Regional Leadership Forum Advancing Sustainable Hydropower in Latin America and the Caribbean

1. Trends in hydropower development
From Global
to Regional
Richard M. Taylor, FEI. Executive Director
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International Hydropower Association
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

2. 1. Background
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3. ~100 corporate members
1 vision
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4. IHA Sponsor members
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International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

5. Hydropower typologies
Run-of-river hydro
Hydropower typology,
covering all scales
of development
Storage hydro
Pump-storage hydro
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6. Specific characteristics
• An indigenous, renewable asset
• A flexible technology, supporting the energy mix
• A driver for smart power systems (energy storage)
• A multipurpose asset (water storage)
• Irrigation
• Water supply and Sanitation
• Navigation
• Regulated flow regimes
• Fisheries
• Flood/drought management
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7. IHA’s activities
Defining Measuring the
hydropower’s evolving sustainability performance
role in green growth of hydropower
(supported by the Hydropower (supported by the Hydropower
Development Strategy Committee) Sustainability Strategy Committee)
Sharing knowledge
(supported by the Hydropower
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Communications Committee)
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

8. Hydropower Development
Working Groups and Activities
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9. Sustainability
Timeline
World UNEP Dams and Initial Sustainability
Commission on Development Assessment
Dams Final Report Protocol Official Protocol
Project
launch
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
IHA Sustainability Multi-stakeholder Forum
Guidelines Protocol
refines the Protocol
Implementation
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10. Communication / Outreach
Projects
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11. 2. Global and Regional
Trends
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12. Global Electricity Supply
Graph 2: Estimated Global
Power Generation 2010 (*20 267 TWh)
Other
renewables
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(Source: IHA Activity Report 2011)

13. Hydropower Deployment in 2011
• 970 GW of worldwide Total Global Capacity: 970 GW
capacity
China 22%
Rest of the world
• 25 GW of new hydropower
added in 2011, increasing 49% Brazil 8%
capacity by nearly 3%
United States 8%
Canada 8%
• Globally hydropower Russia 5%
generated 3,400TWh of
electricity in 2011. China
alone produced 663TWh Total Capacity Additions:
followed by Brazil (450TWh)
+25 GW
8% Vietnam
6% India
• China, Brazil, United 6% Brazil
49% China
States, Canada and Russia 5% Canada
comprise the top 5
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hydropower markets by Rest of the world
capacity 25% Source: REN 21
Global Status Report 2011

14. Growth in Electricity Generation (TWh)
Thermal and Renewables
9000
8000
Conventional
7000
Thermal
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
Hydropower
1000
Other Renewables
0
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Source: Energy Information Administration
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

15. Growth in Electricity Generation (TWh)
Hydropower and other renewables
1800
1600
1400
Hydropower
1200
1000
800
600
Other
400 Renewables
200
0
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Source: Energy Information Administration
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

16. Global Renewable Capacity
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Source: REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report

17. Global Renewable Capacity
1%
0% 0%
5%
5%
Hydro
Wind
17% Biomass
Solar PV
71% Solar Thermal
Geothermal
Ocean
Hydro Wind Biomass Solar PV Solar Thermal Geothermal Ocean
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970 GW 238 GW 72 GW 69 GW 1.8 GW 11.2 GW .5 GW
Source: REN21 Renewables 2012 Global Status Report

18. Forecast Change: 2011-2035
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19. Forecast Change: 2011-2035
Oil
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20. Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
Hydro projects are currently in the
CDM pipeline - almost 40% of all
the renewable energy projects
• Installed capacity ranging from 70kW to 1,000 MW
• In 36 countries
• For a total installed capacity of 45,613 MW
• For a total annual GHG reduction of 141 MtCO2/y
• Hydro <15 MW: 683 stations – 5,967 MW – 19.41 MtCO2/y
• Hydro >15 MW: 634 stations – 39,647 MW – 121.47 MtCO2/y
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• Post-2012 market change
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

21. Regional Potentials
Europe
Eurasia
North America 179 GW & 554 TWh
Asia / Pacific
138 GW & 464 TWh
153 GW & 689TWh
Africa 264 GW & 894 TWh
South America
23 GW &102TWh
156 GW & 641 TWh
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Installed Capacity
Energy delivered (2008)
International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C

22. Hydropower Development to 2035
2011-2035 hydropower deployment forecast: 28.5 GW/year
(2006-2010 average: 29 GW/year)
Hydropower capacity under construction or planned for deployment
before 2035
350
300
250
Additional capacity (GW)
200
150
100
50
0
Asia (east) Asia (west) South America Europe Africa North America
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23. Thank you
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International Hydropower Association  Regional Report 2012 – LA & C