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NielsenQ1 2017 Results
1.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1ST QUARTER 2017 RESULTS TUESDAY
APRIL 25, 2017 8:00 AM ET NYSE: NLSN
2.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2 The following discussion
contains forward-looking statements, including those about Nielsen’s outlook and prospects, that relate to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are those which are not historical facts. These and other statements that relate to future results and events are based on Nielsen’s current expectations as of April 25, 2017. Our actual results in future periods may differ materially from those currently expected because of a number of risks and uncertainties. The risks and uncertainties that we believe are material are outlined in our disclosure filings and materials, which you can find on http://ir.nielsen.com, such as our most recent 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports. Please consult these documents for a more complete understanding of these risks and uncertainties. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward- looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by law. Our outlook is provided for the purpose of providing information about current expectations for 2017. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes. SAFE HARBOR FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
3.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. MITCH BARNS CHIEF EXECUTIVE
OFFICER
4.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 4 FIRST QUARTER 2017
OVERVIEW • Financial highlights Revenue of $1.53 billion…up 3.2% constant currency Watch: up 11.1% constant currency Buy: down 3.7% constant currency Adjusted EBITDA of $422 million…up 4.7% constant currency GAAP net income per share of $0.20 vs. $0.27 a year ago • Executing on our balanced capital allocation framework Board approval for 10% dividend increase, to $0.34 per share ~$400 million remaining under existing share repurchase authorization • Reiterating 2017 guidance
5.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 5 Delivering solid revenue
growth driven by Total Audience and Gracenote Flexibility of Total Audience system • Independent, comparable, and de-duplicated measurement across all platforms • Flexibility supports wide variety of client business models in 2017 Upfronts Addition of new capabilities to Total Audience • Launched out-of-home measurement for national TV, ESPN a lead client • Digital in TV Ratings: crediting linear advertising on digital screens • Gracenote ID: adopted as standard content identifier for Total Audience Continued penetration and adoption of Total Audience • Digital Ad Ratings: 50% increase in campaigns measured • Crediting viewing from DirecTV Now, Sling TV, Playstation Vue and YouTubeTV • Total Content Ratings: growing client adoption • Subscription Video On-Demand: >25K episodes • Local: integrating set-top-box data and Portable People Meter panels; strong renewals • Audio: increasing panel sizes, testing wearables, analyzing data from 100M cars Marketing Effectiveness: Where Watch meets Buy • Nielsen Marketing Cloud: expanded agreements with Johnson & Johnson, Kimberly-Clark • Named a Google preferred partner for Marketing Mix Modeling WATCH: CONTINUED GROWTH AND ADOPTION
6.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 6 BUY: TWO SPEED
WORLD • U.S. remains challenging…clients reducing spend • Low single digit growth outside U.S. • Ongoing investments in measurement coverage and granularity paying off • Global footprint a key competitive advantage • Broad-based growth across our balanced portfolio of global and local clients • Linking measurement data with analytics • Addressing client needs of speed and efficiency • Connected Partner Program growing • 49 clients using at least one component of the System • Launched e-commerce solution in the U.S. • Expanding coverage in specialty, convenience, health/wellness, fresh Developed Markets: Challenging growth environment Emerging Markets: Compelling story Connected System: The future of Buy Building out coverage: Following the consumer Driving productivity and efficiency in our operations Actions: 1 2 3
7.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. JAMERE JACKSON CHIEF FINANCIAL
OFFICER
8.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 88 TOTAL NIELSEN RESULTS
– 1Q 2017 U.S. GAAP RESULTS 1Q 2017 1Q 2016 V%(a) Revenues $1,526 $1,487 2.6% Net Income (NI) $71 $100 (29.0)% GAAP NI per share (c) $0.20 $0.27 (25.9)% ($ in millions, except per share amounts) NON-GAAP RESULTS 1Q 2017 1Q 2016 V%(b) Total Revenue $1,526 $1,487 3.2% Core Revenue $1,458 $1,408 4.1% Adjusted EBITDA $422 $402 4.7% Adjusted EBITDA margin % 27.7% 27.0% 38 bps Free Cash Flow $(74) $14 U (a) Growth as reported (b) Growth in constant currency, excluding Free Cash Flow (c) Calculated using weighted average shares outstanding of 359.1 million for 1Q 2017 and 365.2 million for 1Q 2016
9.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 99 WATCH SEGMENT RESULTS ($
in millions, growth in constant currency) REVENUE PROFITABILITY 1Q DYNAMICS Total Watch Adjusted EBITDA Margin $769 $323 42.0% 1Q 17 $694 $297 42.8% 1Q 16 11.1% 8.8% (92) bps V% • Strong total revenue growth: +11.1% Audience Measurement (Video/Text): +13.3% Ex-Gracenote: +6.1% Audio: flat Marketing Effectiveness: +14.0% Other Watch/Corporate: +14.0% • Growth initiatives delivering Digital Ad Ratings adoption Continued traction with Digital Content Ratings • Adjusted EBITDA margin: ~60 bps benefit from productivity and operating leverage offset by ~150 bps drag from Gracenote acquisition mix • Investments driving solid revenue and EBITDA growth
10.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1010 BUY SEGMENT RESULTS ($
in millions, growth in constant currency) REVENUE PROFITABILITY 1Q DYNAMICS Adjusted EBITDA Margin $108 14.3% 1Q 17 $114 14.4% 1Q 16 (6.1)% (36) bps V% Total Buy $757 $793 (3.7)% • Total Buy revenue: (3.7)% Developed: (7.3)% Emerging: +9.9% Corporate: (45.7)% • Developed markets U.S. remains challenging Low single digit growth outside the U.S. • Emerging markets remain robust Strong performance from both multinational and local clients • Productivity enabling investments in coverage and the Connected System
11.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1111 FOREIGN CURRENCY IMPACT (a)
Projected impact assumes rates in effect at 4/24/17 remain in effect for the balance of 2017. Note: We report on a constant currency basis to reflect operating performance 60% 10% 3% 3% 3% 21% USD EUR CAD GBP CNY Other CURRENCY PROFILE - REVENUE PROJECTED FX IMPACT(a): REPORTED VS CONSTANT CURRENCY (60) (110) (70) 60 (40) 30 (40) 0 60 10 1Q17 2Q17E 3Q17E 4Q17E FY17E Rev (bps) EBITDA (bps)
12.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1212 2017 GUIDANCE (Revenue and
adj. EBITDA margin growth in constant currency) Total Revenue 5% - 6% Total Revenue Core 6.5% - 7.5% Total Revenue Core (ex Gracenote) 3% - 4% Adj. EBITDA margin growth Flat GAAP Net Income Per Share $1.40 - $1.46 Net Debt Leverage Ratio ~3.8x Free Cash Flow ~$900M Net book interest $365M - $375M GAAP Tax Rate 38.0% - 38.5% Restructuring $60M - $70M Cash restructuring $100M - $110M D&A $665M - $675M Est. wtd. avg. diluted shares outstanding for FY 2017 ~359M OTHER FINANCIAL METRICS
13.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. Q&A
14.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. APPENDIX
15.
Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1515 CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES Overview
of Non-GAAP Presentations We use the non-GAAP financial measures discussed below to evaluate our results of operations, financial condition, liquidity and indebtedness. We believe that the presentation of these non-GAAP measures provides useful information to investors regarding financial and business trends related to our results of operations, cash flows and indebtedness and that when this non-GAAP financial information is viewed with our GAAP financial information, investors are provided with valuable supplemental information regarding our results of operations, thereby facilitating period-to-period comparisons of our business performance and is consistent with how management evaluates the company’s operating performance and liquidity. In addition, these non- GAAP measures address questions the Company routinely receives from analysts and investors and, in order to assure that all investors have access to similar data the Company has determined that it is appropriate to make this data available to all investors. None of the non-GAAP measures presented should be considered as an alternative to net income or loss, operating income or loss, cash flows from operating activities, total indebtedness or any other measures of operating performance and financial condition, liquidity or indebtedness derived in accordance with GAAP. These non-GAAP measures have important limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as substitutes for an analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. Our use of these terms may vary from the use of similarly-titled measures by others in our industry due to the potential inconsistencies in the method of calculation and differences due to items subject to interpretation. Constant Currency Presentation We evaluate our results of operations on both an as reported and a constant currency basis. The constant currency presentation, which is a non-GAAP measure, excludes the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates. We believe providing constant currency information provides valuable supplemental information regarding our results of operations, thereby facilitating period-to-period comparisons of our business performance and is consistent with how management evaluates the company’s performance. We calculate constant currency percentages by converting our prior-period local currency financial results using the current period exchange rates and comparing these adjusted amounts to our current period reported results. No adjustment has been made to foreign currency exchange transaction gains or losses in the calculation of constant currency net income. Net Debt and Net Debt Leverage Ratio The net debt leverage ratio is defined as net debt (gross debt less cash and cash equivalents) as of the balance sheet date divided by Adjusted EBITDA for the twelve months then ended. Net debt and the net debt leverage ratio are commonly used metrics to evaluate and compare leverage between companies and are not presentations made in accordance with GAAP.
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1616 CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES Adjusted
EBITDA We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income or loss from our consolidated statements of operations before interest income and expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, restructuring charges, stock-based compensation expense and other non- operating items from our consolidated statements of operations as well as certain other items that arise outside the ordinary course of our continuing operations. We use Adjusted EBITDA to measure our performance from period to period both at the consolidated level as well as within our operating segments, to evaluate and fund incentive compensation programs and to compare our results to those of our competitors. Free Cash Flow We define free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities, plus contributions to the Nielsen Foundation, less capital expenditures, net. We believe providing free cash flow information provides valuable supplemental liquidity information regarding the cash flow that may be available for discretionary use by us in areas such as the distributions of dividends, repurchase of common stock, voluntary repayment of debt obligations or to fund our strategic initiatives, including acquisitions, if any. However, free cash flow does not represent residual cash flows entirely available for discretionary purposes; for example, the repayment of principal amounts borrowed is not deducted from free cash flow. Key limitations of the free cash flow measure include the assumptions that we will be able to refinance our existing debt when it matures and meet other cash flow obligations from financing activities, such as principal payments on debt. Free cash flow is not a presentation made in accordance with GAAP. (continued)
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1717 ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION Quarter
Ended March 31, 2017 2016 Net income $ 71 100 Interest expense, net 89 78 Provision for income taxes 43 44 Depreciation and amortization 155 147 EBITDA 358 369 Other non-operating income, net 4 2 Restructuring charges 32 10 Stock-based compensation expense 15 13 Other items(a) 13 8 Adjusted EBITDA $ 422 $ 402 ($ in millions) (a) For the three months ended March 31, 2017 and 2016, other items primarily consists of transaction-related costs and business optimization costs.
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1818 Operating Income Restructuring Charges Depreciation and Amortization Stock-Based Compensation Expense Other Items(a) Adjusted EBITDA Buy $52 $6
$51 $4 $1 $114 Watch $197 $2 $95 $3 - $297 Corporate $(25) $2 $1 $6 $7 $(9) Total $224 $10 $147 $13 $8 $402 Operating Income Restructuring Charges Depreciation and Amortization Stock-Based Compensation Expense Other Items(a) Adjusted EBITDA Buy $34 $20 $50 $4 - $108 Watch $208 $7 $104 $4 - $323 Corporate $(35) $5 $1 $7 13 $(9) Total $207 $32 $155 $15 $13 $422 ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION ($ in millions) (a) For the three months ended March 31, 2017 and 2016, other items primarily consists of transaction related costs and business optimization costs. QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2017 QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2016
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 1919 REVENUE RECONCILIATION ($ in
millions) 2017 Reported 2016 Reported % V Reported 2016 Constant Currency % V Constant Currency Developed Markets $471 $515 (8.5)% $508 (7.3)% Emerging Markets 267 243 9.9% 243 9.9% Core Buy $738 $758 (2.6)% $751 (1.7)% Corporate 19 35 (45.7)% 35 (45.7)% Buy $757 $793 (4.5)% $786 (3.7)% Video and Text $535 $472 13.3% $472 13.3% Audio 120 120 0.0% 120 0.0% Marketing Effectiveness 65 58 12.1% 57 14.0% Core Watch $720 $650 10.8% $649 10.9% Corporate/Other Watch 49 44 11.4% 43 14.0% Watch $769 $694 10.8% $692 11.1% Total Core Buy and Watch $1,458 $1,408 3.6% $1,400 4.1% Total $1,526 $1,487 2.6% $1,478 3.2% QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2017
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2020 2017 GUIDANCE NON-GAAP
RECONCILIATIONS ($ in millions) ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION 2017 Guidance Range Net income $500 - $525 Interest expense, net $365 - $375 Provision for income taxes $310 – $330 Depreciation and amortization $665 – $675 Restructuring charges $60 – $70 Stock-based compensation and other(a) $100 - $105 Adjusted EBITDA $2,030 - $2,050 FREE CASH FLOW Net cash provided by operating activities ~$1,360 Less: Capital expenditures, net ~(460) Free cash flow ~$900 NET DEBT LEVERAGE RATIO Gross Debt ~$ 8,420 Cash ~$ 680 Net Debt ~$ 7,740 Adjusted EBITDA $2,030 - $2,050 Net Debt Leverage Ratio ~3.8x (a) Other represents certain expenses that arise outside the ordinary course of our continuing operations. Such costs primarily include legal settlements, acquisition related expenses, business optimization costs and other transaction costs.
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2121 2017 GUIDANCE NON-GAAP
RECONCILIATIONS ($ in millions) 2017 Guidance Low % V Constant Currency 2017 Guidance High % V Constant Currency 2016 Constant Currency Total Revenue $6,597 5.0% $6,660 6.0% $6,283 Total Revenue Core $6,284 6.5% $6,343 7.5% $5,900 Total Revenue Core (ex. Gracenote) $6,077 3.0% $6,136 4.0% $5,900 REVENUE RECONCILIATION
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2222 FREE CASH FLOW
RECONCILIATION ($ in millions) Quarter Ended March 31, (Unaudited) 2017 2016 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 40 $ 87 Plus: Non-recurring contribution to the Nielsen Foundation — 36 Less: Capital expenditures, net (114) (109) Free cash flow $ (74) $ 14
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2323 DEBT CAPITAL TABLE($
in millions) DEBT CAPITAL TABLE 3/31/17 12/31/16 Change Loan Debt (secured) $4,059 $4,059 $- 4.50% Sr. Notes (10/1/20) 794 794 - 5.50% Sr. Notes (10/1/21) 619 618 1 5.00% Sr. Notes (4/15/22) 2,286 2,285 1 5.00% Sr. Notes (2/1/25) 495 - 495 Capital lease/misc. debt 163 170 (7) Total Debt $8,416 $7,926 $490 Less Cash 451 754 (303) Net Debt $7,965 $7,172 $793 Adjusted EBITDA(a) $1,958 $1,938 20 Net Debt Leverage Ratio (b) 4.07x 3.70x 0.37x Weighted avg. interest rate (c) 4.20% 4.04% 16bps (a) Adjusted EBITDA calculated based on last twelve months basis (b) Reflects Net Debt (gross debt less cash and cash equivalents), divided by Adjusted EBITDA calculated on last twelve months basis (c) Excludes capital leases
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. 2424 SELECTED FINANCIAL METRICS
& BALANCE SHEET ITEMS ($ in millions) FINANCIAL METRICS 1Q 17 Free Cash Flow ($74) Capital Expenditures, net $114 D&A(c) $155 Net Book Interest $89 Cash Taxes $52 Cash Restructuring $20 Wtd. avg. diluted shares 359.1 BALANCE SHEET – 3/31/17 Gross Debt $8,416 Cash $451 Net Debt $7,965 Net Debt Leverage Ratio (a) 4.07x $136 $277 $1,396 $814 $1,025 $2,322 $1,784 $- $499 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 CURRENT DEBT MATURITY PROFILE – 3/31/17 (b) (a) Reflects net debt (gross debt less cash and cash equivalents), divided by Adjusted EBITDA calculated on last twelve months basis (b) Excludes Capital Leases ($157M) and other debt ($6M) (c) Includes $54 million of depreciation and amortization associated with tangible and intangible assets acquired in business combinations
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Copyright©2017TheNielsenCompany.Confidentialandproprietary. NIELSEN INVESTOR RELATIONS ir@nielsen.com +1.646.654.4602 http://ir.nielsen.com Follow Nielsen
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