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Internal Trade and
Provincial Matters -
Canada
BY: PAUL YOUNG, CPA, CGA
SEPTEMBER 11, 2018
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Internal Controls
• SME – Business Process Changes
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Supply Chain ManagementContact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
• Overview
• Analysis
• Issues
Overview
• This presentation will discuss trade between provinces and the
issue facing provinces in terms of breaking down barriers
• This presentation will also discuss provincial relations either with
the federal government or with other provinces.
• Inter provincial relations are at all-time low as provinces are
putting up barriers to trade.
GDP by Province and Debt Change
Manufacturing Sales by Province
Productivity
Internal Trade by Province
Source – Government of Canada
Barriers to Trade for SMEs
Cost to the Economy
• The business group says internal barriers damage productivity and
competitiveness, harm Canada’s international reputation as a
place to do business, and cost the economy as much as 14 billion
Canadian dollars ($12.8 billion) a year.
Trade Barriers Competitive Pressures
East – West Pipelines
Trudeau and Provincial Relations / Immigration
Refugees / Border
Trudeau’s tweet - https://globalnews.ca/news/3212041/justin-
trudeau-refugees-donald-trump-travel-ban/
1. YTD June 2018 - - https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-
refugees-citizenship/services/refugees/asylum-claims.html
2. 2017 - https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-
citizenship/services/refugees/asylum-claims-2017.html
3. Refugees -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/refugee-crisis-
canada-july-2018
In two years there has been over 30,000 arrests at the border
and you say there is no relation to Trudeau’s Tweet? -
https://debatepost.com/2017/08/16/alysum-seekers-demand-
more-money-and-housing-from-canadian-taxpayers/
Federal Government and
Equalization
• “The Globe and Mail first reported earlier this week that the
Liberal government quietly renewed the equalization formula in
its 2018 budget, so it will stay in its current form until 2024. But
Tom Osborne says it's frustrating N.L. is considered a "have"
province under that formula — despite its current fiscal
situation. "We've got a very large geography, one of the most
widely dispersed population in all of the country, we've got very
rural areas. So this province is expensive to maintain," said the
finance minister Friday. "When you look at other provinces with
smaller geographies and twice the population, that's not taken
into account," he added. ” -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-
labrador/finance-minister-wants-new-equalization-rules-
1.4719209
• Equalization payments have long been a contentious issue
between the Canadian government and provinces.
• The payments are once again in the news
this week, after it came to light that the
formula for how the money is
distributed will stay the same until 2024.
• Source -
• Liberals hold 152 seats in areas that received
equalization
• Liberals are concerned about losing seats in
AB and SK as such focus is on their existing
areas to hold power after the next election
Blog – Provincial Relations
• http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-trans-mountain-alberta-british-columbia-1.452470
• Election 2015 Promise - http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/justin-trudeau-s-majority-greeted-with-
optimism-by-provincial-premiers-1.3280093 “After nearly a decade of a prime minister notorious for
public tussles with premiers who challenged his policies, Canada's provincial leaders reacted Tuesday
to the electoral victory of a Liberal leader who has promised to work harmoniously to advance their
interests.
Here are the facts:
• Kinder Morgan Project is in limbo due to NDP BC stalling the building process - http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/pipeline-notley-horgan-1.4519530
• NF and PQ - http://www.macleans.ca/news/why-peace-wont-come-quickly-for-quebec-and-newfoundland-and-labrador/
• Manitoba was threaten by Trudeau if they did not sign the new accord - http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/funding-health-manitoba-1.4255391 -
Trudeau - http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/funding-health-manitoba-1.4255391
• Saskatchewan is standing up to Trudeau carbon tax grab - https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2018/01/28/just-watch-me-new-saskatchewan-
premier-vows-to-fight-federal-carbon-tax.html
• Trudeau did not support East-West Pipeline - https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/n-b-premier-makes-last-ditch-effort-to-revive-energy-east-pipeline-1.3597266
or https://globalnews.ca/news/3787809/brad-wall-federal-government-justin-trudeau-cancellation-energy-east-pipeline-equalization-payments/
• Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/premiers-meeting-provinces-ford-trudeau-1.4746748
• Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-provincial-trade-barriers-canada-april-2017
Kinder Morgan
Canada is losing out to
FDI -
http://business.financialp
ost.com/news/economy/i
nvestment-outflow-from-
canada-already-
underway-in-real-time-
rbc-head
https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/983454989820588033
Could it be BC wants more moneys from Ottawa?
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/bc-
officials-confirm-ottawas-last-minute-cancellation-of-child-
care-news-conference/article37983746/
Kinder Morgan killed -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-
columbia/indigenous-groups-still-want-to-buy-stake-in-trans-
mountain-1.4816495
NAFTA and Pipelines
Source - https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/jack-mintz-pipelines-and-
nafta-could-start-war-between-trudeau-and-the-provinces
Jack Mintz – Financial Post – September
11, 2018
• Natural Resources development falls
under provincial jurisdiction
(https://digitalcommons.osgoode.yorku.c
a/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=https://ww
w.google.ca/&httpsredir=1&article=1901&c
ontext=ohlj)
• Trudeau’s game is about votes as such
does not care if he has good relations
with provincial leaders.
• Trudeau is pitting sectors of the economy
against each other -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg
a/nafta-make-or-break-time-lets-make-a-
deal
• Four pipelines built between 2005-2010
• Cancellation of Gateway
• Cancellation of East-west
Automotive Sector /
NAFTA
Source – Scotiabank
• Ontario automotive sector $20B
and 130K jobs to the overall
economy.
https://www.cvma.ca/wp-
content/uploads/2017/03/Websit
e-WP-Important-Facts-Pdf-
March-23-2017.pdf
• Trump has threaten tariffs if
Trudeau and his team do not
remove dairy tariffs -
https://business.financialpost.co
m/news/economy/would-
trumps-20-auto-tariff-be-
canadas-ruination-we-access-
the-damage
• Ontario needs to be more
competitive: Lower hydro rates,
regulations, elimination of
carbon tax, etc.
PQ has large Dairy Sector is
being used against Ontario’s
Automotive Sector – Trudeau
and NAFTA
Federal Minister Leblanc vs Jason
Kenny (AB)
• Your govt is to blame for what has
happen at the provincial
relationship levels and not premiers
or the former govt.
•
• The role of the federal govt is to
represent all Canadians and not
voting blocks. Your leader is only
interested in meeting with people
that will vote for him
•
• https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/le
blanc-accuses-kenney-of-sowing-
division-in-alberta-1.4084879
Justin Trudeau and Doug Ford (ON)
• Justin Trudeau and
Doug Ford disagree
over the handling of
refugee
• Justin Trudeau
decided to berate
Doug Ford in front
of the media
PEI and Carbon Tax
PM Trudeau and
Minister McKenna
continue to received
push back on
emissions by provinces
like PEI
Comments
• “But sources say negotiations hit a snag two weeks ago when Alberta’s government sought
exemptions to the deal. One source said Alberta is proposing an exemption that would
ensure at least 20 per cent of public procurement contracts go to local companies.” Source -
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/alberta-seeks-exemption-in-provincial-
trade-deal-to-favour-local-firms/article30752429/
• “Finance Minister Cathy Bennett said Thursday she was disappointed Quebec asked the
federal government to not extend a loan guarantee for her province’s Muskrat Falls
hydroelectric project.”Source - http://globalnews.ca/news/3029610/newfoundland-and-
labrador-reminds-quebec-about-canadian-values-on-hydro-project/
• “New Brunswick’s premier says there’s still a strong need for the proposed Energy East
pipeline despite the federal government’s approval of two pipeline expansions in western
Canada.”Source - http://globalnews.ca/news/3106253/energy-east-still-needed-despite-
approval-for-western-pipelines-n-b-premier/

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Government Relations - Federal and Provincial - Canada - September 2018

  • 1. Internal Trade and Provincial Matters - Canada BY: PAUL YOUNG, CPA, CGA SEPTEMBER 11, 2018
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Internal Controls • SME – Business Process Changes • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Supply Chain ManagementContact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 4. Overview • This presentation will discuss trade between provinces and the issue facing provinces in terms of breaking down barriers • This presentation will also discuss provincial relations either with the federal government or with other provinces. • Inter provincial relations are at all-time low as provinces are putting up barriers to trade.
  • 5. GDP by Province and Debt Change
  • 8. Internal Trade by Province Source – Government of Canada
  • 9. Barriers to Trade for SMEs
  • 10. Cost to the Economy • The business group says internal barriers damage productivity and competitiveness, harm Canada’s international reputation as a place to do business, and cost the economy as much as 14 billion Canadian dollars ($12.8 billion) a year.
  • 12. East – West Pipelines
  • 13. Trudeau and Provincial Relations / Immigration Refugees / Border Trudeau’s tweet - https://globalnews.ca/news/3212041/justin- trudeau-refugees-donald-trump-travel-ban/ 1. YTD June 2018 - - https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration- refugees-citizenship/services/refugees/asylum-claims.html 2. 2017 - https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees- citizenship/services/refugees/asylum-claims-2017.html 3. Refugees - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/refugee-crisis- canada-july-2018 In two years there has been over 30,000 arrests at the border and you say there is no relation to Trudeau’s Tweet? - https://debatepost.com/2017/08/16/alysum-seekers-demand- more-money-and-housing-from-canadian-taxpayers/
  • 14. Federal Government and Equalization • “The Globe and Mail first reported earlier this week that the Liberal government quietly renewed the equalization formula in its 2018 budget, so it will stay in its current form until 2024. But Tom Osborne says it's frustrating N.L. is considered a "have" province under that formula — despite its current fiscal situation. "We've got a very large geography, one of the most widely dispersed population in all of the country, we've got very rural areas. So this province is expensive to maintain," said the finance minister Friday. "When you look at other provinces with smaller geographies and twice the population, that's not taken into account," he added. ” - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland- labrador/finance-minister-wants-new-equalization-rules- 1.4719209 • Equalization payments have long been a contentious issue between the Canadian government and provinces. • The payments are once again in the news this week, after it came to light that the formula for how the money is distributed will stay the same until 2024. • Source - • Liberals hold 152 seats in areas that received equalization • Liberals are concerned about losing seats in AB and SK as such focus is on their existing areas to hold power after the next election
  • 15. Blog – Provincial Relations • http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-trans-mountain-alberta-british-columbia-1.452470 • Election 2015 Promise - http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/justin-trudeau-s-majority-greeted-with- optimism-by-provincial-premiers-1.3280093 “After nearly a decade of a prime minister notorious for public tussles with premiers who challenged his policies, Canada's provincial leaders reacted Tuesday to the electoral victory of a Liberal leader who has promised to work harmoniously to advance their interests. Here are the facts: • Kinder Morgan Project is in limbo due to NDP BC stalling the building process - http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/pipeline-notley-horgan-1.4519530 • NF and PQ - http://www.macleans.ca/news/why-peace-wont-come-quickly-for-quebec-and-newfoundland-and-labrador/ • Manitoba was threaten by Trudeau if they did not sign the new accord - http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/funding-health-manitoba-1.4255391 - Trudeau - http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/funding-health-manitoba-1.4255391 • Saskatchewan is standing up to Trudeau carbon tax grab - https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2018/01/28/just-watch-me-new-saskatchewan- premier-vows-to-fight-federal-carbon-tax.html • Trudeau did not support East-West Pipeline - https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/n-b-premier-makes-last-ditch-effort-to-revive-energy-east-pipeline-1.3597266 or https://globalnews.ca/news/3787809/brad-wall-federal-government-justin-trudeau-cancellation-energy-east-pipeline-equalization-payments/ • Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/premiers-meeting-provinces-ford-trudeau-1.4746748 • Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-provincial-trade-barriers-canada-april-2017
  • 16. Kinder Morgan Canada is losing out to FDI - http://business.financialp ost.com/news/economy/i nvestment-outflow-from- canada-already- underway-in-real-time- rbc-head https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/983454989820588033 Could it be BC wants more moneys from Ottawa? https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/bc- officials-confirm-ottawas-last-minute-cancellation-of-child- care-news-conference/article37983746/ Kinder Morgan killed - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- columbia/indigenous-groups-still-want-to-buy-stake-in-trans- mountain-1.4816495
  • 17. NAFTA and Pipelines Source - https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/jack-mintz-pipelines-and- nafta-could-start-war-between-trudeau-and-the-provinces Jack Mintz – Financial Post – September 11, 2018 • Natural Resources development falls under provincial jurisdiction (https://digitalcommons.osgoode.yorku.c a/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=https://ww w.google.ca/&httpsredir=1&article=1901&c ontext=ohlj) • Trudeau’s game is about votes as such does not care if he has good relations with provincial leaders. • Trudeau is pitting sectors of the economy against each other - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcg a/nafta-make-or-break-time-lets-make-a- deal • Four pipelines built between 2005-2010 • Cancellation of Gateway • Cancellation of East-west
  • 18. Automotive Sector / NAFTA Source – Scotiabank • Ontario automotive sector $20B and 130K jobs to the overall economy. https://www.cvma.ca/wp- content/uploads/2017/03/Websit e-WP-Important-Facts-Pdf- March-23-2017.pdf • Trump has threaten tariffs if Trudeau and his team do not remove dairy tariffs - https://business.financialpost.co m/news/economy/would- trumps-20-auto-tariff-be- canadas-ruination-we-access- the-damage • Ontario needs to be more competitive: Lower hydro rates, regulations, elimination of carbon tax, etc. PQ has large Dairy Sector is being used against Ontario’s Automotive Sector – Trudeau and NAFTA
  • 19. Federal Minister Leblanc vs Jason Kenny (AB) • Your govt is to blame for what has happen at the provincial relationship levels and not premiers or the former govt. • • The role of the federal govt is to represent all Canadians and not voting blocks. Your leader is only interested in meeting with people that will vote for him • • https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/le blanc-accuses-kenney-of-sowing- division-in-alberta-1.4084879
  • 20. Justin Trudeau and Doug Ford (ON) • Justin Trudeau and Doug Ford disagree over the handling of refugee • Justin Trudeau decided to berate Doug Ford in front of the media
  • 21. PEI and Carbon Tax PM Trudeau and Minister McKenna continue to received push back on emissions by provinces like PEI
  • 22. Comments • “But sources say negotiations hit a snag two weeks ago when Alberta’s government sought exemptions to the deal. One source said Alberta is proposing an exemption that would ensure at least 20 per cent of public procurement contracts go to local companies.” Source - http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/alberta-seeks-exemption-in-provincial- trade-deal-to-favour-local-firms/article30752429/ • “Finance Minister Cathy Bennett said Thursday she was disappointed Quebec asked the federal government to not extend a loan guarantee for her province’s Muskrat Falls hydroelectric project.”Source - http://globalnews.ca/news/3029610/newfoundland-and- labrador-reminds-quebec-about-canadian-values-on-hydro-project/ • “New Brunswick’s premier says there’s still a strong need for the proposed Energy East pipeline despite the federal government’s approval of two pipeline expansions in western Canada.”Source - http://globalnews.ca/news/3106253/energy-east-still-needed-despite- approval-for-western-pipelines-n-b-premier/

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/econ15-eng.htm http://www.rbc.com/economics/economic-reports/pdf/provincial-forecasts/prov_fiscal.pdf
  2. Stats Canada
  3. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/canada/productivity High Dollar from 2003 to 2012 Lack of capital investment
  4. http://strategy.sauder.ubc.ca/antweiler/blog.php?item=2014-08-06
  5. TD Bank
  6. http://blogs.wsj.com/canadarealtime/2014/08/20/canada-moves-again-to-tackle-internal-trade-barriers/ 1. Let’s say for
  7. http://www.chamber.ca/advocacy/top-10-barriers-to-competitiveness/Booklet_Top_10_Barriers_2014.pdf Trade Barriers have been identified as #5 on the barriers to competitiveness
  8. https://www.energyeastpipeline.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Energy-East-Deloitte-Economic-Benefits-Report.pdf