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impact of corona on aging population around the world
1. Devi Ahilya Vishwavidyalaya
TOPIC
IN THE PRESENT SCENARIO, PANDEMIC LIKE CORONA HAS AFFECTED THE HUMAN RESOURCE TO THE LARGER
EXTENT. IN THIS CONTEXT DISCUSS THE IMPACT ON THE AGEING POPULATION AROUND THE WORLD..
SUBMITTED TO = SUVI JAIN MAM
SUBMITTED BY = LAVINA TEWANI
M.A ECONOMICS
DEMOGRAPHY
2. INDEX
ITEMS SLIDE NO.
ABOUT :- COVID -19 3
PREVENTIONS (BECAUSE PREVENSION IS BETTER THAN CURE ) 4
CURE 5
EFFECTS OF COVID -19 GLOBALLY 6
STATISTICS
IMPACT OF COVID ON POPULATION AGING
IMPACT OF POPULATION AGING GLOBALLY
3. ABOUT COVID -19
ļµ is an infectious disease caused by severe
acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus
2 (SARS-CoV-2).
ļµ first identified in December 2019
ļµ in Wuhan, the capital of
China's Hubei province
ļµ As of 21 April 2020, more than 2.53 million
cases have been reported across 185 countries
and territories, resulting in more than 171,000
deaths. More than 665,000 people have
recovered.
4. SPREAD
ļµ The WHO and the U.S. Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) say
ļµ primarily spread during close contact and
by small droplets produced when people
cough, sneeze or talk; with close contact
being within approximately 1ā3 m (3ā
10 ft).Both sputum and saliva can carry
large viral loads.
ļµ It may also spread when one touches a
contaminated surface, known
as fomite transmission
ļµ The virus survives for hours to days on
surfaces.
PREVENTIONS
ļµ Practicing good respiratory hygiene and
avoiding touching the eyes, nose or mouth
with unwashed hands.
ļµ The CDC recommends covering the mouth
and nose with a tissue when coughing or
sneezing and recommends using the inside of
the elbow if no tissue is available.
ļµ Proper hand hygiene after any cough or
sneeze is encouraged.
ļµ staying at home, avoiding crowded places,
washing hands with soap and water often and
for at least 20 seconds .
ļµ There is no medication known to be effective
at preventing COVID-19.
ļµ It can only be sustained .
5. CURE
ļµ As a vaccine is not expected until 2021 at the earliest, a key part of managing COVID-19 is
trying to decrease the epidemic peak, known as "flattening the curve".
ļµ This is done by slowing the infection rate to decrease the risk of health services being
overwhelmed, allowing for better treatment of current cases and delaying additional cases
until effective treatments or a vaccine become available.
ļµ On 16 March 2020, the first clinical trial of a vaccine started with four volunteers in Seattle.
The vaccine contains a harmless genetic code copied from the virus that causes the
disease.[306]
Build a
whole virus
vaccine
ā¢ The use of such a virus,
be it inactive or dead,
aims to elicit a prompt
immune response of
the human body to a
new infection with
COVID-19
subunit
vaccines
ā¢aims to create a vaccine
that sensitizes the
immune system to certain
subunits of the virus
nucleic
acid
vaccines
ā¢ DNA or RNA vaccines,
a novel technique for
creating a vaccination
6. Effect of covid globally
1. Deep implications for the worldās technology supply chain.
2. Human cost of life
3. Each scenario is based on varying assumptions and severity of the impact to business for technology suppliers.
4. Massive slowing of the supply chain
5. Uncertainty in the stock market;
6. Falling business confidence,
7. And growing panic among the population,
8. It will also lead to scarcity of resources in future resources like Agri products or may be lack of labor (due to deaths)
9. Lack of investment in future (i.e. after lockdown easing)
10. It is also increases governments expenditure on health care services which leads to compromise in other sectors
leads to lowering GDP .
7. Statistics
ļµ Anybody can get sick in this pandemic. But different people have different
risks of getting severe symptoms that require hospitalization or intensive care
ā and the chances of dying from Covid-19 vary widely across age groups.
ļµ The conventional wisdom says kids and young people may be fine even if
they get infected, with the risk of a case being more severe increasing with
age. Itās the older folks, we need to worry about, this thinking says, given
death rates reach 20 percent or more among people 80 and older
ļµ be clear, nobody should feel invulnerable to the coronavirus. Young people
are going to contract the disease, a not-insignificant percentage of them are
going to get very sick, and a smaller number will die. The rates of severe and
deadly cases might not be nearly as high as the older generations that we are
worried about, but the data already show that age alone does not make you
invincible.
8. Kids under 10 years old
Infants appear more vulnerable than toddlers and elementary school kids. Overall, though, only a
small number of children under 10 years old are requiring hospitalization because of covid-19 and,
as of march 21, nobody in this age group has died.
Across Italy, south Korea, and china, there have so far been no reported fatalities among children
under 10 years old
Age groups divided int0 6 category for this
ā¢ kids under 10 years old
ā¢ Tweens and teens (10 to 19 years old)
ā¢ Young adults (20 to 29 years old)
ā¢ Adults up to middle age (30 to 49 years old)
ā¢ People nearing retirement age (50 to 69 years old)
ā¢ Seniors (70 years old and older)
hospitali
sation
26%
icu
1%no
hospitali
saton
73%
spain
So far, the data does bear out the idea that kids are not uniquely at risk of covid-19, which is both surprising (because they usually
are more vulnerable to the flu) and a relief.
China found that children of all ages were vulnerable to Covid-19, though the vast majority experienced mild symptoms, and some
experienced none at all
Bottom line: Infants appear more vulnerable than toddlers and elementary school kids. Overall, though, only a small number of
children under 10 years old are requiring hospitalization because of Covid-19 and, as of March 21, nobody in this age group has
died.
9. Tweens and teens (10 to 19 years old)
ā¢ Italy and south Korea have reported no fatalities for this group; china
reports that 0.2 percent of cases for these young people end in
death.
ā¢ In the us, there had been no ICU admittances or deaths reported
among people under 20 as of late last week; only a small percentage
(1.6 percent) had been hospitalized.
ā¢ UNDERLYING MEDICAL CONDITIONS ADD TO A PERSONāS
VULNERABILITY.
ā¢ Bottom line: older kids and teenagers may be more resilient than
their younger peers in some ways (lower hospitalization and ICU
rates in Spain, the only country we have data to separate the 0-9 and
10-19 cohorts), but there is still a small risk of serious complications
or death.
hospitalizā¦
ICU
0%
DEATH
0%
QUARINTINEā¦
spain
10. Young adults (20 to 29 years old)
ā¢ Sample size was 1,285 cases (a much bigger sample size than we have
for children), non hospitalizes were quarantined
ā¢ Italy and South Korea have reported no fatalities for this group; China
reports that 0.2 percent of cases for these young people end in death.
ā¢ The CDC covers a huge 20-44 age range in its data, but hereās what we
know about that entire group: 14.3 percent hospitalized, 2 percent in
the ICU, and 0.1 percent fatality rate.
ā¢ Bottom line: We are seeing a higher hospitalization rate among young
adults compared to the teens directly behind them in age, and
comparatively more of them wind up in the ICU. Fatality rates are still
low, but deaths do happen. The trends that will carry through the rest
of this article ā the older you get, the higher the risk ā are starting to
show up.
hospitalize
d
93%
ICU
4%
death
2%
not
hospitalized
1%
Spain
hospitalized
ICU
death
not hospitalized
11. Adults up to middle age (30 to 49
years old) hospitalizedā¦
ICU
1%
Death
0%
not hospitalized
79%
spain
in Spain, out of 5,127 cases
Italy (0.3 percent death rate), China (0.2 percent), and South Korea
(0.1 percent) have reported deaths in this age range.
To prevent these numbers from becoming too abstract, the story of
Jeffrey Ghazarian is a sad warning for this population.
Bottom line: For this demographic, a significant number of people
are being hospitalized, upward of one in five cases. And those final
numbers from the CDC are a good example of how risk can vary
within these age groups: Odds of hospitalization, intensive care,
and death seem to increase from oneās early 40s to late 40s. Weāve
seen the same trend in Spain: The rates of hospitalization jumped
from 17 percent for ages 30 to 39 to 23 percent for ages 40 to 49.
12. People nearing retirement age (50 to 69
years old)
ā¢ In Spain, out of 6,045
ā¢ Italy, china, and south Korea have reported fatality rates from 0.4 percent
up to 3.6 percent for people in this group.
ā¢ For folks over 50, the risks steadily grow, both due to their age and because
they are more likely to have a preexisting medical condition that
exacerbates their risk. Almost half of Americans ages 55 to 64 have at least
one preexisting condition, according to the kaiser family foundation.
HOSPITALIZEā¦
ICU
4%
DIED
1%
Quarintin
ed
59%
SPAIN
ā¢ Among the 105 patients who had died in Italy as of march 4, two-thirds had three or more preexisting
conditions. The most common was hypertension, followed by ischemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus.
These chronic illnesses can leave organs degraded and more vulnerable to infection. Additionally, the
treatments for these conditions can suppress the immune system, leaving the body susceptible to pathogens.
Bottom line: All of these folks are in the high-risk category. A substantial minority are being hospitalized, and a
handful of people out of every 100 have died. The dangers increase if they have heart or lung problems, or if
they have diabetes or a cancer diagnosis.
13. MIX DATA
age 20 - 74
hospitalize
d
14%
ICU
2%
DEATH
0%
NOT
HOSPITALI
ZED
84%
by cdc age group 20-44
Hospitalizedā¦
ICU
5%
DIED
1%Quarantinedā¦
Data by CDC Age 45-54
hospitalizeā¦ icu
5%
diedā¦
quarantinedā¦
data by CDC age 55-64
hospital
ized
28%
ICU
8%
DEATH
3%
Quaran
tined
61%
Data by CDC age 65-74
14. Seniors (70 years old and older)
ļµ In spain, out of 6,152 cases
ļµ Italy, china, and south Korea have reported fatality rates from 6.2 percent
up to 20.2 percent for people in this age range.
ļµ One note: the ICU stays could be lower for the oldest people if the disease
progresses so quickly that they donāt even have an opportunity for
intensive care.
ļµ Bottom line: there is no need to belabor the point, as i think one thing
most people know about covid-19 is it hurts older people the most. The
data bears this out: people in this age group are the most likely to be
hospitalized and to ultimately die during this pandemic.
hospitalizedā¦
ICU
3%
DIED
12%
Quarintin
ed
30%
spain
30.5 31.3
10.5
6.34.3
10.4
age 75-84 age 85 and above
DATA by CDC
hospitalization ICU DEATH
15. Deaths reasons
ļµ The longer we live, the more likely our cells are to replicate in dangerous ways, the more damage they
accumulate, and the more likely our organs are to stop functioning normally. This puts us at a
heightened risk of chronic health conditions, like cancer or diabetes. Along with already weakened
immune systems, these underlying diseases can make it harder for the body to ward off infections.
The takeaway: itās not just age alone that endangers people; itās being older with one or more chronic
diseases.
ļµ The basic reasons of deaths were age i.e.. 60+ or chronic disease serious illness or unawareness of
disease (covid)
ā¢ For the rest of us, the risk is less severe but far from zero, and every person should be mindful of how
their current health might make them more susceptible. And all of us, no matter our age or health
status, should do our part to protect the most vulnerable through social distancing.