This document analyzes employment trends in Canada from December 2015 to June 2019 using data from Statistics Canada. It finds that employment growth has primarily been in the services sector while goods-producing jobs have increased by only 6% since 2015. Specific provinces like Ontario and Alberta are discussed. Issues like precarious employment, brain drain, and compensation in the public vs private sector are also addressed. Solutions proposed include improving skills training, attracting foreign investment, and reforming taxation and government service delivery.

1. 2019 ELECTION –
EMPLOYMENT –
CANADA
Paul Young CPA CGA
July 5, 2019

2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com

3. AGENDA
 Employment by period
 Analysis by Sector
 Analysis Dec 15 vs YTD 2019
 Ontario Job Analysis
 Alberta Job Analysis
 Blog #1 – Employment
 Blog #2 – Brain Drain
 Blog #3 – Public Sector vs Private Sector
 Job Quality Analysis
 What’s Next

4. INTRODUCTORY
 In health care and social assistance, employment grew by 22,000 in June, following an increase of a similar magnitude
in May. Employment growth was observed across several provinces, led by British Columbia. Compared with 12
months earlier, employment in this industry grew by 108,000 (+4.5%) at the national level, the largest year-over-year
increase since June 2010. There were 13,000 more people employed in educational services, with gains concentrated
in Quebec and Alberta. On a year-over-year basis, employment grew by 53,000 (+4.0%). Employment in transportation
and warehousing rose by 13,000, mostly in Ontario. Year-over-year employment gains in this industry totaled 63,000
(+6.3%). In information, culture and recreation, employment was up by 13,000 in June, with most of the increase
coming from Quebec. Employment in this industry has been trending upward since the start of 2019, following a
downward trend in the second half of 2018. There was little change in employment over the previous 12 months.
There were 16,000 fewer people working in wholesale and retail trade in June, mainly due to declines in Ontario and
Alberta. Compared with June 2018, employment in this industry was up 72,000 (+2.6%). In "other services,"
employment declined by 15,000, driven by Quebec and British Columbia. This industry includes services such as repair
and maintenance, and personal and laundry services. On a year-over-year basis, employment in this industry grew by
34,000 (+4.3%).
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190705/dq190705a-eng.htm

5. EMPLOYMENT
BY SECTOR
Source – Stats Canada -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1
/daily-
quotidien/190705/dq190705a-
eng.htm

6. EMPLOYMENT
BY SECTOR
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1
/daily-
quotidien/190705/dq190705a-
eng.htm
• Liberals policies have done little to create the
conditions to support job growth in the goods
producing sector
• Nearly 30% of all new jobs are govt
• Canada is less competitive today as its
competitive ranking has falling 3 spots in 2019 -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019
-election-canada-and-global-competitiveness-
may-2019

7. ONTARIO
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1
/daily-
quotidien/190607/dq190607a-
eng.htm

8. ALBERTA
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1
/daily-
quotidien/190607/dq190607a-
eng.htm

9. 2019 JUNE JOBS
• Increase in precarious work, i.e. self
employment
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/busines
s/briefing/article-i-want-a-steady-
paycheque-how-the-gig-economy-isnt-
really-shaking/
• Many people may have decided against
incorporated as such have moved to self-
employment due to changes in tax laws -
https://obj.ca/article/GGFL-small-business-
and-tax-revolt

10. BLOG #1 -
EMPLOYMENT
 https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/tasker-senate-amendments-
bill-c-69-
1.5128593?fbclid=IwAR2DxbeCsv5I5wUmAFT6YpyJv5opRbSM2F
vFO48rdB3zUh_YvtMx3-IGYI8
 Since Trudeau took office in October 2019 there has been only
6% growth in goods producing job.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/employment-canada-
march-2019 (See slide 5). Only a few thousand jobs have been
created in MFG and NR sector. Liberals policies have done little
to support goods producing sector.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/business-
competitivesness-canada-march-2019

 Trudeau will spin the nearly 1M jobs but about 30% of those
jobs are govt. Trudeau will never discuss details for good reasons
as his policies have not help the middle class and/or those trying
to join the middle class -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/middle-class-and-
justin-trudeau

11. BRAIN DRAIN
All levels of government need to address issues with the brain drain
 Brain Drain - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/technology/article-canada-facing-brain-
drain-as-young-tech-talent-leaves-for-silicon/
 Canadian Technology community not happy with small business tax reforms -
https://globalnews.ca/news/3741638/canadian-tech-ottawa-trudeau-small-business-taxes/
 There needs to be better alignment of education with jobs of today and tomorrow -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/skills-gap-education-and-training-canada-march-2019
 Canada continues to see a brain drain - https://thelogic.co/news/silicon-valleys-ties-to-canada-are-
growing-despite-tensions-between-ottawa-and-washington-report-says/
 High cost of living in cities like Toronto and Vancouver could see people moving to cheaper
locations - https://www.newinhomes.com/blog/is-toronto-at-risk-of-a-brain-drain-to-montreal
 Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-issues-technology-sector-
canada-april-2019

12. PUBLIC VS PRIVATE SECTOR - ONTARIO
 https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/doug-ford-union-negotiation-wage-cap-legislation-
1.5126776?fbclid=IwAR2MrZteE81hPv3oAk8PV2nQcnse_rgWZqEjTWDOUzXU_xsABYXiAH07EwI

 There has been huge gaps between private sector and public sector pay - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/comparing-government-and-private-sector-
compensation-in-ontario-2018
 Wynne never dealt with a broken arbitration process that was not based on the ability to pay - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-
issues-municipal-and-local-government-issues-and-analysis-may-2019 (see slide 32)
 People need to understand that government does not work in competitive environment as such there are no market pricing rules. Yet people will argue that
private sector should increase wages. Businesses against other businesses when it comes to their goods and services -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/is-canada-losing-its-business-competitiveness-february-2019
 Ontario is fiscal mess as such has to reign in compensation as it is about 50% of every dollar the government spends when it comes to program spending -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-management-cycle-ontario-issues-and-analysis
 Wynne and McGuinty added over $200B through waste and nothing is said, why? https://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/9343836-ontario-s-budget-based-
on-math-not-
ideology/?utm_source=twitter&source=thespec&utm_medium=socialmedia&utm_campaign=500am&utm_campaign_id=opinion&utm_content=ontario-s-
budget-based-on-math-not-ideology. Wynne and McGuinty has zero respect for the AG reports as such did nothing with the AG reports.
https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2017/12/06/auditor-general-takes-aim-at-liberals-over-spending-and-waste.html. Wynne also ignored
recommendations in the Drummond Report - https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/the-drummond-report-gave-ontario-a-good-plan-then-kathleen-
wynne-buried-it. BTW – Horwath back many budgets!

 Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-issues-public-vs-private-sector-compensation-canada-may-2019 or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-management-cycle-ontario-issues-and-analysis or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/education-
ontario-policy-analysis-may-2019 (on average 88% of the School Board budget goes to instructional costs)

13. BLOG – GDP
Herb Cober Nice script! I am guessing the Liberals told you do make that tweets. I guess the above facts are no
interest too you! FYI - Can you tell me why Trudeau's GDP is 2.0% post-recession as compare to Harper who had
2.3%. It seems despite the so-called deficits that GDP has performed worse under Trudeau!
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga How so? I have look at the details as such the average growth for 2019
is still forecasted 1.5%. Trudeau has done nothing to fix the issues facing the economy! GDP is on pace for 1.5%
growth which is 50% less than 2017 when growth was at 3.0%. Trudeau average is also 2.0% which is down from
Harper’s 2.3 post recession
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-economy-canada-april-2019
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-economy-canada

14. JOB QUALITY

15. SOLUTIONS
 All levels of government need to work together as
part of ensuring that Canada is attracting FDI -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-
election-fdi-foreign-direct-investment-canada
 More emphasis needed on skills development
 More emphasis on getting goods to market
 Ontario government is on the right path that
education graduation rates with employment
outcome -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/education-
skills-and-development-human-capital-management-
canada-may-2019
 Provincial and Federal Governments need to stop
looking at ways to tax people and start focusing more
on their delivery model. More taxation could lead to a
brain drain