16. 人口增长令土地需求增加
美国人口增长趋势1
增长的集中地区
2010 美国人口:3亿1千万2
34年:美国人口增长1亿3人的预计最短时间
预计每年约300万3 的人口增长
至2040年,超过70%的美国人口将居于10个称为
大都会地区的其中之一4
美国的增长地区将集中在个别的区域
1 U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, August 14, 2008. 2 Census.gov, Population Clock, September 23, 2010. 3 National Association of Realtors, June 17, 2009, Presentation to Real Estate Caucus of U.S. Congress. 4
Metropolitan Institute Census Report Series, Census Report 05:01, “Beyond Megalopolis: Exploring America’s new ‘Megapolitan’ Geography” (Virginia Tech, May 2005),
17. 可负担的住屋选择推动增长
全年房屋价格中位数1 (2010)
$450,000
$400,000
和顿目标市场
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
全国中位数1 = $173,200
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0
*Detroit Data Unavailable
*The above named cities reflect the top five in-migration, top five out-migration MSAs and Walton target markets as listed in the March 2010 U.S. Census Bureau Population Division
report. The charted home value per city was collected from the National Association of Realtors Q4 2010 Metropolitan Area Prices report. Although Detroit is ranked among the top five
out-migration MSAs, 2010 average home pricing data was unavailable for Detroit, therefore unmentioned above. The USCB Population Division report lists San Antonio and Austin as one
MSA, and Phoenix and Tucson as one MSA, however NAR provides average home pricing data for these cities independently, as shown in the above graph.
1 National Association of Realtors Metropolitan Area Prices Q4 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division (July 2008 to July 2009), March 2010.
29. 房屋兴建量:历史性新低
和顿利用现时美国经济环境及房屋爆破泡沫从而策略性地收购土地资产预测未来房屋须求高达
1千3百万间
多户式住宅2
单户式房屋2
1,300
预测
每 年 增加3百万以上人口
1百 至 1百40万新家庭形成
须耍拆除300万房屋
须耍增建1百300万至1百700万新单位
*Forecasts: Fannie Mae Economics and Mortgage Market Analysis, April 11, 2011.
1 National Association of Realtors, June 17, 2009; Presentation to Real Estate Caucus of U.S. Congress.2 U.S. Census Bureau, New Residential Starts, January 2011.