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EE362G - Smart Grids:
How Smart Are We Today
Ross Baldick,
Department of
Electrical and
Computer
Engineering
1
Copyright © 2019
David Maggio,
ERCOT, Inc.
Spring 2019
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
2
Copyright © 2019
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
3
Copyright © 2019
ERCOT Overview
 ERCOT’s primary responsibilities:
 System reliability, both in the planning and
operations horizons
 Operation and settlement of the wholesale
electricity market
 Retail switching process for customer choice
 Open access to transmission
4
Copyright © 2019
ERCOT Overview
5
Copyright © 2019
ERCOT Overview
6
Copyright © 2019
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
7
Copyright © 2019
Communication
 Acronyms for market participant types:
 Qualified Scheduling Entities (QSEs)
 Transmission Service Providers (TSPs)
 These entities play a significant role in the
ERCOT communication process and will be
discussed later in the presentation.
Copyright © 2019 8
Communication
 Who is ERCOT communicating with?
Copyright © 2019 9
Communication
 QSEs are the market participants that
actively participate in the Day-Ahead
and Real-Time Markets.
 May represent:
 Resource(s)
 Load
 Power marketer
 List of ERCOT market participants
Copyright © 2019 10
Communication
 Three primary modes of communication with market
participants:
 Inter-Control Center Communications Protocol (ICCP)
 Standard used for communications between control centers
 Market Information System (MIS)
 Public communication
 Operators also will communicate verbally, particularly during
emergencies.
 Done through dedicated lines on a private network
Copyright © 2019 11
Communication
 ERCOT communicates using ICCP with QSEs and TSPs.
 ~125k ICCP points going between ERCOT and the market
participants
 Hundreds of resources and QSEs
 i.e., 36 points of data between a QSE and ERCOT for a
single resource
 Shared at a rate between 2 and 10 seconds
 Data is sent out and received as packets across a private
network
Copyright © 2019 12
Communication
 Data elements include:
 Economic base-points
 i.e., target net generation levels for individual resources for the end
of the current 5-minute interval
 Based on resource-specific economics
 Reserve deployments
 Settlement Point Prices
 Resource/equipment power flows
 Resource/equipment conditions, i.e., operating states, limits, etc.
 Including information about dynamically rated transmission lines
Copyright © 2019 13
Communication
 Telemetry from the QSEs and TSPs has a direct and
indirect impact on all of the energy and market
management system applications.
 As a result, so do any issues within the telemetry.
 It is critical to maintain good quality telemetry to
support reliability and minimize market impacts.
 All points have validation checks, such as comparison against
reasonability limits.
 However, this does not eliminate issues.
Copyright © 2019 14
Communication
 ICCP communication occurs using ERCOT’s Wide Area
Network (WAN)
 Participants whose facilities connect to ERCOT WAN have
a number of responsibilities, notably compliance with
Critical Infrastructure Protection requirements
 ERCOT is responsible for installing and maintaining
equipment, and is reimbursed by the entities
 These responsibilities and costs may not be things that all
parties are able or willing to deal with
 For example, an individual homeowner
 An “aggregator” may be willing to step into this role
Copyright © 2019 15
Communication
 The MIS
 Web-based interface
 Communication link to the public and/or
market participants
 As a group (public and secure reports that are
more generally applicable)
 Individually (certified reports that are specific and
perhaps confidential)
Copyright © 2019 16
Communication
Copyright © 2019 17
 The MIS provides a wealth of information:
 Dashboards on real-time grid conditions
 Forward market results
 Transmission planning models
 Settlements extracts
 Rules and user guides for market participants
 Data is often left in a relatively raw format to
allow users to incorporate the information into
their analytical tools
Communication
Copyright © 2019 18
Communication
Copyright © 2019 19
Communication
 The public site and other communication
 www.ercot.com
 Social media
 Mobile app
 Market notices
 Mailing lists
Copyright © 2019 20
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
21
Copyright © 2019
Day-Ahead and Leading Up to
the Operating Hour
Copyright © 2019 22
Congestion
Revenue Rights
Day-Ahead
Market
Reliability Unit
Commitment
Adjustment
Period
Real-Time
Operations
Day-Ahead
 The Day-Ahead Market (DAM)
 Mixed Integer Program used for co-optimizing awards for
wholesale energy bids and offers, Ancillary Service offers and
Point-to-Point Obligation bids across all 24 hours of the day
 Note that Point-to-Point Obligations are financial instruments used for
hedging or speculating on congestion in the wholesale markets
 Objective is to maximize bid-based revenues minus offer-
based costs
 DAM is voluntary but financially binding
 Execution begins at 10 a.m. and takes at least 2.5 hours to
post to the market
Copyright © 2019 23
Day-Ahead
 The DAM
 How many bids and offers looking across the day and 200+ entities
(using averages from December)?
 ~13k Point-to-Point Obligation bids
 ~1.5K energy-only bids and offers
 ~200 three-part offers
 Transactions can be for 1, multiple or all hours of the day
 Need to decide how to award these transactions taking into
consideration transmission and resource limitations, plus changing
topology, unit commitment, etc.
 8 virtual CPUs and 80GB of memory allocated for the process
Copyright © 2019 24
Day-Ahead
 The number of transactions in the DAM continues to grow
Copyright © 2019 25
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Trend of Transactions in the DAM
Energy-Only Bids Energy-Only Offers
Three-Part Offers Point-to-Points
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
 Information coming in, generally with granularity of an
hour:
 Demand forecasts
 Multiple models being executed in parallel
 Support includes on-staff meteorologist
 Resource operating plans, bids and offers
 Including multiple renewable resource forecasts
 Network topology information
 Transmission and resource outages
 Historical and current grid conditions
Copyright © 2019 26
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
Copyright © 2019 27
 How that information is used includes:
 Reliability Unit Commitment (RUC)
 Supplemental Ancillary Service Markets (SASMs)
 Power-flow, voltage stability, short-circuit ratio
analysis
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
Copyright © 2019 28
 RUC
 RUC is a process performed by ERCOT to evaluate if there
is adequate resource and reserve capacity in the proper
locations to meet expected demand
 Answers the question:
 Now that the QSEs have started making operational
decisions for their own resource fleets and are updating their
resource plans, does the system have what it needs to meet
ERCOT’s forecasts for energy demand without having
transmission congestion issues?
 Different than the DAM where the demand and supply of
energy is based on bids and offers, not forecasts within
ERCOT’s systems
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
Copyright © 2019 29
 RUC
 The general philosophy is to let the market make commitment
decisions for their fleet
 The process is using various inputs to determine if additional
commitments are needed
 ERCOT attempts to defer sending out commitment instructions as
long as possible
 Largely driven by the lead time of the particular resource
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
Copyright © 2019 30
 RUC
 Considering 4,800+ contingencies and the planned
operating state of all online resources to evaluate pre- and
post-contingency conditions on power grid
 When needed, the system then identifies a least cost
solution to resolve load and system-wide concerns using
resource costs and temporal constraints
 The cost of short lead-time (<= 1 hour) resources are scaled down
so that the optimization tends to prefer those resources, thus
allowing more time for the market to respond
 The process primarily occurs in the day ahead and hourly
throughout the operating day, and solves in approximately
10 to 15 minutes
Leading Up to the Operating
Hour
Copyright © 2019 31
 SASMs
 Ancillary Services are services provided by market
participants to support a reliable, continual supply
of electric power
 This includes during and following system disturbances (i.e., a
large generator trip or sudden, unforeseen changes in demand)
 Ancillary Services are a market opportunity for
resources in addition to solely providing energy
 These services are typically procured in the Day-
Ahead Market, but may be procured via a SASM
under certain unexpected conditions
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
32
Copyright © 2019
Real-Time Operations
 Understanding the current system state
 State estimator
 Combines real-time telemetry and network topology to
determine where we are
 ERCOT does not receive telemetry for the flow on all
equipment, so gaps must be estimated
 Over 9,000 lines and transformers, plus all the associated
circuit breakers, switches, etc.
 State estimator also helps identify errors
 i.e., incorrect telemetry or modeling errors
 Re-evaluating the system state at least every 5 minutes
Copyright © 2019 33
Real-Time Operations
 Understanding the current system state
 Real-time contingency analysis
 Executing AC power-flow studies for ~7,400
contingencies
 Identifies thermal and voltage concerns across all the
transmission lines, transformers and electrical buses (69
kV and above )
 A “concern” is based on thresholds entered by the system
operator
 Provides resource sensitivity information for the
identified transmission constraints
 Also, re-evaluates potential congestion issues at least
every 5 minutes
Copyright © 2019 34
Real-Time Operations
Copyright © 2019 35
Real-Time Operations
 Simplifying the equations
 The Resource Limit Calculator is used to simplify
all resources down to a high and low dispatch limit
constraint
 Executed every 4 seconds
 Evaluating local market competitiveness every 5
minutes using a Constraint Competitiveness Test
 Determines which resources are flagged for real-time
offer mitigation
Copyright © 2019 36
Real-Time Operations
 Security-Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED)
 600+ resources each having multiple optimization constraints,
typically
 0-20 transmission constraints
 The sensitivities of all the resources relative to the transmission
constraints are pre-determined for SCED
 Optimization solves in seconds in determining economic base-
points and prices for all resources
 This includes at least two executions of SCED
 Majority of SCED execution time is for writing and reading of
data between systems
Copyright © 2019 37
Real-Time Operations
 SCED
 Automatically executed every 5 minutes, but
can be initiated at any time
 Can be manually or automatically triggered following
a frequency event (i.e., a large unit trip)
 As part of outputs, ERCOT posts Locational
Marginal Prices (LMPs) for all electrical busses
 Not just for resources, hubs and load zones
 Also occurs within the overall SCED process that
takes 10 to 30 seconds
 13k+ points on the system
Copyright © 2019 38
Real-Time Operations
 Monitoring the system between SCED dispatch intervals
 Frequency and area control error
 Responses to SCED instructions
 Reserves
 Ancillary Services, Physical Responsive Capability,
capacity available for economic dispatch, etc.
 Forced outage detection
 Current statuses of equipment vs. planned state
 State of applications (i.e., last run time)
Copyright © 2019 39
Real-Time Operations
 Deployments between SCED dispatch
intervals
 Regulation Services, including fast response
regulation
 Responsive Reserve Services
 Automatic actions being taken by market
participants (i.e., governor response, frequency
relay trips, TSP remedial action schemes)
Copyright © 2019 40
Real-Time Operations
 Participants may also be responding to
market incentives other than SCED
instructions and prices
 Four Coincidental Peak (4CP) incentives
 Emergency Response Services and programs
 Other passive demand or Distributed Energy
Resource response
Copyright © 2019 41
Real-Time Operations
Copyright © 2019 42
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
MW
Reduction
MW Reductions for 4-CP and Near 4-CP Days
2014 - 2017
Near 4-CP Days* 4-CP Days Year Month Linear Trend
Real-Time Operations
Copyright © 2019 43
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1,800
1,850
1,900
1,950
2,000
2,050
2,100
$/MWh
MW
Estimated Distributed Energy Resource Response
for July 19, 2018
Estimated Load w/o DER Deployed
Load w/ DER Deployed
System Lambda
Aggregation of ~100 DERs located behind 93 unique transmission-level loads
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
44
Copyright © 2019
Current/Near-Term Discussions
 How to engage current programs/resources in
the wholesale market
 Engagement in price formation
 Distributed energy/demand-side resources
 The Ancillary Services markets
 Changes to the service types
 Real-Time Co-Optimization of energy and Ancillary Services
 Changes to scarcity pricing (Operating Reserve
Demand Curve)
Copyright © 2019 45
Current/Near-Term Discussions
 What’s potentially limiting progress of the
increased engagement
 Historical energy and reserve prices
 Exposure to real-time, nodal pricing
 Cost and/or ability of technology to fit into the
current market design
 These may be things an aggregator is willing to take on
Copyright © 2019 46
Current/Near-Term Discussions
Copyright © 2019 47
Current/Near-Term Discussions
Copyright © 2019 48
Current/Near-Term Discussions
 Peaker Net Margin (PNM)
 PNM is a value calculated by ERCOT that accumulates
during the year and is updated daily for market
participants on the MIS
 One of the purposes of PNM is to provide an estimate
of the annual net revenue of a hypothetical
combustion turbine with a heat rate of 10
MMBtu/MWh in the ERCOT market
Copyright © 2019 49
Current/Near-Term Discussions
Copyright © 2019
50

Current/Near-Term Discussions
Copyright © 2019 51
 The annual PNM value for 2018 was 62.2k $/MW (through Dec. 21, 2018)
Summary
 Sophisticated systems are in place at the system
operator level
 Volume of data
 Calculations for monitoring and operation
 How can new technologies and systems be joined
with the system operator, and at what level do they
need to be integrated?
 Are policy or market design changes needed to get
us there? If so, what are they?
52
Copyright © 2019
Outline
 Overview of ERCOT
 Communication
 Day-ahead and leading up to the operating
hour
 Real-time operations
 Current and near-term discussion
 Thoughts and questions
53
Copyright © 2019
Homework Exercises:
Due Thursday 2/7
3. Calculating a PNM for ERCOT in 2018 using data from the ERCOT
website
 Use the settlement interval prices for 2018, available in the
“Historical RTM Load Zone and Hub Prices” report on the ERCOT
website (file ending in “RTMLZHBSPP_2018.zip”)
 Calculate PNM assuming a Fuel Index Price of 3.35 $/MMBtu.
What is the aggregated annual value for 2018?
 The calculations should be performed using the settlement point name
“HB_HUBAVG”
 Perform the calculation again and change the 10 MMBtu/MWH
assumption in the POC value from 10 to 9. What is the new
aggregated annual value for 2018? In what direction did the value
change, and what does this signify for the hypothetical combustion
turbine?
54
Copyright © 2019
Homework Exercises:
Due Thursday 2/7
4. Evaluation of ERCOT Load Zone wholesale energy prices in 2018
using data from the ERCOT website
 Again, use the settlement interval prices for 2018, available in the
“Historical RTM Load Zone and Hub Prices” report on the ERCOT
website (file ending in “RTMLZHBSPP_2018.zip”)
 Calculate simple average Load Zone prices for the year 2018 for each
of the 8 Load Zones in the ERCOT region. What is the reason for
differences in the values between the Load Zones?
 To get prices for only the Load Zones, filter the data for the settlement
point type of “LZ”
 Based solely on the simple average Load Zone wholesale prices for
2018, which of the 8 Load Zones would be “best” for placement of a
demand-side Resource? What led you to that conclusion?
55
Copyright © 2019

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01a_Wholesale.pptx

  • 1. EE362G - Smart Grids: How Smart Are We Today Ross Baldick, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering 1 Copyright © 2019 David Maggio, ERCOT, Inc. Spring 2019
  • 2. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 2 Copyright © 2019
  • 3. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 3 Copyright © 2019
  • 4. ERCOT Overview  ERCOT’s primary responsibilities:  System reliability, both in the planning and operations horizons  Operation and settlement of the wholesale electricity market  Retail switching process for customer choice  Open access to transmission 4 Copyright © 2019
  • 7. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 7 Copyright © 2019
  • 8. Communication  Acronyms for market participant types:  Qualified Scheduling Entities (QSEs)  Transmission Service Providers (TSPs)  These entities play a significant role in the ERCOT communication process and will be discussed later in the presentation. Copyright © 2019 8
  • 9. Communication  Who is ERCOT communicating with? Copyright © 2019 9
  • 10. Communication  QSEs are the market participants that actively participate in the Day-Ahead and Real-Time Markets.  May represent:  Resource(s)  Load  Power marketer  List of ERCOT market participants Copyright © 2019 10
  • 11. Communication  Three primary modes of communication with market participants:  Inter-Control Center Communications Protocol (ICCP)  Standard used for communications between control centers  Market Information System (MIS)  Public communication  Operators also will communicate verbally, particularly during emergencies.  Done through dedicated lines on a private network Copyright © 2019 11
  • 12. Communication  ERCOT communicates using ICCP with QSEs and TSPs.  ~125k ICCP points going between ERCOT and the market participants  Hundreds of resources and QSEs  i.e., 36 points of data between a QSE and ERCOT for a single resource  Shared at a rate between 2 and 10 seconds  Data is sent out and received as packets across a private network Copyright © 2019 12
  • 13. Communication  Data elements include:  Economic base-points  i.e., target net generation levels for individual resources for the end of the current 5-minute interval  Based on resource-specific economics  Reserve deployments  Settlement Point Prices  Resource/equipment power flows  Resource/equipment conditions, i.e., operating states, limits, etc.  Including information about dynamically rated transmission lines Copyright © 2019 13
  • 14. Communication  Telemetry from the QSEs and TSPs has a direct and indirect impact on all of the energy and market management system applications.  As a result, so do any issues within the telemetry.  It is critical to maintain good quality telemetry to support reliability and minimize market impacts.  All points have validation checks, such as comparison against reasonability limits.  However, this does not eliminate issues. Copyright © 2019 14
  • 15. Communication  ICCP communication occurs using ERCOT’s Wide Area Network (WAN)  Participants whose facilities connect to ERCOT WAN have a number of responsibilities, notably compliance with Critical Infrastructure Protection requirements  ERCOT is responsible for installing and maintaining equipment, and is reimbursed by the entities  These responsibilities and costs may not be things that all parties are able or willing to deal with  For example, an individual homeowner  An “aggregator” may be willing to step into this role Copyright © 2019 15
  • 16. Communication  The MIS  Web-based interface  Communication link to the public and/or market participants  As a group (public and secure reports that are more generally applicable)  Individually (certified reports that are specific and perhaps confidential) Copyright © 2019 16
  • 17. Communication Copyright © 2019 17  The MIS provides a wealth of information:  Dashboards on real-time grid conditions  Forward market results  Transmission planning models  Settlements extracts  Rules and user guides for market participants  Data is often left in a relatively raw format to allow users to incorporate the information into their analytical tools
  • 20. Communication  The public site and other communication  www.ercot.com  Social media  Mobile app  Market notices  Mailing lists Copyright © 2019 20
  • 21. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 21 Copyright © 2019
  • 22. Day-Ahead and Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 22 Congestion Revenue Rights Day-Ahead Market Reliability Unit Commitment Adjustment Period Real-Time Operations
  • 23. Day-Ahead  The Day-Ahead Market (DAM)  Mixed Integer Program used for co-optimizing awards for wholesale energy bids and offers, Ancillary Service offers and Point-to-Point Obligation bids across all 24 hours of the day  Note that Point-to-Point Obligations are financial instruments used for hedging or speculating on congestion in the wholesale markets  Objective is to maximize bid-based revenues minus offer- based costs  DAM is voluntary but financially binding  Execution begins at 10 a.m. and takes at least 2.5 hours to post to the market Copyright © 2019 23
  • 24. Day-Ahead  The DAM  How many bids and offers looking across the day and 200+ entities (using averages from December)?  ~13k Point-to-Point Obligation bids  ~1.5K energy-only bids and offers  ~200 three-part offers  Transactions can be for 1, multiple or all hours of the day  Need to decide how to award these transactions taking into consideration transmission and resource limitations, plus changing topology, unit commitment, etc.  8 virtual CPUs and 80GB of memory allocated for the process Copyright © 2019 24
  • 25. Day-Ahead  The number of transactions in the DAM continues to grow Copyright © 2019 25 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Trend of Transactions in the DAM Energy-Only Bids Energy-Only Offers Three-Part Offers Point-to-Points
  • 26. Leading Up to the Operating Hour  Information coming in, generally with granularity of an hour:  Demand forecasts  Multiple models being executed in parallel  Support includes on-staff meteorologist  Resource operating plans, bids and offers  Including multiple renewable resource forecasts  Network topology information  Transmission and resource outages  Historical and current grid conditions Copyright © 2019 26
  • 27. Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 27  How that information is used includes:  Reliability Unit Commitment (RUC)  Supplemental Ancillary Service Markets (SASMs)  Power-flow, voltage stability, short-circuit ratio analysis
  • 28. Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 28  RUC  RUC is a process performed by ERCOT to evaluate if there is adequate resource and reserve capacity in the proper locations to meet expected demand  Answers the question:  Now that the QSEs have started making operational decisions for their own resource fleets and are updating their resource plans, does the system have what it needs to meet ERCOT’s forecasts for energy demand without having transmission congestion issues?  Different than the DAM where the demand and supply of energy is based on bids and offers, not forecasts within ERCOT’s systems
  • 29. Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 29  RUC  The general philosophy is to let the market make commitment decisions for their fleet  The process is using various inputs to determine if additional commitments are needed  ERCOT attempts to defer sending out commitment instructions as long as possible  Largely driven by the lead time of the particular resource
  • 30. Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 30  RUC  Considering 4,800+ contingencies and the planned operating state of all online resources to evaluate pre- and post-contingency conditions on power grid  When needed, the system then identifies a least cost solution to resolve load and system-wide concerns using resource costs and temporal constraints  The cost of short lead-time (<= 1 hour) resources are scaled down so that the optimization tends to prefer those resources, thus allowing more time for the market to respond  The process primarily occurs in the day ahead and hourly throughout the operating day, and solves in approximately 10 to 15 minutes
  • 31. Leading Up to the Operating Hour Copyright © 2019 31  SASMs  Ancillary Services are services provided by market participants to support a reliable, continual supply of electric power  This includes during and following system disturbances (i.e., a large generator trip or sudden, unforeseen changes in demand)  Ancillary Services are a market opportunity for resources in addition to solely providing energy  These services are typically procured in the Day- Ahead Market, but may be procured via a SASM under certain unexpected conditions
  • 32. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 32 Copyright © 2019
  • 33. Real-Time Operations  Understanding the current system state  State estimator  Combines real-time telemetry and network topology to determine where we are  ERCOT does not receive telemetry for the flow on all equipment, so gaps must be estimated  Over 9,000 lines and transformers, plus all the associated circuit breakers, switches, etc.  State estimator also helps identify errors  i.e., incorrect telemetry or modeling errors  Re-evaluating the system state at least every 5 minutes Copyright © 2019 33
  • 34. Real-Time Operations  Understanding the current system state  Real-time contingency analysis  Executing AC power-flow studies for ~7,400 contingencies  Identifies thermal and voltage concerns across all the transmission lines, transformers and electrical buses (69 kV and above )  A “concern” is based on thresholds entered by the system operator  Provides resource sensitivity information for the identified transmission constraints  Also, re-evaluates potential congestion issues at least every 5 minutes Copyright © 2019 34
  • 36. Real-Time Operations  Simplifying the equations  The Resource Limit Calculator is used to simplify all resources down to a high and low dispatch limit constraint  Executed every 4 seconds  Evaluating local market competitiveness every 5 minutes using a Constraint Competitiveness Test  Determines which resources are flagged for real-time offer mitigation Copyright © 2019 36
  • 37. Real-Time Operations  Security-Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED)  600+ resources each having multiple optimization constraints, typically  0-20 transmission constraints  The sensitivities of all the resources relative to the transmission constraints are pre-determined for SCED  Optimization solves in seconds in determining economic base- points and prices for all resources  This includes at least two executions of SCED  Majority of SCED execution time is for writing and reading of data between systems Copyright © 2019 37
  • 38. Real-Time Operations  SCED  Automatically executed every 5 minutes, but can be initiated at any time  Can be manually or automatically triggered following a frequency event (i.e., a large unit trip)  As part of outputs, ERCOT posts Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) for all electrical busses  Not just for resources, hubs and load zones  Also occurs within the overall SCED process that takes 10 to 30 seconds  13k+ points on the system Copyright © 2019 38
  • 39. Real-Time Operations  Monitoring the system between SCED dispatch intervals  Frequency and area control error  Responses to SCED instructions  Reserves  Ancillary Services, Physical Responsive Capability, capacity available for economic dispatch, etc.  Forced outage detection  Current statuses of equipment vs. planned state  State of applications (i.e., last run time) Copyright © 2019 39
  • 40. Real-Time Operations  Deployments between SCED dispatch intervals  Regulation Services, including fast response regulation  Responsive Reserve Services  Automatic actions being taken by market participants (i.e., governor response, frequency relay trips, TSP remedial action schemes) Copyright © 2019 40
  • 41. Real-Time Operations  Participants may also be responding to market incentives other than SCED instructions and prices  Four Coincidental Peak (4CP) incentives  Emergency Response Services and programs  Other passive demand or Distributed Energy Resource response Copyright © 2019 41
  • 42. Real-Time Operations Copyright © 2019 42 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 MW Reduction MW Reductions for 4-CP and Near 4-CP Days 2014 - 2017 Near 4-CP Days* 4-CP Days Year Month Linear Trend
  • 43. Real-Time Operations Copyright © 2019 43 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 1,800 1,850 1,900 1,950 2,000 2,050 2,100 $/MWh MW Estimated Distributed Energy Resource Response for July 19, 2018 Estimated Load w/o DER Deployed Load w/ DER Deployed System Lambda Aggregation of ~100 DERs located behind 93 unique transmission-level loads
  • 44. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 44 Copyright © 2019
  • 45. Current/Near-Term Discussions  How to engage current programs/resources in the wholesale market  Engagement in price formation  Distributed energy/demand-side resources  The Ancillary Services markets  Changes to the service types  Real-Time Co-Optimization of energy and Ancillary Services  Changes to scarcity pricing (Operating Reserve Demand Curve) Copyright © 2019 45
  • 46. Current/Near-Term Discussions  What’s potentially limiting progress of the increased engagement  Historical energy and reserve prices  Exposure to real-time, nodal pricing  Cost and/or ability of technology to fit into the current market design  These may be things an aggregator is willing to take on Copyright © 2019 46
  • 49. Current/Near-Term Discussions  Peaker Net Margin (PNM)  PNM is a value calculated by ERCOT that accumulates during the year and is updated daily for market participants on the MIS  One of the purposes of PNM is to provide an estimate of the annual net revenue of a hypothetical combustion turbine with a heat rate of 10 MMBtu/MWh in the ERCOT market Copyright © 2019 49
  • 51. Current/Near-Term Discussions Copyright © 2019 51  The annual PNM value for 2018 was 62.2k $/MW (through Dec. 21, 2018)
  • 52. Summary  Sophisticated systems are in place at the system operator level  Volume of data  Calculations for monitoring and operation  How can new technologies and systems be joined with the system operator, and at what level do they need to be integrated?  Are policy or market design changes needed to get us there? If so, what are they? 52 Copyright © 2019
  • 53. Outline  Overview of ERCOT  Communication  Day-ahead and leading up to the operating hour  Real-time operations  Current and near-term discussion  Thoughts and questions 53 Copyright © 2019
  • 54. Homework Exercises: Due Thursday 2/7 3. Calculating a PNM for ERCOT in 2018 using data from the ERCOT website  Use the settlement interval prices for 2018, available in the “Historical RTM Load Zone and Hub Prices” report on the ERCOT website (file ending in “RTMLZHBSPP_2018.zip”)  Calculate PNM assuming a Fuel Index Price of 3.35 $/MMBtu. What is the aggregated annual value for 2018?  The calculations should be performed using the settlement point name “HB_HUBAVG”  Perform the calculation again and change the 10 MMBtu/MWH assumption in the POC value from 10 to 9. What is the new aggregated annual value for 2018? In what direction did the value change, and what does this signify for the hypothetical combustion turbine? 54 Copyright © 2019
  • 55. Homework Exercises: Due Thursday 2/7 4. Evaluation of ERCOT Load Zone wholesale energy prices in 2018 using data from the ERCOT website  Again, use the settlement interval prices for 2018, available in the “Historical RTM Load Zone and Hub Prices” report on the ERCOT website (file ending in “RTMLZHBSPP_2018.zip”)  Calculate simple average Load Zone prices for the year 2018 for each of the 8 Load Zones in the ERCOT region. What is the reason for differences in the values between the Load Zones?  To get prices for only the Load Zones, filter the data for the settlement point type of “LZ”  Based solely on the simple average Load Zone wholesale prices for 2018, which of the 8 Load Zones would be “best” for placement of a demand-side Resource? What led you to that conclusion? 55 Copyright © 2019