The document discusses the reasons why the bailout of AIG was necessary. It summarizes that:
1) Allowing AIG to fail could have led to numerous risks, like insurance policyholders losing coverage and bondholders losing up to $400 billion due to credit default swap failures.
2) This could have tightened credit markets and deepened the recession, potentially leading to a second Great Depression.
3) While unpopular with taxpayers, the benefits of preventing a systemic financial crisis outweighed the costs of the bailout.
1. Why the Bailout of AIG
Necesary
Susan Matthews
Mark Contreras
Sean Foglia
Rick Ramirez
2. AIG Bailout economic reasons
• The AIG Bailout may not sit well with
taxpayers but the benefits out way the
costs
3. AIG will be able to pay off the
extended loans to tax payers
• AIG reduced loan amount from 68 to 51
billion by selling assets
• Nan Shan Life Insurance Co. in Taiwan =
2.15 billion (yesterday)
4. AIG and other companies that are
Nationalized will be forced to restructure.
• Restructuring will reduce systemic risk
• Taxpayers will not sell off company shares
in crisis
• Taxpayers are starting to sell off more
shares in the company
• Restructuring forces AIG to scale down
5. The Potential risks that surround the
insolvency of one of the largest insurance
companies in the world are numerous.
• Insurance policy holders around the world would be at risk.
• Because of the credit default swaps failure bondholders and
other entities could loose up to 400 billion
• Overnight disappearance of wealth leads to tightened credit
markets and deeper recessions
• Bank failure can lead to losses in uninsured deposits
• FDIC is dependent on taxpayer funds in crisis.
• Fed will have to loan more money to insolvent banks and may
never recover the loans.
6.
7. Moral hazard is a small price to pay to
prevent a second great depression
• Fed in first depression did very little
• 10% unemployment vs. 25%
• economy saw very little growth vs.
negative growth
• Great example to test economic theory.
8. Summary of AIG's derivative positions as of
Sept. 30, 2011
• Derivative/Credit Default
Swap reduction
• Market Derivatives=$144 B
o $23 B. of CDO Swaps
o $14 B. intermediations
9. AIG's Relationship with the U.S. Government
• AIG
o Sold 100 Million
shares of common
stock
• Treasury Department
o Sold 200 Million
shares of common
stock
10. Reducing Toxic Risk Assets
• Progress made in reducing portfolio size risk
• 86% of non-credit derivatives terminated or reduced
11. Why Was the AIG Bailout Important
• Henry Paulson did not wanted to save
Lehman Brothers and used “Moral
Hazard”
• Bush did not believe in a bailout
• Obama Administration with Timothy
Geithner felt bailout was necessary
12. Why Was the AIG Bailout Important
• The housing market failure
• The repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act
• Lack of government intervention during
the Great Depression