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Impact of Early Hypertension Control on CV Events in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes OCONNER
1. Impact of Early Hypertension
Control on CV Events in Adults
with Type 2 Diabetes
Patrick J. O’Connor MD MA MPH1, Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez Ph.D. 1,
Julie A. Schmittdiel Ph.D.2, Emily D. Parker Ph.D. 1, Nicole K. Trower BS1,
Jay R. Desai MPH1 , Karen L. Margolis MD MPH1, David J. Magid MD MPH3
1HealthPartnersResearch Foundation, Minneapolis, MN;
2Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, Oakland, CA
3Kaiser Permanente of Colorado, Denver, CO; Division of Research,
2. Duality of Interest: Dr. O’Connor
• No duality of Interest
• Funded by AHRQ HHSA 290-2005-0033-I
3. Significance
• About 70% of T2DM patients have
hypertension
• Uncontrolled BP control increases risk of both
macro and micro complications
• Timing of BP control has not been well studied
• Debate between BP < 130/80 versus < 140/90
• Time lag from control to benefit not very well
defined
4. Design, Study Sites, Data Sources
• Retrospective Cohort Study
• 3-HMO sites: KP Colorado, KP Northern
California, HealthPartners
• CVRN Hypertension Superset
• Years of Data: 2003-2009
• Used about 10 Data Tables:
demo, vitals, Dx, Rx, diagnoses, enrollment, ut
ilization, etc.
5. Study Subjects
• Age 30-74 years
• Already have T2DM, then get new-onset HT
• No CHD or CeVD at date of HT onset
• HT Onset Date= Second of 2+ consecutive
dates with elevated EBP
• Must have >1 yr follow up after hypertension
onset; AND >= 2 BP measures within 12
months of HT onset date
6. Blood Pressure Measures: Within
12 months of HT Onset Date
• Hypertension control status:
mean of all (2+) SBP/DBP measures within the first year
a. SBP < 130 AND DBP < 80
b. SBP >= 140, OR DBP >= 90
c. Else SBP 130-139 and DBP 80-89
• Hypertension recognition: was there 1+ HT
diagnosis code (401.xx) within first year
• Hypertension treatment initiation: 1+ fills for HT
medication within the first year
• Systolic BP at HT onset (mean of 2 SBP measures)
7. Covariate Definitions
• 10-Year Framingham CV risk score (FRS)
(D’Agostino 2008)
• Diabetes Microvascular severity score
• Count of common diabetes complications based
on ICD-9 codes (Young, et al @GHC, AJMC 2008)
• Risk factors (age, gender, race, BMI, smoking,
HDL, Total Cholesterol)
8. Outcome Definitions
Major CV events ascertained using inpatient
claims data from 1 year after HT onset date to
censoring date (mean of 38 months follow-up)
Major CV Events Included:
• Acute myocardial infarction (410.xx)
• Cerebrovascular event (430.xx-434.xx, 436.xx)
9. Analysis Plan
• Consistency of data across sites was assessed
• Age adjusted incident CV event rates in 38
month follow-up period by categories of BP
control, HT identification, and HT Treatment
within 12 months of HT Onset
• Incidence Rate Ratio of BP control defined as
– <130/80 vs. >= 130/80 mmHg
– 140/90 vs. >= 140/90 mmHg
Adjusting for FRS, micro complication score, and site
11. Table 1. Characteristics of patients with diabetes and new
onset hypertension (HT) classified by BP status in the 12-month
after HT date of onset.*
Characteristic <130/80 mmHg 130-140 /80-90 >=140/90 mmHg
mmHg
Number of Subjects 5158 7409 3098
Mean age at baseline± SD, years 51.2 10.5 51.2 10.3 53.0 10.4
Female 51.3% 42.5% 39.7%
Lipids-Framingham Risk Categories†
<10% 35.0% 29.3% 16.8%
10-19% 36.1% 37.9% 34.8%
20+% 28.9% 32.9% 38.4%
Microvascular diabetes complications at baseline††
None 74.0% 80.5% 80.2%
Mean SBP at onset ± SD, mmHg 133.1 + 8.5 135.9 + 8.5 145.3 + 10.8
Mean SBP w 1 yr HT onset ± SD, mmHg 122.2 + 5.4 131.7 + 5.5 145.9 + 8.4
A1c %
<7% 48.5% 46.6% 44.1%
7-7.9% 20.2% 21.5% 22.3%
8+% 25.5% 26.4% 30.4%
Not Available 5.7% 5.5% 3.2%
12. Table 2. Rates of hypertension recognition, hypertension treatment initiation and BP
control status within 12-months of HT onset in patients with diabetes and incident
hypertension. Incident hypertension was based on two or more consecutive BP
measures >= 130/80 mmHg.
Systolic BP Number Percent with Percent Percent with specified BP Status in the 12 month
Status at of HT Started on period after date of HT onset*
Time of HT Subjects Recognition HT
Onset (mmHg) (diagnosis Medications
Code) within Within 12 <130/80 130-140/80-90 ≥140/90 mmHg
12 months of Months of mmHg mmHg
HT onset HT onset
<130** 2,821 13.1 25.1 49.5 45.8 4.6
130-139 6,643 21.2 34.7 38.1 52.5 9.4
≥140 6,201 46.1 53.6 19.9 42.4 37.8
Overall 15,665 29.6 40.5 32.9 47.3 19.8
*Based on a median of 4 BP measures per patient in the 12-month period.
**Subjects classified as hypertensive with SBP < 130 mmHg had DBP >= 80 mmHg
13. Table 3. Age adjusted rates of Major CV Events per 1000 person years as a function of baseline
BP status, BP control status in the 12 months after hypertension (HT) onset, BP medication
initiation in the 12-months after hypertension onset, and hypertension recognition in the 12
months after hypertension onset.
Characteristics Cerebrovascular Event Acute Myocardial Total Major
Infarction Cardiovascular Event*
2.76(2.34-3.26) 3.37(2.90-3.92) 5.90(5.26-6.62)
Mean SBP at HT onset
<130 3.16(2.10-4.76) 2.05(1.24-3.40) 5.10(3.69-7.04)
130-139 2.17(1.62-2.90) 2.22(1.67-2.96) 4.27(3.47-5.25)
140+ 2.54(1.95-3.31) 4.34(3.27-5.71) 6.94(5.57-8.64)
p-value 0.33 <.0001 .004
Blood pressure status in the first
year after HT onset
<130/80 2.11(1.51-2.94) 2.76(2.06-3.71) 4.75(3.80-5.95)
130-139/80-89 2.50(1.93-3.23) 2.76(2.16-3.52) 5.02(4.19-6.02)
140+/90+ 3.01(2.17-4.19) 4.32(3.27-5.71) 6.94(5.57-8.64)
p-value 0.31 0.03 0.03
HT treatment initiation in the first
year
Yes 2.62(2.01-3.42) 3.42(2.70-4.32) 5.77(4.82-6.92)
No 2.40(1.90-3.03) 2.89(2.34-3.51) 5.07(4.32-5.96)
p-value 0.60 0.28 0.27
HT recognition in the first year
Yes 2.54(1.87-3.45) 3.26(2.48-4.28) 5.46(4.42-6.73)
No 2.46(1.98-3.05) 3.03(2.50-3.68) 5.31(4.58-6.15)
p-value 0.86 0.83 0.66
Rates were calculated using Poisson regression model with age centered at the mean of the population; p-values
correspond to type 3 likelihood ratio statistics.
*Total major cardiovascular events include myocardial infarction, hemorrhagic stroke, and thrombotic stroke.
14. Rate Ratios (95% CI ) for Cerebrovascular Event (CeVD), Acute Myocardial Infarction
(MI) and Total Major Cardiovascular Events (Any) estimated based on mean BP in the
12-month period after hypertension of: (a) above versus below 130/80 mmHg, and
(b) above versus below 140/90 mmHg
15. Conclusions—1
• BP control to < 140/90 mmHg within 12
months of HT Onset date was associated with
significantly lower rates of Total CV Events and
MI within a mean f/u period of 38 months.
• BP control to < 130/80 mmHg did not show
benefits that were as significant.
• Early BP control within 1 year of HT onset may
provide important clinical benefits to patients
in a relatively short period of time.
16. Conclusions—2
• Patients with higher baseline FRS or
microvascular complications index (more
severe DM) had a greater absolute (but not
relative) risk reduction in number of CV events
prevented by early BP control.
• However, the difference was not statistically
significant
• Larger or longer study needed to fully resolve
17. Conclusions—3
• Many patients with new onset HT returned to
normal BP levels in absence of a HT diagnosis
or HT medications.
• It may be that some of this related to lifestyle
changes, but other possibilities include:
– Accuracy and consistency of BP measures
– Need to revise diagnostic criteria for HT to require
more elevated BP readings, or higher BP readings.