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fin POWER
From business and coworking-centers to ‘serviced offices’
A fast evolving market with growth expectations
SERVICED OFFICE MARKET IN BELGIUM
Key financial figures
B.W.A. Conference, October 2018
I. Introduction & situation within ‘Office market’
II. History and evolution of # flexible workspaces
III. The business centre market : actual situation
IV. Key financials of the business centres in Belgium
V. Conclusions
INTRODUCTION
 Business & coworking-centers in Belgium :
 See list in annex
 What is a business or coworking-center ?
 Uses this as name of his business (business center or coworking-space or both)
 Business center : full-time reception available – cfr. VAT-regulation for business centers
 Coworking-center : focus on ‘community’, community manager, no full time reception necessary
 Serviced offices = full time reception services or community-manager
 Used figures :
 Published financial data (Belgian National Bank)
INTRODUCTION
“Definitions and limitations”
Offices (x 1,000 m²) prgn. 18
Brussel 12 675 000
Antwerpen 2 128 000
Gent 1 550 000
4 other 'office' - cities 400 - 500,000
(Liège, Mechelen, Leuven, Namur)
15 'regional cities' 150 - 350,000
(f.ex. Kortrijk, Roeselare, Brugge, St. Niklaas, Aalst, )
Total office spaces in 'cities' : 23 600 000
# Business centres (in m²)
Number : 245
Average surface : 2 203
Total surface occupied : 539 677
in % of office market : 2,29%
# Co working centers
Number : 135
Average surface : 590
Total surface occupied : 79 623
in % of office market : 0,34%
in % of business center market : 14,75%
Total serviced office surface: 619 300
% oppervlakte 'serviced offices' 2,62%
INTRODUCTION
Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’
4
 Office-market in Belgium
 Market of ‘larger cities’ very well documented
 Estimate of regional cities and total market in collaboration with CBRE.
 Total ca. 24 Mio m², accommodation for > 1 Mio collaborators (employees + civil servants in office
environments)
 Stable market with appr. 24 Mio office space
 Business center market
 Definition of ‘business center : ‘
 Flexible contracts, Including services
 Excluding ‘joint-office-buildings’ with no ‘reception’
 Total : ca. 240 business centers, appr. 500,000 m² office space.
 Accounts for appr. 2,2 % of total office space in Belgium, growing market-share.
 Fast – growing market, including more and more the coworking-aspect
 Co working market
 New, upcoming market
 Total of appr. 135 Coworking spaces in Belgium, totaling appr. 80,000 m² office space.
 Growth rate of market was high, but stabilizes since more and more coworking-
initiatives expand to the business center market.
The business and coworking-market covers
appr. 2,5 % of the total office market in Belgium.
INTRODUCTION
Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’
5The office market is shifting towards the ‘serviced offices’
Serviced Office market
Flexible contracts (month/year/…)
Focus on services and community
Office market
‘long term contracts’
No flexibility
Limited services (facilities)
 Limited ‘new constructions’ < 2 % of
market
 Decreasing demand due to NWOW
Coworking market
< monthly ‘memberships’
Flexible, focus on ‘community’
Limited but increasing services
 Market growth > 20 %/year
Business centre market
Flexible ‘yearly’ contracts
Flexible, focus on ‘services’
Limited but increasing community
 Market growth 10-20 %/year
Decreasing
market ?
Increasing market
Difference is fading away
INTRODUCTION
Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’
6
The (declining) office market is shifting fastly towards the
‘serviced offices’, which could support a further decline …
Bron : CBRE, data 2018
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
prgn.18
Key figures Brussels Office Market
Office Stock Take-up Vacancy rate
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stock 2018 Expected take-
up 2018
London CBD 17
2% 8%
18%
98% 92%
82%
Brussels Office market 2018
vs. London
Service office Traditional offices
II. HISTORY
“A market with a rich history”
• First boom of business centres was
between 1985 and 1990.
• Then, 95-2005 : more failures then
start-ups in our market until …
• 2005-6 : start of the ‘New Way of
Working’
• From then, we see an acceleration
of the growth of locations from 5-10
% (2005-2010) to 10-20% actually
• Actually, the market has grown to
more then 350 flexible workspace
locations in Belgium – double of the
number 5 years ago.
 Total appr. 340 “serviced office locations” in Belgium :
 50% of the market are ‘individual players’
 IWG is the biggest ‘operator’ with 35-40 locations
 (Semi-public’ initiatives remain important,
 28 ‘BC’s’, Bedrijvencentra, no central management
 Citydev, Cowallonia, LRM and Bar D’Office > 5 locations
 Limited number of private groups having > 3/5
centers (only Officenter and Multiburo have more
then 5 centers)
 20 ‘owners’ have 2 centers.
 In 2011 : ca. 135 BC&CW centers, which means an
medium annual growth of appr. 20 %/year !
 Failure rate limited appr. 3 % of the centers, but
higher then real-estate market (appr. 1 %)
In Belgium, we have a relatively fragmented market, where only 40-
50% of the centers is operated by a ‘group’.
III. BUSINESS CENTERS IN BELGIUM
3.1. Operators of business and coworking-centers
 The medium penetration of the
serviced office market is appr.
2,5 % in Belgium
 Brussels is with 2,0 % still
substantially ‘lower’ penetrated
 Most cities have between 3 and
4 % of ‘service offices’ (incl.
Antwerp, Liège, Leuven and
Charleroi)
 Hasselt, Louvain-La-Neuve,
Turnhout, Genk and Ieper have
a more then 5 % market
penetration of serviced offices
 Namur, Brugge, Aalst Mechelen
en Namen are cities were the
penetration of serviced offices is
only appr. 1 %, half of the
Belgium average.
The ‘local’ situation in the different cities is clearly very different.
III. BUSINESS CENTERS IN BELGIUM
3.2 Business centers by location
Sources: CBRE, Finpower
# BC/CW m² BC/CW m² offices
% BC/CW
m²
Brussel 144 262 805 12 653 000 2,08%
Antwerpen 54 60 804 2 128 000 2,86%
Gent 31 65 739 1 550 000 4,24%
Liège 15 18 200 500 000 3,64%
Hasselt 11 17 070 275 000 6,21%
Leuven 10 15 499 440 000 3,52%
Kortrijk 7 8 590 350 000 2,45%
Charleroi 6 7 823 450 000 1,74%
Louvain La Neuve/Waver6 12 200 150 000 8,13%
Mechelen 5 20 565 500 000 4,11%
Namen 4 4 530 400 000 1,13%
Ieper 4 4 540 50 000 9,08%
Sint-Niklaas 4 4 170 100 000 4,17%
Tournai 3 1 900 100 000 1,90%
Roeselare 3 2 580 190 000 1,36%
Genk 3 6 460 100 000 6,46%
Turnhout 3 5 850 100 000 5,85%
Brugge 3 2 050 150 000 1,37%
Aalst 3 2 950 150 000 1,97%
Oostende 2 3 600 75 000 4,80%
0,00%
1,00%
2,00%
3,00%
4,00%
5,00%
6,00%
7,00%
8,00%
9,00%
10,00%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
% BC/CW-m² pro city
% BC/CW m² # BC/CW
IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET
4.1. Turnover evolution
• Turnover
– Total market turnover appr. 135 Mio €
– The market is equally divided between three
types of owners
• International players (Regus, Multiburo, …)
• Public, semi-public and associations
• Private, Belgian operators
• Growth rhythm
– The ‘market’ growth in turnover has been
fluctuating between 6 and 12 % the pas 10
years
– Much more ‘stable’ and ‘lower’ then the
growth in number of centers and in m²
• Stable: logic given the ‘start-up-growth’ in turnover of a
new center  faster growth in number and m² then in
turnover
• Lower : indication of ‘price-erosion’ seen in the market
from 2006 – 2012.
– Actually still present due to the increased competition ?
– Very difficult to measure
The turnover of the Belgian business center market is experiencing growth
rates of 6-12 % until 2017. This is lower then the increase of the ‘number/m²’ of
the market, which may indicate a price-erosion due to increased competition
IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET
4.2 Operational profit (EBIT) of business centers
• The profitability of business centers is
very differentiated.
• Most important : start-up vs. mature
centers, see next slide
• But, also ‘conjunctural’ aspects and
offer/demand – aspects are important
• The most profitable periods, we see
profits of 3-5 % in our market
• But, the last years, the total profit in
the market was near to zero (appr. 1,2
Mio in 2017)
The profitability of our market remains a challenge, where 3-5 %
seems a ‘maximum’ profitability for the ‘overall’-market.
IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET
4.2 Operational profit (EBIT) of business centers
• Main ‘financial’ issue of our market : start-up costs of new business or coworking centers
• If we look at the financial figures, centers opened in 2015-16 or 17 realized only 11 Mio turnover in 2017,
generating a operational loss of more then 4 Mio €
– More then 10 newly opened centers realized a operating loss of more then 150 k€ in 2017 – with a ‘mean’ of appr. 200-350 k€ !
– One ‘international’ group stopped operations in 2017 in Brussels, due to a lack of profitability.
• Making abstraction of those ‘start-up-losses’, the medium profitability of the market is appr. 4,5 %, where
only a few operators have a profitability of more then 7-8 %.
The ‘median’ mature business centers realizes an acceptable
operational profit of 3-6 % on turnover, but start-up losses are
increasing to more then 300-500 k€/center.
Turnover Operating profit in % of turnover
Total, all centers : 134 658 1 454 1,08%
New centers 2015 - 2017 11 212 -4 063 -36,24%
Total 'mature centers' 123 446 5 517 4,47%
Conclusions
• The business and coworking market are ‘integrating’ more and more towards a service-
office market
– Business Center groups are ‘incorporating’ the coworking ‘community’-concept, coworking-operators are
elaborating their services.
• The number of ‘service office centers’ has increased to more then 350 in 2018, again a
growth of appr. 15 %
• But, the surface occupied has increase with 20-25 %, indicating an increase in the
medium size of a ‘business center’ to more then 2,000 m² actually
– This means that the market-share of the serviced office market is market has increased in 2017 from 2 to 2,5
% of the total office market in Belgium.
– Still lagging behind the levels in the U.K. and the Netherlands (> 3-5%)
• The profitability of the ‘mature’ market remains around our 3-6 % ‘target’, but the sum
of the start-up losses of the ‘new’ centers are nearly as high as the total profit of the
‘mature’ centers !
Annexes
1. Advantages of scale in our market
2. Different ‘business models’ pro segment
Annex 2 : Advantages of scale in our market
• There are clearly a lot of advantages of scale in
the business center market
– Commercially (website, referrals, …)
– Purchasing power, also on management-level
– Strategically and ‘best practices’
• But, the medium turnover of a business center
is declining ….
– And, we have not included the coworking-centers in this
comparison …
• We have put the ‘profitability’ of a center compared with the ‘size’ of each
center.
– Profitability = profit margin on turnover
– Size = turnover by center
• The ‘regression-line’ clearly demonstrates
– The substantial losses that a business center makes in his 1-2 starting years
(between 100 and 500 k€)
– A ‘break-even’ level of a ‘median’ center around 500 k€ turnover
– Above 600-700 k€ turnover, most of the business centers are profitable.
Annex 3 : Different financial models in our market
• Asset – efficiency of ‘International market’ is very high – no investment in ‘own’ buildings
– Private and public sector operators mostly have invested in the building
• Financial leverage of public sector very limited (cash > loan volume)
The ‘international’ operators focus optimizing their financial
leverage with ‘renting’ their buildings, the private (partially) and
public sector (mainly) focus on owning the real-estate.
Turn-
over
Fixed
Assets
Assets/
Turnover
Own
Funds
Own
Funds/
Assets
Own
funds/
Turnover
International 26.295 5.480 0,2 -8.223 -1,5 -0,3
Private 45.944 132.465 2,9 63.353 0,5 1,4
Semi-public 25.241 112.922 4,5 107.489 1,0 4,3

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Belgian serviced office sector 2017 - 18

  • 1. fin POWER From business and coworking-centers to ‘serviced offices’ A fast evolving market with growth expectations SERVICED OFFICE MARKET IN BELGIUM Key financial figures B.W.A. Conference, October 2018
  • 2. I. Introduction & situation within ‘Office market’ II. History and evolution of # flexible workspaces III. The business centre market : actual situation IV. Key financials of the business centres in Belgium V. Conclusions INTRODUCTION
  • 3.  Business & coworking-centers in Belgium :  See list in annex  What is a business or coworking-center ?  Uses this as name of his business (business center or coworking-space or both)  Business center : full-time reception available – cfr. VAT-regulation for business centers  Coworking-center : focus on ‘community’, community manager, no full time reception necessary  Serviced offices = full time reception services or community-manager  Used figures :  Published financial data (Belgian National Bank) INTRODUCTION “Definitions and limitations”
  • 4. Offices (x 1,000 m²) prgn. 18 Brussel 12 675 000 Antwerpen 2 128 000 Gent 1 550 000 4 other 'office' - cities 400 - 500,000 (Liège, Mechelen, Leuven, Namur) 15 'regional cities' 150 - 350,000 (f.ex. Kortrijk, Roeselare, Brugge, St. Niklaas, Aalst, ) Total office spaces in 'cities' : 23 600 000 # Business centres (in m²) Number : 245 Average surface : 2 203 Total surface occupied : 539 677 in % of office market : 2,29% # Co working centers Number : 135 Average surface : 590 Total surface occupied : 79 623 in % of office market : 0,34% in % of business center market : 14,75% Total serviced office surface: 619 300 % oppervlakte 'serviced offices' 2,62% INTRODUCTION Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’ 4  Office-market in Belgium  Market of ‘larger cities’ very well documented  Estimate of regional cities and total market in collaboration with CBRE.  Total ca. 24 Mio m², accommodation for > 1 Mio collaborators (employees + civil servants in office environments)  Stable market with appr. 24 Mio office space  Business center market  Definition of ‘business center : ‘  Flexible contracts, Including services  Excluding ‘joint-office-buildings’ with no ‘reception’  Total : ca. 240 business centers, appr. 500,000 m² office space.  Accounts for appr. 2,2 % of total office space in Belgium, growing market-share.  Fast – growing market, including more and more the coworking-aspect  Co working market  New, upcoming market  Total of appr. 135 Coworking spaces in Belgium, totaling appr. 80,000 m² office space.  Growth rate of market was high, but stabilizes since more and more coworking- initiatives expand to the business center market. The business and coworking-market covers appr. 2,5 % of the total office market in Belgium.
  • 5. INTRODUCTION Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’ 5The office market is shifting towards the ‘serviced offices’ Serviced Office market Flexible contracts (month/year/…) Focus on services and community Office market ‘long term contracts’ No flexibility Limited services (facilities)  Limited ‘new constructions’ < 2 % of market  Decreasing demand due to NWOW Coworking market < monthly ‘memberships’ Flexible, focus on ‘community’ Limited but increasing services  Market growth > 20 %/year Business centre market Flexible ‘yearly’ contracts Flexible, focus on ‘services’ Limited but increasing community  Market growth 10-20 %/year Decreasing market ? Increasing market Difference is fading away
  • 6. INTRODUCTION Situating within the total ‘OFFICE MARKET’ 6 The (declining) office market is shifting fastly towards the ‘serviced offices’, which could support a further decline … Bron : CBRE, data 2018 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 prgn.18 Key figures Brussels Office Market Office Stock Take-up Vacancy rate 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Stock 2018 Expected take- up 2018 London CBD 17 2% 8% 18% 98% 92% 82% Brussels Office market 2018 vs. London Service office Traditional offices
  • 7. II. HISTORY “A market with a rich history” • First boom of business centres was between 1985 and 1990. • Then, 95-2005 : more failures then start-ups in our market until … • 2005-6 : start of the ‘New Way of Working’ • From then, we see an acceleration of the growth of locations from 5-10 % (2005-2010) to 10-20% actually • Actually, the market has grown to more then 350 flexible workspace locations in Belgium – double of the number 5 years ago.
  • 8.  Total appr. 340 “serviced office locations” in Belgium :  50% of the market are ‘individual players’  IWG is the biggest ‘operator’ with 35-40 locations  (Semi-public’ initiatives remain important,  28 ‘BC’s’, Bedrijvencentra, no central management  Citydev, Cowallonia, LRM and Bar D’Office > 5 locations  Limited number of private groups having > 3/5 centers (only Officenter and Multiburo have more then 5 centers)  20 ‘owners’ have 2 centers.  In 2011 : ca. 135 BC&CW centers, which means an medium annual growth of appr. 20 %/year !  Failure rate limited appr. 3 % of the centers, but higher then real-estate market (appr. 1 %) In Belgium, we have a relatively fragmented market, where only 40- 50% of the centers is operated by a ‘group’. III. BUSINESS CENTERS IN BELGIUM 3.1. Operators of business and coworking-centers
  • 9.  The medium penetration of the serviced office market is appr. 2,5 % in Belgium  Brussels is with 2,0 % still substantially ‘lower’ penetrated  Most cities have between 3 and 4 % of ‘service offices’ (incl. Antwerp, Liège, Leuven and Charleroi)  Hasselt, Louvain-La-Neuve, Turnhout, Genk and Ieper have a more then 5 % market penetration of serviced offices  Namur, Brugge, Aalst Mechelen en Namen are cities were the penetration of serviced offices is only appr. 1 %, half of the Belgium average. The ‘local’ situation in the different cities is clearly very different. III. BUSINESS CENTERS IN BELGIUM 3.2 Business centers by location Sources: CBRE, Finpower # BC/CW m² BC/CW m² offices % BC/CW m² Brussel 144 262 805 12 653 000 2,08% Antwerpen 54 60 804 2 128 000 2,86% Gent 31 65 739 1 550 000 4,24% Liège 15 18 200 500 000 3,64% Hasselt 11 17 070 275 000 6,21% Leuven 10 15 499 440 000 3,52% Kortrijk 7 8 590 350 000 2,45% Charleroi 6 7 823 450 000 1,74% Louvain La Neuve/Waver6 12 200 150 000 8,13% Mechelen 5 20 565 500 000 4,11% Namen 4 4 530 400 000 1,13% Ieper 4 4 540 50 000 9,08% Sint-Niklaas 4 4 170 100 000 4,17% Tournai 3 1 900 100 000 1,90% Roeselare 3 2 580 190 000 1,36% Genk 3 6 460 100 000 6,46% Turnhout 3 5 850 100 000 5,85% Brugge 3 2 050 150 000 1,37% Aalst 3 2 950 150 000 1,97% Oostende 2 3 600 75 000 4,80% 0,00% 1,00% 2,00% 3,00% 4,00% 5,00% 6,00% 7,00% 8,00% 9,00% 10,00% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 % BC/CW-m² pro city % BC/CW m² # BC/CW
  • 10. IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET 4.1. Turnover evolution • Turnover – Total market turnover appr. 135 Mio € – The market is equally divided between three types of owners • International players (Regus, Multiburo, …) • Public, semi-public and associations • Private, Belgian operators • Growth rhythm – The ‘market’ growth in turnover has been fluctuating between 6 and 12 % the pas 10 years – Much more ‘stable’ and ‘lower’ then the growth in number of centers and in m² • Stable: logic given the ‘start-up-growth’ in turnover of a new center  faster growth in number and m² then in turnover • Lower : indication of ‘price-erosion’ seen in the market from 2006 – 2012. – Actually still present due to the increased competition ? – Very difficult to measure The turnover of the Belgian business center market is experiencing growth rates of 6-12 % until 2017. This is lower then the increase of the ‘number/m²’ of the market, which may indicate a price-erosion due to increased competition
  • 11. IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET 4.2 Operational profit (EBIT) of business centers • The profitability of business centers is very differentiated. • Most important : start-up vs. mature centers, see next slide • But, also ‘conjunctural’ aspects and offer/demand – aspects are important • The most profitable periods, we see profits of 3-5 % in our market • But, the last years, the total profit in the market was near to zero (appr. 1,2 Mio in 2017) The profitability of our market remains a challenge, where 3-5 % seems a ‘maximum’ profitability for the ‘overall’-market.
  • 12. IV. FINANCIAL DATA OF BUSINESS CENTER MARKET 4.2 Operational profit (EBIT) of business centers • Main ‘financial’ issue of our market : start-up costs of new business or coworking centers • If we look at the financial figures, centers opened in 2015-16 or 17 realized only 11 Mio turnover in 2017, generating a operational loss of more then 4 Mio € – More then 10 newly opened centers realized a operating loss of more then 150 k€ in 2017 – with a ‘mean’ of appr. 200-350 k€ ! – One ‘international’ group stopped operations in 2017 in Brussels, due to a lack of profitability. • Making abstraction of those ‘start-up-losses’, the medium profitability of the market is appr. 4,5 %, where only a few operators have a profitability of more then 7-8 %. The ‘median’ mature business centers realizes an acceptable operational profit of 3-6 % on turnover, but start-up losses are increasing to more then 300-500 k€/center. Turnover Operating profit in % of turnover Total, all centers : 134 658 1 454 1,08% New centers 2015 - 2017 11 212 -4 063 -36,24% Total 'mature centers' 123 446 5 517 4,47%
  • 13. Conclusions • The business and coworking market are ‘integrating’ more and more towards a service- office market – Business Center groups are ‘incorporating’ the coworking ‘community’-concept, coworking-operators are elaborating their services. • The number of ‘service office centers’ has increased to more then 350 in 2018, again a growth of appr. 15 % • But, the surface occupied has increase with 20-25 %, indicating an increase in the medium size of a ‘business center’ to more then 2,000 m² actually – This means that the market-share of the serviced office market is market has increased in 2017 from 2 to 2,5 % of the total office market in Belgium. – Still lagging behind the levels in the U.K. and the Netherlands (> 3-5%) • The profitability of the ‘mature’ market remains around our 3-6 % ‘target’, but the sum of the start-up losses of the ‘new’ centers are nearly as high as the total profit of the ‘mature’ centers !
  • 14. Annexes 1. Advantages of scale in our market 2. Different ‘business models’ pro segment
  • 15. Annex 2 : Advantages of scale in our market • There are clearly a lot of advantages of scale in the business center market – Commercially (website, referrals, …) – Purchasing power, also on management-level – Strategically and ‘best practices’ • But, the medium turnover of a business center is declining …. – And, we have not included the coworking-centers in this comparison … • We have put the ‘profitability’ of a center compared with the ‘size’ of each center. – Profitability = profit margin on turnover – Size = turnover by center • The ‘regression-line’ clearly demonstrates – The substantial losses that a business center makes in his 1-2 starting years (between 100 and 500 k€) – A ‘break-even’ level of a ‘median’ center around 500 k€ turnover – Above 600-700 k€ turnover, most of the business centers are profitable.
  • 16. Annex 3 : Different financial models in our market • Asset – efficiency of ‘International market’ is very high – no investment in ‘own’ buildings – Private and public sector operators mostly have invested in the building • Financial leverage of public sector very limited (cash > loan volume) The ‘international’ operators focus optimizing their financial leverage with ‘renting’ their buildings, the private (partially) and public sector (mainly) focus on owning the real-estate. Turn- over Fixed Assets Assets/ Turnover Own Funds Own Funds/ Assets Own funds/ Turnover International 26.295 5.480 0,2 -8.223 -1,5 -0,3 Private 45.944 132.465 2,9 63.353 0,5 1,4 Semi-public 25.241 112.922 4,5 107.489 1,0 4,3