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Competition in Regulated Mail Markets
First experiences and conclusions

Wolfgang Pickavé • Königswinter • 13 February 2007
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page   2
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page   3
The strategy of DPWN
DPWN has successfully completed its three phase strategy; the new goals: to increase
customer satisfaction and to realize organic growth



                                                                    Phase 3:
                                                                    Becoming No. 1 integrated
                                          Phase 2:                  logistics company
                                          International expansion                  2001 - 2005
       Phase 1:
       Turnaround                                    1998 - 2000

                       1990 - 1997




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                    Page   4
The strategy of DPWN
While the continuing liberalisation of the mail markets is posing a challenge in Germany,
internationally it is seen as an opportunity


                                                … to offset impending losses of market share in the
     DPWN’s goal                                  national mail market by gaining market share in other
                                                  markets


                                                … to expand our service offering for business customers
                                                … to increase our presence abroad
     Three approaches
                                                … to continually optimize the costs of our transport and
                                                  delivery network and to make it more flexible



                                                … acquisitions
     Three entry strategies                     … co-operations
                                                … development of our own networks




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                              Page   5
The strategy of DPWN
Revenues of DPWN Mail International
                                                                                              2.098 bn
                                                                                                Euro
                                                                       1.715 bn
                                                                         Euro
                                                 1.531 bn
                                                   Euro
                       1.445 bn
                         Euro




                                                                                                                Revenues
                                                                                                                including
                                                                                                                value-added
                                                                                                                services of
                                                                                                                Corporate
                                                                                                                Division
                                                                                                                MAIL

                          2002                      2003                 2004                    2005

                       Extension                    Start              Expansion           Further Expansion
                      of international          in domestic mail     in domestic mail        in domestic mail
                          network                  market NL       markets USA, F, E, UK      markets UK, J




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                 Page   6
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page   7
DPWN’s International Mail Activities
DPWN’s international mail business is covering activities along and beyond the traditional
postal value chain



               Cross Border
                 Services




                  Domestic
                  Services




               Value Added
                 Services




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                           Page   8
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Cross-border mail: Global market share (2005)



                                                 DHL Global Mail
                                                     14 %
 Other postal operators
         44 %


                                                                          Total value: ~ € 10 bn
                                                                  USPS
                                                                   14 %
                                                                          With a market share of 14%
                                                                          Deutsche Post is among the
                                                                          two largest suppliers in
                                                                          worldwide cross-border mail
                                                             Royal Mail
                                                               9%

                                                       La Poste
                               TNT/Spring     Swiss Post 7 %
                                 6%         International
                                                  6%


Source: UPU Statistics, Annual Reports



wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                           Page   9
DPWN’s International Mail Activities
Cross-border mail: DHL Global Mail’s business

                                    GLOBAL MAIL      GLOBAL MAIL                 GLOBAL MAIL               GLOBAL MAIL
                                     BUSINESS          DIRECT                    PUBLICATION                 PARCEL

                        Solutions for                 Solutions for               Solutions for              Solutions for
                   international business          international direct           international          international parcel
                             mail                       marketing            publication distribution            post



                                                                  Priority Service: 3-8 days
                   Service levels




                                                                 Standard Service: 8-14 days

                                                         Economy Service: 14 days+ (overseas)



               Standard Features                                                Value added services

               ■          Basic consulting on international DM                  ■   International address management
               ■          Pick-up (based on minimum volume)                     ■   Comprehensive DM consulting
               ■          Invoice itemized by zone                              ■   Database management (for DM)
               ■          Customs clearance                                     ■   Registered mail
               ■          Sorting, franking (not for DIRECT)                    ■   Sorting, franking, lettershop services (for DIRECT)



wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                             Page 10
DPWN’s International Mail Activities
DPWN’s domestic mail services
                                                                                                  Approx. 50 processing centers
                                                                                                  Approx. 35 sales offices
                                                                                                  Approx. 4,000 employees




             in cooperation with

                                                                                                            joint venture with
                                                                London     Utrecht
                                    Chicago Toronto
                                                                         Frankfurt

                                              Newark                                                     Tokyo
            Los Angeles
                                             Miami                                   Dubai      Hong Kong
                                    Mexico City
                                                                                             Singapore

              in cooperation with



                                                      Buenos Aires                                             Sydney


  Main domestic processing centers
  International processing centers




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                    Page 11
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in the Netherlands



                Dutch mail         ■   One of the most de-regulated markets in Europe (~50% of market
                   market              accessible)
            characteristics        ■   Direct Mail and outgoing cross-border mail fully liberalised, letter
                                       mail above 50g liberalised
                                   ■   Full market opening expected 2008 (new postal act pending)
                                   ■   Highly competitive environment



            Deutsche Post          ■   1999: Creation of DHL Global Mail Netherlands (cross border mail)
            track record in        ■   2002: Acquisition of unaddressed distributor Interlanden
           the Netherlands
                                   ■   2002: Merging the addressed mail operations of Interlanden and
                                             Selektvracht resulted in the birth of Selekt Mail Netherlands
                                             (JV Deutsche Post 51% and Wegener 49%)
                                   ■   2003: Purchase of 20% share in PO Box deliverer MailMerge
                                             (increased to 100% in 2006)




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                 Page 12
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in the Netherlands provided by SelektMail: Nation-wide delivery
of addressed mail items, focus on non-prio segment


                            DIRECT MAIL                       MAGAZINES                          INBOUND

                                                                                        Solutions for the delivery of
                         Domestic direct mail             Domestic magazine              inbound non-priority mail
                            distribution                     distribution                 (outside reserved area)


                                     Tuesday - Wednesday delivery cycle
               Service
                levels




                                                                                       Economy service: 4 - 6 days
                                       Thursday - Friday delivery cycle




    MARKET                                                                SELEKT MAIL

    ■ Moderate volume decrease: -0,7% p.a. until 2009                     ■ Nation-wide delivery capability of addressed mail
                                                                            items with a focus on Non-Prio segment
    ■ Limited impact of electronic substitution
                                                                          ■ Selekt Mail revenues more than tripled between
                                                                            2003 and 2005
                                                                          ■ Growing well above the market




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                   Page 13
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in The Netherlands provided by Interlanden: Distribution of
unaddressed items


                         FOLDERS                           WEEKLIES                           SAMPLING


              Solutions for the distribution of   Solutions for distribution of       Solutions for distribution of
                          folders                          weeklies                            samples


                                                     Regional / selective delivery
              Service
               levels




                                                          Nation-wide delivery




    MARKET                                                                 INTERLANDEN

    ■ Stable volume development, approx. 2 to 4% p.a. until                ■ One of the market leaders in unaddressed distribution in
       2009                                                                   business since 1969
    ■ Strong position of Direct Mail in the Netherlands                    ■ Largest market player together with TNT Post / VSP




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                  Page 14
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in Spain


              Spanish mail         ■   Direct Mail and Intra City Mail fully liberalised
                   market          ■   Cross-border and domestic mail up to 50g reserved to Correos
            characteristics
                                   ■   Mandatory Downstream Access
                                   ■   Highly competitive environment
                                   ■   VAT exemption for Correos only for reserved services



            Deutsche Post          ■   1972 first company within Unipost founded
              track record
                                   ■   2001 Unipost founded as a company
                  in Spain
                                   ■   2004 legal restructuring
                                   ■   2005 DPWN bought 38% stake




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                         Page 15
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in Spain provided by Unipost: Distribution of addressed items


            BUSINESS MAIL                 DIRECT MAIL                 PUBLICATIONS                     SERVICES


        • Distribution of intra-    • Distribution of direct
          city mail                   mail                       • Distribution of
                                                                                              • Pick-up service
        • Distribution of inter-    • Irregular formats            magazines/
                                                                                              • Planning and realisation
          city mail >50g              handling                     publications
                                                                                                of Direct Marketing
        • Registered mail           • Flexible delivery date     • Distribution of
                                                                                                campaigns
        • Franking and inserting    • Information service          catalogues
                                                                                              • Returns management
          of inter-city mail <50g     and feedback to DM         • Distribution of samples
          into Correos network        campaign


    MARKET                                                           Unipost

    ■ Rather low mail density (90 items per person)                  ■ Leading private mail provider with 30 years experience in
                                                           2
    ■ Rather low population density (87 inhabitants per km )           mail business

    ■ Market highly fragmented                                       ■ Network covers 70% of the Spanish market with presence
                                                                       in all major cities
    ■ Government decided that Correos has to open its
       network for private operators at the same conditions as       ■ 15,000 customers, 2 m items per day
       for mass mailers                                              ■ 185 service centres
                                                                     ■ 2,000 employees at Unipost and 2,000 employees at
                                                                       franchise companies


wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                               Page 16
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in the UK


               British mail        ■   Fully liberalised mail market since 2006
                    market         ■   Mandatory Downstream Access
            characteristics
                                   ■   Royal Mail is fully VAT exempt for all postal services
                                   ■   Strict regulatory regime
                                   ■   Big mailing volumes start to switch to private operators
                                   ■   No alternative end-to-end network so far



            Deutsche Post          ■   1997: Creation of Deutsche Post Global Mail UK Ltd.
            track record in
                    the UK         ■   2004: Acquisition of Speedmail International
                                   ■   2004: Deutsche Post Global Mail concludes access agreement with
                                             Royal Mail
                                   ■   2004: Deutsche Post Global Mail receives long term licence




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                            Page 17
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Domestic mail services in the UK provided by DHL Global Mail UK: Distribution of
addressed mail

                       DIRECT MAIL                       PUBLICATION                  SORTING/FRANKING

                                                                                  • Offer to take all mail
                                                                                    (domestic and international)
              • Delivery service for certain
                                                                                    from mail room and insert
                postcodes areas in London
                                                 • Delivery service for certain     into appropriate network,
              • Downstream Access with                                              residuals to Royal Mail
                                                   postcode areas in London
                final mile delivery by Royal
                                                                                  • Service to sort mail for
                Mail
                                                                                    customer for DSA access
                                                                                    (Suresort)



    MARKET                                                               DHL Global Mail UK

    ■ Fully liberalised mail market since 2006                           ■ Own B2B delivery network in defined London postcodes
    ■ Besides Royal Mail four big mail providers: BX (incl.              ■ Unsorted and sorted DSA offering
       SMS), TNT, UKMail and DHL Global Mail
                                                                         ■ Constantly growth of revenue
    ■ Royal Mail lost some big accounts like BT and DWP to
       competition
    ■ The total regulated UK addressed mail market was worth
       £4.65 billion in 2005/06


wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                            Page 18
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

Value added services provided by Williams Lea: Corporate Information Solutions

                 OFFICE DOCUMENT                                                            CUSTOMER CORRES-
                                                          MARKETING SOLUTIONS
                    SOLUTIONS                                                             PONDENCE MANAGEMENT

         • Word processing/presentation
                                                                                      • Scanning, indexing and data
           services
                                                    • Design                            capture
         • Records and information
                                                    • Multimedia/intranet/internet    • Mailroom management/digital
           management
                                                      development                       mailroom
         • Multi Functional Devices/copier
                                                    • Enterprise content management   • Micrographics
           or printer management
                                                    • Print and campaign management   • Document composition
         • Mail and messenger
           management/digital mailroom              • Warehousing, stock management   • Statement/variable data printing
                                                      and logistics                   • Warehousing, stock
         • Fax / Courier management
                                                    • Fulfilment and distribution       management and logistics
         • Operational print management
                                                                                      • Fulfilment and distribution
         • Litigation support


    MARKET                                                              Williams Lea

    ■ Increasing trend for document management outsourcing              ■ Global leader in Corporate Information Solutions
    ■ Only few players in the sophisticated correspondence              ■ 2006 revenue 780 m€
       management market
                                                                        ■ 8,000 staff worldwide
    ■ Big international corporations have strong need for
       service providers with global reach and sufficient               ■ DPWN currently holds 66 %
       financial strength to fulfill increasingly large deals


wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                Page 19
DPWN’s International Mail Activities

   Williams Lea Network




                                                London


                                    New York
                               Wheeling                                        Tokyo


                                                                   Hong Kong
                                                         Chennai




      KEY:
                                                                                  Sydney
      Hub:

      Satellite:




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                              Page 20
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page 21
Some generic considerations
New entrants to the postal market have to undertake a thorough market analysis and an
assessment of the regulatory framework



          Total Market                    Liberalised Market            Accessible Market


                                          • Regulatory hurdles
                                                                      ? Legal certainty
     • Volume                             • Universal service or
                                            other service             ? Regulatory certainty
     • Growth potential                     obligations

     • Geography                          • Authorisation / licence   ? Promotion of competition
                                            conditions
     • Competition                                                    ? Regulatory enforcement
                                          • Access to the
     • Reserved area                        incumbent’s network
                                            (commercial,
     • Accessible segments /                operational and                  Market entry
       niches                               regulatory terms)
                                                                           recommendable?
                                          • Other hurdles




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                  Page 22
Some generic considerations
New entrants to the postal market have to choose a business model ensuring
differentiation from the incumbent


                     CHALLENGES:                          POSSIBLE ANSWERS:




                     Economies of scale                 Lower frequency of delivery




                   Geographical coverage               Geographical cherry picking




                           Personnel                       Part time, item based




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                         Page 23
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page 24
Experiences and observations
Some observations regarding the regulatory framework and other conditions impacting
market attractiveness and development of competition




1. Status of liberalisation in European Member States and the various market segments varies

2. Regulatory framework causes market entry barriers in markets or segments that are already
    formally open to competition


3. VAT issue is still waiting for a solution at European level

4. Obstacles beyond the pure regulatory framework are negatively impacting the development of
    competition




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                              Page 25
Experiences and observations
1. Status of liberalisation in the European Member States


               Domestic Mail                              Direct Mail                   Outbound cross-border Mail




    • Spain:       - Intra-city mail fully liberalised
    • Germany:     - Competition even <50g (“D-type licenses”)          Monopoly <50g     Fully liberalised
                   - Full market opening in 2008
    • Netherlands: - Full market opening in 2008 expected



wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                        Page 26
Experiences and observations

2. Licensing conditions representing market entry barriers



■    Example Finland:                               ■   Example Hungary:

     • Licensed operators have to comply with           • Licensed operators have to comply with
       service obligations similar to USO:
                                                          – same services standards as USP
        – Daily delivery                                    (registered and insured items, network
                                                            of contact points, transit time standards)
        – Transit time 85 % (D + 1)
                                                          – minimum requirements concerning
     • Licensed operators have to financially               service capability, working conditions,
       contribute to the state budget unless the            reliability
       population density of the served region is
       below 250 inhabitants per km2                      – coverage either country-wide or at least
                                                            one entire district; in case of Budapest:
     • Financial contribution is not used to                at least two additional districts
       compensate USO burden




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                   Page 27
Experiences and observations

3. VAT solution not yet available at European level (1)




                                                          All postal services exempt
                                                          AT, CY, IE, UK, HU, IT, PL, PT

                                                          Universal Services exempt
                                                          BE, BG, CZ, DE, DK, EE, FR, GR,
                                                          LU, MT, NL, RO, SK
                                                          Letter services exempt
                                                          LT

                                                          Reserved Services exempt
                                                          ES, LV

                                                          No exemption
                                                          FI, SE, SI




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                               Page 28
Experiences and observations

3. VAT solution not yet available at European level (2)


■   Commission’s initiative of 2003 / 2004 to abolish VAT exemption failed
    due to missing unanimity in the Council

■   Commission launched infringement procedures against UK (all postal service exempted),
    Sweden (no exemption at all) and Germany (universal services exempted)

■   Commission’s objectives:

     – To get clarification regarding the right scope of exemption in line with the European VAT
       Directive by ruling of the ECJ

     – To put pressure on the Member States to resume Council activities

■   Commission’s argument in the case of Germany:

     – Only services provided under USO offered to the general public under terms and conditions
       (price and quality) available to everybody can and have to be exempted


wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                      Page 29
Experiences and observations

4. Obstacles beyond the pure regulatory framework




■    Example: Austria                                 ■   Example: France

     – In Austria many letter boxes in apartment          – In most big cities in France letter boxes in
       blocks are not equipped with slots to insert         apartment blocks are often located behind
       letters. They need to be opened with a               the main entrance door. The door is
       key, which is in the hands of the incum-             usually secured by a PIN code.
       bent’s delivery men.
                                                          – Private operators have problems to get
     – Private operators are therefore excluded             access to these codes while delivery men
       from delivery to these addresses.                    of La Poste usually know them.

     – Due to a High Court decision the
       obligation to replace the respective
       mailboxes by 2006 has been postponed to
       2009. The problem who has to pay for the
       replacement is still unsolved.




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                      Page 30
Agenda

   ■ The Strategy of DPWN
   ■ The Strategy of DPWN


   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities
   ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities


   ■ Some Generic Considerations
   ■ Some Generic Considerations


   ■ Experiences and Observations
   ■ Experiences and Observations


   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
   ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007         Page 31
Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
The provisions of the Commission’s proposal can be misused to set up entry barriers (1)

     Ensuring Universal Service                   Financing of Universal Service                  Authorisation Procedures

   MS have to ensure, that universal               MS may introduce mechanism to        Art. 7   MS may grant authorisations to       Art. 9, 2
                                         Art. 4
        service is guaranteed                           compensate USP                               service providers

   to notify the Commission of steps               if USO entails net cost                       to the extent necessary to
   taken                                           representing unfair financial                 safeguard the universal service
                                                   burden
        MS may choose one or more USP              compensation by public funds or                   MS may make authorisations
                 (designation)                     sharing mechanism                                 subject to USO

        to determine obligations and rights            MS may make authorisations /                  where appropriate
        conditions: objective, non-                    licences subject to obligation
        discriminatory, proportionate, least
                                                                                                       MS may impose requirements
        market distortion, limited in time
                                                      • either to make financial
        to notify the identity of the                   contribution to compensation fund
        designated USP(s) to the                                                                     if necessary
                                                      • or to comply with universal service
        Commission                                                                                   quality, availability, performance of
                                                        obligations
                                                                                                     the relevant services
        MS may decide to let the market
        provide the universal service                                                                MS may impose obligation to
                                                                                                     make financial contribution to fund

                                                                                                     where appropriate

                                                                                                     MS may not for the same quality,
                                                                                                     availability and performance
                                                                                                     impose USO on a service provider
                                                                                                     and the same time financial
                                                                                                     contributions


wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                              Page 32
Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive
The provisions of the Commission’s proposal can be misused to set up entry barriers (2)




                                Financial Contribution
                                                                                                               Licensed
         Designated                                        Compensation
                                                                                     Financial Contribution
                                                                                                                Service
          USP(s)                                              Fund
                              Financial Compensation                                                           Provider




            • Universal Service                               Licensed service                   • Possibility of either
              Obligation                                 providers can be subject                  universal service obligation
            • Obligation to financially                    to obligations but are                  or financial contribution
              contribute                                   not entitled to receive               • Possibility of service
                                                          financial compensation                   obligations




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                                                     Page 33
Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive

Experiences and observations gained so far lead at least to the following conclusions:




■   A reliable European regulatory framework is required in order to enable effective competition in
    the Member States instead of creating market distortions

■   Full market opening should be confirmed to take place in 2009

■   Market entry barriers need to be avoided

     – No overlap of obligations when designating universal service providers

     – No universal service requirements or similar service requirements on market entrants

■   In order to ensure efficiency financial compensation should only be granted to service providers
    selected under application of a public procurement procedure




wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007                                                   Page 34

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05 Pickave Wik Koenigswinter2007

  • 1. Competition in Regulated Mail Markets First experiences and conclusions Wolfgang Pickavé • Königswinter • 13 February 2007
  • 2. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 2
  • 3. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 3
  • 4. The strategy of DPWN DPWN has successfully completed its three phase strategy; the new goals: to increase customer satisfaction and to realize organic growth Phase 3: Becoming No. 1 integrated Phase 2: logistics company International expansion 2001 - 2005 Phase 1: Turnaround 1998 - 2000 1990 - 1997 wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 4
  • 5. The strategy of DPWN While the continuing liberalisation of the mail markets is posing a challenge in Germany, internationally it is seen as an opportunity … to offset impending losses of market share in the DPWN’s goal national mail market by gaining market share in other markets … to expand our service offering for business customers … to increase our presence abroad Three approaches … to continually optimize the costs of our transport and delivery network and to make it more flexible … acquisitions Three entry strategies … co-operations … development of our own networks wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 5
  • 6. The strategy of DPWN Revenues of DPWN Mail International 2.098 bn Euro 1.715 bn Euro 1.531 bn Euro 1.445 bn Euro Revenues including value-added services of Corporate Division MAIL 2002 2003 2004 2005 Extension Start Expansion Further Expansion of international in domestic mail in domestic mail in domestic mail network market NL markets USA, F, E, UK markets UK, J wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 6
  • 7. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 7
  • 8. DPWN’s International Mail Activities DPWN’s international mail business is covering activities along and beyond the traditional postal value chain Cross Border Services Domestic Services Value Added Services wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 8
  • 9. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Cross-border mail: Global market share (2005) DHL Global Mail 14 % Other postal operators 44 % Total value: ~ € 10 bn USPS 14 % With a market share of 14% Deutsche Post is among the two largest suppliers in worldwide cross-border mail Royal Mail 9% La Poste TNT/Spring Swiss Post 7 % 6% International 6% Source: UPU Statistics, Annual Reports wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 9
  • 10. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Cross-border mail: DHL Global Mail’s business GLOBAL MAIL GLOBAL MAIL GLOBAL MAIL GLOBAL MAIL BUSINESS DIRECT PUBLICATION PARCEL Solutions for Solutions for Solutions for Solutions for international business international direct international international parcel mail marketing publication distribution post Priority Service: 3-8 days Service levels Standard Service: 8-14 days Economy Service: 14 days+ (overseas) Standard Features Value added services ■ Basic consulting on international DM ■ International address management ■ Pick-up (based on minimum volume) ■ Comprehensive DM consulting ■ Invoice itemized by zone ■ Database management (for DM) ■ Customs clearance ■ Registered mail ■ Sorting, franking (not for DIRECT) ■ Sorting, franking, lettershop services (for DIRECT) wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 10
  • 11. DPWN’s International Mail Activities DPWN’s domestic mail services Approx. 50 processing centers Approx. 35 sales offices Approx. 4,000 employees in cooperation with joint venture with London Utrecht Chicago Toronto Frankfurt Newark Tokyo Los Angeles Miami Dubai Hong Kong Mexico City Singapore in cooperation with Buenos Aires Sydney Main domestic processing centers International processing centers wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 11
  • 12. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in the Netherlands Dutch mail ■ One of the most de-regulated markets in Europe (~50% of market market accessible) characteristics ■ Direct Mail and outgoing cross-border mail fully liberalised, letter mail above 50g liberalised ■ Full market opening expected 2008 (new postal act pending) ■ Highly competitive environment Deutsche Post ■ 1999: Creation of DHL Global Mail Netherlands (cross border mail) track record in ■ 2002: Acquisition of unaddressed distributor Interlanden the Netherlands ■ 2002: Merging the addressed mail operations of Interlanden and Selektvracht resulted in the birth of Selekt Mail Netherlands (JV Deutsche Post 51% and Wegener 49%) ■ 2003: Purchase of 20% share in PO Box deliverer MailMerge (increased to 100% in 2006) wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 12
  • 13. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in the Netherlands provided by SelektMail: Nation-wide delivery of addressed mail items, focus on non-prio segment DIRECT MAIL MAGAZINES INBOUND Solutions for the delivery of Domestic direct mail Domestic magazine inbound non-priority mail distribution distribution (outside reserved area) Tuesday - Wednesday delivery cycle Service levels Economy service: 4 - 6 days Thursday - Friday delivery cycle MARKET SELEKT MAIL ■ Moderate volume decrease: -0,7% p.a. until 2009 ■ Nation-wide delivery capability of addressed mail items with a focus on Non-Prio segment ■ Limited impact of electronic substitution ■ Selekt Mail revenues more than tripled between 2003 and 2005 ■ Growing well above the market wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 13
  • 14. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in The Netherlands provided by Interlanden: Distribution of unaddressed items FOLDERS WEEKLIES SAMPLING Solutions for the distribution of Solutions for distribution of Solutions for distribution of folders weeklies samples Regional / selective delivery Service levels Nation-wide delivery MARKET INTERLANDEN ■ Stable volume development, approx. 2 to 4% p.a. until ■ One of the market leaders in unaddressed distribution in 2009 business since 1969 ■ Strong position of Direct Mail in the Netherlands ■ Largest market player together with TNT Post / VSP wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 14
  • 15. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in Spain Spanish mail ■ Direct Mail and Intra City Mail fully liberalised market ■ Cross-border and domestic mail up to 50g reserved to Correos characteristics ■ Mandatory Downstream Access ■ Highly competitive environment ■ VAT exemption for Correos only for reserved services Deutsche Post ■ 1972 first company within Unipost founded track record ■ 2001 Unipost founded as a company in Spain ■ 2004 legal restructuring ■ 2005 DPWN bought 38% stake wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 15
  • 16. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in Spain provided by Unipost: Distribution of addressed items BUSINESS MAIL DIRECT MAIL PUBLICATIONS SERVICES • Distribution of intra- • Distribution of direct city mail mail • Distribution of • Pick-up service • Distribution of inter- • Irregular formats magazines/ • Planning and realisation city mail >50g handling publications of Direct Marketing • Registered mail • Flexible delivery date • Distribution of campaigns • Franking and inserting • Information service catalogues • Returns management of inter-city mail <50g and feedback to DM • Distribution of samples into Correos network campaign MARKET Unipost ■ Rather low mail density (90 items per person) ■ Leading private mail provider with 30 years experience in 2 ■ Rather low population density (87 inhabitants per km ) mail business ■ Market highly fragmented ■ Network covers 70% of the Spanish market with presence in all major cities ■ Government decided that Correos has to open its network for private operators at the same conditions as ■ 15,000 customers, 2 m items per day for mass mailers ■ 185 service centres ■ 2,000 employees at Unipost and 2,000 employees at franchise companies wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 16
  • 17. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in the UK British mail ■ Fully liberalised mail market since 2006 market ■ Mandatory Downstream Access characteristics ■ Royal Mail is fully VAT exempt for all postal services ■ Strict regulatory regime ■ Big mailing volumes start to switch to private operators ■ No alternative end-to-end network so far Deutsche Post ■ 1997: Creation of Deutsche Post Global Mail UK Ltd. track record in the UK ■ 2004: Acquisition of Speedmail International ■ 2004: Deutsche Post Global Mail concludes access agreement with Royal Mail ■ 2004: Deutsche Post Global Mail receives long term licence wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 17
  • 18. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Domestic mail services in the UK provided by DHL Global Mail UK: Distribution of addressed mail DIRECT MAIL PUBLICATION SORTING/FRANKING • Offer to take all mail (domestic and international) • Delivery service for certain from mail room and insert postcodes areas in London • Delivery service for certain into appropriate network, • Downstream Access with residuals to Royal Mail postcode areas in London final mile delivery by Royal • Service to sort mail for Mail customer for DSA access (Suresort) MARKET DHL Global Mail UK ■ Fully liberalised mail market since 2006 ■ Own B2B delivery network in defined London postcodes ■ Besides Royal Mail four big mail providers: BX (incl. ■ Unsorted and sorted DSA offering SMS), TNT, UKMail and DHL Global Mail ■ Constantly growth of revenue ■ Royal Mail lost some big accounts like BT and DWP to competition ■ The total regulated UK addressed mail market was worth £4.65 billion in 2005/06 wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 18
  • 19. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Value added services provided by Williams Lea: Corporate Information Solutions OFFICE DOCUMENT CUSTOMER CORRES- MARKETING SOLUTIONS SOLUTIONS PONDENCE MANAGEMENT • Word processing/presentation • Scanning, indexing and data services • Design capture • Records and information • Multimedia/intranet/internet • Mailroom management/digital management development mailroom • Multi Functional Devices/copier • Enterprise content management • Micrographics or printer management • Print and campaign management • Document composition • Mail and messenger management/digital mailroom • Warehousing, stock management • Statement/variable data printing and logistics • Warehousing, stock • Fax / Courier management • Fulfilment and distribution management and logistics • Operational print management • Fulfilment and distribution • Litigation support MARKET Williams Lea ■ Increasing trend for document management outsourcing ■ Global leader in Corporate Information Solutions ■ Only few players in the sophisticated correspondence ■ 2006 revenue 780 m€ management market ■ 8,000 staff worldwide ■ Big international corporations have strong need for service providers with global reach and sufficient ■ DPWN currently holds 66 % financial strength to fulfill increasingly large deals wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 19
  • 20. DPWN’s International Mail Activities Williams Lea Network London New York Wheeling Tokyo Hong Kong Chennai KEY: Sydney Hub: Satellite: wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 20
  • 21. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 21
  • 22. Some generic considerations New entrants to the postal market have to undertake a thorough market analysis and an assessment of the regulatory framework Total Market Liberalised Market Accessible Market • Regulatory hurdles ? Legal certainty • Volume • Universal service or other service ? Regulatory certainty • Growth potential obligations • Geography • Authorisation / licence ? Promotion of competition conditions • Competition ? Regulatory enforcement • Access to the • Reserved area incumbent’s network (commercial, • Accessible segments / operational and Market entry niches regulatory terms) recommendable? • Other hurdles wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 22
  • 23. Some generic considerations New entrants to the postal market have to choose a business model ensuring differentiation from the incumbent CHALLENGES: POSSIBLE ANSWERS: Economies of scale Lower frequency of delivery Geographical coverage Geographical cherry picking Personnel Part time, item based wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 23
  • 24. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 24
  • 25. Experiences and observations Some observations regarding the regulatory framework and other conditions impacting market attractiveness and development of competition 1. Status of liberalisation in European Member States and the various market segments varies 2. Regulatory framework causes market entry barriers in markets or segments that are already formally open to competition 3. VAT issue is still waiting for a solution at European level 4. Obstacles beyond the pure regulatory framework are negatively impacting the development of competition wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 25
  • 26. Experiences and observations 1. Status of liberalisation in the European Member States Domestic Mail Direct Mail Outbound cross-border Mail • Spain: - Intra-city mail fully liberalised • Germany: - Competition even <50g (“D-type licenses”) Monopoly <50g Fully liberalised - Full market opening in 2008 • Netherlands: - Full market opening in 2008 expected wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 26
  • 27. Experiences and observations 2. Licensing conditions representing market entry barriers ■ Example Finland: ■ Example Hungary: • Licensed operators have to comply with • Licensed operators have to comply with service obligations similar to USO: – same services standards as USP – Daily delivery (registered and insured items, network of contact points, transit time standards) – Transit time 85 % (D + 1) – minimum requirements concerning • Licensed operators have to financially service capability, working conditions, contribute to the state budget unless the reliability population density of the served region is below 250 inhabitants per km2 – coverage either country-wide or at least one entire district; in case of Budapest: • Financial contribution is not used to at least two additional districts compensate USO burden wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 27
  • 28. Experiences and observations 3. VAT solution not yet available at European level (1) All postal services exempt AT, CY, IE, UK, HU, IT, PL, PT Universal Services exempt BE, BG, CZ, DE, DK, EE, FR, GR, LU, MT, NL, RO, SK Letter services exempt LT Reserved Services exempt ES, LV No exemption FI, SE, SI wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 28
  • 29. Experiences and observations 3. VAT solution not yet available at European level (2) ■ Commission’s initiative of 2003 / 2004 to abolish VAT exemption failed due to missing unanimity in the Council ■ Commission launched infringement procedures against UK (all postal service exempted), Sweden (no exemption at all) and Germany (universal services exempted) ■ Commission’s objectives: – To get clarification regarding the right scope of exemption in line with the European VAT Directive by ruling of the ECJ – To put pressure on the Member States to resume Council activities ■ Commission’s argument in the case of Germany: – Only services provided under USO offered to the general public under terms and conditions (price and quality) available to everybody can and have to be exempted wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 29
  • 30. Experiences and observations 4. Obstacles beyond the pure regulatory framework ■ Example: Austria ■ Example: France – In Austria many letter boxes in apartment – In most big cities in France letter boxes in blocks are not equipped with slots to insert apartment blocks are often located behind letters. They need to be opened with a the main entrance door. The door is key, which is in the hands of the incum- usually secured by a PIN code. bent’s delivery men. – Private operators have problems to get – Private operators are therefore excluded access to these codes while delivery men from delivery to these addresses. of La Poste usually know them. – Due to a High Court decision the obligation to replace the respective mailboxes by 2006 has been postponed to 2009. The problem who has to pay for the replacement is still unsolved. wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 30
  • 31. Agenda ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ The Strategy of DPWN ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ DPWN's International Mail Activities ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Some Generic Considerations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Experiences and Observations ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive ■ Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 31
  • 32. Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive The provisions of the Commission’s proposal can be misused to set up entry barriers (1) Ensuring Universal Service Financing of Universal Service Authorisation Procedures MS have to ensure, that universal MS may introduce mechanism to Art. 7 MS may grant authorisations to Art. 9, 2 Art. 4 service is guaranteed compensate USP service providers to notify the Commission of steps if USO entails net cost to the extent necessary to taken representing unfair financial safeguard the universal service burden MS may choose one or more USP compensation by public funds or MS may make authorisations (designation) sharing mechanism subject to USO to determine obligations and rights MS may make authorisations / where appropriate conditions: objective, non- licences subject to obligation discriminatory, proportionate, least MS may impose requirements market distortion, limited in time • either to make financial to notify the identity of the contribution to compensation fund designated USP(s) to the if necessary • or to comply with universal service Commission quality, availability, performance of obligations the relevant services MS may decide to let the market provide the universal service MS may impose obligation to make financial contribution to fund where appropriate MS may not for the same quality, availability and performance impose USO on a service provider and the same time financial contributions wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 32
  • 33. Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive The provisions of the Commission’s proposal can be misused to set up entry barriers (2) Financial Contribution Licensed Designated Compensation Financial Contribution Service USP(s) Fund Financial Compensation Provider • Universal Service Licensed service • Possibility of either Obligation providers can be subject universal service obligation • Obligation to financially to obligations but are or financial contribution contribute not entitled to receive • Possibility of service financial compensation obligations wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 33
  • 34. Conclusions regarding the 3rd Postal Directive Experiences and observations gained so far lead at least to the following conclusions: ■ A reliable European regulatory framework is required in order to enable effective competition in the Member States instead of creating market distortions ■ Full market opening should be confirmed to take place in 2009 ■ Market entry barriers need to be avoided – No overlap of obligations when designating universal service providers – No universal service requirements or similar service requirements on market entrants ■ In order to ensure efficiency financial compensation should only be granted to service providers selected under application of a public procurement procedure wik Seminar • Königswinter • 13 February 2007 Page 34