use this empirical model to calculate:
– The number of fragments resulting from an explosion or collision
– The mass of the fragments
– The area-to-mass ratio of the fragments
– The velocity of the fragments
Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Breakup models Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Empirical models used for future
environment projections
Not hydrocodes!
Simple (analytical) models based on HVI
tests and observed on-orbit fragmentations
Outputs:
• Number of fragments
• Area and mass distributions
• Velocity distributions
NASA breakup model Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
“NASA’s new break-up model of EVOLVE 4.0”:
Published in 2001
• https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti
cle/pii/S0273117701004239
• Based on data from:
• Solwind and USA 19 deliberate
hypervelocity collisions in low Earth orbit
in 1985 and 1986
• SOCIT series of HVI experiments
• Ariane upper-stage explosion tests
• On-orbit explosions
Explosions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
The number of explosive fragments of
size L or larger (in metres) is:
Where S is a simple scaling factor that
can be used to account for different
explosion sources (e.g. batteries)
𝑁𝑁 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝐿𝐿−1.6
Size distributions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Upper stage explosions from Johnson et al. 2001:
Collisions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
The number of collision fragments
of size L or larger (in metres) is:
For a non-catastrophic collision:
For a catastrophic collision:
𝑁𝑁 𝐿𝐿 = 0.1𝑀𝑀0.75
𝐿𝐿−1.71
𝑀𝑀 = 𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟
2
𝑀𝑀 = 𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝 + 𝑚𝑚𝑡𝑡
* 𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟 in km/s
Collisions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Catastrophic collisions:
Kinetic energy of projectile divided by
mass of target (in grammes) > 40 J/g
𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 =
1
2
𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟
2
𝑚𝑚𝑡𝑡 × 1000
Mass distributions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
For on-orbit and terrestrial hypervelocity collisions from Johnson et al. 2001:
A/m distribution Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Combination of two Normal distributions, each functions of fragment size and
object type (spacecraft or upper stage), from Johnson et al. 2001:
∆V distribution Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Normal distribution, a function of fragment A/m and event type (explosion or
collision), from Johnson et al. 2001:
Simulation Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Before break-up 4 minutes 40 minutes
100 minutes 1 day 1 week
Simulation Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
1 year
1 month 6 months
Overview of lecture 51
• In this lecture we introduced the NASA standard breakup model, which
was developed using (in part) results from the SOCIT series of HVI
experiments
• We saw how to use this empirical model to calculate:
– The number of fragments resulting from an explosion or collision
– The mass of the fragments
– The area-to-mass ratio of the fragments
– The velocity of the fragments
Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
Activty Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
“NASA’s new break-up model of EVOLVE 4.0”:
This is available for you to read online or by
downloading from the blackboard site
• https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti
cle/pii/S0273117701004239
In addition, the correct implementation of the
breakup model is explained in NASA’s Orbital
Debris Quarterly Newsletter (also available on
blackboard):
• https://orbitaldebris.jsc.nasa.gov/quarterly-
news/pdfs/odqnv15i4.pdf

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51.pdf

  • 1. Space Environment Lecture 51 – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Breakup model Professor Hugh Lewis SESA3038 Space Environment
  • 2. Overview of lecture 51 • In this lecture we introduce the NASA standard breakup model, which was developed using (in part) results from the SOCIT series of HVI experiments • We see how to use this empirical model to calculate: – The number of fragments resulting from an explosion or collision – The mass of the fragments – The area-to-mass ratio of the fragments – The velocity of the fragments Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
  • 3. Breakup models Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Empirical models used for future environment projections Not hydrocodes! Simple (analytical) models based on HVI tests and observed on-orbit fragmentations Outputs: • Number of fragments • Area and mass distributions • Velocity distributions
  • 4. NASA breakup model Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) “NASA’s new break-up model of EVOLVE 4.0”: Published in 2001 • https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti cle/pii/S0273117701004239 • Based on data from: • Solwind and USA 19 deliberate hypervelocity collisions in low Earth orbit in 1985 and 1986 • SOCIT series of HVI experiments • Ariane upper-stage explosion tests • On-orbit explosions
  • 5. Explosions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) The number of explosive fragments of size L or larger (in metres) is: Where S is a simple scaling factor that can be used to account for different explosion sources (e.g. batteries) 𝑁𝑁 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝐿𝐿−1.6
  • 6. Size distributions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Upper stage explosions from Johnson et al. 2001:
  • 7. Collisions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) The number of collision fragments of size L or larger (in metres) is: For a non-catastrophic collision: For a catastrophic collision: 𝑁𝑁 𝐿𝐿 = 0.1𝑀𝑀0.75 𝐿𝐿−1.71 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟 2 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝 + 𝑚𝑚𝑡𝑡 * 𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟 in km/s
  • 8. Collisions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Catastrophic collisions: Kinetic energy of projectile divided by mass of target (in grammes) > 40 J/g 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = 1 2 𝑚𝑚𝑝𝑝𝑣𝑣𝑟𝑟 2 𝑚𝑚𝑡𝑡 × 1000
  • 9. Mass distributions Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) For on-orbit and terrestrial hypervelocity collisions from Johnson et al. 2001:
  • 10. A/m distribution Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Combination of two Normal distributions, each functions of fragment size and object type (spacecraft or upper stage), from Johnson et al. 2001:
  • 11. ∆V distribution Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Normal distribution, a function of fragment A/m and event type (explosion or collision), from Johnson et al. 2001:
  • 12. Simulation Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) Before break-up 4 minutes 40 minutes 100 minutes 1 day 1 week
  • 13. Simulation Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) 1 year 1 month 6 months
  • 14. Overview of lecture 51 • In this lecture we introduced the NASA standard breakup model, which was developed using (in part) results from the SOCIT series of HVI experiments • We saw how to use this empirical model to calculate: – The number of fragments resulting from an explosion or collision – The mass of the fragments – The area-to-mass ratio of the fragments – The velocity of the fragments Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5)
  • 15. Activty Space Environment – Space Debris (Vol. 5) “NASA’s new break-up model of EVOLVE 4.0”: This is available for you to read online or by downloading from the blackboard site • https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti cle/pii/S0273117701004239 In addition, the correct implementation of the breakup model is explained in NASA’s Orbital Debris Quarterly Newsletter (also available on blackboard): • https://orbitaldebris.jsc.nasa.gov/quarterly- news/pdfs/odqnv15i4.pdf