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Time Series Analysis with
KNIME
Presented By: Shubham Goyal
Data Scientist
Knoldus Inc. & MachineX Intelligence
3
Our Agenda
01 Importance of supply chain management
02 Introduction to time series analysis
03 Components of time series (Autocorrelation, Seasonality,
Stationarity)
04 Modeling time series
05 Knoldus Forecasting platform
4
About Knoldus MachineX
MachineX is a group of data wizards.
We are a team of Data Scientist and engineers with a product
mindset who deliver competitive business advantage.
3 Pillars of Knoldus
Our Global Presence
8+ Years
Years of Profitable Growth
155+ People
Largest Scala + Spark + Tensorflow +
Pytorch Services Company
04 Offices
Offices globally
17+ Customers
Multi-year Global Customers
Our Partners
Through our strategic partnerships, we have an unwavering commitment to equip your organization
with the knowledge, skills, expertise, resources and tools to succeed.
Knoldus MachineX Offerings
Natural Language Processing
Computer Vision Solutions
Data mining
Chatbot Development
Artificial intelligence research and solutions
9
An Intelligent
Meeting Assistant
Application
Record Videos
View DashBoard
10
11
Machine learning
library in scala
KSAI
FishEye
Case Studies
Enabling Intelligent systems for enterprises
Challenges:
● Forecasting earthquakes is one of the most important problems in Earth
science because of their devastating consequences.
● Predicting the time remaining before laboratory earthquakes occur
from real-time seismic data.
● The data provided was in segments and was messy in nature.
● The signal had a certain time-trend that caused some issues specifically
on mean and quantile based features
Solution:
● Sampled 10 full earthquakes multiple times (up to 10k times) on Data, and
comparing the average KS statistic of all selected features
● Used Matplotlib to visualize the data in every step to extract features.
● We have used LightGBM , Neural networks and XGB Regressor for
prediction modeling.
Results:
● The overall mean square error score on this was 1.83
● The solution was awarded by silver medal by kaggle.
● The Solution was in top 2% overall world ranking.
Challenge:
● Various products of storage systems with various configuration leads to
loss track on the health and maintainability
● Customer were unable to take advantage of Software updates due to
lack of easy access to information about compatibility
● Failure handling was not precise due to lack of information on the usage
trend
Solution:
Made a common portal for the customers where they can take
advantage of different predictive features for all kind of HPE storage
systems.
Result:
● All kinds of system status are available in the common portal for all of
their storage systems which helps in taking various maintenance actions
● Software recommendation helps the users keeping updated their
system’s os and different softwares and avoid different anomalies
● Prediction on when the storage might go out of space, when cpu
utilization might go at peak or to summarize prediction on when a
disaster will happen, helps the users avoid various loses.
15
Enable organizations to
capture new value
and business capabilities
Innovation Labs
Consistently blogging, to
share our knowledge,
research
Blogs
Deeplearning, Coursera,
Stanford certified
professionals
Certifications
Insight & perspective to help
you to make right business
decisions
TOK Sessions
It’s great to contribute back
to the community. We
continuously advance open
source technologies to meet
demanding business
requirements.
Open Source
Contribution
Machine Learning and AI in
Retail
Supply chain management
21
Eliminating
overstocks and
out-of-stocks
FishEye
AI helps retailers replenish supplies by identifying demand
for a particular product based on
● sales history
● location
● weather
● promotions
● trends
● … and so on.
Customer Sentiment analysis
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Definition
A time series is a set of observation taken at specified times, usually at
equal intervals”. “A time series may be defined as a collection of reading
belonging to different time periods of some economic or composite
variables
● Time series establish relation between “cause” & “Effects”.
● One variable is “Time” which is independent variable & and the
second is “Data” which is the dependent variable.
Examples
Importance
of Time
Series
Analysis
● Safety from future
● Utility Studies
● Sales Forecasting
● Budgetary Analysis
● Stock Market Analysis
● Stock Market Analysis
● Process and Quality Control
● Inventory Studies
● Economic Forecasting
● Risk Analysis & Evaluation of
changes.
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Components
of Time
Series
Is it stationary?
Is there a seasonality?
Is the target variable
autocorrelated?
Autocorrelation
Seasonality
Stationarity
Modelling time series
ModelsARIMA
Model
Discovery
ARCH/
GARCH
Model
LSTM
Autoregres
sive or VAR
model
Knoldus forecasting platform
Steps
STEP A
Data Preprocessing
STEP B
Data Visualization/
Analysis
STEP C
Data Inspection
STEP D
Forecasting results
and models
A B C D
Process Steps
Information
Knoldus Forecasting platform will take a dataset in any form and load it in its database, and give different
option to user for data filtration and preprocessing. In step B, it will give you an Analytics dashboard for
reading different aspects from data. After that in Step C , It will give data inspection plot for seasonality, trend
and stationarity of data. In final Step D, It will give you all forecasting result and trained models
Data preprocessing
Data Visualization/ Analysis
Data Inspection
Conclusion
Feedbacks!!!!
hello@knoldus.com
44
Thank You
www.knoldus.com
+(91) 1204287693
hello@knoldus.com
@Knolspeak
Stay in Touch

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Time series analysis with knime

  • 1. Time Series Analysis with KNIME Presented By: Shubham Goyal Data Scientist Knoldus Inc. & MachineX Intelligence
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  • 3. 3 Our Agenda 01 Importance of supply chain management 02 Introduction to time series analysis 03 Components of time series (Autocorrelation, Seasonality, Stationarity) 04 Modeling time series 05 Knoldus Forecasting platform
  • 4. 4 About Knoldus MachineX MachineX is a group of data wizards. We are a team of Data Scientist and engineers with a product mindset who deliver competitive business advantage.
  • 5. 3 Pillars of Knoldus
  • 6. Our Global Presence 8+ Years Years of Profitable Growth 155+ People Largest Scala + Spark + Tensorflow + Pytorch Services Company 04 Offices Offices globally 17+ Customers Multi-year Global Customers
  • 7. Our Partners Through our strategic partnerships, we have an unwavering commitment to equip your organization with the knowledge, skills, expertise, resources and tools to succeed.
  • 8. Knoldus MachineX Offerings Natural Language Processing Computer Vision Solutions Data mining Chatbot Development Artificial intelligence research and solutions
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  • 11. 11 Machine learning library in scala KSAI FishEye
  • 12. Case Studies Enabling Intelligent systems for enterprises
  • 13. Challenges: ● Forecasting earthquakes is one of the most important problems in Earth science because of their devastating consequences. ● Predicting the time remaining before laboratory earthquakes occur from real-time seismic data. ● The data provided was in segments and was messy in nature. ● The signal had a certain time-trend that caused some issues specifically on mean and quantile based features Solution: ● Sampled 10 full earthquakes multiple times (up to 10k times) on Data, and comparing the average KS statistic of all selected features ● Used Matplotlib to visualize the data in every step to extract features. ● We have used LightGBM , Neural networks and XGB Regressor for prediction modeling. Results: ● The overall mean square error score on this was 1.83 ● The solution was awarded by silver medal by kaggle. ● The Solution was in top 2% overall world ranking.
  • 14. Challenge: ● Various products of storage systems with various configuration leads to loss track on the health and maintainability ● Customer were unable to take advantage of Software updates due to lack of easy access to information about compatibility ● Failure handling was not precise due to lack of information on the usage trend Solution: Made a common portal for the customers where they can take advantage of different predictive features for all kind of HPE storage systems. Result: ● All kinds of system status are available in the common portal for all of their storage systems which helps in taking various maintenance actions ● Software recommendation helps the users keeping updated their system’s os and different softwares and avoid different anomalies ● Prediction on when the storage might go out of space, when cpu utilization might go at peak or to summarize prediction on when a disaster will happen, helps the users avoid various loses.
  • 15. 15 Enable organizations to capture new value and business capabilities Innovation Labs Consistently blogging, to share our knowledge, research Blogs Deeplearning, Coursera, Stanford certified professionals Certifications Insight & perspective to help you to make right business decisions TOK Sessions It’s great to contribute back to the community. We continuously advance open source technologies to meet demanding business requirements. Open Source Contribution
  • 16. Machine Learning and AI in Retail
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  • 21. 21 Eliminating overstocks and out-of-stocks FishEye AI helps retailers replenish supplies by identifying demand for a particular product based on ● sales history ● location ● weather ● promotions ● trends ● … and so on.
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  • 25. Definition A time series is a set of observation taken at specified times, usually at equal intervals”. “A time series may be defined as a collection of reading belonging to different time periods of some economic or composite variables ● Time series establish relation between “cause” & “Effects”. ● One variable is “Time” which is independent variable & and the second is “Data” which is the dependent variable.
  • 27. Importance of Time Series Analysis ● Safety from future ● Utility Studies ● Sales Forecasting ● Budgetary Analysis ● Stock Market Analysis ● Stock Market Analysis ● Process and Quality Control ● Inventory Studies ● Economic Forecasting ● Risk Analysis & Evaluation of changes.
  • 29. Components of Time Series Is it stationary? Is there a seasonality? Is the target variable autocorrelated?
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  • 36. Steps STEP A Data Preprocessing STEP B Data Visualization/ Analysis STEP C Data Inspection STEP D Forecasting results and models A B C D Process Steps Information Knoldus Forecasting platform will take a dataset in any form and load it in its database, and give different option to user for data filtration and preprocessing. In step B, it will give you an Analytics dashboard for reading different aspects from data. After that in Step C , It will give data inspection plot for seasonality, trend and stationarity of data. In final Step D, It will give you all forecasting result and trained models
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