3. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
4. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Suppose the result were
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
5. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Suppose the result were
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
6. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Suppose the result were
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
7. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Suppose the result were
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
HTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHT
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
8. Coin Tossing
Tossing 40 coins. Write H for head and T for tail.
Suppose the result were
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
HTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHT
HHTTHTTHTTTTHHTHHTHHHHTHHHTHHTTTTHTHTTHH
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 2 / 25
9. Coin Tossing
How many possible outcomes?
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10. Coin Tossing
How many possible outcomes?
One toss:
H, T
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 3 / 25
11. Coin Tossing
How many possible outcomes?
One toss:
H, T
Two tosses:
HH, HT, TH, TT.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 3 / 25
12. Coin Tossing
How many possible outcomes?
One toss:
H, T
Two tosses:
HH, HT, TH, TT.
Three tosses:
HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 3 / 25
13. Coin Tossing
How many possible outcomes?
One toss:
H, T
Two tosses:
HH, HT, TH, TT.
Three tosses:
HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT.
For 40 tosses, have
240
possible outcomes. This is much larger than the number of atoms in our
body.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 3 / 25
14. Coin Tossing
Any given sequence of tosses has probability 1
240 of arising. So why are we
more surprised by
HTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHT
than
HHTTHTTHTTTTHHTHHTHHHHTHHHTHHTTTTHTHTTHH
?
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16. Information Theory
We are surprised by
HTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHT
because it is easy to describe.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 6 / 25
17. Information Theory
We are surprised by
HTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHTHT
because it is easy to describe.
The sequence
HHTTHTTHTTTTHHTHHTHHHHTHHHTHHTTTTHTHTTHH
seems to admit no easier description than it itself.
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18. Kolmogorov Complexity
The Kolmogorov complexity of a sequence is the length of the shortest
computer programme that will print the sequence.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 7 / 25
19. Kolmogorov Complexity
The Kolmogorov complexity of a sequence is the length of the shortest
computer programme that will print the sequence.
In our example, the surprising sequences are the ones of low Kolmogorov
complexity.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 7 / 25
20. Kolmogorov Complexity
The Kolmogorov complexity of a sequence is the length of the shortest
computer programme that will print the sequence.
In our example, the surprising sequences are the ones of low Kolmogorov
complexity.
Kolmogorov proved that for long sequences, most sequences are
incompressible.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 7 / 25
21. Kolmogorov Complexity
The sequences
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49, 64, 81, 100
obviously have low complexity. How about
5, 8, 9, 7, 9, 3, 2, 3, 8, 4, 6, 2, 6, 4, 3, 3, 8, 3, 2, 7, 9, 5, 0, 2, 8, 8, 4, 1, 9, 7, 1
?
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 8 / 25
22. Gelfand
Figure: Israel M. Gelfand (1913-2009)
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32. Probability: A Few Puzzles
A small hospital had 10 births this week. A large hospital had 100 births
this week. Which event is more probable: 6 boys or more in the small
hospital, 60 boys or more in the large hospital?
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 19 / 25
33. Probability: A Few Puzzles
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34. Probability: A Few Puzzles
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35. Probability: A Few Puzzles
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36. Probability: A Few Puzzles
When there are n babies, the probability that at least 60 percent are boys is
approximately
1
√
2π
∞
√
n/2
e−x2/2
dx.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 23 / 25
37. Probability: A Few Puzzles
When there are n babies, the probability that at least 60 percent are boys is
approximately
1
√
2π
∞
√
n/2
e−x2/2
dx.
Kim Minhyong Global Mathematics and Local Culture August, 2018 23 / 25
38. Probability: A Few Puzzles
Spectral distribution 1:
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39. Probability: A Few Puzzles
Spectral distribution 2:
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