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the CIA’s Secrets to
Creative Problem
Solving
How do we cross
the river?
CREATIVE THINKING INSTRUCTORS
Office of
Strategic Services
Heuer Jr. R. J. Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Center
for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency.
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-
intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-
monographs/psychology-of-intelligence-
analysis/PsychofIntelNew.pdf
Full text at cia.gov
Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when
they are open.
Richards Heuer, 1999
It is “crucial to find a
way of routinizing, even
bureaucratizing, the exercise
of imagination.”
9/11 Commission Report, 2004
Kean, Thomas H, and Lee Hamilton. The 9/11 Commission
Report: Final Report of the National Commission on
Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States. Washington,
D.C.: National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the
United States, 2004. Print.
Delivered more than
70 courses in creative
thinking
over the last 10 years
More than 60% of 1,500
CEOs surveyed stated that
creativity was one of the top
skills they looked for in new
hires.
IBM, 2010
Top 3 job skills in 2020 will
be complex problem solving,
critical thinking, and
creativity.
World Economic Forum, 2016
IBM Global CEO Study. May 2010, IBM.
http://www.ibm.com/ceostudy
Future of Jobs Report. 18 January
2016, World Economic Forum.
https://www.weforum.org/reports/the
-future-of-jobs
Thinking Model
Razumnikova O.M. (2013) Divergent Versus Convergent Thinking. In: Carayannis E.G. (eds)
Encyclopedia of Creativity, Invention, Innovation and Entrepreneurship. Springer, New York, NY.
DIVERGENT CONVERGENT
• Exploring possibilities
• Ideating solutions
• Creating choices
• Selecting plan
• Idea implementation
• Making choices
? !
Thinking Model
Razumnikova O.M. (2013) Divergent Versus Convergent Thinking. In: Carayannis E.G. (eds)
Encyclopedia of Creativity, Invention, Innovation and Entrepreneurship. Springer, New York, NY.
DIVERGENT CONVERGENT
? !
Creativity is hard.
Yours is hiding undercover.
Framing Bias Comfort Zone
Preference for Logic Status Quo
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOOD DUCK
Analogical Thinking
OTTER
Breaking Patterns
Framing the Problem
WOMBAT
Questions are at the HEART of
intelligence analysis.
?
?
?
?
?
How will commercial autonomous vehicles
change our world in the next 5-10 years?
What might be all the ways the rise of
driverless vehicles will change our
future?
How will environment and climate change
impact access to fresh water supplies?
In what ways could environment and
climate change impact the
safety/access of our water?
What would happen if global food supplies
ran short?
What might be all the scenarios if our
global food system failed
?
?
?
FRAMING
BIAS
REFRAME
QUESTIONS
Invitational
Language
Invitational
Language
Invitational
Language
Invitational
Language
How do we do
our work better?
How do we do
our work better?
What might be all the
ways to do our work better?
WoMBAT = What Might Be All
The
What might be all the
METHODS to do
our work better?
What might be all the
TOOLS to do
our work better?
What might be all the
PEOPLE WE NEED to do
our work better?
What might be all the
SMALL TWEAKS to do
our work better?
The answer is in the
question!
How will commercial autonomous vehicles
change our world in the next 5-10 years?
What might be all the ways the rise of
driverless vehicles will change our
future?
How will environment and climate change
impact access to fresh water supplies?
In what ways could environment and
climate change impact the access to
our water?
What would happen if global food supplies
ran short?
What might be all the scenarios if our
global food system failed
simultaneously?
?
?
?
Framing the Problem
WOMBAT
Invitational Questions
What might be all the [+ plural noun] . . . ?
In what ways could . . .?
How might . . . ?
Ask for plural answers and play with new language.
Reframe question with open-ended verbs. Consider using the WoMBAT.
• Do you like green eggs and ham?
In what ways could you try green eggs and ham?
• How do you solve a problem like Maria?
What might be all the other jobs for Maria?
• Where in the world is Carmen Sandiego?
How might we find Carmen Sandiego?
u
v
Inspired by: Isaakson, A. & Treffinger, D. (1985). Creative problem solving: The basic course. Buffalo, NY:
Bearly Limited. http://www.creativeeducationfoundation.org/facilitation_tool/invitational-language-stems/
How do we cross
the river?
What might be all
the ways to cross
the river?
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOLF
entre chien et loup
between a dog and a wolf
COMFORT
ZONE
EXPLORE
OUTSIDE
YOUR BOX
• National Security Agency
• National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency
• National Air & Space Intelligence Center
• Missile & Space Intelligence Center
• Civilian Aviation Intelligence Analysis Center
• And others!
Who might we collaborate with to
understand the Malaysia Airlines
Flight 17 crash?
Dr. Susan
Blumenthal
What might be all the
technologies to help improve
mammograms?
EXPLORING
FAR BEYOND
the typical
DRAWING OUT
your problem
DRAWING OUT
your problem
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOLF
Alternative Worlds
• Fashion designer
• Auctioneer
• Mechanical engineer
Ask “In what ways can I learn or borrow
from another profession that’s not my own?”
u
• Winemaker or brewer
• Commercial fisherman
• Start your own unique list!
Alternative Worlds
Ask “How might I stretch my thinking beyond my normal routine?”v
• Draw your problem with crayons
• Visit a new museum
• Buy a magazine you normally ignore
• Sculpt your ideal end state
• Explore a new neighborhood
Analogical Thinking
WOOD DUCK
LOGICAL
THINKING
ANALOGICAL
THINKING
• Movie metaphors spur new ideas
• Visual analogies solidify vision for future
What might be all the scenarios
for the future of automation?
• One of the most diverse sets of expertise in a
brainstorming session on terrorism
• Take a public health perspective
• How might we learn from those with
immunities?
• How might we develop approaches to
stem “moral panic”?
• What might be all the societal antibodies
at play?
In what ways might terrorism be
akin to a societal disease?
the ART of
ASSOCIATION
the ART of
ASSOCIATION
Analogical Thinking
WOOD DUCK
Metaphorical Mad Libs
1. An activity I do regularly on the weekend is . . .
2. One of my favorite scenes from a movie is . . .
3. A meal or dish I am famous for is . . .
4. One of my favorite books from childhood is . . .
5. With my free time, a hobby or avocation I enjoy is . . .
6. One of my favorite works of art is . . .
Finish these prompts OR have a friend do it . . .u
Inspired by: Parnes, S. Gordon, W.J.J. (1971). The Basic Course in
Synetics. Cambridge, MA: Porpoise Books. Geschka, H. (1980).
Methoda and Organization of Idea Generation. S. Gryskiewicz.
Metaphorical Mad Libs
1. An activity I do regularly on the weekend is . . .
visiting the National Zoo with my toddler.
2. One of my favorite scenes from a movie is . . .
the opening monologue of Ferris Bueller’s Day Off.
3. A meal or dish I am famous for is . . .
Cincinnati chili.
4. One of my favorite books from childhood is . . .
The Phantom Tollbooth.
5. With my free time, a hobby or avocation I enjoy is . . .
watching reality competition television shows.
6. One of my favorite works of art is . . .
Rene Magritte’s The Treachery of Images.
Finish these prompts OR have a friend do it . . .u
Metaphorical Mad Libs
Roll a die or randomly select an answer.v
Use your answer and prompts below to craft an analogy.w
• In what ways is my challenge related to <answer>?
• What actions or processes are similar?
• Are there solutions that emerge
as the metaphor grows?
• Which relationships are reminiscent of my problem?
• How might the environment
of <answer> be similar to my problem?
• Any potential pitfalls or other lessons
that emerge from <answer>?
The more random the selection, the more
breakthrough thinking you’ll receive.
Breaking Patterns
OTTER
STATUS
QUO
STATUS
QUO
STATUS
QUO
BREAK
PATTERN
STATUS
QUO
STATUS
QUO
• No topic “ownership”
• Intimate office with no
cubicles or partitions
• Collective ideations with
varied experts
• Support from senior ranks
Creativity bolstered by:
“tell me things that other
people aren’t telling me
and will make senior
analysts uncomfortable”
• Black Swans
surprise event with major effects
• Gray Rhinos
problems everyone knows
are coming but still surprised
when they occur
• Dogs That Don’t Bark
areas of concern that may
amount to nothing
• Plate Tectonics
dramatic changes over
long and slow timeline
Hunting strategic surprises like:
• What might be all the
things that will never
happen?
• What might people be
thinking but are unwilling
to say?
• How might ideas and
views on the fringe
become new realities?
Challenged to and given the
cognitive leeway to ask
questions like:
“Unlike in the movies, cover stories
are normally designed to be boring
so as not to attract attention . . . but
we weren’t dealing with a normal
situation here . . . So instead of
boring, what if we went in the
opposite direction?
What if we designed a cover story so
fantastic that nobody would believe it
was being used for operational
purposes?”
Tony Mendez
Mendez, A., Baglio, M.
Argo: How the CIA and
Hollywood Pulled Off the
Most Audacious Rescue
in History.
“The plan, which would normally
be out of the question for most
clandestine operations, had
several attractive features.”
• Film crews are made up of
people from all over world
• Only Hollywood eccentrics
would shoot a film in a revolutionary
country
• It was fun and helped “house
guests” connect with cover story
Mendez, A., Baglio, M.
Argo: How the CIA and
Hollywood Pulled Off the
Most Audacious Rescue
in History.
Breaking Patterns
OTTER
Status Quo
Brainstorming
• What we normally do is . . .
• In the past, we always . . .
• Everybody knows that . . .
• Clearly . . .
• It’s obvious that . . .
• It’s plain to see that . . .
Brainstorm as many norms, assumptions, standards, and customs as you can.
The prompts below may help . . .
u
Status Quo
Brainstorming
• What we normally do is . . . build a bridge.
• In the past, we always . . . have 2 or 3 backup plans.
• Everybody knows that . . . barrels hold whiskey and wine.
• Clearly . . . we have three ropes.
• It’s obvious that . . . the river is very wide.
• It’s plain to see that . . . we don’t have a lot of time.
Brainstorm as many norms, assumptions, standards, and customs as you can.
The prompts below may help . . .
u
Status Quo
Brainstorming
Ex: Everybody knows that . . . barrels hold whiskey and wine.
If that wasn’t true, what might be all the other functions of the barrel?
Choose some of your status quo answers to reverse, flip, or break.
Ask “What might be all the ways to make this untrue?”
v
Status Quo
Brainstorming
Ex: It’s plain to see that. . . we don’t have a lot of time.
How might we make our lack of time untrue?
Choose some of your status quo answers to reverse, flip, or break.
Ask “What might be all the ways to make this untrue?”
v
What might be all
the ways to cross
the river?
How might we
escape in this
moment?
How might YOU
cross the river?
Office of
Strategic Services
Framing Bias
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing Comfort Zone
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
Preference for Logic
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOOD DUCK
Analogical Thinking
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
Status Quo
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOOD DUCK
Analogical Thinking
OTTER
Breaking Patterns
WOMBAT
Problem Reframing
WOLF
Exploring Outside Your Box
WOOD DUCK
Analogical Thinking
the CIA’s Secrets to
Creative Problem
Solving
#CIAWombat
@CIA
CIA
www.cia.gov

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03012019 cia secrets_tocreativeproblemsolving

  • 1. the CIA’s Secrets to Creative Problem Solving
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  • 9. How do we cross the river?
  • 12.
  • 13. Heuer Jr. R. J. Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency. https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of- intelligence/csi-publications/books-and- monographs/psychology-of-intelligence- analysis/PsychofIntelNew.pdf Full text at cia.gov Minds are like parachutes. They only function when they are open. Richards Heuer, 1999
  • 14. It is “crucial to find a way of routinizing, even bureaucratizing, the exercise of imagination.” 9/11 Commission Report, 2004 Kean, Thomas H, and Lee Hamilton. The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States. Washington, D.C.: National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States, 2004. Print. Delivered more than 70 courses in creative thinking over the last 10 years
  • 15. More than 60% of 1,500 CEOs surveyed stated that creativity was one of the top skills they looked for in new hires. IBM, 2010 Top 3 job skills in 2020 will be complex problem solving, critical thinking, and creativity. World Economic Forum, 2016 IBM Global CEO Study. May 2010, IBM. http://www.ibm.com/ceostudy Future of Jobs Report. 18 January 2016, World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/reports/the -future-of-jobs
  • 16. Thinking Model Razumnikova O.M. (2013) Divergent Versus Convergent Thinking. In: Carayannis E.G. (eds) Encyclopedia of Creativity, Invention, Innovation and Entrepreneurship. Springer, New York, NY. DIVERGENT CONVERGENT • Exploring possibilities • Ideating solutions • Creating choices • Selecting plan • Idea implementation • Making choices ? !
  • 17.
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  • 19. Thinking Model Razumnikova O.M. (2013) Divergent Versus Convergent Thinking. In: Carayannis E.G. (eds) Encyclopedia of Creativity, Invention, Innovation and Entrepreneurship. Springer, New York, NY. DIVERGENT CONVERGENT ? !
  • 20. Creativity is hard. Yours is hiding undercover.
  • 21. Framing Bias Comfort Zone Preference for Logic Status Quo
  • 22. WOMBAT Problem Reframing WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box WOOD DUCK Analogical Thinking OTTER Breaking Patterns
  • 24. Questions are at the HEART of intelligence analysis. ? ? ? ? ?
  • 25. How will commercial autonomous vehicles change our world in the next 5-10 years? What might be all the ways the rise of driverless vehicles will change our future? How will environment and climate change impact access to fresh water supplies? In what ways could environment and climate change impact the safety/access of our water? What would happen if global food supplies ran short? What might be all the scenarios if our global food system failed ? ? ?
  • 26.
  • 29. How do we do our work better?
  • 30. How do we do our work better? What might be all the ways to do our work better? WoMBAT = What Might Be All The
  • 31. What might be all the METHODS to do our work better? What might be all the TOOLS to do our work better? What might be all the PEOPLE WE NEED to do our work better? What might be all the SMALL TWEAKS to do our work better? The answer is in the question!
  • 32. How will commercial autonomous vehicles change our world in the next 5-10 years? What might be all the ways the rise of driverless vehicles will change our future? How will environment and climate change impact access to fresh water supplies? In what ways could environment and climate change impact the access to our water? What would happen if global food supplies ran short? What might be all the scenarios if our global food system failed simultaneously? ? ? ?
  • 34. Invitational Questions What might be all the [+ plural noun] . . . ? In what ways could . . .? How might . . . ? Ask for plural answers and play with new language. Reframe question with open-ended verbs. Consider using the WoMBAT. • Do you like green eggs and ham? In what ways could you try green eggs and ham? • How do you solve a problem like Maria? What might be all the other jobs for Maria? • Where in the world is Carmen Sandiego? How might we find Carmen Sandiego? u v Inspired by: Isaakson, A. & Treffinger, D. (1985). Creative problem solving: The basic course. Buffalo, NY: Bearly Limited. http://www.creativeeducationfoundation.org/facilitation_tool/invitational-language-stems/
  • 35. How do we cross the river?
  • 36. What might be all the ways to cross the river?
  • 37.
  • 39. entre chien et loup between a dog and a wolf
  • 42. • National Security Agency • National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency • National Air & Space Intelligence Center • Missile & Space Intelligence Center • Civilian Aviation Intelligence Analysis Center • And others! Who might we collaborate with to understand the Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 crash?
  • 43. Dr. Susan Blumenthal What might be all the technologies to help improve mammograms?
  • 48. Alternative Worlds • Fashion designer • Auctioneer • Mechanical engineer Ask “In what ways can I learn or borrow from another profession that’s not my own?” u • Winemaker or brewer • Commercial fisherman • Start your own unique list!
  • 49. Alternative Worlds Ask “How might I stretch my thinking beyond my normal routine?”v • Draw your problem with crayons • Visit a new museum • Buy a magazine you normally ignore • Sculpt your ideal end state • Explore a new neighborhood
  • 50.
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  • 57. • Movie metaphors spur new ideas • Visual analogies solidify vision for future What might be all the scenarios for the future of automation?
  • 58. • One of the most diverse sets of expertise in a brainstorming session on terrorism • Take a public health perspective • How might we learn from those with immunities? • How might we develop approaches to stem “moral panic”? • What might be all the societal antibodies at play? In what ways might terrorism be akin to a societal disease?
  • 62. Metaphorical Mad Libs 1. An activity I do regularly on the weekend is . . . 2. One of my favorite scenes from a movie is . . . 3. A meal or dish I am famous for is . . . 4. One of my favorite books from childhood is . . . 5. With my free time, a hobby or avocation I enjoy is . . . 6. One of my favorite works of art is . . . Finish these prompts OR have a friend do it . . .u Inspired by: Parnes, S. Gordon, W.J.J. (1971). The Basic Course in Synetics. Cambridge, MA: Porpoise Books. Geschka, H. (1980). Methoda and Organization of Idea Generation. S. Gryskiewicz.
  • 63. Metaphorical Mad Libs 1. An activity I do regularly on the weekend is . . . visiting the National Zoo with my toddler. 2. One of my favorite scenes from a movie is . . . the opening monologue of Ferris Bueller’s Day Off. 3. A meal or dish I am famous for is . . . Cincinnati chili. 4. One of my favorite books from childhood is . . . The Phantom Tollbooth. 5. With my free time, a hobby or avocation I enjoy is . . . watching reality competition television shows. 6. One of my favorite works of art is . . . Rene Magritte’s The Treachery of Images. Finish these prompts OR have a friend do it . . .u
  • 64. Metaphorical Mad Libs Roll a die or randomly select an answer.v Use your answer and prompts below to craft an analogy.w • In what ways is my challenge related to <answer>? • What actions or processes are similar? • Are there solutions that emerge as the metaphor grows? • Which relationships are reminiscent of my problem? • How might the environment of <answer> be similar to my problem? • Any potential pitfalls or other lessons that emerge from <answer>? The more random the selection, the more breakthrough thinking you’ll receive.
  • 65.
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  • 73. • No topic “ownership” • Intimate office with no cubicles or partitions • Collective ideations with varied experts • Support from senior ranks Creativity bolstered by: “tell me things that other people aren’t telling me and will make senior analysts uncomfortable”
  • 74. • Black Swans surprise event with major effects • Gray Rhinos problems everyone knows are coming but still surprised when they occur • Dogs That Don’t Bark areas of concern that may amount to nothing • Plate Tectonics dramatic changes over long and slow timeline Hunting strategic surprises like:
  • 75. • What might be all the things that will never happen? • What might people be thinking but are unwilling to say? • How might ideas and views on the fringe become new realities? Challenged to and given the cognitive leeway to ask questions like:
  • 76. “Unlike in the movies, cover stories are normally designed to be boring so as not to attract attention . . . but we weren’t dealing with a normal situation here . . . So instead of boring, what if we went in the opposite direction? What if we designed a cover story so fantastic that nobody would believe it was being used for operational purposes?” Tony Mendez Mendez, A., Baglio, M. Argo: How the CIA and Hollywood Pulled Off the Most Audacious Rescue in History.
  • 77. “The plan, which would normally be out of the question for most clandestine operations, had several attractive features.” • Film crews are made up of people from all over world • Only Hollywood eccentrics would shoot a film in a revolutionary country • It was fun and helped “house guests” connect with cover story Mendez, A., Baglio, M. Argo: How the CIA and Hollywood Pulled Off the Most Audacious Rescue in History.
  • 79. Status Quo Brainstorming • What we normally do is . . . • In the past, we always . . . • Everybody knows that . . . • Clearly . . . • It’s obvious that . . . • It’s plain to see that . . . Brainstorm as many norms, assumptions, standards, and customs as you can. The prompts below may help . . . u
  • 80. Status Quo Brainstorming • What we normally do is . . . build a bridge. • In the past, we always . . . have 2 or 3 backup plans. • Everybody knows that . . . barrels hold whiskey and wine. • Clearly . . . we have three ropes. • It’s obvious that . . . the river is very wide. • It’s plain to see that . . . we don’t have a lot of time. Brainstorm as many norms, assumptions, standards, and customs as you can. The prompts below may help . . . u
  • 81. Status Quo Brainstorming Ex: Everybody knows that . . . barrels hold whiskey and wine. If that wasn’t true, what might be all the other functions of the barrel? Choose some of your status quo answers to reverse, flip, or break. Ask “What might be all the ways to make this untrue?” v
  • 82.
  • 83. Status Quo Brainstorming Ex: It’s plain to see that. . . we don’t have a lot of time. How might we make our lack of time untrue? Choose some of your status quo answers to reverse, flip, or break. Ask “What might be all the ways to make this untrue?” v
  • 84. What might be all the ways to cross the river?
  • 85. How might we escape in this moment?
  • 86.
  • 87.
  • 88. How might YOU cross the river?
  • 90.
  • 94. WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box WOMBAT Problem Reframing
  • 95. Preference for Logic WOMBAT Problem Reframing WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box
  • 96. WOOD DUCK Analogical Thinking WOMBAT Problem Reframing WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box
  • 97. Status Quo WOMBAT Problem Reframing WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box WOOD DUCK Analogical Thinking
  • 98. OTTER Breaking Patterns WOMBAT Problem Reframing WOLF Exploring Outside Your Box WOOD DUCK Analogical Thinking
  • 99. the CIA’s Secrets to Creative Problem Solving #CIAWombat @CIA CIA www.cia.gov