The document discusses hypothesis testing methods, including:
1. The p-value method which rejects the null hypothesis if the p-value is less than the significance level.
2. The critical value method which uses rejection regions determined by the significance level and critical values of the test statistic's distribution.
3. Examples are provided to demonstrate one-tailed and two-tailed hypothesis tests for population means when the population standard deviation is known or unknown.
2. Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing
โข Population Mean: ๐ Known
โข Population Mean: ๐ Unknown
3. Method 1: p-value
One-tailed hypothesis test
โข The p-value is the probability, computed using the test statistic, that
measures the support (or lack of support) provided by the sample
for the null hypothesis.
โข If the p-value is less than or equal to the level of significance ๏ก, we
reject the null hypothesis.
โข Reject H0 if the p-value < ๏ก
3
4. Suggested Guidelines for Interpreting
p-values
โข Interpreting the p-value when we are not give an ฮฑ-value
11-4
5. Method 2: Critical Value
One-tailed hypothesis test
5
โข We can use the standard normal probability distribution table to find the ๐ง โ
๐ฃ๐๐๐ข๐ with an area of ๐ผ in the lower (or upper) tail of the distribution.
โข The value of the test statistic that established the boundary of the rejection
region is called the critical value for the test. The rejection rule is:
โข Lower Tail: Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ง โค โ๐ง๐ผ
โข Upper Tail: Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ง โฅ ๐ง๐ผ
6. 6
Lower-Tailed Test About a Population
Mean: ๐ Known
p-value
๏ฝ๏ ๏ฎ๏ฐ72
0
-z๏ก =-1.28
๏ก = .10
z
z =-1.46
Sampling
distribution
of n
/
x
z 0
๏ณ
๏ญ
๏ญ
๏ฝ
7. 7
Upper-Tailed Test About a Population
Mean: ๐ Known
p-Value
๏ฝ๏ ๏ฎ๏ฐ11
0 z๏ก =
1.75
๏ก = .04
z
z =
2.29
Sampling
distribution
of
n
/
x
z 0
๏ณ
๏ญ
๏ญ
๏ฝ
8. Steps of Hypothesis Testing
8
1. Develop the null and alternative hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance ๐ผ.
3. Collect the sample data and compute the value of the test statistic.
Method 1: ๐-value
4. Use the value of the test statistic to compute the ๐-value.
5. Reject ๐ป0 if the ๐ โ ๐ฃ๐๐๐ข๐ < ๐ผ
9. Steps of Hypothesis Testing
9
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Use the level of significance to determine the critical value and the
rejection rule.
5. Use the value of the test statistic and the rejection rule to determine
whether to reject ๐ป0.
10. Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
10
The response times for a random sample of 40 medical
emergencies were tabulated. The sample mean is 13.25 minutes.
The population standard deviation is believed to be 3.2 minutes.
The EMS director wants to perform a hypothesis test, with a .05
level of significance, to determine whether the service goal of 12
minutes or less is being achieved.
11. Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
11
Both Methods:
1. Develop the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance ๐ผ.
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
12. 12
Method 1: ๐-value
4. Compute the ๐-value. For z =
cumulative probability = pโvalue =
5. Determine whether to Reject ๐ป0
Because pโvalue = ๏ก = .05
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____
meeting the response goal of 12 minutes.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
13. 13
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule. For ๏ก = .05, z.05 =
Reject H0 if z >
5. Determine whether to Reject ๐ป0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that Metro EMS_____
meeting the response goal of 12 minutes.
Example: Metro EMS
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
14. Method 1: p-Value
Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing
14
Compute the ๐-value using the following three steps:
1. Compute the value of the test statistic ๐ง.
2. If ๐ง is in the upper tail (๐ง > 0), find the area under the standard normal
curve to the right of ๐ง.
If ๐ง is in the lower tail (๐ง < 0), find the area under the standard normal
curve to the left of ๐ง.
3. Double the tail area obtained in step 2 to obtain the ๐ โvalue.
Rejection rule: Reject ๐ป0 if the ๐ โ ๐ฃ๐๐๐ข๐ โค ๐ผ
15. Method 2: Critical Value
Two-Tailed Hypothesis Testing
15
1. The critical values will occur in both the lower and upper tails of the
standard normal curve.
2. Use the standard normal probability distribution table to find ๐ง๐ผ/2
(the ๐ง-value with an area of ๐ผ/2 in the upper tail of the
distribution).
Rejection rule: Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ง โค โ๐ง๐ผ/2 or ๐ง โฅ ๐ง๐ผ/2
16. Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
16
The production line for Glow toothpaste is designed to fill tubes with a mean
weight of 6 ๐๐ง. Periodically, a sample of 30 tubes will be selected in order to
check the filling process.
Quality assurance procedures call for the continuation of the filling process if
the sample results are consistent with the assumption that the mean filling
weight for the population of toothpaste tubes is 6 ๐๐ง.; otherwise the process
will be adjusted.
17. Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
17
Assume that a sample of 30 toothpaste tubes provides a sample mean of
6.1 ๐๐ง. The population standard deviation is believed to be 0.2 ๐๐ง.
Perform a hypothesis test, at the .03 level of significance, to help determine
whether the filling process should continue operating or be stopped and
corrected.
18. Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
18
Both Methods:
1. Determine the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
19. Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
19
Method 1: ๐-value
4. Compute the ๐-value.
5. Determine whether to Reject ๐ป0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative
hypothesis is _____________(i.e. the mean filling weight _______6
ounces).
20. Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
20
Method 2: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule.
5. Determine whether to Reject ๐ป0
There is sufficient statistical evidence to infer that the alternative
hypothesis is ________
(i.e. the mean filling weight _______6 ounces).
21. 21
Example: Glow Toothpaste
Two-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Known
๏ก/2 =
.015
0
z๏ก/2 = 2.17
z
๏ก/2 =
.015
-z๏ก/2 = -2.17
z = 2.74
z = -2.74
1/2
p -value
= .0031
1/2
p -value
= .0031
Do Not Reject H0
22. Tests About a Population Mean:
๐ Unknown
22
๏ฑ Test Statistic
๐ก =
๐ฅ โ ๐0
๐ / ๐
This test statistic has a ๐ก distribution with ๐ โ 1 degrees of
freedom.
23. Tests About a Population Mean:
๐ Unknown
23
๏ฑ Rejection Rule: Critical Value Approach
๏ง ๐ป0: ๐ โฅ ๐0 Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ก โค โ๐ก๐ผ (lower tail)
๏ง ๐ป0: ๐ โค ๐0 Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ก โฅ ๐ก๐ผ (upper tail)
๏ง ๐ป0: ๐ = ๐0 Reject ๐ป0 if ๐ก โค โ๐ก๐ผ/2 or ๐ก โฅ ๐ก๐ผ/2
24. Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Unknown
24
A State Highway Patrol periodically samples vehicle speeds at various
locations on a particular roadway. The sample of vehicle speeds is used to
test the hypothesis ๐ป0: ๐ โค 65.
The locations where ๐ป0 is rejected are deemed the best locations for radar
traps. At Location F, a sample of 64 vehicles shows a mean speed of
66.2 ๐๐โ with a standard deviation of 4.2 ๐๐โ. Use ฮฑ = .05 to test the
hypothesis.
25. Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Unknown
25
METHOD: Critical Value (the only method discussed for t-test)
1. Determine the hypotheses.
2. Specify the level of significance.
3. Compute the value of the test statistic.
26. 26
Method: Critical Value
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule.
For ๏ก = and d.f. = t.05 = Reject H0 if t >
5. Determine whether to Reject ๐ป0
Because > we reject H0.
We __________95% confident that the mean speed of vehicles at Location
F__________ than 65 mph. Location F is a good candidate for a radar trap.
Example: Highway Patrol
One-Tailed Tests About a Population Mean: ๐ Unknown