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www.cut-e.com
From HR Metrics to Predictive Analytics
Craig Haas, PhD
cut-e USA Inc.
345 Park Avenue, 17th Floor
c/o Enterprise Ireland
NY, NY 10154
Mobile: +1-347-210-3811
Craig.Haas@cut-e.com
www.cut-e.com
www.cut-e.com
Agenda
cut-e: Company Overview
What is Big Data
What are HR Metrics
What are Predictive Analytics
Case Study
Action Steps
Questions & Answers
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
cut-e: global talent assessment
30+ Offices Worldwide
Assessments in 40+ Languages
12 Million Candidates per year
Assessments in 70+ Countries
Talent Assessment Talent Development Talent Management Talent Advisory
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
What is Big Data?
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
What is Big Data?
Structured Data Unstructured Data
Massive volumes of structured and/or unstructured data that we
collect through different channels and forms.
www.cut-e.com
Sources of Big Data in General
Also:
- Emails/texts
- Credit card
records
- CCTV
- Public transport
In HR, there has
been an explosion
of centralized
Talent Data now
available thanks to
HR Systems (ATS,
HRIS, LMS, etc.)
www.cut-e.com
What is HR Metrics?
Measures used to monitor HR activities and performance
www.cut-e.com
Does your HR Dept. use metrics?
HR Metrics
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Does your organization's HR department use metrics to
keep track of how HR contributes to business objectives?
39%
53%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Yes No Not sure
SHRM.org Survey of 357 Randomly Selected HR Pros
SHRM Survey Says…
www.cut-e.com
Myths (Excuses) Against Metrics
“You can’t measure what we do…”
Lack of clear purpose for measuring
Lack of cooperation between departments
Difficulty extracting data from multiple systems
Difficulty understanding and analyzing metrics
Numbers used to draw inaccurate conclusions
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Importance of HR Metrics
Feedback is required for continuous learning
Accountability ‘What gets measured gets done’
Quantify the value of HR
Guide workforce strategies
Maximize HR’s return on investments
Show what HR contributes to business results
Make the business case for HR’s objectives
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Question
What Metrics do you track?
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Does your organization use metrics/measurements to
keep track of the following? (Check all that apply.)
6%
13%
24%
29%
29%
29%
36%
45%
50%
61%
63%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Other
Training return on investment
Turnover costs
Time to fill
Promotions
Cost per hire
Retention rate
Absenteeism
Turnover rate
Cost of benefits
Health care costs per employee
SHRM.org Survey of 357 Randomly Selected HR Pros
SHRM Survey Says…
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Typical Approach w/ Metrics
Choose a
core HR
Processes
to Track
Monitor with
Metrics
Show HR’s
Performance
Is this a good approach? Why or why not?
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Formula:
The number of business days to fill a vacant
position. This is counted from the day the
position becomes vacant to the date a new
employee starts in the job.
Purpose:
Time to Hire shows length of time it takes to fill
vacant positions.
This metric is an indicator of organization's ability
to recruit and hire new employees.
Time to Fill?
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Pros – What are some benefits of it?
Cons - What are some problems with it?
Examples
Any one have a Pro/Con example?
Here are two examples
Time to Fill?
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
What metrics should you track?
Question
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Levels of HR Metrics
HR Metric
Levels
Recruiting Metric Examples
Impact Date Needed - Date opening must be filled to
prevent loss of revenue generation
Results – Potential Gain/Loss in revenue if
opening is/isn’t filled by date needed
Effectiveness
Quality of Hire Rating (90-days later)
Efficiency Time to fill – # of days from posting of job
until hired person starts
Activities Number of people hired last quarter
www.cut-e.com
Planning for More of the Same
www.cut-e.com
Predictive Analytics uses statistics to help firms
address problems and make talent decisions.
While ~50% of companies are using Online
Assessments…just 14% of HR organizations in
the U.S are using predictive analytics to make
talent decisions.*
Most HR organizations have been slow to adopt
analytics – too slow, in fact, in the minds of
many impatient business leaders.
* Bersin by Deloitte’s study (2013)
What Are Predictive Analytics
www.cut-e.com
Can be used to Help Your Internal
clients’ solve critical problems and
answer burning questions
It is not a complex as it seems…
Predictive Analytics
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
what happens when we
look at a metric for one
thousand candidates?
22
Big Data Meets
Predictive Analytics
www.cut-e.com
23
23
Predictive Analytics
www.cut-e.com
24
Bell Curve
Average
www.cut-e.com
Correlations (r)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
weight
height
Correlations(r) from +1.0 to -1.0
r = + 0.44
n = 16,948
US pop.
www.cut-e.com
Negative Correlation
Example Use of Umbrellas
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Correlations of common
medical procedures & outcomes
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Prediction by different
selection methods
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Start Small…Baby Steps
Predictive Analytics
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Analyzing Data
Microsoft Excel
Formulas
Sum
Average & Median
Time Calculations
Correlations
Regressions
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Simple Predictive Analytics
with MS Excel
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Select a Column or Row: Left click on very top of
column (or far left end of row) and it will
highlight the whole column (or row).
Average Formula: = average(A1, A2, A3)
Correlation Formula: =CORREL(array1, array2)
Note: an Array is any column (or a row) you select.
Formulas can be copied/pasted but you want to use
‘$’ to lock down certain columns.
Excel Tips
www.cut-e.com
How To Use Excel
Practice Data Set
www.cut-e.com
Online Application &
Qualifying Q’s (via ATS)
Online Assessments
(via ATS)
Phone/Video
Interview
Interviews
& ACs
Hire
Predictive Analytics to
Maximize ROI of Recruiting
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Simple Reporting
Microsoft Excel (or equivalent)
Reports
 Tables
 Bar Graphs
 Pie Charts
 Scatter Plots
Warning:
Do not show your internal client a big
Excel file spread sheet with lots of data!
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Execs Like Dashboards !
If you can visually present in an intuitive way the
impact that multiple variables have on a key
outcome, you will more easily make your point to
the Executive Leadership Team.
Remember they are accustom to looking at
Dashboards for the business.
MS Office or equivalent are fine…..there are also
some really “Geeky Cool” Data Visualization tools
available these days.
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Example of Using
MS Office for Dashboard:
A Business Case
on Selecting Salespeople
EXCEL & PPT
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
New Sales Goal Achievement
An Excel Bar Graph
Percentage of New Sales Target Achievement
High match score candidates achieved 98% of their sales target
Moderate match score candidates achieved 63% of their sales target
Low match score candidates only achieved 32% of their sales target
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
High Match Score Group Moderate Match Score
Group
Low Match Score Group
(averaged over 6 months)
High Match Moderate Match Low Match
www.cut-e.com
Closed Sales From Referrals
An Excel Pie Chart
Number of New Sales from Salesperson’s Registered Referral
Sources
High match score candidates closed 63% of all the referrals sales
Moderate match score candidates closed 32% of all the referral sales
Low match score candidates only closed 5% of all the referral sales
5%
32%
63%
Low Match Score Group
Moderate Match Score Group
High Match Score Group
www.cut-e.com
Difference in Tenure
PPT Special Font for Emphasis
The average tenure for both High
and Moderate match score
candidates was at least
that of the Low match score
candidates#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Sunburst of Engagement Scores by Team Hierarchy
Source: OrgVue
Dashboards – Cool Software
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Start Small…Baby Steps
Predictive Analytics
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Get Started Now – Easy Steps
Find a leader with a problem
Persuade him/her to let you use analytics to help solve it
Figure out what metrics/outcomes may be relevant
predictors & then collect the data
Create a combined score (regression formula) that
predicts the desired outcome
Initiate the intervention based on what you have learned
and measure change of performance over time
www.cut-e.com
HR Analytics Team Wanted
 Find a business leader who is willing to partner on an
analytics project to solve a problem (e.g. reducing turnover
or accidents)
 Create a project team (e.g. borrow talent from other
departments, leverage the local Univ. or a supplier)
 Get a small win and then promote its success
 Repeat above process a few times to collect some small
wins and build credibility with business leaders
www.cut-e.com
Ask for resources to build an analytics team
Process must be owned by Executives,
Managers, HR, Finance, and IT
Review org strategy, objectives and then
discuss the leadership’s burning questions
about talent?
Select a problem or question to address
Figure out what data be used to predict it
Once You’ve Proven It Works
#HireToWin
www.cut-e.com
Questions? Let’s Chat…
Feel free to contact me to chat
about HR Metrics, Predictive
Analytics, etc.
I love networking with other HR
Pros and talking about this.
Let’s connect via LinkedIn
www.linkedin.com/in/craighaas
Craig Haas, PhD
cut-e USA Inc.
Mobile: +1-347-210-3811
Craig.Haas@cut-e.com
www.cut-e.com

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The Future of HR: From Metrics to Analytics [Webcast]

  • 1. www.cut-e.com From HR Metrics to Predictive Analytics Craig Haas, PhD cut-e USA Inc. 345 Park Avenue, 17th Floor c/o Enterprise Ireland NY, NY 10154 Mobile: +1-347-210-3811 Craig.Haas@cut-e.com www.cut-e.com
  • 2. www.cut-e.com Agenda cut-e: Company Overview What is Big Data What are HR Metrics What are Predictive Analytics Case Study Action Steps Questions & Answers #HireToWin
  • 3. www.cut-e.com cut-e: global talent assessment 30+ Offices Worldwide Assessments in 40+ Languages 12 Million Candidates per year Assessments in 70+ Countries Talent Assessment Talent Development Talent Management Talent Advisory #HireToWin
  • 4. www.cut-e.com What is Big Data? #HireToWin
  • 5. www.cut-e.com What is Big Data? Structured Data Unstructured Data Massive volumes of structured and/or unstructured data that we collect through different channels and forms.
  • 6. www.cut-e.com Sources of Big Data in General Also: - Emails/texts - Credit card records - CCTV - Public transport In HR, there has been an explosion of centralized Talent Data now available thanks to HR Systems (ATS, HRIS, LMS, etc.)
  • 7. www.cut-e.com What is HR Metrics? Measures used to monitor HR activities and performance
  • 8. www.cut-e.com Does your HR Dept. use metrics? HR Metrics #HireToWin
  • 9. www.cut-e.com Does your organization's HR department use metrics to keep track of how HR contributes to business objectives? 39% 53% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Yes No Not sure SHRM.org Survey of 357 Randomly Selected HR Pros SHRM Survey Says…
  • 10. www.cut-e.com Myths (Excuses) Against Metrics “You can’t measure what we do…” Lack of clear purpose for measuring Lack of cooperation between departments Difficulty extracting data from multiple systems Difficulty understanding and analyzing metrics Numbers used to draw inaccurate conclusions #HireToWin
  • 11. www.cut-e.com Importance of HR Metrics Feedback is required for continuous learning Accountability ‘What gets measured gets done’ Quantify the value of HR Guide workforce strategies Maximize HR’s return on investments Show what HR contributes to business results Make the business case for HR’s objectives #HireToWin
  • 12. www.cut-e.com Question What Metrics do you track? #HireToWin
  • 13. www.cut-e.com Does your organization use metrics/measurements to keep track of the following? (Check all that apply.) 6% 13% 24% 29% 29% 29% 36% 45% 50% 61% 63% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Other Training return on investment Turnover costs Time to fill Promotions Cost per hire Retention rate Absenteeism Turnover rate Cost of benefits Health care costs per employee SHRM.org Survey of 357 Randomly Selected HR Pros SHRM Survey Says… #HireToWin
  • 14. www.cut-e.com Typical Approach w/ Metrics Choose a core HR Processes to Track Monitor with Metrics Show HR’s Performance Is this a good approach? Why or why not? #HireToWin
  • 15. www.cut-e.com Formula: The number of business days to fill a vacant position. This is counted from the day the position becomes vacant to the date a new employee starts in the job. Purpose: Time to Hire shows length of time it takes to fill vacant positions. This metric is an indicator of organization's ability to recruit and hire new employees. Time to Fill? #HireToWin
  • 16. www.cut-e.com Pros – What are some benefits of it? Cons - What are some problems with it? Examples Any one have a Pro/Con example? Here are two examples Time to Fill? #HireToWin
  • 17. www.cut-e.com What metrics should you track? Question #HireToWin
  • 18. www.cut-e.com Levels of HR Metrics HR Metric Levels Recruiting Metric Examples Impact Date Needed - Date opening must be filled to prevent loss of revenue generation Results – Potential Gain/Loss in revenue if opening is/isn’t filled by date needed Effectiveness Quality of Hire Rating (90-days later) Efficiency Time to fill – # of days from posting of job until hired person starts Activities Number of people hired last quarter
  • 20. www.cut-e.com Predictive Analytics uses statistics to help firms address problems and make talent decisions. While ~50% of companies are using Online Assessments…just 14% of HR organizations in the U.S are using predictive analytics to make talent decisions.* Most HR organizations have been slow to adopt analytics – too slow, in fact, in the minds of many impatient business leaders. * Bersin by Deloitte’s study (2013) What Are Predictive Analytics
  • 21. www.cut-e.com Can be used to Help Your Internal clients’ solve critical problems and answer burning questions It is not a complex as it seems… Predictive Analytics #HireToWin
  • 22. www.cut-e.com what happens when we look at a metric for one thousand candidates? 22 Big Data Meets Predictive Analytics
  • 25. www.cut-e.com Correlations (r) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 weight height Correlations(r) from +1.0 to -1.0 r = + 0.44 n = 16,948 US pop.
  • 27. www.cut-e.com Correlations of common medical procedures & outcomes #HireToWin
  • 30. www.cut-e.com Analyzing Data Microsoft Excel Formulas Sum Average & Median Time Calculations Correlations Regressions #HireToWin
  • 32. www.cut-e.com Select a Column or Row: Left click on very top of column (or far left end of row) and it will highlight the whole column (or row). Average Formula: = average(A1, A2, A3) Correlation Formula: =CORREL(array1, array2) Note: an Array is any column (or a row) you select. Formulas can be copied/pasted but you want to use ‘$’ to lock down certain columns. Excel Tips
  • 33. www.cut-e.com How To Use Excel Practice Data Set
  • 34. www.cut-e.com Online Application & Qualifying Q’s (via ATS) Online Assessments (via ATS) Phone/Video Interview Interviews & ACs Hire Predictive Analytics to Maximize ROI of Recruiting #HireToWin
  • 35. www.cut-e.com Simple Reporting Microsoft Excel (or equivalent) Reports  Tables  Bar Graphs  Pie Charts  Scatter Plots Warning: Do not show your internal client a big Excel file spread sheet with lots of data! #HireToWin
  • 36. www.cut-e.com Execs Like Dashboards ! If you can visually present in an intuitive way the impact that multiple variables have on a key outcome, you will more easily make your point to the Executive Leadership Team. Remember they are accustom to looking at Dashboards for the business. MS Office or equivalent are fine…..there are also some really “Geeky Cool” Data Visualization tools available these days. #HireToWin
  • 37. www.cut-e.com Example of Using MS Office for Dashboard: A Business Case on Selecting Salespeople EXCEL & PPT #HireToWin
  • 38. www.cut-e.com New Sales Goal Achievement An Excel Bar Graph Percentage of New Sales Target Achievement High match score candidates achieved 98% of their sales target Moderate match score candidates achieved 63% of their sales target Low match score candidates only achieved 32% of their sales target 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% High Match Score Group Moderate Match Score Group Low Match Score Group (averaged over 6 months) High Match Moderate Match Low Match
  • 39. www.cut-e.com Closed Sales From Referrals An Excel Pie Chart Number of New Sales from Salesperson’s Registered Referral Sources High match score candidates closed 63% of all the referrals sales Moderate match score candidates closed 32% of all the referral sales Low match score candidates only closed 5% of all the referral sales 5% 32% 63% Low Match Score Group Moderate Match Score Group High Match Score Group
  • 40. www.cut-e.com Difference in Tenure PPT Special Font for Emphasis The average tenure for both High and Moderate match score candidates was at least that of the Low match score candidates#HireToWin
  • 41. www.cut-e.com Sunburst of Engagement Scores by Team Hierarchy Source: OrgVue Dashboards – Cool Software #HireToWin
  • 43. www.cut-e.com Get Started Now – Easy Steps Find a leader with a problem Persuade him/her to let you use analytics to help solve it Figure out what metrics/outcomes may be relevant predictors & then collect the data Create a combined score (regression formula) that predicts the desired outcome Initiate the intervention based on what you have learned and measure change of performance over time
  • 44. www.cut-e.com HR Analytics Team Wanted  Find a business leader who is willing to partner on an analytics project to solve a problem (e.g. reducing turnover or accidents)  Create a project team (e.g. borrow talent from other departments, leverage the local Univ. or a supplier)  Get a small win and then promote its success  Repeat above process a few times to collect some small wins and build credibility with business leaders
  • 45. www.cut-e.com Ask for resources to build an analytics team Process must be owned by Executives, Managers, HR, Finance, and IT Review org strategy, objectives and then discuss the leadership’s burning questions about talent? Select a problem or question to address Figure out what data be used to predict it Once You’ve Proven It Works #HireToWin
  • 46. www.cut-e.com Questions? Let’s Chat… Feel free to contact me to chat about HR Metrics, Predictive Analytics, etc. I love networking with other HR Pros and talking about this. Let’s connect via LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/in/craighaas Craig Haas, PhD cut-e USA Inc. Mobile: +1-347-210-3811 Craig.Haas@cut-e.com www.cut-e.com