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© Wiley 2010 1
Chapter 13 – Aggregate
Planning
Operations Management
by
R. Dan Reid & Nada R. Sanders
4th Edition © Wiley 2010
© Wiley 2010 2
Learning Objectives
 Explain business planning
 Explain sales and operations planning
 Identify different aggregate planning strategies & options
for changing demand and/or capacity in aggregate plans
 Develop aggregate plans, calculate associated costs, and
evaluate the plan in terms of operations, marketing,
finance, and human resources
 Describe differences between aggregate plans for service
and manufacturing companies
© Wiley 2010 3
The Role of Aggregate
Planning
 Integral to part of the business planning
process
 Supports the strategic plan
 Also known as the production plan
 Identifies resources required for
operations for the next 6-18 months
 Details the aggregate production rate and
size of work force required
© Wiley 2010 4
The Role of the Aggregate Plan
© Wiley 2010 5
Types of Aggregate Plans
 Level Aggregate Plans
 Maintains a constant workforce
 Sets capacity to accommodate average demand
 Often used for make-to-stock products like appliances
 Disadvantage- builds inventory and/or uses back orders
 Chase Aggregate Plans
 Produces exactly what is needed each period
 Sets labor/equipment capacity to satisfy period demands
 Disadvantage- constantly changing short term capacity
© Wiley 2010 6
Level Plan Example
 Level production rate= 28,000 units/7 periods= 4000 units
 Level workforce= (4000 units x .64 std.)/160 = 16 people
© Wiley 2010 7
Chase Plan Example
 Chase hires and fires staff to exactly meet each periods
demand
 Period 1 = (500 units x .64 std.)/160 = 2 people, need to
fire 16 people
© Wiley 2010 8
Types of Aggregate Plans con’t
 Hybrid Aggregate Plans
 Uses a combination of options
 Options should be limited to facilitate execution
 May use a level workforce with overtime & temps
 May allow inventory buildup and some backordering
 May use short term sourcing
© Wiley 2010 9
Aggregate Planning Options
 Demand-based options
 Reactive: uses finished goods inventories and
backorders for fluctuations
 Proactive: shifts the demand patterns to minimize
fluctuations e.g. early bird dinner prices at a restaurant
 Capacity-based options
 Changes output capacity to meet demand
 Uses overtime, under time, subcontracting, hiring, firing,
and part-timers – cost and operational implications
© Wiley 2010 10
Evaluating the Current Situation
Important to evaluate current situation in
terms of:
 Point of Departure

Current % of normal capacity

Options are different depending on present situation
 Magnitude of change

Larger changes need more dramatic measures
 Duration of change

Is the length of time a brief seasonal change?

Is a permanent change in capacity needed?
© Wiley 2010 11
Developing the Aggregate Plan
Step 1- Choose strategy: level, chase, or Hybrid
Step 2- Determine the aggregate production rate
Step 3- Calculate the size of the workforce
Step 4- Test the plan as follows:
Calculate Inventory, expected hiring/firing, overtime needs
Calculate total cost of plan
Step 5- Evaluate performance: cost, service,
human resources, and
operations
© Wiley 2010 12
Aggregate Plans for Companies
with Tangible Products
Plan A: Level aggregate plan using
inventories and back orders
Plan B: Chase aggregate plan using
hiring and firing
© Wiley 2010 13
Problem Data for Plans A & B
Data for Sophisticated
Skates
© Wiley 2010 14
Plan A - Level Using Inventory &
Backorders
First
calculate
the level
production
rate
(14400/8=
1800)
© Wiley 2010 15
Plan A Evaluation
 Fill rate is 83.9%
 Fill rate is likely to low
 Inventory levels seem to be okay
 Human resources fires two employees
© Wiley 2010 16
Plan B – Chase Aggregate
Plan Using Hiring and Firing
Using the same
problem data
as previous
example,
develop a
chase
aggregate plan
using hires and
fires but no
overtime
production.
© Wiley 2010 17
Plan B Evaluation
 Plan B costs slightly less than the level plan.
 Hiring demands ranges from two in November to
thirty-four in February
 Utilization is highest, 70.6%, in December and
even lower in the other months
 Space and equipment are underutilized in every
other month of the plan
© Wiley 2010 18
Aggregate Plans for Service Companies
with Non-Tangible Products
 Options remain the same – level, chase,
and hybrid plans
 Overtime and under time can be used
 Staff can be hired and fired
 Inventory cannot be used to level the
service plan
 All demand must be satisfied or lose
business to a competing service provider
© Wiley 2010 19
Problem Data for Plans C, D, and E
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
A B
Cost Data
Regular time labor cost per hour $8.00
Overtime labor cost per hour $12.00
Subcontracting cost per unit (labor only) $60.00
Hiring cost per employee $250.00
Firing cost per employee $150.00
Capacity Data
Beginning workforce (employees) 60
Service standard per call (hours) 4
Regular time available per period (hours) 160
Overtime available per period (hours) 24
Demand Data (calls)
Period 1 2400
Period 2 1560
Period 3 1200
Period 4 2040
Period 5 2760
Period 6 1680
Period 7 1320
Period 8 2400
Total Number of Periods 8
© Wiley 2010 20
Plan C – Level Aggregate Plan with
No Back Orders or Tangible Product
 Staff of 69 people creates excessive UT (averages 30% UT)
 Cost per service call is $46.15 ($708,000 Divided by 15360 calls)
© Wiley 2010 21
Plan D – Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using
Initial Workforce and OT as Needed
 Costs reduced by $77K and under time to an average of
20%
 Cost per service call reduced to $41.13 (-$5.02)
© Wiley 2010 22
Plan E – Chase Aggregate Plan for
Nontangible Products Using Hiring
and Firing
 Total cost reduced by $114K over Plan F, utilization improved to
100%, and cost per service call now $33.72 (-$7.41)
 Workforce fluctuates from 30-69 people- morale problems
 Solution?? Compare smaller permanent workforce, more OT??
© Wiley 2010 23
Aggregate Planning Bottom Line
 The Aggregate plan must balance several
perspectives
 Costs are important but so are:
 Customer service
 Operational effectiveness
 Workforce morale
 A successful AP considers each of these factors
© Wiley 2010 24
Aggregate Planning within OM: How it all
fits together
 Aggregate planning determines the resources available to operations
to support the overall business plan. It is critical that accurate demand
forecasts be available (Ch 8) so that a reasonable production plan can
be developed. A company needs to determine the aggregate
production rate output required to determine the appropriate size of
the workforce.
 After these determinations have been made, the company can
calculate its inventory levels, back-order levels, capacity requirements,
and customer service levels. If the plan requires seven-day-a-week
operations, appropriate staff schedules need to be developed (Ch 15).
 The aggregate plan specifies the number of employees needed. This
allows company to determine how much equipment and workspace is
needed, as well as to provide the input needed for developing a
workplace layout (Ch 9) within the operations area. Aggregate
planning provides the resources needed by operations to achieve the
company’s strategic objective.
© Wiley 2010 25
Aggregate Planning Across
the Organization
 Aggregate planning, MPS, and rough-cut
capacity affection functional areas throughout
the organization
 Accounting is affected because aggregate plan
details the resources needed by operations
 Marketing as the aggregate plan supports the
marketing plan
 Information systems maintains the databases that
support demand forecasts and other such
information
© Wiley 2010 26
Chapter 13 Highlights
 Planning begins with the development of the
strategic business plan that provides company
direction & objectives for the next two to ten years.
 Sales and operations planning integrates plans
from the other functional areas and regularly
evaluates company performance.
 The level aggregate plan maintains the same size
workforce and produces the same output each
period. Inventories and backorders absorb
fluctuations in demand. Chase aggregate plans
change the capacity each period to match demand.
© Wiley 2010 27
Chapter 13 Highlights con’t
 Demand patterns can be smoothed through
pricing incentives, reduced prices for out-of-
season purchases, or nonprime service
times.
 The difference in aggregate planning for
companies that do not provide a tangible
product is that the option to use inventories is
not available
Chapter 13 Homework Hints
 All problems are based on The BackPack Company.
 Problem 13.1: level strategy allowing backorders. Calculate
the production rate and workforce level. Develop the plan,
calculate the costs, and evaluate the strategy.
 Problem 13.3-4: chase strategy. 3) Calculate the production
rate and workforce levels. 4) Develop the plan, calculate the
costs, and evaluate the strategy.
 Problem 13.5: chase strategy with overtime. Calculate the
production rate and workforce levels. Develop the plan,
calculate the costs, and evaluate the strategy.

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Aggregate Planning Strategies for Manufacturing Operations

  • 1. © Wiley 2010 1 Chapter 13 – Aggregate Planning Operations Management by R. Dan Reid & Nada R. Sanders 4th Edition © Wiley 2010
  • 2. © Wiley 2010 2 Learning Objectives  Explain business planning  Explain sales and operations planning  Identify different aggregate planning strategies & options for changing demand and/or capacity in aggregate plans  Develop aggregate plans, calculate associated costs, and evaluate the plan in terms of operations, marketing, finance, and human resources  Describe differences between aggregate plans for service and manufacturing companies
  • 3. © Wiley 2010 3 The Role of Aggregate Planning  Integral to part of the business planning process  Supports the strategic plan  Also known as the production plan  Identifies resources required for operations for the next 6-18 months  Details the aggregate production rate and size of work force required
  • 4. © Wiley 2010 4 The Role of the Aggregate Plan
  • 5. © Wiley 2010 5 Types of Aggregate Plans  Level Aggregate Plans  Maintains a constant workforce  Sets capacity to accommodate average demand  Often used for make-to-stock products like appliances  Disadvantage- builds inventory and/or uses back orders  Chase Aggregate Plans  Produces exactly what is needed each period  Sets labor/equipment capacity to satisfy period demands  Disadvantage- constantly changing short term capacity
  • 6. © Wiley 2010 6 Level Plan Example  Level production rate= 28,000 units/7 periods= 4000 units  Level workforce= (4000 units x .64 std.)/160 = 16 people
  • 7. © Wiley 2010 7 Chase Plan Example  Chase hires and fires staff to exactly meet each periods demand  Period 1 = (500 units x .64 std.)/160 = 2 people, need to fire 16 people
  • 8. © Wiley 2010 8 Types of Aggregate Plans con’t  Hybrid Aggregate Plans  Uses a combination of options  Options should be limited to facilitate execution  May use a level workforce with overtime & temps  May allow inventory buildup and some backordering  May use short term sourcing
  • 9. © Wiley 2010 9 Aggregate Planning Options  Demand-based options  Reactive: uses finished goods inventories and backorders for fluctuations  Proactive: shifts the demand patterns to minimize fluctuations e.g. early bird dinner prices at a restaurant  Capacity-based options  Changes output capacity to meet demand  Uses overtime, under time, subcontracting, hiring, firing, and part-timers – cost and operational implications
  • 10. © Wiley 2010 10 Evaluating the Current Situation Important to evaluate current situation in terms of:  Point of Departure  Current % of normal capacity  Options are different depending on present situation  Magnitude of change  Larger changes need more dramatic measures  Duration of change  Is the length of time a brief seasonal change?  Is a permanent change in capacity needed?
  • 11. © Wiley 2010 11 Developing the Aggregate Plan Step 1- Choose strategy: level, chase, or Hybrid Step 2- Determine the aggregate production rate Step 3- Calculate the size of the workforce Step 4- Test the plan as follows: Calculate Inventory, expected hiring/firing, overtime needs Calculate total cost of plan Step 5- Evaluate performance: cost, service, human resources, and operations
  • 12. © Wiley 2010 12 Aggregate Plans for Companies with Tangible Products Plan A: Level aggregate plan using inventories and back orders Plan B: Chase aggregate plan using hiring and firing
  • 13. © Wiley 2010 13 Problem Data for Plans A & B Data for Sophisticated Skates
  • 14. © Wiley 2010 14 Plan A - Level Using Inventory & Backorders First calculate the level production rate (14400/8= 1800)
  • 15. © Wiley 2010 15 Plan A Evaluation  Fill rate is 83.9%  Fill rate is likely to low  Inventory levels seem to be okay  Human resources fires two employees
  • 16. © Wiley 2010 16 Plan B – Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing Using the same problem data as previous example, develop a chase aggregate plan using hires and fires but no overtime production.
  • 17. © Wiley 2010 17 Plan B Evaluation  Plan B costs slightly less than the level plan.  Hiring demands ranges from two in November to thirty-four in February  Utilization is highest, 70.6%, in December and even lower in the other months  Space and equipment are underutilized in every other month of the plan
  • 18. © Wiley 2010 18 Aggregate Plans for Service Companies with Non-Tangible Products  Options remain the same – level, chase, and hybrid plans  Overtime and under time can be used  Staff can be hired and fired  Inventory cannot be used to level the service plan  All demand must be satisfied or lose business to a competing service provider
  • 19. © Wiley 2010 19 Problem Data for Plans C, D, and E 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 A B Cost Data Regular time labor cost per hour $8.00 Overtime labor cost per hour $12.00 Subcontracting cost per unit (labor only) $60.00 Hiring cost per employee $250.00 Firing cost per employee $150.00 Capacity Data Beginning workforce (employees) 60 Service standard per call (hours) 4 Regular time available per period (hours) 160 Overtime available per period (hours) 24 Demand Data (calls) Period 1 2400 Period 2 1560 Period 3 1200 Period 4 2040 Period 5 2760 Period 6 1680 Period 7 1320 Period 8 2400 Total Number of Periods 8
  • 20. © Wiley 2010 20 Plan C – Level Aggregate Plan with No Back Orders or Tangible Product  Staff of 69 people creates excessive UT (averages 30% UT)  Cost per service call is $46.15 ($708,000 Divided by 15360 calls)
  • 21. © Wiley 2010 21 Plan D – Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using Initial Workforce and OT as Needed  Costs reduced by $77K and under time to an average of 20%  Cost per service call reduced to $41.13 (-$5.02)
  • 22. © Wiley 2010 22 Plan E – Chase Aggregate Plan for Nontangible Products Using Hiring and Firing  Total cost reduced by $114K over Plan F, utilization improved to 100%, and cost per service call now $33.72 (-$7.41)  Workforce fluctuates from 30-69 people- morale problems  Solution?? Compare smaller permanent workforce, more OT??
  • 23. © Wiley 2010 23 Aggregate Planning Bottom Line  The Aggregate plan must balance several perspectives  Costs are important but so are:  Customer service  Operational effectiveness  Workforce morale  A successful AP considers each of these factors
  • 24. © Wiley 2010 24 Aggregate Planning within OM: How it all fits together  Aggregate planning determines the resources available to operations to support the overall business plan. It is critical that accurate demand forecasts be available (Ch 8) so that a reasonable production plan can be developed. A company needs to determine the aggregate production rate output required to determine the appropriate size of the workforce.  After these determinations have been made, the company can calculate its inventory levels, back-order levels, capacity requirements, and customer service levels. If the plan requires seven-day-a-week operations, appropriate staff schedules need to be developed (Ch 15).  The aggregate plan specifies the number of employees needed. This allows company to determine how much equipment and workspace is needed, as well as to provide the input needed for developing a workplace layout (Ch 9) within the operations area. Aggregate planning provides the resources needed by operations to achieve the company’s strategic objective.
  • 25. © Wiley 2010 25 Aggregate Planning Across the Organization  Aggregate planning, MPS, and rough-cut capacity affection functional areas throughout the organization  Accounting is affected because aggregate plan details the resources needed by operations  Marketing as the aggregate plan supports the marketing plan  Information systems maintains the databases that support demand forecasts and other such information
  • 26. © Wiley 2010 26 Chapter 13 Highlights  Planning begins with the development of the strategic business plan that provides company direction & objectives for the next two to ten years.  Sales and operations planning integrates plans from the other functional areas and regularly evaluates company performance.  The level aggregate plan maintains the same size workforce and produces the same output each period. Inventories and backorders absorb fluctuations in demand. Chase aggregate plans change the capacity each period to match demand.
  • 27. © Wiley 2010 27 Chapter 13 Highlights con’t  Demand patterns can be smoothed through pricing incentives, reduced prices for out-of- season purchases, or nonprime service times.  The difference in aggregate planning for companies that do not provide a tangible product is that the option to use inventories is not available
  • 28. Chapter 13 Homework Hints  All problems are based on The BackPack Company.  Problem 13.1: level strategy allowing backorders. Calculate the production rate and workforce level. Develop the plan, calculate the costs, and evaluate the strategy.  Problem 13.3-4: chase strategy. 3) Calculate the production rate and workforce levels. 4) Develop the plan, calculate the costs, and evaluate the strategy.  Problem 13.5: chase strategy with overtime. Calculate the production rate and workforce levels. Develop the plan, calculate the costs, and evaluate the strategy.