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How Does Your Subdivision Trend?
Behind the Numbers Arbitrage Markets Downstream of this presentation are a series of graphs and a heat map.  The values are based on recorded closings and square feet in the subdivision over time as reported in public records. The y-axis represents the slope of the trend over time, given in price per square foot.   The data is biased towards the subdivision, but contains data points also pulled from the surrounding township following Quantitative Comps analysis protocol to reflect the overall economic environment of that property. Taking the calculated slope which gives an average based on the regressing trend (red dots below), we can compare the average price per square foot to a single-point value average (blue dot below). A large difference in value in price per square foot between the two averages can be exploited by real estate investment dollars, presumably since the two averages will eventually meet.
Resulting Heat Map – Arbitrage Opportunities In price per square foot ± from the single point average.  Spectrum from black/red to yellow/white = from heated to undervalued market.
Brookfield, 27502
Briarcliff, 27511
Oxford Hunt, 27513
Windsong, 27518
Greenbrier Estates, 27603
Highland Gardens, 27607
Falls River, 27614
Coldwater Springs, 27616
Ridgefield, 27703

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Real Estate Price Exploitation

  • 1. How Does Your Subdivision Trend?
  • 2. Behind the Numbers Arbitrage Markets Downstream of this presentation are a series of graphs and a heat map. The values are based on recorded closings and square feet in the subdivision over time as reported in public records. The y-axis represents the slope of the trend over time, given in price per square foot. The data is biased towards the subdivision, but contains data points also pulled from the surrounding township following Quantitative Comps analysis protocol to reflect the overall economic environment of that property. Taking the calculated slope which gives an average based on the regressing trend (red dots below), we can compare the average price per square foot to a single-point value average (blue dot below). A large difference in value in price per square foot between the two averages can be exploited by real estate investment dollars, presumably since the two averages will eventually meet.
  • 3. Resulting Heat Map – Arbitrage Opportunities In price per square foot ± from the single point average. Spectrum from black/red to yellow/white = from heated to undervalued market.