The documents summarize U.S. energy production, consumption, and import trends from 2009 to 2025. It shows that while U.S. energy consumption is expected to increase, domestic production will not keep pace, leading to larger import dependencies over time. Specifically, the U.S. energy gap is projected to widen from 13% in 2012 to 20% in 2025, and the liquid fuel gap may grow from 60% in 2006 to 37% in 2025, requiring increased imports. The top sources of U.S. crude oil imports are expected to remain Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations.

1. U.S. Total Energy Production vs. Consumption
120
2012 Energy Gap: 100
13% gap
20%
2025 Energy Gap: 80
13%
Quads
60
Consumption
40 Production
Source: EIA Annual Energy
Outlook 2012, Reference
Case 20
0
2009 2013 2017 2021 2025

2. U.S. Liquid Fuel Production vs. Consumption
25
2006 Fuel Gap:
20
60%
2025 Fuel Gap:
15 37% gap
37%
Bb/d
10
Source: EIA Annual Energy
Outlook 2012, Reference Consumption
Case
5
Production
0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025

3. U.S. Crude Oil Imports by Country/Region
10
9
8
7
Other
Quadrillion Btu
6 Persian Gulf (OPEC)
West Africa (OPEC)
5
North Africa (OPEC)
4 Latin America (OPEC)
North Sea
3
Mexico
2 Canada
1
0
2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case

4. 2025 Energy Demand by Fuel Type
100 10.04 quads is just 9.86% of total
energy demand in 2025
80
Quadrillion Btu
60
Petroleum
40 Natural Gas
Coal
20 Uranium
Renewables
0 Biofuels
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case

5. 2025 Scenario: Imported Crude Oil Displaced
Total Crude Oil
(quads)
Displaced
Distillate fuel oil  Freight LNG (32% penetration) 2.18
Gasoline  Light duty CNG (22% penetration) 3.91
Gasoline  EVs (10% penetration) 1.75
Various crude  Canadian tight oil & gas (est. surplus) 4.86
products
Total crude oil displaced 12.69
Total crude oil imported 10.04
Total percentage of crude oil imports displaced 126%