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Commercialization in a Tough Market
Agenda

• Challenges

• Exemplars

• Investments

• Market Insight

• Strategy

• Summary
                            3
CHALLENGES
“Typical” Diffusion of Innovation


                2.5% 13.5% 34%                             34%        16%
       2.35




       1.35




       0.35


                                                            Late
                             Early    Early                           Laggards
         Innovators
                                                           Majority
                            Adopters Majority


Source: Rogers & Shoemaker, Communication of Innovations

                                                                  5
Oilfield is MORE willing to try
                Which of the following best describes your company’s perspective on adopting new technology?


           Try to be a pioneer /
                                                        23%
            break new ground




         Early adopter, but not
                                                                  37%
            initial risk taker



          Cautious / try new
        technology after it has                                32%
            a track record



           Risk intolerant / use
          only after proven and             8%
               established


Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
                                                                           6
Barriers Are “Manageable”


                                           Only 50%
                                          Of Buyers indicating that:
                                                 Procurement
                                      Difficulty Finding the Right Wells
                                            Reluctance of Change

                    Were Important Barriers for New Technology Adoption



Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
Customers Need Clear Relation to Problem

• “Prove that it can save you money and make money at the same
  time.”

• “Shown performance, quality testing and honesty about the product
  (e.g. limitations and reliability).”

• “Being upfront with the accruable total benefit from deploying such a
  technology and demonstrating it is no marketing propaganda - that
  the new technology will indeed add great value.”

• “Better to have a workshop of technical professionals from different
  exploration and production companies and give detail presentations
  to them and let them discuss its pros and cons.”


                                              8
…And Help Them Reap Benefits



                                                     74%
             say providing technical assistance
             would help increase the rate of new
                    technology adoption


Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
Not Knowing Your Market Comes at a High
                    Price

• Bringing products to market is the most expensive
  activity of the product development process

• Managing the risk of new product failure involves
  planning, optimizing product/service and price
  packages, launching, and adapting to responses

• Successful new product launches require market insight
  involving a holistic approach where
  operations, technology, sales and marketing play a role
Critical Success Factors

     •   Seek differentiated, superior products based on customer needs
     •   Up-front homework pays off, so examine your markets globally
     •   Build-in the voice of the customer, using advanced qualitative techniques
     •   Demand sharp, stable and early product definition with early input from
         Customers
     •   Plan and resource the market launch early in the game to focus on the
         Champions
     •   Build tough go/kill decision points into your process – a funnel, not a tunnel
     •   Organize around true cross-functional project teams and be sure to include
         international representation, not just North America/North Sea
     •   Attack from a position of strength, so you need to understand your
         reputation and associated perceived risks
     •   Build an international orientation into your process
     •   The role of top management is central to success
     •   Strengthen your global brand to earn customer trust

-- Adapted from Cooper & Edgett, New Product Development Institute
EXEMPLARS
Who’s Doing it Right?

    •    Schlumberger
    •    Weatherford
    •    Baker Hughes
    •    Halliburton



                              Rated most effective at
                          introducing new technologies
Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
Schlumberger
                      WellWatcher

• Plan and resource the market
  launch early in the game to
  focus on the Champions

• Organize around true cross-
  functional project teams and
  be sure to include
  international
  representation, not just North
  America/North Sea
Weatherford
          Motorized Cutting Tool (MCT)

• Up-front homework pays
  off, so examine your
  markets globally

• Attack from a position of
  strength, so you need to
  understand your
  reputation and associated
  perceived risks
Baker Hughes Drilling Fluids
                   MICRO-CURE

• Demand sharp, stable and
  early product definition with
  early input from Customers

• Plan and resource the
  market launch early in the
  game to focus on the
  Champions
INVESTMENTS
Making the Case for More Funds

• Warning – R&D Expenditures
  are a trailing indicator to
  revenue growth

• But it does indicate a
  commitment to evolving the
  company

• Separate “creation” from
  “deployment”

• Always compare apples to
  apples
Research and Engineering
                                               (in millions)
              800
              700
              600
              500
                                                                                Research and
              400
                                                                                Engineering
              300
                                                                                (in millions)
              200
              100
                0
                              2005                 2006                  2007


Source: 2007 Annual Report (Page 45)
http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/97/975/97513/items/281510/AR07.pdf
Research and Engineering
                                              (in millions)
              500

              400

              300
                                                                          Research and
                                                                          Engineering
              200
                                                                          (in millions)
              100

                 0
                           2005            2006             2007   2008



2007 Annual Report, Page 13 /
http://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/ar2007/bh_annual.html
Research and Development
                                            (in millions)
             350
             300
             250
             200                                                              Research and
             150                                                              Development
                                                                              (in millions)
             100
              50
               0
                            2005                 2006                2007



2007 Annual Report, Page 12 http://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/2738/3328/
Research and Development
                                           (in millions)
             200

             150

                                                                   Research and
             100
                                                                   Development
                                                                   (in millions)
              50

                0
                           2005                2006         2007



2007 Annual Report, Page 26 / http://library.corporate-
ir.net/library/77/777/77782/items/292723/WFT07-AR0608.pdf
Better Measure

 R&D vs.                  2005                2006   2007      2008
 Revenue


 Schlumberger             3.5%                3.2%   3.1%      3.2%

   Halliburton            2.2%                2.0%   2.0%      1.8%

  Baker Hughes            4.2%                3.8%   3.6%      3.6%

  Weatherford             2.5%                2.3%   2.2%   Unavailable




Source: Annual Reports and Investor Presentations
MARKET INSIGHT
Market Information is Critical

• 80% of the new product successes gathered and used
  more market information

• 75% of the failures knew less than average about the
  market at project inception and gathered/used less
  market information during the product development
  process.

      -Ottum and Moore, Journal of Product Innovation Management
Market Insight Techniques You Can Use

• Needs Identification
   – Customer Advisory Board
   – Experience Mapping
   – Site Visits


• Estimating Demand
   – Segmentation Analysis
   – Conjoint Analysis for Feature Optimization
   – Choice Tasks for Pricing and Prioritization
STRATEGY
quot;The essence of
strategy is choosing
   what not to do.quot;



 Michael Porter
Importance of Strategic Thinking in 2009

• Creating New Products
   – Create, then sell?
   – Collaborate, then use?
   – Understand, then execute?


• Deployment
   – Beat the Market
   – Niche Approach
   – Delay


• Monitoring
   – Number of killed projects
   – % revenue in new products
Summary

• Economic Troubles Don’t Make
  Our Jobs Easier

• Look to Practices of Leading
  Companies and Critical Success
  Factors

• Examine Your Commitment

• Understand Your Customer

• Be Strategic About Deployment
QUESTIONS
Gelb Consulting Group, Inc.

1011 Highway 6 South, Suite 120

Houston, TX 77077

281-759-3600 x1022

Contact: John McKeever

www.gelbconsulting.com

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Commercialization In A Tough Market

  • 1. Commercialization in a Tough Market
  • 2.
  • 3. Agenda • Challenges • Exemplars • Investments • Market Insight • Strategy • Summary 3
  • 5. “Typical” Diffusion of Innovation 2.5% 13.5% 34% 34% 16% 2.35 1.35 0.35 Late Early Early Laggards Innovators Majority Adopters Majority Source: Rogers & Shoemaker, Communication of Innovations 5
  • 6. Oilfield is MORE willing to try Which of the following best describes your company’s perspective on adopting new technology? Try to be a pioneer / 23% break new ground Early adopter, but not 37% initial risk taker Cautious / try new technology after it has 32% a track record Risk intolerant / use only after proven and 8% established Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology 6
  • 7. Barriers Are “Manageable” Only 50% Of Buyers indicating that: Procurement Difficulty Finding the Right Wells Reluctance of Change Were Important Barriers for New Technology Adoption Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
  • 8. Customers Need Clear Relation to Problem • “Prove that it can save you money and make money at the same time.” • “Shown performance, quality testing and honesty about the product (e.g. limitations and reliability).” • “Being upfront with the accruable total benefit from deploying such a technology and demonstrating it is no marketing propaganda - that the new technology will indeed add great value.” • “Better to have a workshop of technical professionals from different exploration and production companies and give detail presentations to them and let them discuss its pros and cons.” 8
  • 9. …And Help Them Reap Benefits 74% say providing technical assistance would help increase the rate of new technology adoption Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
  • 10. Not Knowing Your Market Comes at a High Price • Bringing products to market is the most expensive activity of the product development process • Managing the risk of new product failure involves planning, optimizing product/service and price packages, launching, and adapting to responses • Successful new product launches require market insight involving a holistic approach where operations, technology, sales and marketing play a role
  • 11. Critical Success Factors • Seek differentiated, superior products based on customer needs • Up-front homework pays off, so examine your markets globally • Build-in the voice of the customer, using advanced qualitative techniques • Demand sharp, stable and early product definition with early input from Customers • Plan and resource the market launch early in the game to focus on the Champions • Build tough go/kill decision points into your process – a funnel, not a tunnel • Organize around true cross-functional project teams and be sure to include international representation, not just North America/North Sea • Attack from a position of strength, so you need to understand your reputation and associated perceived risks • Build an international orientation into your process • The role of top management is central to success • Strengthen your global brand to earn customer trust -- Adapted from Cooper & Edgett, New Product Development Institute
  • 13. Who’s Doing it Right? • Schlumberger • Weatherford • Baker Hughes • Halliburton Rated most effective at introducing new technologies Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology
  • 14. Schlumberger WellWatcher • Plan and resource the market launch early in the game to focus on the Champions • Organize around true cross- functional project teams and be sure to include international representation, not just North America/North Sea
  • 15. Weatherford Motorized Cutting Tool (MCT) • Up-front homework pays off, so examine your markets globally • Attack from a position of strength, so you need to understand your reputation and associated perceived risks
  • 16. Baker Hughes Drilling Fluids MICRO-CURE • Demand sharp, stable and early product definition with early input from Customers • Plan and resource the market launch early in the game to focus on the Champions
  • 18. Making the Case for More Funds • Warning – R&D Expenditures are a trailing indicator to revenue growth • But it does indicate a commitment to evolving the company • Separate “creation” from “deployment” • Always compare apples to apples
  • 19. Research and Engineering (in millions) 800 700 600 500 Research and 400 Engineering 300 (in millions) 200 100 0 2005 2006 2007 Source: 2007 Annual Report (Page 45) http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/97/975/97513/items/281510/AR07.pdf
  • 20. Research and Engineering (in millions) 500 400 300 Research and Engineering 200 (in millions) 100 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2007 Annual Report, Page 13 / http://investor.shareholder.com/bhi/ar2007/bh_annual.html
  • 21. Research and Development (in millions) 350 300 250 200 Research and 150 Development (in millions) 100 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2007 Annual Report, Page 12 http://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/2738/3328/
  • 22. Research and Development (in millions) 200 150 Research and 100 Development (in millions) 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2007 Annual Report, Page 26 / http://library.corporate- ir.net/library/77/777/77782/items/292723/WFT07-AR0608.pdf
  • 23. Better Measure R&D vs. 2005 2006 2007 2008 Revenue Schlumberger 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% Halliburton 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% Baker Hughes 4.2% 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% Weatherford 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% Unavailable Source: Annual Reports and Investor Presentations
  • 25. Market Information is Critical • 80% of the new product successes gathered and used more market information • 75% of the failures knew less than average about the market at project inception and gathered/used less market information during the product development process. -Ottum and Moore, Journal of Product Innovation Management
  • 26. Market Insight Techniques You Can Use • Needs Identification – Customer Advisory Board – Experience Mapping – Site Visits • Estimating Demand – Segmentation Analysis – Conjoint Analysis for Feature Optimization – Choice Tasks for Pricing and Prioritization
  • 28. quot;The essence of strategy is choosing what not to do.quot; Michael Porter
  • 29. Importance of Strategic Thinking in 2009 • Creating New Products – Create, then sell? – Collaborate, then use? – Understand, then execute? • Deployment – Beat the Market – Niche Approach – Delay • Monitoring – Number of killed projects – % revenue in new products
  • 30. Summary • Economic Troubles Don’t Make Our Jobs Easier • Look to Practices of Leading Companies and Critical Success Factors • Examine Your Commitment • Understand Your Customer • Be Strategic About Deployment
  • 32. Gelb Consulting Group, Inc. 1011 Highway 6 South, Suite 120 Houston, TX 77077 281-759-3600 x1022 Contact: John McKeever www.gelbconsulting.com