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Do Now


What do you remember from selecting financial
               strategies….

          Test what you’ve learned!
Do Now


1) Complete the missing words

 Profit centres are a section of a business for
which costs and revenues and therefore profit
               can be identified.
Do Now


2) Circle the firm/ function of a business that would
be most appropriate as a profit centre


        Branch of a chain of coffee shops
Do Now


3) When considering financial strategies - describe
what is meant by equity share capital


This is were companies can raise capital through
               the sale of shares.
Do Now


4) What is the purpose of cost minimisation?
Clue….allows a business to compete…..
 Cost minimisation allows a business to compete on price.

 A business that has high market share or is a market leader
 will be in a position of power when it comes to negotiating
              terms and conditions with suppliers.
Do Now


5) When considering cost minimisation, what manufacturing
approach could be adopted to reduce costs?



                       Just-in-time
Do Now


6) When considering financial strategies – describe
what is meant by debt capital?


Debt capital is finance obtained from banks and
  other financial institutions, i.e. – borrowed!
Do Now


7) Define capital expenditure

 The purchase of assets that will remain in the
business in the medium to long term, accounted
             for in the balance sheet.
Do Now


8) When considering capital expenditure, what is meant
by ‘sign off chain’?
 Due to the often large amounts of money involved in
capital expenditure, decisions are taken vary seriously.
    Large organisations will have a sign off chain –
permission must be sought to make the purchase from
              higher up the up hierarchy.
Making Investment Decisions (Part 2)
              Module 1
Learning Objectives

By the end of the lesson you should be able to:

1.   Select and use investment appraisal techniques

2. Interpret investment appraisal findings

3. Assess the risks and uncertainties of specific investment
   decisions.

4. Evaluate quantitative and qualitative influences on
   specific investment decisions.
Re-cap?


       Remember - a firm will want to
       know:
          What is the purpose of
  1.    How long will it appraisal?our
          investment take to get
        money back? If invest £400,000,
        can we expect to get that money
        backThe processstof analysing it
             within the 1 year or could
        takethe financial merits of a
             fours years?
            possible future
  2.    How profitable will the investment
             investment.
        be? What profit will be generated
        per year by the investment?
Investment Appraisal


There are three investment appraisal
techniques:

 Payback
 Average rate of return
 Net present value
Payback Practice

  Based on the figures below, calculate the payback period
  for Machine C.
                    Machine A    Machine B    Machine C          Compare your
                                                                 answer to
Initial cost            £750,000     £310,000     £550,000       Machine A and
Inflows:                                                         Machine B.
Year 1                   £150,000      £125,000      £130,000
                                                                 Which one
Year 2                   £200,000      £127,000      £132,000    would be the
Year 3                   £260,000      £140,000      £136,000    best investment
Year 4                   £260,000      £140,000      £140,000    and why?
Year 5                   £300,000      £130,000      £145,000
Maintenance Costs       £7,500 p y   £15,000 p y   £18,000 p y
Average Rate of Return (ARR)


               ARR assesses the worth
               of an investment by
               calculating the average
               annual profit as a
               percentage of the initial
               investment.
ARR – Step 1

  Calculate ARR by adding up all the net cash flows divided by
  the number of years.
                                              Don’t forget the actual investment.
Annual average profit = Total net cash flow         This will be a negative.
                         Number of years

Total net cash flow for Machine A = (y0) (£750,000) + (y1) £142,000 + (y2)
£192,500 + (y3) £252,500 + (y4) £252,500 + (y5) £292,500 = £382,500

Average annual profit = £382,500 = £76,500
                           5
ARR – Step 2

  Calculate ARR for Machine A by dividing the average
  annual profit by the initial investment and express as a
  percentage:

Average Rate of Return = Average annual profit x 100
                           Initial investment

Average Rate of Return = £76,500 x 100 = 10.2%
                         £750,000

The ARR for Machine A is 10.2%
ARR – What does it mean?


The higher the ARR the more potentially viable the
investment.

The advantage of ARR is that it allows for easy comparison
with alternative forms of investment, such as interest rates
offered at a bank or compared to ROCE.

Disadvantage – it does not take into account the timings of
the cash flow inflows. An investment may seem profitable
but it may take four years for a positive cash flow to be
achieved.
Your turn!


Calculate the ARR for
Machine B.

Based on this method,
which do you think
represents the better
investment?
Net Present Value (NPV)

      NPV takes into account the total return from an
      investment in today’s terms.

      It recognises that £100 received today is worth
      more than £100 in the future.

      If the £100 received today was invested in the bank,
      it would grow in value each year. However, if it was
      invested in an asset, it may lose value each year –
      this is calculated using the discount factor.

      Discount factor – the rate at which future cash
      flows are reduced (discounted) to reflect current
      interest rates.
NPV – Step 1

  Multiply each year’s net inflow by the relevant discount factor, to
  calculate NPV. For example: £142,500 x 0.91 = £129,675

                         10% Discount                     The discount
                                                          factor will always
Year     Net cash flow factor           NPV               be given in an
       0     (£750,000)               1     (£750,000)    exam.
       1        £142,500           0.91       £129,675
       2       £192,500            0.83        £159,775   Year 0 will always
                                                          be 1 because
       3       £252,500            0.75       £189,375    £750,000 today is
       4       £252,500            0.68        £171,700   worth £750,000.
       5       £292,500            0.62        £181,350
NPV – Step 2

       Add up all the NPVs to calculate the net cash gain from the project
       expressed in today’s terms.

                               10% Discount                             If project
Year         Net cash flow     factor                NPV
                                                                        produces a + NPV,
                                                                        it should be
         0        (£750,000)                     1         (£750,000)   accepted.
         1          £142,500                  0.91           £129,675
         2          £192,500              0.83               £159,775   If choosing
                                                                        between projects,
         3          £252,500              0.75               £189,375   then the one with
         4          £252,500              0.68               £171,700   the highest + NPV
                                                                        should be
         5          £292,500              0.62               £181,350   accepted.
Net Present Value                                             £81,875
ARR – What does it mean?


The simple rule of ‘positive NVP accept, negative NVP reject’
provides managers with an easy guide to decision-making.

Advantage of NVP – Takes into account the time value of money
(recognition that £1 today is worth more than £1 in the future due
to a fall in it’s purchasing power). A failure to do this by the
previous two techniques can be seen a weakness.

Disadvantage of NVP – it doesn’t take into account the speed of
repayment of the original investment, it can be difficult to choose
the correct discount factor and non-financial managers may find it
difficult to understand.
Your turn!


Calculate the NPV for
Machine B.

Based on this method
which do you think
represents the better
investment?
Quantitative Results!


Draw a table to summarise the
results of all three techniques
for Machine A and B.

Based on these quantitative
results, which machine do you
think represents the better
investment?
Investment Criteria


What is meant by investment          Some examples may include:
criteria?

  A pre-determined target against      Payback less than half the
  which to judge an investment.        predicted life expectancy.

  These minimum targets/
  criterion levels must be reached     ARR 3% above rate of
  before an assessment decision is     interest.
  accepted.

  What would happen if an              NPV at least 25% of initial
  organisation didn’t follow these     investment
  rules?
RISKS and UNCERTAINTIES
RISKS                                UNCERTAINTIES
The sum of money to be invested      The stability of the market and
as well as the source of that        the associated likely accuracy of
money.                               sales forecasts.

The length of time the business      The credibility of the source of
must commit to the project.          the estimated costs and
                                     revenues.
The impact of the investment on
other aspects of the business, for   The potential competitors’
example day-to-day funding.          reaction to the investment.

The ease or difficulty with which    The stability of the economic
the investment can be reversed.      environment in which the
                                     business operates.
Qualitative Results!


1 minute challenge….
                                  Qualitative Factors:

Other than the quantitative
                                  Image of the firm
aspects of investment
decisions, what qualitative       Workers/ exploitation
factors should a firm consider?   Ethical considerations
                                  Impact on wider
                                  society
Lowfare Airways Plc


Read the case study and
complete the following
questions….

  1, 2, 3 & 4


Homework – complete
question 3.
Financial Strategy?


Easy to calculate and understand



  Advantage - Payback
Financial Strategy?


Takes into account the time value of money




      Advantage - NPV
Financial Strategy?


Provides no insight into profitability.



Disadvantage - Payback
Financial Strategy?


Takes the opportunity cost of money into account.




      Advantage - ARR
Financial Strategy?


Ignores what happens after the payback period.



Disadvantage - Payback
Financial Strategy?


Complex to calculate and communicate.



   Disadvantage - ARR
Financial Strategy?


Important for a business with a weak cash flow; it
may only be willing to invest only in projects with
quick payback.



  Advantage - Payback
Financial Strategy?


The meaning of the result is often misunderstood.



   Disadvantage - ARR
Financial Strategy?


it can be difficult to choose the correct discount.



    Disadvantage - NPV
Re-cap Learning Objectives

You should now be able to:

1.   Select and use investment appraisal techniques

2. Interpret investment appraisal findings

3. Assess the risks and uncertainties of specific investment
   decisions.

4. Evaluate quantitative and qualitative influences on
   specific investment decisions.

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3.7 making investment decisions (part 2) - moodle

  • 1. Do Now What do you remember from selecting financial strategies…. Test what you’ve learned!
  • 2. Do Now 1) Complete the missing words Profit centres are a section of a business for which costs and revenues and therefore profit can be identified.
  • 3. Do Now 2) Circle the firm/ function of a business that would be most appropriate as a profit centre Branch of a chain of coffee shops
  • 4. Do Now 3) When considering financial strategies - describe what is meant by equity share capital This is were companies can raise capital through the sale of shares.
  • 5. Do Now 4) What is the purpose of cost minimisation? Clue….allows a business to compete….. Cost minimisation allows a business to compete on price. A business that has high market share or is a market leader will be in a position of power when it comes to negotiating terms and conditions with suppliers.
  • 6. Do Now 5) When considering cost minimisation, what manufacturing approach could be adopted to reduce costs? Just-in-time
  • 7. Do Now 6) When considering financial strategies – describe what is meant by debt capital? Debt capital is finance obtained from banks and other financial institutions, i.e. – borrowed!
  • 8. Do Now 7) Define capital expenditure The purchase of assets that will remain in the business in the medium to long term, accounted for in the balance sheet.
  • 9. Do Now 8) When considering capital expenditure, what is meant by ‘sign off chain’? Due to the often large amounts of money involved in capital expenditure, decisions are taken vary seriously. Large organisations will have a sign off chain – permission must be sought to make the purchase from higher up the up hierarchy.
  • 10. Making Investment Decisions (Part 2) Module 1
  • 11. Learning Objectives By the end of the lesson you should be able to: 1. Select and use investment appraisal techniques 2. Interpret investment appraisal findings 3. Assess the risks and uncertainties of specific investment decisions. 4. Evaluate quantitative and qualitative influences on specific investment decisions.
  • 12. Re-cap? Remember - a firm will want to know: What is the purpose of 1. How long will it appraisal?our investment take to get money back? If invest £400,000, can we expect to get that money backThe processstof analysing it within the 1 year or could takethe financial merits of a fours years? possible future 2. How profitable will the investment investment. be? What profit will be generated per year by the investment?
  • 13. Investment Appraisal There are three investment appraisal techniques: Payback Average rate of return Net present value
  • 14. Payback Practice Based on the figures below, calculate the payback period for Machine C. Machine A Machine B Machine C Compare your answer to Initial cost £750,000 £310,000 £550,000 Machine A and Inflows: Machine B. Year 1 £150,000 £125,000 £130,000 Which one Year 2 £200,000 £127,000 £132,000 would be the Year 3 £260,000 £140,000 £136,000 best investment Year 4 £260,000 £140,000 £140,000 and why? Year 5 £300,000 £130,000 £145,000 Maintenance Costs £7,500 p y £15,000 p y £18,000 p y
  • 15. Average Rate of Return (ARR) ARR assesses the worth of an investment by calculating the average annual profit as a percentage of the initial investment.
  • 16. ARR – Step 1 Calculate ARR by adding up all the net cash flows divided by the number of years. Don’t forget the actual investment. Annual average profit = Total net cash flow This will be a negative. Number of years Total net cash flow for Machine A = (y0) (£750,000) + (y1) £142,000 + (y2) £192,500 + (y3) £252,500 + (y4) £252,500 + (y5) £292,500 = £382,500 Average annual profit = £382,500 = £76,500 5
  • 17. ARR – Step 2 Calculate ARR for Machine A by dividing the average annual profit by the initial investment and express as a percentage: Average Rate of Return = Average annual profit x 100 Initial investment Average Rate of Return = £76,500 x 100 = 10.2% £750,000 The ARR for Machine A is 10.2%
  • 18. ARR – What does it mean? The higher the ARR the more potentially viable the investment. The advantage of ARR is that it allows for easy comparison with alternative forms of investment, such as interest rates offered at a bank or compared to ROCE. Disadvantage – it does not take into account the timings of the cash flow inflows. An investment may seem profitable but it may take four years for a positive cash flow to be achieved.
  • 19. Your turn! Calculate the ARR for Machine B. Based on this method, which do you think represents the better investment?
  • 20. Net Present Value (NPV) NPV takes into account the total return from an investment in today’s terms. It recognises that £100 received today is worth more than £100 in the future. If the £100 received today was invested in the bank, it would grow in value each year. However, if it was invested in an asset, it may lose value each year – this is calculated using the discount factor. Discount factor – the rate at which future cash flows are reduced (discounted) to reflect current interest rates.
  • 21. NPV – Step 1 Multiply each year’s net inflow by the relevant discount factor, to calculate NPV. For example: £142,500 x 0.91 = £129,675 10% Discount The discount factor will always Year Net cash flow factor NPV be given in an 0 (£750,000) 1 (£750,000) exam. 1 £142,500 0.91 £129,675 2 £192,500 0.83 £159,775 Year 0 will always be 1 because 3 £252,500 0.75 £189,375 £750,000 today is 4 £252,500 0.68 £171,700 worth £750,000. 5 £292,500 0.62 £181,350
  • 22. NPV – Step 2 Add up all the NPVs to calculate the net cash gain from the project expressed in today’s terms. 10% Discount If project Year Net cash flow factor NPV produces a + NPV, it should be 0 (£750,000) 1 (£750,000) accepted. 1 £142,500 0.91 £129,675 2 £192,500 0.83 £159,775 If choosing between projects, 3 £252,500 0.75 £189,375 then the one with 4 £252,500 0.68 £171,700 the highest + NPV should be 5 £292,500 0.62 £181,350 accepted. Net Present Value £81,875
  • 23. ARR – What does it mean? The simple rule of ‘positive NVP accept, negative NVP reject’ provides managers with an easy guide to decision-making. Advantage of NVP – Takes into account the time value of money (recognition that £1 today is worth more than £1 in the future due to a fall in it’s purchasing power). A failure to do this by the previous two techniques can be seen a weakness. Disadvantage of NVP – it doesn’t take into account the speed of repayment of the original investment, it can be difficult to choose the correct discount factor and non-financial managers may find it difficult to understand.
  • 24. Your turn! Calculate the NPV for Machine B. Based on this method which do you think represents the better investment?
  • 25. Quantitative Results! Draw a table to summarise the results of all three techniques for Machine A and B. Based on these quantitative results, which machine do you think represents the better investment?
  • 26. Investment Criteria What is meant by investment Some examples may include: criteria? A pre-determined target against Payback less than half the which to judge an investment. predicted life expectancy. These minimum targets/ criterion levels must be reached ARR 3% above rate of before an assessment decision is interest. accepted. What would happen if an NPV at least 25% of initial organisation didn’t follow these investment rules?
  • 27. RISKS and UNCERTAINTIES RISKS UNCERTAINTIES The sum of money to be invested The stability of the market and as well as the source of that the associated likely accuracy of money. sales forecasts. The length of time the business The credibility of the source of must commit to the project. the estimated costs and revenues. The impact of the investment on other aspects of the business, for The potential competitors’ example day-to-day funding. reaction to the investment. The ease or difficulty with which The stability of the economic the investment can be reversed. environment in which the business operates.
  • 28. Qualitative Results! 1 minute challenge…. Qualitative Factors: Other than the quantitative Image of the firm aspects of investment decisions, what qualitative Workers/ exploitation factors should a firm consider? Ethical considerations Impact on wider society
  • 29. Lowfare Airways Plc Read the case study and complete the following questions…. 1, 2, 3 & 4 Homework – complete question 3.
  • 30. Financial Strategy? Easy to calculate and understand Advantage - Payback
  • 31. Financial Strategy? Takes into account the time value of money Advantage - NPV
  • 32. Financial Strategy? Provides no insight into profitability. Disadvantage - Payback
  • 33. Financial Strategy? Takes the opportunity cost of money into account. Advantage - ARR
  • 34. Financial Strategy? Ignores what happens after the payback period. Disadvantage - Payback
  • 35. Financial Strategy? Complex to calculate and communicate. Disadvantage - ARR
  • 36. Financial Strategy? Important for a business with a weak cash flow; it may only be willing to invest only in projects with quick payback. Advantage - Payback
  • 37. Financial Strategy? The meaning of the result is often misunderstood. Disadvantage - ARR
  • 38. Financial Strategy? it can be difficult to choose the correct discount. Disadvantage - NPV
  • 39. Re-cap Learning Objectives You should now be able to: 1. Select and use investment appraisal techniques 2. Interpret investment appraisal findings 3. Assess the risks and uncertainties of specific investment decisions. 4. Evaluate quantitative and qualitative influences on specific investment decisions.

Editor's Notes

  1. Year 1 112,000Year 2 114,000Year 3 118,000Year 4 122,000 466,000Year 5 127,000 593,000550,000 – 466,000 (Year 4) = 84,00084,000127,000 (Year 5) x 12 = 7.934 years and 8 monthsMachine A (3 years and 8 months)/ Machine B (2 years 8/9 months)