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Need for better Data on Nutrients to
Support Stewardship (DONUTSS)
Kimo van Dijk
Wageningen University / European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
kimo.vandijk@wur.nl / kimovandijk@phosphorusplatform.eu
1st meeting FAO LEAP Technical Advisory Group on Nutrient
cycles modelling and Impact Assessment
FAO, Rome, Italy, 12 July 2016
Phosphorus challenges
Source: Cordell, D., J. O. Drangert, et al. (2009). "The story of phosphorus:
Global food security and food for thought." Global Environmental Change-
Human and Policy Dimensions 19(2): 292-305.
 Non-renewable at human time scale
 Spatially concentrated: geopolitical
dependency and tension
 Relatively low price, but price
volatility (2008 case)
 Lower P-rock quality:
● Decreasing P content
● Increasing impurities (e.g.
cadmium, uranium)
 Pollution and eutrophication
Geological versus anthropogenic cycles
RESOURCE
RESERVES
SINKS
Society
Crops
Animals
Industry & retail
Consumers
Non-
food
LossesInputs
[90% fertilizer,
and other
mineral P use]
Geological cycle
Direct
IMPACTS
Anthropogenic cycle
Phosphorus use in the EU-27 in 2005
Detergent,
wood, paper
& fibres
Crops, fish,
food products &
mineral additives
Animal feed,
mineral additives
& live animals
Mineral fertiliser,
seeds & pesticides
Solid & liquid
organic waste
Organic waste
Wood, paper &
fibres
Slaughter
residues, solid &
liquid waste
Crops &
food products
Manure losses
Live animals
Leaching & runoff
Seeding materials
Input
2392
Output
1468
Flows & stocks in Gg = Mkg = kton P per year
Van Dijk et al. 2016
Import, export and losses per sector
Van Dijk et al. (2016)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Gross import Gross export Net trade Losses Accumulation
Phosphorusquantity[Gg
P/year]
Absolute quantity
[Gg P/year]
Relative fraction of total
system import, export &
losses [%]
Primary P import
Import Export Losses Import Export Losses Gg P/year % of
total
system
primary
import
% of
total
sector
import
CP 1399 4 84 58 1 7 1391 78 99
AP 440 21 62 18 9 5 250 14 57
FP 338 216 339 14 86 28 27 2 8
NF 215 11 77 9 4 6 110 6 51
HC - - 655 - - 54 - - -
Total 2392 251 1217 100 100 100 1777 100
Van Dijk et al. 2016
EU-27 P use efficiency per sector in 2005
Van Dijk et al. 2016
CP AP FP NF HC
PUE-1 Output flows minus losses 70 97 80 76 21
PUE-2 Upward output flows plus
export
70 24 52 76 -
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 =
𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒
𝐼𝐼 𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡
∗ 100
Fertilizer P consumption in EU-27 in 2010
FAOSTAT data 2010
Animal feed P origin in EU-27 in 2005
Source: Miterra-Europe model, CAPRI & FAOSTAT data 2003-2005
Agricultural P balances per country for
2005 & period 1905-2005
Van Dijk et al., in preparationVan Dijk et al. 2016
128 Mtons P accumulated
in agricultural soils between 1905 -2005
Agronomic P balances in the EU
Annual regional agricultural P
balances [kg P/ha] for EU-15
in 2000
Estimated cumulative P balances [kg
P/ha] of EU countries during 1991–2005
Source: Csathó & Radimszky 2012
Source: Grizzetti
& Aloe, 2007
EU-27 annual soil P balances 1961-2009
Western Europe (EU-15) Eastern Europe (EU-12)
Van Dijk et al., in preparation, Modelling crop yield responses to drastic
decreases in phosphorus fertilization in EU-27
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
DomesticfoodPsupply[kg/ca/year]
Animal
Plant
Domestic food P supply in EU-27 in 2005
Domestic food P supply
necessary to fullfill human
dietary P intake requirements at
consumption level
Van Dijk et al., in preparation
Minimum P intake requirement
Mean EU P intake
Maximum P intake level
EU-27 consumption sector P losses in 2005
Van Dijk et al. (2016)
41%
12%
6%
26%
14%
Reuse of organic waste in EU-27 in 2005
Based on Barth et al. 2008
Sludge destinations in EU-27 in 2010
Source: P-Rex, FP7 project, www.p-rex.eu; based on Eurostat
2010, Milieu Ltd 2010 & Destatis 2011
Transition towards sustainable P use
•remove non-essential P inputs (e.g. detergents)
•match P requirements more closely (precision
agriculture)
•utilise legacy P stores
Realign P inputs
•optimise input management
•minimise runoff and erosion
•strategic retention zones
Reduce P losses
to water
•avoid wastage
•improve utilization efficiency
•adopt integrated production systems
Recycle P
in bioresources
•recover P in societies' wastes
•produce fertilizer substitutes
Recover P in
wastes
•influence dietary choice
•define end-user P requirements
•re-connect crop and animal production systems
Redefine P in
the food chain
Withers, Van Dijk, et al. (2015): Stewardship to tackle global phosphorus inefficiency: the case of Europe
R/P ratio for P, K & micronutrients
Source: de Haes et al. 2012. Schaarste van micronutriënten in bodem, voedsel en minerale voorraden:
Urgentie en opties voor beleid. Utrecht, Netherlands, Platform Landbouw, Innovatie & Samenleving.
AND Chardon & Oenema, 2013. Verkenning mogelijke schaarste aan micronutriënten in het
voedselsysteem, Wageningen: Alterra Wageningen UR.
A simplistic way of expressing resource scarcity
R/P ratio = reserve / production
EU-27 P fertilization reduction scenarios
Van Dijk et al., in
preparation),
Modelling crop yield
responses to drastic
decreases in
phosphorus
fertilization in EU-27
2116
2170
Fertilisation scenarios
of 100, 80, 60, 40, 20
and 0 % of original P
application in
baseyear 2005
Agricultural P management scenarios
VanDijketal.,inpreperation
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2005
2030
2055
2080
2105
2130
2155
2180
2205
2230
2255
2280
AveragecropPuptake[kgP/ha/year]
BAU
SI
S2
S3
Per ha EU-27 crop P uptake per scenario
for 2005-2300
50 %
25 %
Van Dijk et al., in preparation
- BAU: present (~2005), Business as Usual
- S1: no P import via fertilizer
- S2: no P import via fertilizer + compound feed
- S3: as S2 + BMPs
Data quality & monitoring challenges
 Data quality: trade > production > consumption > recycling
 Unclear definitions & not enough detail in data
 Public data is incomplete and inconsistent
 Data gaps for waste flows & (new) recycling flows
 Literature data mostly not recent and only specific base years
 Trade databases not available for all products/materials
 Data gaps requires data filling procedures & flow balancing
 Industry data not publically available, sometimes
commercially, but no peer reviewed
 Uncertainties for most data unknown
 Nutrient concentrations not monitored spatially & temporarily
 From quantity to quality, from theory to practise
WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°23European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
DONUTSS
Data on Nutrients to Support Stewardship
- workshop Ghent with science and important all
stakeholders
- EU Commission DG GROW support
 identify data needs to support decision making
for industry & regulators
 define how and who to monitor & compare data
www.phosphorusplatform.eu/DONUTSS
WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°24European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
Data systems on nutrient flows should be:
• Adequate, reliable, coherent and targeted to
support improved nutrient management decisions
• Available at regional, national and global level
• Specific to be useful for certain specific
stakeholders and sectors
• Covering both quantities of flows and quality
• Designed to target identification of key
management points
WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°25European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
National policy initiatives on phosphorus
• Switzerland: waste ordonnance, proposal to make
obligatory P-recovery from sewage sludge and animal waste
ash (or separate storage pending recovery)
• Sweden: proposal to oblige 40% recycling of P & 10% of N
(including via agricultural valorisation of sewage biosolids)
• Germany: political commitment to make P-recovery
obligatory in sewage works
• Netherlands: struvite allowed to the market, in regulation
WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°26European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform
European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform (ESPP)
info@phosphorusplatform.eu
www.phosphorusplatform.eu @phosphorusfacts
Thank you for
your attention
Questions? Comments? Suggestions?
kimovandijk@phosphorusplatform.eu
kimovandijk@xs4all.nl
Twitter: @kimovandijk
Website: kimovandijk.weebly.com
Additional literature and links (1)
 Van Dijk et al. 2016. Phosphorus flows and balances of the European Union Member States.
 Withers et al. 2015. Stewardship to tackle global phosphorus inefficiency: The case of Europe.
 Schoumans et al. 2015. Phosphorus management in Europe in a changing world.
 Withers et al. 2015, Greening the global phosphorus cycle: How green chemistry can help achieve planetary P sustainability.
 Outcomes 2nd Scientific European Phosphorus Workshop in Wageningen: http://www.wageningenur.nl/sepw2013
 Lesschen et al. 2013. Options for closing the phosphorus cycle in agriculture; Assessment of options for Northwest Europe
and the Netherlands. edepot.wur.nl/289653
 K.A. Wyant, J.R. Corman, and J.J. Elser. Phosphorus, Food, and Our Future. Oxford University Press, New York City, New
York, USA. http://ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199916832.do#.UcHr6fY6VVM
 European Commission - Sustainable Phosphorus Use:
http://ec.europa.eu/environment/integration/research/newsalert/pdf/IR7.pdf
 Dutch Nutrient Platform: www.nutrientenplatform.nl and
European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform: www.phosphorusplatform.eu

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Need for better Data on Nutrients to Support Stewardship (DONUTSS) - 1st meeting of FAO Livestock Environmental Assessment and Performance Partnership (LEAP) Technical Advisory Group (TAG) on Nutrient Cycles Accounting and Impact Assessment

  • 1. Need for better Data on Nutrients to Support Stewardship (DONUTSS) Kimo van Dijk Wageningen University / European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform kimo.vandijk@wur.nl / kimovandijk@phosphorusplatform.eu 1st meeting FAO LEAP Technical Advisory Group on Nutrient cycles modelling and Impact Assessment FAO, Rome, Italy, 12 July 2016
  • 2. Phosphorus challenges Source: Cordell, D., J. O. Drangert, et al. (2009). "The story of phosphorus: Global food security and food for thought." Global Environmental Change- Human and Policy Dimensions 19(2): 292-305.  Non-renewable at human time scale  Spatially concentrated: geopolitical dependency and tension  Relatively low price, but price volatility (2008 case)  Lower P-rock quality: ● Decreasing P content ● Increasing impurities (e.g. cadmium, uranium)  Pollution and eutrophication
  • 3. Geological versus anthropogenic cycles RESOURCE RESERVES SINKS Society Crops Animals Industry & retail Consumers Non- food LossesInputs [90% fertilizer, and other mineral P use] Geological cycle Direct IMPACTS Anthropogenic cycle
  • 4. Phosphorus use in the EU-27 in 2005 Detergent, wood, paper & fibres Crops, fish, food products & mineral additives Animal feed, mineral additives & live animals Mineral fertiliser, seeds & pesticides Solid & liquid organic waste Organic waste Wood, paper & fibres Slaughter residues, solid & liquid waste Crops & food products Manure losses Live animals Leaching & runoff Seeding materials Input 2392 Output 1468 Flows & stocks in Gg = Mkg = kton P per year Van Dijk et al. 2016
  • 5. Import, export and losses per sector Van Dijk et al. (2016) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Gross import Gross export Net trade Losses Accumulation Phosphorusquantity[Gg P/year] Absolute quantity [Gg P/year] Relative fraction of total system import, export & losses [%] Primary P import Import Export Losses Import Export Losses Gg P/year % of total system primary import % of total sector import CP 1399 4 84 58 1 7 1391 78 99 AP 440 21 62 18 9 5 250 14 57 FP 338 216 339 14 86 28 27 2 8 NF 215 11 77 9 4 6 110 6 51 HC - - 655 - - 54 - - - Total 2392 251 1217 100 100 100 1777 100 Van Dijk et al. 2016
  • 6. EU-27 P use efficiency per sector in 2005 Van Dijk et al. 2016 CP AP FP NF HC PUE-1 Output flows minus losses 70 97 80 76 21 PUE-2 Upward output flows plus export 70 24 52 76 - 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 = 𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 𝐼𝐼 𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 ∗ 100
  • 7. Fertilizer P consumption in EU-27 in 2010 FAOSTAT data 2010
  • 8. Animal feed P origin in EU-27 in 2005 Source: Miterra-Europe model, CAPRI & FAOSTAT data 2003-2005
  • 9. Agricultural P balances per country for 2005 & period 1905-2005 Van Dijk et al., in preparationVan Dijk et al. 2016 128 Mtons P accumulated in agricultural soils between 1905 -2005
  • 10. Agronomic P balances in the EU Annual regional agricultural P balances [kg P/ha] for EU-15 in 2000 Estimated cumulative P balances [kg P/ha] of EU countries during 1991–2005 Source: Csathó & Radimszky 2012 Source: Grizzetti & Aloe, 2007
  • 11. EU-27 annual soil P balances 1961-2009 Western Europe (EU-15) Eastern Europe (EU-12) Van Dijk et al., in preparation, Modelling crop yield responses to drastic decreases in phosphorus fertilization in EU-27
  • 12. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 DomesticfoodPsupply[kg/ca/year] Animal Plant Domestic food P supply in EU-27 in 2005 Domestic food P supply necessary to fullfill human dietary P intake requirements at consumption level Van Dijk et al., in preparation Minimum P intake requirement Mean EU P intake Maximum P intake level
  • 13. EU-27 consumption sector P losses in 2005 Van Dijk et al. (2016) 41% 12% 6% 26% 14%
  • 14. Reuse of organic waste in EU-27 in 2005 Based on Barth et al. 2008
  • 15. Sludge destinations in EU-27 in 2010 Source: P-Rex, FP7 project, www.p-rex.eu; based on Eurostat 2010, Milieu Ltd 2010 & Destatis 2011
  • 16. Transition towards sustainable P use •remove non-essential P inputs (e.g. detergents) •match P requirements more closely (precision agriculture) •utilise legacy P stores Realign P inputs •optimise input management •minimise runoff and erosion •strategic retention zones Reduce P losses to water •avoid wastage •improve utilization efficiency •adopt integrated production systems Recycle P in bioresources •recover P in societies' wastes •produce fertilizer substitutes Recover P in wastes •influence dietary choice •define end-user P requirements •re-connect crop and animal production systems Redefine P in the food chain Withers, Van Dijk, et al. (2015): Stewardship to tackle global phosphorus inefficiency: the case of Europe
  • 17. R/P ratio for P, K & micronutrients Source: de Haes et al. 2012. Schaarste van micronutriënten in bodem, voedsel en minerale voorraden: Urgentie en opties voor beleid. Utrecht, Netherlands, Platform Landbouw, Innovatie & Samenleving. AND Chardon & Oenema, 2013. Verkenning mogelijke schaarste aan micronutriënten in het voedselsysteem, Wageningen: Alterra Wageningen UR. A simplistic way of expressing resource scarcity R/P ratio = reserve / production
  • 18. EU-27 P fertilization reduction scenarios Van Dijk et al., in preparation), Modelling crop yield responses to drastic decreases in phosphorus fertilization in EU-27 2116 2170 Fertilisation scenarios of 100, 80, 60, 40, 20 and 0 % of original P application in baseyear 2005
  • 19. Agricultural P management scenarios VanDijketal.,inpreperation
  • 20. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2005 2030 2055 2080 2105 2130 2155 2180 2205 2230 2255 2280 AveragecropPuptake[kgP/ha/year] BAU SI S2 S3 Per ha EU-27 crop P uptake per scenario for 2005-2300 50 % 25 % Van Dijk et al., in preparation - BAU: present (~2005), Business as Usual - S1: no P import via fertilizer - S2: no P import via fertilizer + compound feed - S3: as S2 + BMPs
  • 21. Data quality & monitoring challenges  Data quality: trade > production > consumption > recycling  Unclear definitions & not enough detail in data  Public data is incomplete and inconsistent  Data gaps for waste flows & (new) recycling flows  Literature data mostly not recent and only specific base years  Trade databases not available for all products/materials  Data gaps requires data filling procedures & flow balancing  Industry data not publically available, sometimes commercially, but no peer reviewed  Uncertainties for most data unknown  Nutrient concentrations not monitored spatially & temporarily  From quantity to quality, from theory to practise
  • 22. WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°23European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform DONUTSS Data on Nutrients to Support Stewardship - workshop Ghent with science and important all stakeholders - EU Commission DG GROW support  identify data needs to support decision making for industry & regulators  define how and who to monitor & compare data www.phosphorusplatform.eu/DONUTSS
  • 23. WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°24European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform Data systems on nutrient flows should be: • Adequate, reliable, coherent and targeted to support improved nutrient management decisions • Available at regional, national and global level • Specific to be useful for certain specific stakeholders and sectors • Covering both quantities of flows and quality • Designed to target identification of key management points
  • 24. WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°25European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform National policy initiatives on phosphorus • Switzerland: waste ordonnance, proposal to make obligatory P-recovery from sewage sludge and animal waste ash (or separate storage pending recovery) • Sweden: proposal to oblige 40% recycling of P & 10% of N (including via agricultural valorisation of sewage biosolids) • Germany: political commitment to make P-recovery obligatory in sewage works • Netherlands: struvite allowed to the market, in regulation
  • 25. WssTP RR WG 24th June 2015 - n°26European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform (ESPP) info@phosphorusplatform.eu www.phosphorusplatform.eu @phosphorusfacts
  • 26. Thank you for your attention Questions? Comments? Suggestions? kimovandijk@phosphorusplatform.eu kimovandijk@xs4all.nl Twitter: @kimovandijk Website: kimovandijk.weebly.com
  • 27. Additional literature and links (1)  Van Dijk et al. 2016. Phosphorus flows and balances of the European Union Member States.  Withers et al. 2015. Stewardship to tackle global phosphorus inefficiency: The case of Europe.  Schoumans et al. 2015. Phosphorus management in Europe in a changing world.  Withers et al. 2015, Greening the global phosphorus cycle: How green chemistry can help achieve planetary P sustainability.  Outcomes 2nd Scientific European Phosphorus Workshop in Wageningen: http://www.wageningenur.nl/sepw2013  Lesschen et al. 2013. Options for closing the phosphorus cycle in agriculture; Assessment of options for Northwest Europe and the Netherlands. edepot.wur.nl/289653  K.A. Wyant, J.R. Corman, and J.J. Elser. Phosphorus, Food, and Our Future. Oxford University Press, New York City, New York, USA. http://ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199916832.do#.UcHr6fY6VVM  European Commission - Sustainable Phosphorus Use: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/integration/research/newsalert/pdf/IR7.pdf  Dutch Nutrient Platform: www.nutrientenplatform.nl and European Sustainable Phosphorus Platform: www.phosphorusplatform.eu