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The role of risk stratification and biomarkers in prevention of CVD CVD Risk Biomarker Symposium Mark J. Pletcher, MD, MPH 1/30/2012
Objective ,[object Object],[object Object]
Objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What KIND of evidence?
Framework Circulation 2009;119: 2408-16.
Framework Circulation 2009;119: 2408-16. Association (Discrimination)
Framework Circulation 2009;119: 2408-16. Reclassification
Framework Circulation 2009;119: 2408-16. Impact
Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Framework ,[object Object]
Example 1: Multimarker panel ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NEJM 2006;355:2631-9
Example 1: Multimarker panel ,[object Object],NEJM 2006;355:2631-9
Example 1: Multimarker panel ,[object Object],NEJM 2006;355:2631-9
Example 1: Multimarker panel ,[object Object],NEJM 2006;355:2631-9 C-statistic: 0.80    0.82
Example 1: Multimarker panel ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NEJM 2006;355:2631-9
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29 Intermediate risk ppts reclassified: 20% (And reclassified persons’ expected risk closer to what was observed)
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
Example 2: CRP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Annals 2006;145:21-29
The Common Flaw ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
The Common Flaw ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
The Answer ,[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
The Answer ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],Study sample Randomize Do not measure biomarker Intervention tailored to biomarker level Standard intervention Measure health outcomes Measure health outcomes Measure biomarker Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object]
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Circulation 2011;123:1116-1124
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object]
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],RCT DCEA Model
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Measuring Health Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For the rest of the day… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you to our sponsors! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Role of CVD Risk Biomarkers in Prevention

Editor's Notes

  1. OK, let’s get started. We’re going to spend the morning talking about the role of risk stratification and biomarkers in prevention of CVD.
  2. Nearly 50,000 articles in PubMed on “Cardiovascular Diseases” and “biomarker”, but not one post-Framingham biomarker has completed translation into routine clinical practice