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Q215 Nielsen Earnings Presentation
1.
NYSE: NLSN 2ND QUARTER
2015 RESULTS TUESDAY JULY 28, 2015 8:00AM ET
2.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 2NLSN 2Q 2015
Results SAFE HARBOR FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The following discussion contains forward-looking statements, including those about Nielsen’s outlook and prospects, that relate to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are those which are not historical facts. These and other statements that relate to future results and events are based on Nielsen’s current expectations as of July 28, 2015. Our actual results in future periods may differ materially from those currently expected because of a number of risks and uncertainties. The risks and uncertainties that we believe are material are outlined in our disclosure filings and materials, which you can find on http://ir.nielsen.com. Please consult these documents for a more complete understanding of these risks and uncertainties. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by law. Our outlook is provided for the purpose of providing information about current expectations for 2015. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
3.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 3NLSN 2Q 2015
Results AGENDAAGENDA Second Quarter Business Update Financials and Guidance Appendix and Reconciliations Q&A
4.
MITCH BARNS CHIEF EXECUTIVE
OFFICER
5.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 5NLSN 2Q 2015
Results SECOND QUARTER 2015 OVERVIEW Strong 2Q operating performance - Revenue of $1.6 billion…up 4.8% constant currency - Adjusted EBITDA of $468 million…up 7.3% constant currency - Adjusted net income per share of $0.66…up 13.8% constant currency - Free cash flow of $154 million…up 33% year over year Continued execution on our balanced capital allocation framework - Share buybacks: on track to repurchase $1 billion by mid-2016 - Acquisitions: eXelate integration on track Reiterating 2015 guidance INVESTING IN GROWTH, DELIVERING VALUE TO SHAREHOLDERS
6.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 6NLSN 2Q 2015
Results UPDATE ON KEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES RIGHT STRATEGY, CONTINUED STRONG EXECUTION • Watch: Total Audience Measurement Progress Total Audience: framework for comprehensive measurement of the consumer Continued strength in core television audience measurement Strong client interest for signature-based VOD measurement Digital Ad Ratings growth, global coverage, Google DoubleClick international expansion Rollout of Digital Content Ratings (with Adobe) on track for fall launch Roku partnership to measure over-the-top viewing • Marketing Effectiveness: Strong momentum across client base, eXelate a catalyst • Buy: Unmatched Global Presence New client wins in every region Notable growth with small- and mid-tier clients Broad-based Emerging market growth Fourth consecutive quarter of constant currency margin expansion • Innovation
7.
JAMERE JACKSON CHIEF FINANCIAL
OFFICER
8.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 8NLSN 2Q 2015
Results TOTAL NIELSEN RESULTS ($ in millions except per share amounts, growth in constant currency , excluding Free Cash Flow) • Revenues +4.8%, solid growth in Watch and Buy • Margin expansion +72 bps while reinvesting for long-term growth • Strong growth in earnings fueled by operating leverage and share repurchase • Solid FCF growth of 33% 2Q 2015 2Q 2014 V% Revenues $1,559 $1,594 4.8% Adjusted EBITDA $468 $460 7.3% Adjusted EBITDA margin % 30.0% 28.9% 72 bps Adjusted Net Income (ANI) $246 $240 10.3% Diluted ANI per share (a) $0.66 $0.62 13.8% Free Cash Flow $154 $116 32.8% (a) Calculated using weighted average shares outstanding of 372.6 million for 2Q 2015 and 385.4 million for 2Q 2014. See appendix for detail
9.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 9NLSN 2Q 2015
Results WATCH SEGMENT RESULTS ($ in millions, growth in constant currency) REVENUE PROFITABILITY 2Q DYNAMICS Total Watch Adjusted EBITDA Margin $707 $314 44.4% 2Q 15 $694 $301 43.4% 2Q 14 4.7% 6.1% 56 bps V% • Solid revenue growth driven by: - Audience Measurement +5.1%; ex-Audio +6.8% • Growth initiatives are delivering - Digital Ad Ratings campaigns tripled - eXelate integration on track - Marketing Effectiveness +21.7% • Margin improvement driven by continued productivity & operating leverage
10.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 10NLSN 2Q 2015
Results BUY SEGMENT RESULTS ($ in millions, growth in constant currency) REVENUE PROFITABILITY 2Q DYNAMICS Developed Adjusted EBITDA Margin $582 $162 19.0% 2Q 15 $614 $167 18.6% 2Q 14 2.8% 9.5% 81 bps V% Emerging $270 $286 9.3% Total Buy $852 $900 4.8% • Solid revenue growth +4.8% • New client wins in every region • Discretionary spend environment remains steady • Emerging: broad-based growth • Margin improvement driven by cost out initiatives and scaling emerging markets
11.
Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 11NLSN 2Q 2015
Results FOREIGN CURRENCY IMPACT (a) Projected impact assumes rates in effect at 7/27/15 remain in effect for the balance of 2015. Also based on company estimates for future quarters on distribution of revenue and EBITDA by currency. No single currency is >3%, excluding USD, CAD, EUR, CNY & GBP (650) (700) (740) (480) (640)(620) (560) (610) (460) (550) 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15E 4Q15E FY15E Rev (bps) EBITDA (bps) Note: We report on a constant currency basis to reflect operating performance 56% 11% 4% 3% 3% 23% USD EUR CAD GBP CNY Other 2014 CURRENCY PROFILE - REVENUE PROJECTED FX IMPACT(a): REPORTED VS CONSTANT CURRENCY
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 12NLSN 2Q 2015
Results 2015 GUIDANCE - JULY 28, 2015 (Revenue and adj. EBITDA margin growth in constant currency) Total Revenue 4.0% - 6.0% Adj. EBITDA margin growth 50 – 70 bps Adj. Net Income Per Share $2.60 - $2.66 Leverage ~3.6x Free Cash Flow $850 - $900M Net book interest $310M - $320M Cash taxes $160M - $170M Cash restructuring $50M - $75M Est. wtd. avg. diluted shares outstanding for FY 2015 ~371M OTHER FINANCIAL METRICS REITERATING 2015 GUIDANCE
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 13NLSN 2Q 2015
Results &
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APPENDIX
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 15NLSN 2Q 2015
Results CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES Overview of Non-GAAP Presentations We use the non-GAAP financial measures discussed below to evaluate the results of our operations. We believe that the presentation of these non-GAAP measures provides useful information to investors regarding financial and business trends related to our results of operations, cash flows and indebtedness and that when this non-GAAP financial information is viewed with our GAAP financial information, investors are provided with a more meaningful understanding of our ongoing operating performance. None of the non-GAAP measures presented should be considered as an alternative to net income or loss, operating income or loss, cash flows from operating activities, total indebtedness or any other measures of operating performance and financial condition, liquidity or indebtedness derived in accordance with GAAP. These non-GAAP measures have important limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as substitutes for an analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. Our use of these terms may vary from the use of similarly-titled measures by others in our industry due to the potential inconsistencies in the method of calculation and differences due to items subject to interpretation. Constant Currency Presentation We evaluate our results of operations on both an as reported and a constant currency basis. The constant currency presentation, which is a non-GAAP measure, excludes the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates. We believe providing constant currency information provides valuable supplemental information regarding our results of operations, consistent with how we evaluate our performance. We calculate constant currency percentages by converting our prior-period local currency financial results using the current period exchange rates and comparing these adjusted amounts to our current period reported results. Net Debt and Net Debt Leverage Ratio The net debt leverage ratio is defined as net debt (gross debt less cash and cash equivalents) as of the balance sheet date divided by Adjusted EBITDA for the twelve months then ended. Net debt and the net debt leverage ratio are commonly used metrics to evaluate and compare leverage between companies and are not presentations made in accordance with GAAP.
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 16NLSN 2Q 2015
Results CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES (continued) Adjusted EBITDA We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income or loss from our consolidated statements of operations before interest income and expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, restructuring charges, goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges, stock-based compensation expense and other non-operating items from our consolidated statements of operations as well as certain other items considered unusual or non-recurring in nature. We use Adjusted EBITDA to measure our performance from period to period both at the consolidated level as well as within our operating segments, to evaluate and fund incentive compensation programs and to compare our results to those of our competitors. Adjusted Net Income We define Adjusted Net Income as net income or loss from our consolidated statements of operations before income taxes, depreciation and amortization associated with acquired tangible and intangible assets, equity in net income of affiliates, restructuring charges, goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges, other non-operating items from our consolidated statements of operations and certain other items considered unusual or non-recurring in nature, reduced by cash paid for income taxes. Free Cash Flow We define free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities, plus the excess tax benefit on stock-based compensation, less capital expenditures. We believe providing free cash flow information provides valuable supplemental information regarding the cash flow that may be available for discretionary use by us. Free cash flow is not a presentation made in accordance with GAAP.
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 17NLSN 2Q 2015
Results ADJUSTED NET INCOME RECONCILIATION: Q2 ($ in millions except per share amounts) Quarter ended June 30, (Unaudited) 2015 2014 Net income $ 116 $ 76 Interest expense, net 78 77 Provision for income taxes 86 74 Depreciation and amortization 146 145 EBITDA 426 372 Equity in net income of affiliates -- (1) Other non-operating expense, net 6 51 Restructuring charges 14 13 Stock-based compensation expense 13 12 Other items (a) 9 13 Adjusted EBITDA 468 460 Interest expense, net (78) (77) Depreciation and amortization (146) (145) Depreciation and amortization of acquisition-related tangible and intangible assets 51 51 Cash paid for income taxes (36) (37) Stock-based compensation expense (13) (12) Adjusted net income $ 246 $ 240 Adjusted net income per share of common stock, diluted (b) $0.66 $0.62 (a), (b) See footnotes on next page
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 18NLSN 2Q 2015
Results ADJUSTED NET INCOME RECONCILIATION: Q2 (continued) (a) For the three months ended June 30, 2015 and 2014, other items primarily consist of non-recurring costs. (b) Adjusted Net Income per share of common stock presented on a diluted basis includes potential common shares associated with stock-based compensation plans that may have been considered anti- dilutive in accordance with GAAP. Weighted-average shares of common stock outstanding as of quarter ended June 30, 2015, basic 368,364,597 Dilutive shares of common stock from stock compensation plans 4,216,436 Weighted-average shares of common stock outstanding, diluted 372,581,033
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 19NLSN 2Q 2015
Results FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION ($ in millions) QUARTER ENDED JUNE 30 2015 2014 Net cash provided by operating activities $251 $210 Less: Capital expenditures (97) (94) Free cash flow $154 $116
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 20NLSN 2Q 2015
Results ($ in millions) 2Q 15 Reported 2Q 14 Reported % V Reported 2Q 14 Constant Currency % V Constant Currency BUY $852 $900 (5.3)% $813 4.8% WATCH $707 $694 1.9% $675 4.7% TOTAL $1,559 $1,594 (2.2)% $1,488 4.8% REVENUE RECONCILIATION ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION 2Q 15 Reported 2Q 14 Reported % V Reported 2Q 14 Constant Currency % V Constant Currency BUY $162 $167 (3.0)% $148 9.5% WATCH $314 $301 4.3% $296 6.1% CORPORATE $(8) $(8) NM $(8) NM TOTAL $468 $460 1.7% $436 7.3% ($ in millions)
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 21NLSN 2Q 2015
Results DEBT CAPITAL TABLE ($ in millions) (a) Reflects Net Debt (gross debt minus cash), divided by Adjusted EBITDA calculated on last twelve months basis (b) Excludes capital leases DEBT CAPITAL TABLE 6/30/15 3/31/15 Change Loan Debt (secured) $3,609 $3,489 $120 4.50% Sr. Notes (10/1/20) 800 800 -- 5.50% Sr. Notes (10/1/21) 625 625 -- 5.00% Sr. Notes (4/15/22) 2,308 2,308 -- Capital lease/misc. debt 131 125 $6 Total Debt $7,473 $7,347 $126 Less Cash 331 343 ($12) Net Debt $7,142 $7,004 $138 Net Debt Ratio (a) 3.9x 3.8x 0.1x Weighted avg. interest rate (b) 3.97% 4.00% (3) bps
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Copyright©2015TheNielsenCompany. 22NLSN 2Q 2015
Results SELECTED FINANCIAL METRICS & BALANCE SHEET ITEMS ($ in millions) FINANCIAL METRICS 2Q 15 Free Cash Flow $154 Capital Expenditures $97 D&A $146 Net Book Interest $78 Cash Taxes $36 Cash Restructuring $26 Wtd. avg. diluted shares 372.6 BALANCE SHEET – 6/30/15 Gross Debt $7,473 Cash $331 Net Debt $7,142 Net Debt Ratio (a) 3.86x CURRENT DEBT MATURITY PROFILE – 6/30/15(b) $49 $118 $640 $212 $1,041 $814 $1,952 $2,308 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (a) Reflects net debt (gross debt minus cash), divided by Adjusted EBITDA calculated on last twelve months basis (b) Excludes Revolver ($208M), Capital Leases ($122M) and Miscellaneous Debt ($9M)
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