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Training for local DRC representatives
Learning by doing towards the establishment of
robust cap setting and allocation for National ETS
全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会
Supporting the Design and Implementation of Emissions
Trading Systems in China - 中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目
Beijing, 25th – 26th April 2015
北京北京北京北京,,,,2015年年年年4月月月月25-26日日日日
This project/programme is funded by the European Union under the Service Contract No. : DCI-ASIE/2013/334-592.
Project implemented by: ICF International together with Sinocarbon, SQ Consult and Ecofys
Allocation Methods of
Emission allowance
Duan Maosheng
Tsinghua University
April 25,2015
Outline
1. Key words for allowance allocation
2. Considerations when determining the allocation method
3. Types of allocation methods
auctioning
Free allocation
4. Allowance allocation for new entrants
5. Features of allowance allocation of pilots in China
6. Evolvement of allowance allocation methods in EU ETS
7. Foundamention work for an unified national ETS allowance allocation
3
1. Key words for allowance allocation
1. Allocation: initial allocation of emission allowance(government→enterprise)
2. Impact:
different allocation methods bring different incentives, which will impact
acceptance of the methods and the realization of systematic targets. e.g.
allocation based on renewed data may motivate the enterprises to increase
output or emission.
3. Stakeholders:
Government: fairness, efficiency, policy acceptance and implementation
cost, etc.;
Enterprise: production cost, impacts on competitiveness, etc.;
Consumer: increase of product price.
4. Related elements: need be in accordance with other elements such as emission
cap setting, price-formation mechanism , existing energy and climate policies
4
2. Considerations when determining allocation
method
Core element for consideration during allowance allocation:
political acceptance
• Fairness: sharing emission reduction responsibilities, impacts on related sectors,
enterprises, consumers and regions, etc.
• Efficiency: management cost, transaction cost, rate of product market distortion,
etc.
• Availability, acquiring cost and reliability of basic data
Other issues to be considered
• Early emission reduction actions
• New entrants(newly-built enterprises or facilities)
• Shutdown, suspension, merger or business shifting of the enterprise
• Avoid carbon leakage, and consider the competitiveness of local enterprises
5
3. Types of allocation methods
Theoretically, allocation methods can be categorized by the
following criteria:
Free or not
• Free allocation
• Open auction
• Fixed sale
price
Time scope of
data applied
• Historical data
• Renewed data
Type of data
applied
• Based on
emission
• Based on input
• Based on
output
6
3. Types of allocation methods
In practice, there are normally three kinds of allocation methods:
Auctioning
Grandfathering: allocation based on historical data of the
enterprises
Based on historical emission
Based on historical emission intensity(ex post adjustment necessary)
Benchmarking: allocation based on unified sectoral benchmark
based on historical output
Based on current output( ex post adjustment necessary )
7
3. Types of allocation methods
auctioning
Grandfathering
Low political
acceptance
Early emission
reduction action
Thebestgets
punished
benchmarking
“windfall
profits”
Compensate for the
“leakage”
“leakage coefficient”
Free
allocation
Poordatafoundation
Hardtoimplement
design
sector/product
benchmarkingdesign how to
use the
income
Comparison of three widely-used allocation methods:
8
Auctioning
Main strengths and weaknesses
weaknesses strengths
9
Auctioning method
Unified price, sealed bidding, single-round bidding (used in
pilot cities(provinces) of China, EU ETS, California, etc..)
bidding price equals the settlement price
• Allocated randomly
• “come first, get first”
• In proportion to
• bidding quantities
10
Auctioning: key design elements
11
Time, frequency and
amount of auction
Auction method and
limitations for bidding
Reservation price and
price cap
Auction under the price-
controlled mechanism
Auction of the linking
system
Entry qualifications for
auction
Bidding deposit
Issuing auction rules
Checking the bidding
Deciding the winning bidder
and bid-awarding quantities
Allowance delivery
Allowance
settlement
Auction platform
Bidder registration
Bidding and Deposit
Regulatorysystem
Regulation on auction
Financial(trading) regulation
Auctioning: pilot practices in China
1. Purpose of auctioning
Allocation of a small amount of allowances
Market regulation methods
• Price regulation: allowance overpriced
• Compliance regulation: poor market liquidity due to reluctance to
sell by enterprises covered
2. Amount of allowance to be auctioned (or set aside for
auction) differ significantly
12
Free allocation method: grandfathering
Is it “ex post adjustment”?
NO YES
13
Free allocation method: grandfathering
Main strengths and weaknesses
14
weaknesses strengths
Grandfathering- based on historical emissions
15
Grandfathering –based on historical emission
intensity and actual output
16
Free allocation method: benchmarking
Main strengths and weaknesses
strengths
17
weaknesses
Benchmarking-based on historical output
18
Benchmarking-based on actual output
19
Free allocation: data requirement for different
allocation methods
Historical dataHistorical dataHistorical dataHistorical data
EmissionEmissionEmissionEmission
benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking
ControlledControlledControlledControlled emissionemissionemissionemission
factor(emissionfactor(emissionfactor(emissionfactor(emission
intensity/emissionintensity/emissionintensity/emissionintensity/emission
reduction rate)reduction rate)reduction rate)reduction rate)
Actual outputActual outputActual outputActual output
emission output
GrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfathering
based onbased onbased onbased on
historicalhistoricalhistoricalhistorical
emissionemissionemissionemission
● ○ ○
◑ ○
GrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfathering
based onbased onbased onbased on
emissionemissionemissionemission
intensityintensityintensityintensity
● ● ○
◑ ●
benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking
based onbased onbased onbased on
historicalhistoricalhistoricalhistorical
outputoutputoutputoutput
◑ ● ●
◑ ○
benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking
based on actualbased on actualbased on actualbased on actual
outputoutputoutputoutput ◑ ◑ ●
◑ ●
Note:●required ◑probably required ○not required 20
4. Allowance allocation for new entrants(pilot
in China)
1. Newly-established enterprises
Not including: Shanghai, Chongqing, Hubei Province and Tianjin
Same allocation method as newly-build facilities: Beijing, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen
2. Newly-built facilities
Auctioning: EU ETS
Benchmarking based on actual output: Beijing, Tianjin
Benchmarking based on designed production capacity: part of production processes in
Guangdong Province (difficult to set the benchmark)
Allowance calculated based on presumed energy consumption: part of production
processes in Guangdong Province (not difficult to set the benchmark)
Compensate allowance based on actual situation: Shanghai, Hubei Province. For newly-
built facilities with output, energy consumption or carbon emission above certain levels,
compensated allowance can be applied
21
5. Features of allowance allocation of pilots
in China
1. Almost all allowances are allocated for free, while auctioning as an allocation
method has been used in very limited way;
2. Need of enterprises have been given great emphasis in the design of allocation
method;
3. Allocation method, parameter design method and specific values for each
pilot city(province) may differ;
4. Grandfathering approach based on emission is the most widely-used free
allocation method;
5. Compared to systems outside China, allocation method with ex post
adjustment has been applied more frequently, especially for the power and
heat generation sector. 22
6. Evolvement of allowance allocation
methods in EU ETS
Allocation method determined
by member states: National
Allocation Plan (NAP);
Ratio of free allowance>
95%,most of which were
grandfathering allocation
based on emission;
Little allowance for auctioning;
Over-allocation , no saving of
allowance permitted, leading
to allowance price fall to
ZERO at the end of phase 1.
Phase 1
(2005-2007)
Phase 2
(2008-2012)
Allocation method determined
by member states: National
Allocation Plan (NAP);
European Commission
strengthened requirement on
NAPs;
Ratio of free allowance>
90%,most of which were
grandfathering allocation based
on emission;. Benchmarking
start to be applied in countries
like Germany;
Ratio of auctioned allowance
rose.
Phase 3
(2013-2020)
Allocation method determined
by the European Commission;
Auctioning become prevailing
allocation method;
Qualification for acquiring free
allowance;
• Sectors facing “carbon leakage”
• Power sector of a few member
states;
Benchmarking based on
historical output is used for free
allocation.
23
6. Evolvement of allowance allocation
methods in EU ETS
Methods getting unified gradually, preventing the
member states from “bidding for the lowest price”, and
reduce the “distribution effect”;
Amount of allowance for auction gradually increase,
avoiding surplus of allowance and “windfall profits”;
Methods and purposes of free allocation gradually
adjusted.
24
7. Foundation work for an unified national ETS
allowance allocation
Calculate “baseline
allowance”
“tight adjustment”
Compile and report the
pre-allocation scheme
review pre-allocation scheme
determine and release allocation
plan
Government
department in charge
at the national level
Implement allocation
Statistics on basic dataDetermine the list of enterprises
included
Clarify category of enterprises,
select method of allocation
Note: 25
Government
department in charge
at the local level
段茂盛
电话:010-62772596
邮箱:duanmsh@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn
Please follow us via WeChat
项目微信公众号
Supporting the Design and Implementation of Emissions
Trading Systems in China - 中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目
This project/programme is funded by the European Union under the Service Contract No. : DCI-ASIE/2013/334-592.
Project implemented by: ICF International together with Sinocarbon, SQ Consult and Ecofys
Please follow us via LinkedIn
项目项目项目项目LinkedIn页面页面页面页面
https://www.linkedin.com/grp/home?gid=6971708

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Allocation Methods of Emission allowance

  • 1. Training for local DRC representatives Learning by doing towards the establishment of robust cap setting and allocation for National ETS 全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会全国碳交易能力建设培训会 Supporting the Design and Implementation of Emissions Trading Systems in China - 中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目 Beijing, 25th – 26th April 2015 北京北京北京北京,,,,2015年年年年4月月月月25-26日日日日 This project/programme is funded by the European Union under the Service Contract No. : DCI-ASIE/2013/334-592. Project implemented by: ICF International together with Sinocarbon, SQ Consult and Ecofys
  • 2. Allocation Methods of Emission allowance Duan Maosheng Tsinghua University April 25,2015
  • 3. Outline 1. Key words for allowance allocation 2. Considerations when determining the allocation method 3. Types of allocation methods auctioning Free allocation 4. Allowance allocation for new entrants 5. Features of allowance allocation of pilots in China 6. Evolvement of allowance allocation methods in EU ETS 7. Foundamention work for an unified national ETS allowance allocation 3
  • 4. 1. Key words for allowance allocation 1. Allocation: initial allocation of emission allowance(government→enterprise) 2. Impact: different allocation methods bring different incentives, which will impact acceptance of the methods and the realization of systematic targets. e.g. allocation based on renewed data may motivate the enterprises to increase output or emission. 3. Stakeholders: Government: fairness, efficiency, policy acceptance and implementation cost, etc.; Enterprise: production cost, impacts on competitiveness, etc.; Consumer: increase of product price. 4. Related elements: need be in accordance with other elements such as emission cap setting, price-formation mechanism , existing energy and climate policies 4
  • 5. 2. Considerations when determining allocation method Core element for consideration during allowance allocation: political acceptance • Fairness: sharing emission reduction responsibilities, impacts on related sectors, enterprises, consumers and regions, etc. • Efficiency: management cost, transaction cost, rate of product market distortion, etc. • Availability, acquiring cost and reliability of basic data Other issues to be considered • Early emission reduction actions • New entrants(newly-built enterprises or facilities) • Shutdown, suspension, merger or business shifting of the enterprise • Avoid carbon leakage, and consider the competitiveness of local enterprises 5
  • 6. 3. Types of allocation methods Theoretically, allocation methods can be categorized by the following criteria: Free or not • Free allocation • Open auction • Fixed sale price Time scope of data applied • Historical data • Renewed data Type of data applied • Based on emission • Based on input • Based on output 6
  • 7. 3. Types of allocation methods In practice, there are normally three kinds of allocation methods: Auctioning Grandfathering: allocation based on historical data of the enterprises Based on historical emission Based on historical emission intensity(ex post adjustment necessary) Benchmarking: allocation based on unified sectoral benchmark based on historical output Based on current output( ex post adjustment necessary ) 7
  • 8. 3. Types of allocation methods auctioning Grandfathering Low political acceptance Early emission reduction action Thebestgets punished benchmarking “windfall profits” Compensate for the “leakage” “leakage coefficient” Free allocation Poordatafoundation Hardtoimplement design sector/product benchmarkingdesign how to use the income Comparison of three widely-used allocation methods: 8
  • 9. Auctioning Main strengths and weaknesses weaknesses strengths 9
  • 10. Auctioning method Unified price, sealed bidding, single-round bidding (used in pilot cities(provinces) of China, EU ETS, California, etc..) bidding price equals the settlement price • Allocated randomly • “come first, get first” • In proportion to • bidding quantities 10
  • 11. Auctioning: key design elements 11 Time, frequency and amount of auction Auction method and limitations for bidding Reservation price and price cap Auction under the price- controlled mechanism Auction of the linking system Entry qualifications for auction Bidding deposit Issuing auction rules Checking the bidding Deciding the winning bidder and bid-awarding quantities Allowance delivery Allowance settlement Auction platform Bidder registration Bidding and Deposit Regulatorysystem Regulation on auction Financial(trading) regulation
  • 12. Auctioning: pilot practices in China 1. Purpose of auctioning Allocation of a small amount of allowances Market regulation methods • Price regulation: allowance overpriced • Compliance regulation: poor market liquidity due to reluctance to sell by enterprises covered 2. Amount of allowance to be auctioned (or set aside for auction) differ significantly 12
  • 13. Free allocation method: grandfathering Is it “ex post adjustment”? NO YES 13
  • 14. Free allocation method: grandfathering Main strengths and weaknesses 14 weaknesses strengths
  • 15. Grandfathering- based on historical emissions 15
  • 16. Grandfathering –based on historical emission intensity and actual output 16
  • 17. Free allocation method: benchmarking Main strengths and weaknesses strengths 17 weaknesses
  • 20. Free allocation: data requirement for different allocation methods Historical dataHistorical dataHistorical dataHistorical data EmissionEmissionEmissionEmission benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking ControlledControlledControlledControlled emissionemissionemissionemission factor(emissionfactor(emissionfactor(emissionfactor(emission intensity/emissionintensity/emissionintensity/emissionintensity/emission reduction rate)reduction rate)reduction rate)reduction rate) Actual outputActual outputActual outputActual output emission output GrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfathering based onbased onbased onbased on historicalhistoricalhistoricalhistorical emissionemissionemissionemission ● ○ ○ ◑ ○ GrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfatheringGrandfathering based onbased onbased onbased on emissionemissionemissionemission intensityintensityintensityintensity ● ● ○ ◑ ● benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking based onbased onbased onbased on historicalhistoricalhistoricalhistorical outputoutputoutputoutput ◑ ● ● ◑ ○ benchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarkingbenchmarking based on actualbased on actualbased on actualbased on actual outputoutputoutputoutput ◑ ◑ ● ◑ ● Note:●required ◑probably required ○not required 20
  • 21. 4. Allowance allocation for new entrants(pilot in China) 1. Newly-established enterprises Not including: Shanghai, Chongqing, Hubei Province and Tianjin Same allocation method as newly-build facilities: Beijing, Guangdong Province, Shenzhen 2. Newly-built facilities Auctioning: EU ETS Benchmarking based on actual output: Beijing, Tianjin Benchmarking based on designed production capacity: part of production processes in Guangdong Province (difficult to set the benchmark) Allowance calculated based on presumed energy consumption: part of production processes in Guangdong Province (not difficult to set the benchmark) Compensate allowance based on actual situation: Shanghai, Hubei Province. For newly- built facilities with output, energy consumption or carbon emission above certain levels, compensated allowance can be applied 21
  • 22. 5. Features of allowance allocation of pilots in China 1. Almost all allowances are allocated for free, while auctioning as an allocation method has been used in very limited way; 2. Need of enterprises have been given great emphasis in the design of allocation method; 3. Allocation method, parameter design method and specific values for each pilot city(province) may differ; 4. Grandfathering approach based on emission is the most widely-used free allocation method; 5. Compared to systems outside China, allocation method with ex post adjustment has been applied more frequently, especially for the power and heat generation sector. 22
  • 23. 6. Evolvement of allowance allocation methods in EU ETS Allocation method determined by member states: National Allocation Plan (NAP); Ratio of free allowance> 95%,most of which were grandfathering allocation based on emission; Little allowance for auctioning; Over-allocation , no saving of allowance permitted, leading to allowance price fall to ZERO at the end of phase 1. Phase 1 (2005-2007) Phase 2 (2008-2012) Allocation method determined by member states: National Allocation Plan (NAP); European Commission strengthened requirement on NAPs; Ratio of free allowance> 90%,most of which were grandfathering allocation based on emission;. Benchmarking start to be applied in countries like Germany; Ratio of auctioned allowance rose. Phase 3 (2013-2020) Allocation method determined by the European Commission; Auctioning become prevailing allocation method; Qualification for acquiring free allowance; • Sectors facing “carbon leakage” • Power sector of a few member states; Benchmarking based on historical output is used for free allocation. 23
  • 24. 6. Evolvement of allowance allocation methods in EU ETS Methods getting unified gradually, preventing the member states from “bidding for the lowest price”, and reduce the “distribution effect”; Amount of allowance for auction gradually increase, avoiding surplus of allowance and “windfall profits”; Methods and purposes of free allocation gradually adjusted. 24
  • 25. 7. Foundation work for an unified national ETS allowance allocation Calculate “baseline allowance” “tight adjustment” Compile and report the pre-allocation scheme review pre-allocation scheme determine and release allocation plan Government department in charge at the national level Implement allocation Statistics on basic dataDetermine the list of enterprises included Clarify category of enterprises, select method of allocation Note: 25 Government department in charge at the local level
  • 26. 段茂盛 电话:010-62772596 邮箱:duanmsh@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn Please follow us via WeChat 项目微信公众号 Supporting the Design and Implementation of Emissions Trading Systems in China - 中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目中欧碳交易能力建设项目 This project/programme is funded by the European Union under the Service Contract No. : DCI-ASIE/2013/334-592. Project implemented by: ICF International together with Sinocarbon, SQ Consult and Ecofys Please follow us via LinkedIn 项目项目项目项目LinkedIn页面页面页面页面 https://www.linkedin.com/grp/home?gid=6971708