Can Agriculture feed our world? 125 years KLV Prof Martin Kropff, Rector Magnificus Wageningen University
Global Challenges Food security Climate change/ Tipping points Biobased Economy Stewardship Food nutrition  & health AGRI FOOD
Food security Distribution or production locally? Global production Hunger threshold Recommended
Food to feed the world
The challenge for mankind 2x more with 2 x less
Projected effect of climate change Cline, W. R. 2007. Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country. Washington D.C., USA: Peterson Institute.
Possible interventions Innovative greenhouse GMO Agronomy Institutions
Possible interventions Greenhouse as energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions
Possible interventions Greenhouse as energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
Possible interventions Greenhouse as energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
Possible interventions Greenhouse as energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
Technological options: Productivity
Technological options: Productivity increase Arable land (m hectare) West Africa West Europe Maïs oogst (ton/hectare) !
Technological options: Two strategies Theoretical maximum yield Actual yield Theoretical maximum yield Actual yield Yield gap Yield gap GMO? Decrease the  Yield-gap Increase maximum yield
Technological options: Biobased Economy Food Materials Energy
Technological/Socio-economic options Climate change: Agriculture as part of the solution Food to feed the world Farming systems adapted to climate change Mitigating climate change
Technological/socio-economic options Roughly 1/3 of food produced for human consumption is lost or wasted globally. Which amounts to about 1.3 billion tons per year (FAO, 2011  Institutions the Netherlands total shrinkage in the food chain values € 4.4 billion
Socio economic options Co-innovation (topsectors global) Institutions Financial mechanisms Intermediate co-ordination (AGRA....) Governance at the global level Which current mechanisms work? How do we handle financial crises?  Will we be able to handle major food crises?
Is there a role for the Netherlands? Sector innovative and world leading (2 nd  exporter) Knowledge infrastructure world class  Government Industry Knowledge  institutions Coherent Connected Committed PPP
world wide networks Education: capacity building, exchange Research: programs Innovation: international PPP based in regions   Golden triangles in regions of the world Universities and research institutes (regional) Governments Businesses Solutions through international co-operation? America Asia Africa
Conclusions 2 x more with 2 x less  (eco-efficiency) Biobased economy  (waste, valorisation, P) Agriculture and climate change: triple win  (A, M, F) Approach through PPPs, invest in AR New international governance systems  (long term thinking)
Agriculture  can  feed the world! Opening of the  Conference of ELLS  Rector Magnificus

Presentation Main Conference Martin Kropff

  • 1.
    Can Agriculture feedour world? 125 years KLV Prof Martin Kropff, Rector Magnificus Wageningen University
  • 2.
    Global Challenges Foodsecurity Climate change/ Tipping points Biobased Economy Stewardship Food nutrition & health AGRI FOOD
  • 3.
    Food security Distributionor production locally? Global production Hunger threshold Recommended
  • 4.
    Food to feedthe world
  • 5.
    The challenge formankind 2x more with 2 x less
  • 6.
    Projected effect ofclimate change Cline, W. R. 2007. Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country. Washington D.C., USA: Peterson Institute.
  • 7.
    Possible interventions Innovativegreenhouse GMO Agronomy Institutions
  • 8.
    Possible interventions Greenhouseas energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions
  • 9.
    Possible interventions Greenhouseas energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
  • 10.
    Possible interventions Greenhouseas energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
  • 11.
    Possible interventions Greenhouseas energy source GMO Agronomy Institutions shine
  • 12.
  • 13.
    Technological options: Productivityincrease Arable land (m hectare) West Africa West Europe Maïs oogst (ton/hectare) !
  • 14.
    Technological options: Twostrategies Theoretical maximum yield Actual yield Theoretical maximum yield Actual yield Yield gap Yield gap GMO? Decrease the Yield-gap Increase maximum yield
  • 15.
    Technological options: BiobasedEconomy Food Materials Energy
  • 16.
    Technological/Socio-economic options Climatechange: Agriculture as part of the solution Food to feed the world Farming systems adapted to climate change Mitigating climate change
  • 17.
    Technological/socio-economic options Roughly1/3 of food produced for human consumption is lost or wasted globally. Which amounts to about 1.3 billion tons per year (FAO, 2011 Institutions the Netherlands total shrinkage in the food chain values € 4.4 billion
  • 18.
    Socio economic optionsCo-innovation (topsectors global) Institutions Financial mechanisms Intermediate co-ordination (AGRA....) Governance at the global level Which current mechanisms work? How do we handle financial crises? Will we be able to handle major food crises?
  • 19.
    Is there arole for the Netherlands? Sector innovative and world leading (2 nd exporter) Knowledge infrastructure world class Government Industry Knowledge institutions Coherent Connected Committed PPP
  • 20.
    world wide networksEducation: capacity building, exchange Research: programs Innovation: international PPP based in regions Golden triangles in regions of the world Universities and research institutes (regional) Governments Businesses Solutions through international co-operation? America Asia Africa
  • 21.
    Conclusions 2 xmore with 2 x less (eco-efficiency) Biobased economy (waste, valorisation, P) Agriculture and climate change: triple win (A, M, F) Approach through PPPs, invest in AR New international governance systems (long term thinking)
  • 22.
    Agriculture can feed the world! Opening of the Conference of ELLS Rector Magnificus

Editor's Notes

  • #2 15/11/11
  • #8 Plaatjes in de hokjes?
  • #9 Plaatjes in de hokjes?
  • #10 Plaatjes in de hokjes?
  • #11 Plaatjes in de hokjes?
  • #12 Plaatjes in de hokjes?
  • #13 15/11/11 In het verleden hebben we aandacht gehad voor de “gemiddelde” verhoging.
  • #14 15/11/11 Voorbeeld van productie strategie. Europe meer productie door hogere Opbrengsten en weinig uitbreiding van land. Afika juist veel uitbreiding van Land en dat helpt ook bepaald niet bij bedwingen emissies. (Prem Bindraban, Erwin Bulte, Ken Giller, Holger Meinke, Arthur Mol, Pepijn van Oort, Peter Oosterveer, Herman van Keulen & Meike Wollni, 2009. Beyond competition – Pathways for Africa ’s agricultural development. Plant Research International, Wageningen UR, Report 242)
  • #20 15/11/11
  • #23 15/11/11