Committed to making the world’s
     scientific and medical literature
               a public resource




PLoS ONE and the rise of the
 Open Access Mega Journal

  Peter Binfield, Publisher PLoS, pbinfield@plos.org
                                           www.plos.org
Who are the Public Library of
Science?
• Eight years old and the largest not-for-
  profit Open Access publisher
• The publisher of 7 Open Access journals
  including PLoS ONE
• Staffed by professional publishers from
  the likes of Nature, BMJ, Springer etc
• Based in San Francisco, and Cambridge
  UK
• Self Sustaining since late 2010

                              www.plos.org
The Public Library of Science
 – our publishing strategy
• Establish high quality journals
  – put PLoS and open access on the map
• Build a more extensive OA publishing
  operation
  – an open access home for every paper
• Make the literature more useful
  – to scientists and the public
  – accelerate science



                                   www.plos.org
PLoS Biology
October, 2003


                   PLoS Medicine
                   October, 2004


PLoS Community Journals
June-September, 2005      October, 2007




                   PLoS ONE
                   December,
                   2006
                               www.plos.org
PLoS ONE’s Key Innovation –
The editorial process
• Objective Editorial criteria
   –   Scientifically rigorous
   –   Ethical
   –   Properly reported
   –   Conclusions supported by the data
• Editors and reviewers do not ask subjective
  questions such as:
   – How important is the work?
   – Which is the relevant audience?
• Everything that deserves to be published, will
  be published
   – Therefore the journal is not artificially limited in size
• Online tools are then used to evaluate, sort &
  filter the content after publication, not before
                                             www.plos.org
www.plos.org
What else is different?

• Scalability
   – each submission ‘pays for itself’
   – the journal itself benefits from ‘economies of scale’
      (e.g. it only peer reviews papers once; it presents
     all content in a single online environment)
• Inclusive scope
   – all of science and medicine
• Encouraging discussion and debate
   – on PLoS ONE: Commenting, Rating and Annotation
   – elsewhere: Editorial Board discussion forum;
     EveryONE blog; Twitter; FriendFeed; Facebook




                                         www.plos.org
The ‘Open Access Mega Journal'

First, some statistics. There are:

   • Approx 10,000 publishers
   • Publishing approx 25,000 journals
   • Which publish approx 1.5 million
   articles per year (almost 1 million of
   which appear in PubMed)
   • In an industry which historically
   changes very slowly


                                     www.plos.org
The ‘Open Access Mega Journal'
 can be defined as:

1. Very very large
  – Publishing thousands of articles per year
  – and benefiting from economies of scale
1. Open Access
  – Because no one will pay a subscription fee for a
    journal that large (and growing that fast)
  – and using an OA Business Model where each
    article pays for its own costs
1. (Preferably) without any ‘artificial’
   constraints on its ability to grow
  – For example, a desire to only publish ‘high impact;
                                      www.plos.org
    papers
Publications by PLoS ONE per quarter
since launch
3500

                   Publications by PLoS ONE per
3000               quarter since launch
                   Publications by PLoS ONE per quarter
                   since launch
2500



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3000               quarter since launch
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                   since launch
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PLoS ONE – statistics

Year        Annual         Annual           % of Annual
            Submissions    Publications      PubMed
2007            2,497          1,231            0.16%
2008            4,401          2,723            0.34%
2009            6,734          4,310            0.52%
2010            13,567         6,784            0.7%
2011          >22,000*       >12,000*          ~1.5%*
*Projections for 2011

• By publication volume, PLoS ONE was the largest journal in
  the world in 2010, and will be the largest by a factor of 2-3
  in 2011
                                          www.plos.org
“Open Access Mega Journals”
  – One Name, Two Flavours
• ‘Clones’ of PLoS ONE (not selective)
  –   SAGE Open
  –   BMJ Open
  –   Scientific Reports (Nature)
  –   AIP Advances (Am Inst Physics)
  –   G3 (Genetics Soc of America)
  –   Biology Open (Company of Biologists)
• ‘Pseudo-Clones’ of PLoS ONE (probably selective)
  – Physical Review X (Am Physical Society)
  – Open Biology (Royal Society)
  – Cell Reports (Elsevier, Cell Press)
                                             www.plos.org
The Conclusions…
• The ‘full’ PLoS ONE model is wildly
  successful
  – On current trends, PLoS ONE will be publishing
    3% of the STM literature in 2012

• Major publishers are rapidly launching PLoS
  ONE clones
• Some others have held back from the full
  PLoS ONE model, but have still launched ‘OA
  MegaJournals’
  – For various reasons, it remains to be seen if this
    model will be as successful

• Rumour has it that many others are in the
  works…
                                     www.plos.org
The Conclusions…

• I believe we have entered the era of the OA
  mega journal
  – Such journals can choose to be selective, or not
  – From early trends, they will mostly form around
    large disciplines and attempt to ‘own’ entire fields
    of science
  – They will grow rapidly!

• The opportunity to launch new OA mega
  journals is now
  – Some basic modeling predicts that in 2016,
    almost 50% of the STM literature could be
    published in approx 100 OA mega journals…


                                      www.plos.org
The Consequences…


• Content will rapidly concentrate into a small
  number of very large titles
• Filtering based solely on Journal name will
  disappear and will be replaced with new
  metrics
• The content currently being published in the
  universe of 25,000 journals will presumably
  start to dry up

• There are many open questions…

                                www.plos.org
Peter Binfield


Publisher, PLoS ONE and the
Community Journals


http://www.plos.org
email: pbinfield@plos.org
twitter: @p_binfield



                              www.plos.org

367 peter binfield

  • 1.
    Committed to makingthe world’s scientific and medical literature a public resource PLoS ONE and the rise of the Open Access Mega Journal Peter Binfield, Publisher PLoS, pbinfield@plos.org www.plos.org
  • 2.
    Who are thePublic Library of Science? • Eight years old and the largest not-for- profit Open Access publisher • The publisher of 7 Open Access journals including PLoS ONE • Staffed by professional publishers from the likes of Nature, BMJ, Springer etc • Based in San Francisco, and Cambridge UK • Self Sustaining since late 2010 www.plos.org
  • 3.
    The Public Libraryof Science – our publishing strategy • Establish high quality journals – put PLoS and open access on the map • Build a more extensive OA publishing operation – an open access home for every paper • Make the literature more useful – to scientists and the public – accelerate science www.plos.org
  • 4.
    PLoS Biology October, 2003 PLoS Medicine October, 2004 PLoS Community Journals June-September, 2005 October, 2007 PLoS ONE December, 2006 www.plos.org
  • 5.
    PLoS ONE’s KeyInnovation – The editorial process • Objective Editorial criteria – Scientifically rigorous – Ethical – Properly reported – Conclusions supported by the data • Editors and reviewers do not ask subjective questions such as: – How important is the work? – Which is the relevant audience? • Everything that deserves to be published, will be published – Therefore the journal is not artificially limited in size • Online tools are then used to evaluate, sort & filter the content after publication, not before www.plos.org
  • 7.
  • 8.
    What else isdifferent? • Scalability – each submission ‘pays for itself’ – the journal itself benefits from ‘economies of scale’ (e.g. it only peer reviews papers once; it presents all content in a single online environment) • Inclusive scope – all of science and medicine • Encouraging discussion and debate – on PLoS ONE: Commenting, Rating and Annotation – elsewhere: Editorial Board discussion forum; EveryONE blog; Twitter; FriendFeed; Facebook www.plos.org
  • 9.
    The ‘Open AccessMega Journal' First, some statistics. There are: • Approx 10,000 publishers • Publishing approx 25,000 journals • Which publish approx 1.5 million articles per year (almost 1 million of which appear in PubMed) • In an industry which historically changes very slowly www.plos.org
  • 10.
    The ‘Open AccessMega Journal' can be defined as: 1. Very very large – Publishing thousands of articles per year – and benefiting from economies of scale 1. Open Access – Because no one will pay a subscription fee for a journal that large (and growing that fast) – and using an OA Business Model where each article pays for its own costs 1. (Preferably) without any ‘artificial’ constraints on its ability to grow – For example, a desire to only publish ‘high impact; www.plos.org papers
  • 11.
    Publications by PLoSONE per quarter since launch
  • 12.
    3500 Publications by PLoS ONE per 3000 quarter since launch Publications by PLoS ONE per quarter since launch 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10 11 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 11 www.plos.org 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 3 1 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 4 2 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
  • 13.
    3500 Publications by PLoS ONE per 3000 quarter since launch Publications by PLoS ONE per quarter since launch 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10 11 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 3 1 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 4 2 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q
  • 14.
    PLoS ONE –statistics Year Annual Annual % of Annual Submissions Publications PubMed 2007 2,497 1,231 0.16% 2008 4,401 2,723 0.34% 2009 6,734 4,310 0.52% 2010 13,567 6,784 0.7% 2011 >22,000* >12,000* ~1.5%* *Projections for 2011 • By publication volume, PLoS ONE was the largest journal in the world in 2010, and will be the largest by a factor of 2-3 in 2011 www.plos.org
  • 15.
    “Open Access MegaJournals” – One Name, Two Flavours • ‘Clones’ of PLoS ONE (not selective) – SAGE Open – BMJ Open – Scientific Reports (Nature) – AIP Advances (Am Inst Physics) – G3 (Genetics Soc of America) – Biology Open (Company of Biologists) • ‘Pseudo-Clones’ of PLoS ONE (probably selective) – Physical Review X (Am Physical Society) – Open Biology (Royal Society) – Cell Reports (Elsevier, Cell Press) www.plos.org
  • 16.
    The Conclusions… • The‘full’ PLoS ONE model is wildly successful – On current trends, PLoS ONE will be publishing 3% of the STM literature in 2012 • Major publishers are rapidly launching PLoS ONE clones • Some others have held back from the full PLoS ONE model, but have still launched ‘OA MegaJournals’ – For various reasons, it remains to be seen if this model will be as successful • Rumour has it that many others are in the works… www.plos.org
  • 17.
    The Conclusions… • Ibelieve we have entered the era of the OA mega journal – Such journals can choose to be selective, or not – From early trends, they will mostly form around large disciplines and attempt to ‘own’ entire fields of science – They will grow rapidly! • The opportunity to launch new OA mega journals is now – Some basic modeling predicts that in 2016, almost 50% of the STM literature could be published in approx 100 OA mega journals… www.plos.org
  • 18.
    The Consequences… • Contentwill rapidly concentrate into a small number of very large titles • Filtering based solely on Journal name will disappear and will be replaced with new metrics • The content currently being published in the universe of 25,000 journals will presumably start to dry up • There are many open questions… www.plos.org
  • 19.
    Peter Binfield Publisher, PLoSONE and the Community Journals http://www.plos.org email: pbinfield@plos.org twitter: @p_binfield www.plos.org

Editor's Notes

  • #4 This summarizes the broad aims that we have for our publishing operation.