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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 6 Issue 1, November-December 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 976
US Foreign Policy in Middle East: Problems and Perspectives
Fuzail Makhmudov
PhD, Senior Lecturer, Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems,
University of World Economy and Diplomacy, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
ABSTRACT
In this article, the author examines what role the Middle East region
plays in the foreign strategy of the United States of America and the
main approaches of the US administrations to the region. It also
provides recommendations on the future behavioral role of the United
States in the Middle East.
KEYWORDS: Middle East, system of foreign policy interests,
regional interests, strategic priorities
How to cite this paper: Fuzail
Makhmudov "US Foreign Policy in
Middle East: Problems and
Perspectives" Published in International
Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research
and Development
(ijtsrd), ISSN:
2456-6470,
Volume-6 | Issue-1,
December 2021,
pp.976-979, URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd47943.pdf
Copyright © 2021 by author(s) and
International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
Journal. This is an
Open Access article
distributed under the
terms of the Creative Commons
Attribution License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
INTRODUCTION
Undoubtedly, Middle East is a critically important
region in the system of foreign policy interests of the
United States. The region occupies a strategically
important place in the political thoughts of the United
States because of its role as an oil exporter,
aggravation in political and security issues. In
addition, enormous challenges facing Middle East
currently emphasize dramatically increased role on
the world stage.It is useful to briefly consider the
various Middle Eastern problems that are at the center
of the attention of the United States. US interests in
the Middle East are advancing in two directions:
practical and idealistic. The first direction, as
mentioned above, strongly depends on global energy
pricing. The second direction is the belief that
democracy can be established in the Middle East from
outside and, with the right approach, it can be
expected to spread in the region.
Taking into account these two factors, one of which is
a necessity and the other is transformative, it can be
argued that there are at least five main problems in
Middle East that occupy decision makers in the
United States and formulate a national security
strategy. These are instability of the state apparatus of
Middle Eastern countries, proliferation of weapons,
active international terrorism, unstable pricing of
Middle Eastern oil and Israeli-Palestinian issue.
US regional interests in general
In general, United States has a wide range of interests
in the Middle East. To a large extent, the above-
mentioned five problems facing the United States in
the region are interrelated. For example, Iraq, Syria,
Yemen are clear examples of instability in the
management plan, they are also oil-producing
countries. Iraq is currently also a major hotbed of
terrorism, embodiment of which is Islamic State,
which appeared in Iraq, and many other terrorist
organizations. Islamist terrorism, in turn, threatens
other oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia.
Similarly, the acquisition of weapons of mass
destruction, in this case nuclear, is on the agenda of
Iranian politics. This Iranian step, in turn, maylead to
the rapid proliferation of weapons programs among a
number of states in the region, which will exacerbate
general instability and jeopardize the fragile stability
in the region.
IJTSRD47943
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 977
Threats to stability, as we have already noted earlier,
can easily lead to disruptions in oil supplies or, at
least, to a sharp increase in oil prices on the
international market. Thus, although we can single
out five separate issues in the focus of US policy, in
fact, these problems are largely interrelated, which
complicates the search for adequate political
solutions. However, the political difficulties for the
United States are compounded by religious problems.
The United States has a long and continuous history
as a secular democratic republic, most of its citizens,
as well as its values, are rooted in Christian traditions.
Another simple historical fact is that the Middle East
is the core of the Islamic world, in which, with the
exception of modern Turkey and Israel, there are no
secular democratic traditions. Indeed, the separation
of church and state is a concept alien to Islam. Islam,
the traditions of the Koran and Sharia law are aspects
of everyday life in the Middle East. In addition,
centuries of violent conflicts between Islamic world
and the West are not so remote or inappropriate for
many residents of the Middle East. This
confrontational worldview, in turn, is viewed by
many Americans as paranoid, exclusive and
intolerant. This wide gap in basic thinking and
perception between the two traditions is a factor
complicating the ability of the United States to
successfully pursue perceived national interests in the
Middle East.
Any political activity of the United States in relation
to the Middle East, which once became known,
automatically arouses suspicion of a significant part
of the population of the region. The governments of
the Middle East, even those that are generally friendly
to the US position or even benefit from it, often
publicly condone anti-American “Arab street” while
offering private guarantees to US officials. All these
factors clearly complicate the diplomatic practice of
the United States. The situation is unlikely to change
soon. Despite these difficulties inherent in US policy
in the Middle East, the United States cannot simply
withdraw from this region and, accordingly, they
need to promote their national political interests as
much as possible.
As long as access to Middle Eastern oil remains an
important and, in fact, an indispensable condition for
the economic well-being of the United States, active
participation in the Middle East will continue. As
long as international terrorism is active and motivated
by terrorist-islamist ideology, US activity, including
preventive anti-terrorist actions, will continue.
Assessment of US role in region
Today, future of Middle East is determined by
external influences, at least to the same extent as they
are determined by internal events. In the US strategy,
the Middle East has become the object of a
comprehensive restructuring of the region using
democratic templates. The success of economic and
political reforms in Central and Eastern Europe in the
1990s followed by integration of former Soviet allies
into NATO, gave rise to a new school of strategic
thinking in the United States of America. Supporters
of thinking argued that the United States had enough
determination, foresight and strength to transform an
entire region through diplomacy and military force. In
fact, these two sets of tools were considered by the
first Bush administration as parts of the same
continuum [1].
However, this American attempt to reform the Middle
East did not give the expected results. The events of
the “Arab Spring” and subsequent instability in the
region can serve as examples of this statement. The
essence of the US approach is based on Alexander
Wendt’s theory of constructivism[2]. According to
this theory, the developed templates are applied to
other regions and countries. Based on this, developed
templates for “democratization” of Middle East were
rejected by the political elites in most countries of the
region. These actions have caused discontent among
American allies (such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey),
destabilized “problem states” (for example, Iraq and
Lebanon), and turned outspoken critics into open
enemies (such as Iran, Syria). Even some leading
Israeli politicians hint that US policy in the Middle
East is being developed without special consideration
for interests of Israel as America’s main ally in the
region.
The current situation shows that strategy of
democratization of the Middle East as a whole, was
the main foreign policy project of the Bush
administration, has failed. The consequence of these
failures is the growing anti-American and Islamist
sentiments in the political elite of the countries of the
region. The official Review of Russia’s Foreign
Policy, published by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
in March 2007, states that “Modern Islamic
radicalism is, in fact, a tense and dangerous, but
predictable reaction to the unilateral approach of the
United States in a post-bipolar unbalanced
international system, where American power is no
longer restrained by a global rival”.
The Obama and Trump administrations had two
diametrically opposed solutions to the problem of
relations with Middle East. Obama has pursued a
policy of appeasing Iran, a revolutionary and
expansionist regime since 1979 revolution. Thus,
after the conclusion of nuclear arms agreements in
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 978
2015, the United States postponed Iran’s progress in
acquiring nuclear weapons.
Thanks to the Abraham Agreement, the Trump
administration forced four Arab states – Bahrain,
Morocco, Sudan and the United Arab Emirates - to
normalize relations with Israel, while Saudi Arabia
remains a hidden partner. This is an important
milestone when former enemies agree to cooperate
with each other by creating an anti-Iranian coalition
in the Middle East [3]. This was part of the Trump
administration’s strategy to maintain peace in the
region through a combination of tough sanctions
against Iran and encouraging new agreements
between Arab states and Israel.
The Biden administration is determined to negotiate a
return to 2015 deal with Iran, or at least a revised
version of it, in which Iran would promise to end its
nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of
sanctions and possibly additional financial incentives.
The proof to this thesis is the lifting of sanctions
against the Houthis, the restart of financial assistance
to the Palestinian Authority (PA), which the Trump
administration stopped, linking it with the support of
terrorism by PA.
The Biden administration has outlined a new US
foreign policy, according to which economic
engagement, diplomacy and countering
authoritarianism will replace Trump’s controversial
style. But for now, the new administration is offering
a mixed approach to the Middle East. Regarding the
Biden administration’s approach, Nesrin Rudan, an
employee of the Arab Regional Forum IBA writes the
following: “It definitely differs in tone and style. In
general, Biden’s policy in the region is largely a
return and continuation of the policy of former US
President Obama”
American “leadership and exceptionalism” cannot fix
the situation in the Middle East or play an important
role in building it for a better future. The US still has
interests that need to be protected, but America needs
to be realistic, prudent and disciplined in how it
protects them.
The previous two administrations were afraid to make
commitments in the Middle East, so at the moment
Washington should have a cautious position on the
issue of intervention during the Covid era. Domestic
priorities will and should prevail over any Middle
Eastern adventures that may take up large resources
or the time of the US president. The new
administration will face the greatest challenge of
national reconstruction since the 1940s and it will not
have a world war that fueled U.S. economy and left
America the dominant power abroad. It is important
to note that adding to this crisis internal unrest caused
by serious polarization along class, racial and political
lines, as well as a loss of confidence and trust in the
governing institutions. Pressure from rising debt and
deficits will impose severe fiscal constraints on the
pursuit of vital American interests abroad.
Today, we may be forced to mix the strategic
priorities of the United States with the Middle East:
the coronavirus pandemic is damaging the lives and
livelihoods of Americans, as well as authority around
the world; extreme weather events wildfires in
California, Hurricane Laura, which hit the Gulf coast
and the growing rivalry between the United States
and China for military, economic and technological
superiority.
During the Cold War, the desire of the United States
to dominate the Middle East was mainly due to the
need to ensure a continuous flow of energy resources
to America and its allies. For most of this period, the
Persian Gulf accounted for a disproportionately large
share of the world’s oil reserves and U.S. oil imports.
Even today, oil production in the Persian Gulf
accounts for about 20 percent of global oil
production, and about a third of all offshore oil passes
through the Strait of Hormuz. Thus, maintaining
stable world oil prices still partly depends on
preventing significant disruptions in oil exports from
the Persian Gulf countries, which can cause a sudden
and sharp jump in oil prices. Simply put, the United
States now has the ability to respond quickly to price
fluctuations using market mechanisms; Middle East
crises do not affect oil prices, as is commonly
believed; and all oil-producing states, including Iran,
are interested in bringing their products to market.
“The fundamental interests of the United States in
the region have not changed simply because of the
new president” says Aron Lund, a Middle East
specialist at Swedish Defense Research Agency.
“They were basically the same under Trump, Obama
and so on. However, Trump was generally less
inclined to listen to government strategists and policy
makers. He had his own way of conducting politics
and his own understanding of America’s real
interests. Biden is a much more traditional leader”[2].
In February 2021, influential American think tank
RAND Corporation published a report stating that US
policy in the Middle East is “outdated” due to
excessive dependence on aid packages, arms sales
and “disproportionate attention to the Iranian threat,
which cannot move forward” [4]. The analytical
center proposed an alternative strategy, according to
which the United States should move from military
means to the priorities of economic investment,
governance, and diplomacy.These recommendations
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
@ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 979
have already been made by Biden’s team during the
election campaign. So far, the White House has made
significant changes regarding specific issues, such as
Iran, Palestine and Yemen. There have been some
changes in countries such as Egypt, Morocco and
Saudi Arabia, while hot spots such as Iraq, Libya and
Syria are waiting for their solutions.
The United States is facing a dilemma in the Middle
East: it is trapped in a region that it cannot transform
or leave, because it has interests, allies and opponents
there. The key to survival and success is not only
understanding the limits of American influence, but
also distinguishing between vital and secondary
interests. We believe that vital interests are those that
directly affect the security, prosperity and lifestyle of
the people of the United States.
All these do not mean that Washington should ignore
the countless problems facing the region, especially
the humanitarian crises in Syria and Yemen. But the
US cannot and should not invest heavily in issues that
are not directly related to America’s vital interests, or
to problems where local players are not ready to do
most of the hard work on their own, especially given
the other crises that America is facing.
In our opinion, the United States has three really vital
interests in the region:
1. delineation of terrorism,
2. protection of oil flows,
3. preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
Before the Trump administration pulled out of the
Iran nuclear deal, the US did a good job of protecting
them.
The Middle East will remain chaotic for years to
come. Of course, this is an unpredictable region that
can cause crises when America least expects it. But
the United States does not need to set itself up for
failure by pursuing unrealistic ambitions, acting
thoughtlessly and looking at the region as they want it
to be, and not as it really is. Biden administration’s
main strategy over region is that this is a no-man’s-
land region. And no power inside or outside the
region can dominate it as a consequence of this, the
United States is no longer a leader in the Middle East
region.
Bibliography
[1] L.Rubin, A typologies of Soft powers in Middle
East Politics, №5, Dubai School of
government: Dubai, 2010, pp. 28-30.
[2] A.Wendt, “Social theory of international
relations,” Cambridge University Press: New
York, 1999, pp. 2-6.
[3] D. Egel, Sh. Efron, l. Robinson, Peace
Dividend. Widening the Economic Growth and
Development Benefits of the Abraham
Accords, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica,
Calif. 2021.
[4] Dalia Dassa Kaye, Linda Robinson, Jeffrey
Martini, Nathan Vest, Ashley L. Rhoades,
Reimagining U.S. Strategy in the Middle East.
Sustainable Partnerships, Strategic Investments,
RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. 2021,
pp 123-125

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US Foreign Policy in Middle East Problems and Perspectives

  • 1. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) Volume 6 Issue 1, November-December 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 976 US Foreign Policy in Middle East: Problems and Perspectives Fuzail Makhmudov PhD, Senior Lecturer, Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems, University of World Economy and Diplomacy, Tashkent, Uzbekistan ABSTRACT In this article, the author examines what role the Middle East region plays in the foreign strategy of the United States of America and the main approaches of the US administrations to the region. It also provides recommendations on the future behavioral role of the United States in the Middle East. KEYWORDS: Middle East, system of foreign policy interests, regional interests, strategic priorities How to cite this paper: Fuzail Makhmudov "US Foreign Policy in Middle East: Problems and Perspectives" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-1, December 2021, pp.976-979, URL: www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd47943.pdf Copyright © 2021 by author(s) and International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development Journal. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0) INTRODUCTION Undoubtedly, Middle East is a critically important region in the system of foreign policy interests of the United States. The region occupies a strategically important place in the political thoughts of the United States because of its role as an oil exporter, aggravation in political and security issues. In addition, enormous challenges facing Middle East currently emphasize dramatically increased role on the world stage.It is useful to briefly consider the various Middle Eastern problems that are at the center of the attention of the United States. US interests in the Middle East are advancing in two directions: practical and idealistic. The first direction, as mentioned above, strongly depends on global energy pricing. The second direction is the belief that democracy can be established in the Middle East from outside and, with the right approach, it can be expected to spread in the region. Taking into account these two factors, one of which is a necessity and the other is transformative, it can be argued that there are at least five main problems in Middle East that occupy decision makers in the United States and formulate a national security strategy. These are instability of the state apparatus of Middle Eastern countries, proliferation of weapons, active international terrorism, unstable pricing of Middle Eastern oil and Israeli-Palestinian issue. US regional interests in general In general, United States has a wide range of interests in the Middle East. To a large extent, the above- mentioned five problems facing the United States in the region are interrelated. For example, Iraq, Syria, Yemen are clear examples of instability in the management plan, they are also oil-producing countries. Iraq is currently also a major hotbed of terrorism, embodiment of which is Islamic State, which appeared in Iraq, and many other terrorist organizations. Islamist terrorism, in turn, threatens other oil-producing countries, such as Saudi Arabia. Similarly, the acquisition of weapons of mass destruction, in this case nuclear, is on the agenda of Iranian politics. This Iranian step, in turn, maylead to the rapid proliferation of weapons programs among a number of states in the region, which will exacerbate general instability and jeopardize the fragile stability in the region. IJTSRD47943
  • 2. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 977 Threats to stability, as we have already noted earlier, can easily lead to disruptions in oil supplies or, at least, to a sharp increase in oil prices on the international market. Thus, although we can single out five separate issues in the focus of US policy, in fact, these problems are largely interrelated, which complicates the search for adequate political solutions. However, the political difficulties for the United States are compounded by religious problems. The United States has a long and continuous history as a secular democratic republic, most of its citizens, as well as its values, are rooted in Christian traditions. Another simple historical fact is that the Middle East is the core of the Islamic world, in which, with the exception of modern Turkey and Israel, there are no secular democratic traditions. Indeed, the separation of church and state is a concept alien to Islam. Islam, the traditions of the Koran and Sharia law are aspects of everyday life in the Middle East. In addition, centuries of violent conflicts between Islamic world and the West are not so remote or inappropriate for many residents of the Middle East. This confrontational worldview, in turn, is viewed by many Americans as paranoid, exclusive and intolerant. This wide gap in basic thinking and perception between the two traditions is a factor complicating the ability of the United States to successfully pursue perceived national interests in the Middle East. Any political activity of the United States in relation to the Middle East, which once became known, automatically arouses suspicion of a significant part of the population of the region. The governments of the Middle East, even those that are generally friendly to the US position or even benefit from it, often publicly condone anti-American “Arab street” while offering private guarantees to US officials. All these factors clearly complicate the diplomatic practice of the United States. The situation is unlikely to change soon. Despite these difficulties inherent in US policy in the Middle East, the United States cannot simply withdraw from this region and, accordingly, they need to promote their national political interests as much as possible. As long as access to Middle Eastern oil remains an important and, in fact, an indispensable condition for the economic well-being of the United States, active participation in the Middle East will continue. As long as international terrorism is active and motivated by terrorist-islamist ideology, US activity, including preventive anti-terrorist actions, will continue. Assessment of US role in region Today, future of Middle East is determined by external influences, at least to the same extent as they are determined by internal events. In the US strategy, the Middle East has become the object of a comprehensive restructuring of the region using democratic templates. The success of economic and political reforms in Central and Eastern Europe in the 1990s followed by integration of former Soviet allies into NATO, gave rise to a new school of strategic thinking in the United States of America. Supporters of thinking argued that the United States had enough determination, foresight and strength to transform an entire region through diplomacy and military force. In fact, these two sets of tools were considered by the first Bush administration as parts of the same continuum [1]. However, this American attempt to reform the Middle East did not give the expected results. The events of the “Arab Spring” and subsequent instability in the region can serve as examples of this statement. The essence of the US approach is based on Alexander Wendt’s theory of constructivism[2]. According to this theory, the developed templates are applied to other regions and countries. Based on this, developed templates for “democratization” of Middle East were rejected by the political elites in most countries of the region. These actions have caused discontent among American allies (such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey), destabilized “problem states” (for example, Iraq and Lebanon), and turned outspoken critics into open enemies (such as Iran, Syria). Even some leading Israeli politicians hint that US policy in the Middle East is being developed without special consideration for interests of Israel as America’s main ally in the region. The current situation shows that strategy of democratization of the Middle East as a whole, was the main foreign policy project of the Bush administration, has failed. The consequence of these failures is the growing anti-American and Islamist sentiments in the political elite of the countries of the region. The official Review of Russia’s Foreign Policy, published by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in March 2007, states that “Modern Islamic radicalism is, in fact, a tense and dangerous, but predictable reaction to the unilateral approach of the United States in a post-bipolar unbalanced international system, where American power is no longer restrained by a global rival”. The Obama and Trump administrations had two diametrically opposed solutions to the problem of relations with Middle East. Obama has pursued a policy of appeasing Iran, a revolutionary and expansionist regime since 1979 revolution. Thus, after the conclusion of nuclear arms agreements in
  • 3. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 978 2015, the United States postponed Iran’s progress in acquiring nuclear weapons. Thanks to the Abraham Agreement, the Trump administration forced four Arab states – Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan and the United Arab Emirates - to normalize relations with Israel, while Saudi Arabia remains a hidden partner. This is an important milestone when former enemies agree to cooperate with each other by creating an anti-Iranian coalition in the Middle East [3]. This was part of the Trump administration’s strategy to maintain peace in the region through a combination of tough sanctions against Iran and encouraging new agreements between Arab states and Israel. The Biden administration is determined to negotiate a return to 2015 deal with Iran, or at least a revised version of it, in which Iran would promise to end its nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of sanctions and possibly additional financial incentives. The proof to this thesis is the lifting of sanctions against the Houthis, the restart of financial assistance to the Palestinian Authority (PA), which the Trump administration stopped, linking it with the support of terrorism by PA. The Biden administration has outlined a new US foreign policy, according to which economic engagement, diplomacy and countering authoritarianism will replace Trump’s controversial style. But for now, the new administration is offering a mixed approach to the Middle East. Regarding the Biden administration’s approach, Nesrin Rudan, an employee of the Arab Regional Forum IBA writes the following: “It definitely differs in tone and style. In general, Biden’s policy in the region is largely a return and continuation of the policy of former US President Obama” American “leadership and exceptionalism” cannot fix the situation in the Middle East or play an important role in building it for a better future. The US still has interests that need to be protected, but America needs to be realistic, prudent and disciplined in how it protects them. The previous two administrations were afraid to make commitments in the Middle East, so at the moment Washington should have a cautious position on the issue of intervention during the Covid era. Domestic priorities will and should prevail over any Middle Eastern adventures that may take up large resources or the time of the US president. The new administration will face the greatest challenge of national reconstruction since the 1940s and it will not have a world war that fueled U.S. economy and left America the dominant power abroad. It is important to note that adding to this crisis internal unrest caused by serious polarization along class, racial and political lines, as well as a loss of confidence and trust in the governing institutions. Pressure from rising debt and deficits will impose severe fiscal constraints on the pursuit of vital American interests abroad. Today, we may be forced to mix the strategic priorities of the United States with the Middle East: the coronavirus pandemic is damaging the lives and livelihoods of Americans, as well as authority around the world; extreme weather events wildfires in California, Hurricane Laura, which hit the Gulf coast and the growing rivalry between the United States and China for military, economic and technological superiority. During the Cold War, the desire of the United States to dominate the Middle East was mainly due to the need to ensure a continuous flow of energy resources to America and its allies. For most of this period, the Persian Gulf accounted for a disproportionately large share of the world’s oil reserves and U.S. oil imports. Even today, oil production in the Persian Gulf accounts for about 20 percent of global oil production, and about a third of all offshore oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Thus, maintaining stable world oil prices still partly depends on preventing significant disruptions in oil exports from the Persian Gulf countries, which can cause a sudden and sharp jump in oil prices. Simply put, the United States now has the ability to respond quickly to price fluctuations using market mechanisms; Middle East crises do not affect oil prices, as is commonly believed; and all oil-producing states, including Iran, are interested in bringing their products to market. “The fundamental interests of the United States in the region have not changed simply because of the new president” says Aron Lund, a Middle East specialist at Swedish Defense Research Agency. “They were basically the same under Trump, Obama and so on. However, Trump was generally less inclined to listen to government strategists and policy makers. He had his own way of conducting politics and his own understanding of America’s real interests. Biden is a much more traditional leader”[2]. In February 2021, influential American think tank RAND Corporation published a report stating that US policy in the Middle East is “outdated” due to excessive dependence on aid packages, arms sales and “disproportionate attention to the Iranian threat, which cannot move forward” [4]. The analytical center proposed an alternative strategy, according to which the United States should move from military means to the priorities of economic investment, governance, and diplomacy.These recommendations
  • 4. International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470 @ IJTSRD | Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD47943 | Volume – 6 | Issue – 1 | Nov-Dec 2021 Page 979 have already been made by Biden’s team during the election campaign. So far, the White House has made significant changes regarding specific issues, such as Iran, Palestine and Yemen. There have been some changes in countries such as Egypt, Morocco and Saudi Arabia, while hot spots such as Iraq, Libya and Syria are waiting for their solutions. The United States is facing a dilemma in the Middle East: it is trapped in a region that it cannot transform or leave, because it has interests, allies and opponents there. The key to survival and success is not only understanding the limits of American influence, but also distinguishing between vital and secondary interests. We believe that vital interests are those that directly affect the security, prosperity and lifestyle of the people of the United States. All these do not mean that Washington should ignore the countless problems facing the region, especially the humanitarian crises in Syria and Yemen. But the US cannot and should not invest heavily in issues that are not directly related to America’s vital interests, or to problems where local players are not ready to do most of the hard work on their own, especially given the other crises that America is facing. In our opinion, the United States has three really vital interests in the region: 1. delineation of terrorism, 2. protection of oil flows, 3. preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Before the Trump administration pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal, the US did a good job of protecting them. The Middle East will remain chaotic for years to come. Of course, this is an unpredictable region that can cause crises when America least expects it. But the United States does not need to set itself up for failure by pursuing unrealistic ambitions, acting thoughtlessly and looking at the region as they want it to be, and not as it really is. Biden administration’s main strategy over region is that this is a no-man’s- land region. And no power inside or outside the region can dominate it as a consequence of this, the United States is no longer a leader in the Middle East region. Bibliography [1] L.Rubin, A typologies of Soft powers in Middle East Politics, №5, Dubai School of government: Dubai, 2010, pp. 28-30. [2] A.Wendt, “Social theory of international relations,” Cambridge University Press: New York, 1999, pp. 2-6. [3] D. Egel, Sh. Efron, l. Robinson, Peace Dividend. Widening the Economic Growth and Development Benefits of the Abraham Accords, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. 2021. [4] Dalia Dassa Kaye, Linda Robinson, Jeffrey Martini, Nathan Vest, Ashley L. Rhoades, Reimagining U.S. Strategy in the Middle East. Sustainable Partnerships, Strategic Investments, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. 2021, pp 123-125