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EC4004 Lecture 6




Markets and the Macroeconomy III          Stephen Kinsella
The Business Cycle                 www.stephenkinsella.net
Last Time
  Markets -> Macroeconomy
   Intertemporal Sub. Effect
Message: Households Respond
over time to changes in interest
              rates
This Time:
Business Cycles
Definition




     A non repeating pattern of economic
    growth and contraction about a trend.
Model
US Data
US Data
Irish Data
       Log Consumption blue and GDP red in Ireland, 1970 2006
25.5

25.0

24.5

24.0

23.5

23.0

22.5


            5       10      15      20      25      30          35
EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles
EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles
EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles
EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles
EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles

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EC4004 2008 Lecture6 Equilibrium Business Cycles