A drought in the wind

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14 likes•1,086 views

Scott St. George

A colleague and I propose to study long-term changes in wind (and wind energy) in the Canadian Prairie Provinces. I put these slides together to help us convince co-workers and potential stakeholders that this information will help create better assessments of wind energy potential in this part of Canada.

Business Technology

a drought
in the wind
stephenwolfe scottstgeorge

1,856 MW
electrical power from wind energy
Source: Canadian Wind Energy Association

563,000
homes

Source: Canadian Wind Energy Association

Hamilton ON

Less than
1 percent
of electricity
in Canada

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In the Biblical story of Joseph, following seven years of abundance, the Kingdom of Egypt was confronted by seven years of drought and famine. In the parlance of modern climate science, intervals with several consecutive extremely dry years are described as ‘“megadroughts”. In this short talk, I’ll describe how climate scientists combine clues from natural weather archives (including corals, tree rings, lake sediments, and many other sources) to reveal the history of ancient megadroughts across our planet. And I’ll highlight new research that combines these surrogate drought records with simulations from state-of-the-art climate models to help us better anticipate the risks of unusually persistent droughts during the coming century.

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What to expect when you’re expecting decadal variability in hydroclimatic pro...

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Decadal variability in tree rings

Decadal variability in tree rings

Decadal variability in tree rings

Scott St. George

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In many settings, trees growing on floodplains provide an important source of indirect evidence that may be used to infer the occurrence, extent, and magnitude of floods prior to direct observations. That evidence may take several forms, including external scars caused by abrasion or impact from floating debris, anatomical changes within the annual growth increment following prolonged stem or root inundation, or tilting or uprooting due to the hydraulic pressure of floodwaters. Likely the most useful characteristic of paleoflood studies based on floodplain trees is their relatively high temporal resolution and dating accuracy compared to most other methods. Dendrochronological methods can routinely date past floods to the year of their occurrence and, in rare cases, can estimate the timing of floods that occur during the growing season to within two weeks. This high degree of chronological control, which is surpassed only by that provided by direct observation or instrumentation, can be used to determine whether floods in separate watersheds were synchronous or offset by several years and test hypotheses that suppose linkages between extreme floods and specific forcing mechanisms. Furthermore, the wide geographic distribution of tree species with dateable rings combined with the broad suite of methods available to examine interconnections between floods and tree growth allow this style of paleoflood hydrology to be applied to many settings that are not suitable for techniques that depend on geological evidence. Future paleoflood research involving tree rings will need to strike a balance between improving our understanding of the biological and fluvial processes that link tree growth to past events, and providing answers to questions about flood dynamics and hazards that are needed to safeguard people and property from future floods.

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Trees as flood sensors

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Scott St. George

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Expanding the window - the past, present, and future of Minnesota's water

Expanding the window - the past, present, and future of Minnesota's water

Scott St. George

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Making Climate Data Sing

Making Climate Data Sing

Making Climate Data Sing

Scott St. George

Large-scale low-frequency variability has emerged as a priority for climate research, but instrumental observations are not long enough to characterize this behavior or gage its impacts on dependent geophysical or ecological systems. As the leading source of high-resolution paleoclimate information in the middle- and high-latitudes, tree rings are essential to understand low-frequency variability prior to the instrumental period. But even though tree rings possess several advantages as climate proxies, like other natural archives they also have their own particular impediments. In this lecture, Dr. St. George will describe the structure and characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere tree-ring width network, and outline how the fingerprint of decadal and multidecadal climate variability encoded within ancient trees varies across the hemisphere.

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Large-scale dendrochronology and low-frequency climate variability

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Scott St. George

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