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Complementing Political / Social Research
with AI for a Deeper Understanding of Society
Dr. Georg Wittenburg ▪ Inspirient
Martin Schniedermeier ▪ Kantar Public
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit
Berlin, 14 September 2022
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 1
Dr. Georg Wittenburg
Co-founder and CEO at Inspirient
Martin Schniedermeier
Data & Operations Global Transformation Director
and Partner for Europe at Kantar Public
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Trust is central to political and social research
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 2
Kantar Public works with clients across the world to improve public
policy, public services and public communication
• Partner of governments and multilateral clients in the collection and
curation of data for national and international statistics and linked
public information
• Manage global research programs using all types of data collection
methodologies
• World-leading experience in running high-quality, complex multi-
country studies using all recruitment methods working with a
multitude of public clients
– E.g. European institutions, Fundamental Rights Agency, Banks
(ECB, World Bank), country governments, foundations
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
...and so is efficiency!
• On-time delivery, high-quality data and
results are based on:
– Experience (team)
– Effectiveness (processes)
– Efficiency (innovation)
• Each process step is linked to significant
manual work, e.g.:
– Survey scripting
– Fieldwork
– Data processing / analyses
– Data visualisation / report out
• Preparation, execution and processing of
projects delivers against defined timelines
and improves capacity utilisation
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 3
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
We have our core processes - but can we do this even better? Can AI help?
Kantar Public launched its Innovation Hub:
• to link innovation (ideas, tools, algorithm platforms)
with our recent solutions and research approaches
• to improve both quality and efficiency
• to provide more comprehensive and relevant results
• to support data science and digital start-ups and
micro-enterprises active in data, technology and AI in
the provision of evidence for use in the public sector
And to rethink our core production process
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 4
+ AI ?
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Building an AI to do statistics
and business math
Inspirient was founded on the idea that
reasoning about (semi-)structured data
can, and should, be automated
Our vision is that 10 years from now, AI
will handle typical and repetitive
human tasks autonomously, just like
microprocessors handle tasks of a 1950s human
computer
Consequently, businesses will be able to:
• Reduce the cost of their analytics operations
• Improve predictability of analytics projects
• Comprehensively look at internal and
external data
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 5
AI-derived
Results
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Intuition: Analytical reasoning closely resembles a game of chess
Computer Chess Automated Data Analysis
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 6
• Enumerate and score all valid moves, anticipating
opponents counter-moves
• Select next move based on best score
• Enumerate and score all valid analysis steps, e.g.:
 Data classifications, aggregations, regressions
• Visualize results as searchable slides
AI
Human nothing to do
• Select relevant results based on context specific to the
client and/or survey
Numeric?
Country?
ZIP code?
Likert Scale?
Aggregation?
Outliers?
String?
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Analytics is automated by orchestrating 420+ custom build classifiers to
emulate the reasoning process of a human statistician
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 7
Inspirient’s Hybrid AI uses 420+ custom built classifiers
to autonomously apply human-level analytical reasoning
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
For our processes, this means we can get now up to 80% of our client-
facing deliverables in less than 30% of the time
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 8
1–2 minutes 5 mins – 2 hours
Data Upload
Analysis Guidance
(optional)
Review of
Generated Reports
Discovery of
Additional Insights
• Datasets in Microsoft Excel,
SPSS, CSV or from
SQL data sources
• One or multiple files
• Prioritising dimensions
• Guiding the analysis
 Survey meta information
 Multiple-choice variables
• Advanced customisation
• Survey quality assessment
 Straightliners and
interviewer effect
• Contingency tables and
cross tabulations
• Most significant multivariate
regressions
• Browsing all results
• Finding most significant
statistical patterns
• Finding something new
and unusual
• Compiling a custom report
• Sharing results and reports
Automated data scan Automated analysis
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
What is more, we get to scale in-demand statistical capabilities
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 9
• Advanced analytical methods are
applied automatically whenever data
meets defined prerequisites
• Core methods include multivariate
regression analysis, Average Marginal
Effects (AME), density-based
clustering, geographic data analysis,
and key phrase extraction from natural
language text
Enabling
Technology
New
Capability
• With classified input dimensions (e.g., as socio-demographic or survey
answers), analysis is applied to all valid combinations
• Prioritisation metrics help to statistically identify which results, for
example which contingency table, has the most significant patterns
Analytical deep-dives are
comprehensively applied to
data, guaranteeing that
most relevant results are
discovered
Client Benefit
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Our digital dividend is to run one of our core business processes more
than one order of magnitude faster
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 10
Now With Inspirient
Manual analysis of survey data takes days to weeks Improved Efficiency – Deliver detailed analytical
evaluations in minutes, with more time for deep-dives
Results only available at the very end of research
projects, which can last days weeks or weeks
Quick Deliverables – Access results the moment they are
needed, with generated reports and prioritized insights
Limited visibility into results until data collection is done;
difficult to fix collection issues immediately
Preview Results during Data Collection – Preview
results to gather feedback in real time and steer project
Undetected data quality issues up to, and
including, rampant fraud
Advanced Data Validation – Collected data is more
thoroughly checked for data quality issues
Advanced analytical methods only applied selectively by
expert statisticians
Advanced Analytical Methods, Applied at Scale –
Valuable insights surfaced with automated methods
Limited audit trail of delivered results Paper Trail for Every Result – Detailed, audit-proof
documentation how each analytical result was derived
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Data analysis will become more and more commoditised, even for more
demanding deliverables
Mixed-mode Story Telling
• Prioritize and summarize
analytical results to compile
full presentations
• Generate supplementary
documents, e.g. detailed
Excel tables
Narrated Presentations
• Generate voice-over for
individual or sequenced
analytical results to further ease
consumption
• See example at
https://youtu.be/6hW9E0-OMpE
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 11
Use Case Scalability
• 2017  1 dataset
Process mining and optimization
at Deutsche Bahn
• 2018  3 dataset + real-time
Fraud detection, cyber crime
prevention, AML at BNP Paribas
• 2021  All use case datasets
Survey analytics at
Kantar Public
• 2022  100,000s datasets
Full analysis of data.europa.eu
(talk this morning)
Copyright
©
2022
by
Inspirient
GmbH.
All
rights
reserved.
Thank you for your time today
Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 12
Martin Schniedermeier
martin.schniedermeier@kantar.com
Dr. Georg Wittenburg
georg.wittenburg@inspirient.com

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Complementing Political / Social Research with AI for a Deeper Understanding of Society

  • 1. Complementing Political / Social Research with AI for a Deeper Understanding of Society Dr. Georg Wittenburg ▪ Inspirient Martin Schniedermeier ▪ Kantar Public Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit Berlin, 14 September 2022
  • 2. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 1 Dr. Georg Wittenburg Co-founder and CEO at Inspirient Martin Schniedermeier Data & Operations Global Transformation Director and Partner for Europe at Kantar Public
  • 3. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Trust is central to political and social research Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 2 Kantar Public works with clients across the world to improve public policy, public services and public communication • Partner of governments and multilateral clients in the collection and curation of data for national and international statistics and linked public information • Manage global research programs using all types of data collection methodologies • World-leading experience in running high-quality, complex multi- country studies using all recruitment methods working with a multitude of public clients – E.g. European institutions, Fundamental Rights Agency, Banks (ECB, World Bank), country governments, foundations
  • 4. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. ...and so is efficiency! • On-time delivery, high-quality data and results are based on: – Experience (team) – Effectiveness (processes) – Efficiency (innovation) • Each process step is linked to significant manual work, e.g.: – Survey scripting – Fieldwork – Data processing / analyses – Data visualisation / report out • Preparation, execution and processing of projects delivers against defined timelines and improves capacity utilisation Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 3
  • 5. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. We have our core processes - but can we do this even better? Can AI help? Kantar Public launched its Innovation Hub: • to link innovation (ideas, tools, algorithm platforms) with our recent solutions and research approaches • to improve both quality and efficiency • to provide more comprehensive and relevant results • to support data science and digital start-ups and micro-enterprises active in data, technology and AI in the provision of evidence for use in the public sector And to rethink our core production process Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 4 + AI ?
  • 6. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Building an AI to do statistics and business math Inspirient was founded on the idea that reasoning about (semi-)structured data can, and should, be automated Our vision is that 10 years from now, AI will handle typical and repetitive human tasks autonomously, just like microprocessors handle tasks of a 1950s human computer Consequently, businesses will be able to: • Reduce the cost of their analytics operations • Improve predictability of analytics projects • Comprehensively look at internal and external data Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 5 AI-derived Results
  • 7. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Intuition: Analytical reasoning closely resembles a game of chess Computer Chess Automated Data Analysis Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 6 • Enumerate and score all valid moves, anticipating opponents counter-moves • Select next move based on best score • Enumerate and score all valid analysis steps, e.g.:  Data classifications, aggregations, regressions • Visualize results as searchable slides AI Human nothing to do • Select relevant results based on context specific to the client and/or survey Numeric? Country? ZIP code? Likert Scale? Aggregation? Outliers? String?
  • 8. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Analytics is automated by orchestrating 420+ custom build classifiers to emulate the reasoning process of a human statistician Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 7 Inspirient’s Hybrid AI uses 420+ custom built classifiers to autonomously apply human-level analytical reasoning
  • 9. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. For our processes, this means we can get now up to 80% of our client- facing deliverables in less than 30% of the time Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 8 1–2 minutes 5 mins – 2 hours Data Upload Analysis Guidance (optional) Review of Generated Reports Discovery of Additional Insights • Datasets in Microsoft Excel, SPSS, CSV or from SQL data sources • One or multiple files • Prioritising dimensions • Guiding the analysis  Survey meta information  Multiple-choice variables • Advanced customisation • Survey quality assessment  Straightliners and interviewer effect • Contingency tables and cross tabulations • Most significant multivariate regressions • Browsing all results • Finding most significant statistical patterns • Finding something new and unusual • Compiling a custom report • Sharing results and reports Automated data scan Automated analysis
  • 10. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. What is more, we get to scale in-demand statistical capabilities Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 9 • Advanced analytical methods are applied automatically whenever data meets defined prerequisites • Core methods include multivariate regression analysis, Average Marginal Effects (AME), density-based clustering, geographic data analysis, and key phrase extraction from natural language text Enabling Technology New Capability • With classified input dimensions (e.g., as socio-demographic or survey answers), analysis is applied to all valid combinations • Prioritisation metrics help to statistically identify which results, for example which contingency table, has the most significant patterns Analytical deep-dives are comprehensively applied to data, guaranteeing that most relevant results are discovered Client Benefit
  • 11. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Our digital dividend is to run one of our core business processes more than one order of magnitude faster Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 10 Now With Inspirient Manual analysis of survey data takes days to weeks Improved Efficiency – Deliver detailed analytical evaluations in minutes, with more time for deep-dives Results only available at the very end of research projects, which can last days weeks or weeks Quick Deliverables – Access results the moment they are needed, with generated reports and prioritized insights Limited visibility into results until data collection is done; difficult to fix collection issues immediately Preview Results during Data Collection – Preview results to gather feedback in real time and steer project Undetected data quality issues up to, and including, rampant fraud Advanced Data Validation – Collected data is more thoroughly checked for data quality issues Advanced analytical methods only applied selectively by expert statisticians Advanced Analytical Methods, Applied at Scale – Valuable insights surfaced with automated methods Limited audit trail of delivered results Paper Trail for Every Result – Detailed, audit-proof documentation how each analytical result was derived
  • 12. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Data analysis will become more and more commoditised, even for more demanding deliverables Mixed-mode Story Telling • Prioritize and summarize analytical results to compile full presentations • Generate supplementary documents, e.g. detailed Excel tables Narrated Presentations • Generate voice-over for individual or sequenced analytical results to further ease consumption • See example at https://youtu.be/6hW9E0-OMpE Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 11 Use Case Scalability • 2017  1 dataset Process mining and optimization at Deutsche Bahn • 2018  3 dataset + real-time Fraud detection, cyber crime prevention, AML at BNP Paribas • 2021  All use case datasets Survey analytics at Kantar Public • 2022  100,000s datasets Full analysis of data.europa.eu (talk this morning)
  • 13. Copyright © 2022 by Inspirient GmbH. All rights reserved. Thank you for your time today Bitkom Big-Data.AI Summit 2022, 14.09.2022 12 Martin Schniedermeier martin.schniedermeier@kantar.com Dr. Georg Wittenburg georg.wittenburg@inspirient.com