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Impact of Early Hypertension
        Control on CV Events in Adults
            with Type 2 Diabetes


Patrick J. O’Connor MD MA MPH1, Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez Ph.D. 1,
Julie A. Schmittdiel Ph.D.2, Emily D. Parker Ph.D. 1, Nicole K. Trower BS1,
Jay R. Desai MPH1 , Karen L. Margolis MD MPH1, David J. Magid MD MPH3

1HealthPartnersResearch Foundation, Minneapolis, MN;
2Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, Oakland, CA

3Kaiser Permanente of Colorado, Denver, CO; Division of Research,
Duality of Interest: Dr. O’Connor

• No duality of Interest



• Funded by AHRQ HHSA 290-2005-0033-I
Significance
• About 70% of T2DM patients have
  hypertension
• Uncontrolled BP control increases risk of both
  macro and micro complications
• Timing of BP control has not been well studied
• Debate between BP < 130/80 versus < 140/90
• Time lag from control to benefit not very well
  defined
Design, Study Sites, Data Sources
• Retrospective Cohort Study
• 3-HMO sites: KP Colorado, KP Northern
  California, HealthPartners
• CVRN Hypertension Superset
• Years of Data: 2003-2009
• Used about 10 Data Tables:
  demo, vitals, Dx, Rx, diagnoses, enrollment, ut
  ilization, etc.
Study Subjects
• Age 30-74 years
• Already have T2DM, then get new-onset HT
• No CHD or CeVD at date of HT onset
• HT Onset Date= Second of 2+ consecutive
  dates with elevated EBP
• Must have >1 yr follow up after hypertension
  onset; AND >= 2 BP measures within 12
  months of HT onset date
Blood Pressure Measures: Within
   12 months of HT Onset Date
• Hypertension control status:
   mean of all (2+) SBP/DBP measures within the first year
    a. SBP < 130 AND DBP < 80
    b. SBP >= 140, OR DBP >= 90
    c. Else SBP 130-139 and DBP 80-89
• Hypertension recognition: was there 1+ HT
  diagnosis code (401.xx) within first year
• Hypertension treatment initiation: 1+ fills for HT
  medication within the first year
• Systolic BP at HT onset (mean of 2 SBP measures)
Covariate Definitions
• 10-Year Framingham CV risk score (FRS)
  (D’Agostino 2008)
• Diabetes Microvascular severity score
  • Count of common diabetes complications based
    on ICD-9 codes (Young, et al @GHC, AJMC 2008)
• Risk factors (age, gender, race, BMI, smoking,
  HDL, Total Cholesterol)
Outcome Definitions
Major CV events ascertained using inpatient
  claims data from 1 year after HT onset date to
  censoring date (mean of 38 months follow-up)
Major CV Events Included:
• Acute myocardial infarction (410.xx)
• Cerebrovascular event (430.xx-434.xx, 436.xx)
Analysis Plan
• Consistency of data across sites was assessed
• Age adjusted incident CV event rates in 38
  month follow-up period by categories of BP
  control, HT identification, and HT Treatment
  within 12 months of HT Onset
• Incidence Rate Ratio of BP control defined as
  – <130/80 vs. >= 130/80 mmHg
  – 140/90 vs. >= 140/90 mmHg
  Adjusting for FRS, micro complication score, and site
Diabetes with Incident hypertension cohort
     based on study exclusion criteria
Table 1. Characteristics of patients with diabetes and new
onset hypertension (HT) classified by BP status in the 12-month
                   after HT date of onset.*

 Characteristic                                       <130/80 mmHg   130-140 /80-90   >=140/90 mmHg
                                                                     mmHg

 Number of Subjects                                   5158           7409             3098


 Mean age at baseline± SD, years                      51.2 10.5      51.2 10.3        53.0 10.4
 Female                                               51.3%          42.5%            39.7%
 Lipids-Framingham Risk Categories†
   <10%                                               35.0%          29.3%            16.8%
   10-19%                                             36.1%          37.9%            34.8%
   20+%                                               28.9%          32.9%            38.4%
 Microvascular diabetes complications at baseline††


   None                                               74.0%          80.5%            80.2%
 Mean SBP at onset ± SD, mmHg                         133.1 + 8.5    135.9 + 8.5      145.3 + 10.8
 Mean SBP w 1 yr HT onset ± SD, mmHg                  122.2 + 5.4    131.7 + 5.5      145.9 + 8.4
 A1c %
   <7%                                                48.5%          46.6%            44.1%
   7-7.9%                                             20.2%          21.5%            22.3%
   8+%                                                25.5%          26.4%            30.4%
   Not Available                                      5.7%           5.5%             3.2%
Table 2. Rates of hypertension recognition, hypertension treatment initiation and BP
 control status within 12-months of HT onset in patients with diabetes and incident
  hypertension. Incident hypertension was based on two or more consecutive BP
                            measures >= 130/80 mmHg.

       Systolic BP        Number        Percent with           Percent         Percent with specified BP Status in the 12 month
        Status at           of               HT              Started on                 period after date of HT onset*
       Time of HT         Subjects      Recognition              HT
      Onset (mmHg)                       (diagnosis          Medications
                                        Code) within          Within 12          <130/80        130-140/80-90    ≥140/90 mmHg
                                        12 months of         Months of           mmHg              mmHg
                                          HT onset            HT onset



     <130**                2,821            13.1                 25.1             49.5              45.8              4.6

     130-139               6,643            21.2                 34.7             38.1              52.5              9.4

     ≥140                  6,201            46.1                 53.6             19.9              42.4             37.8

     Overall             15,665             29.6                 40.5             32.9              47.3             19.8

*Based on a median of 4 BP measures per patient in the 12-month period.
**Subjects classified as hypertensive with SBP < 130 mmHg had DBP >= 80 mmHg
Table 3. Age adjusted rates of Major CV Events per 1000 person years as a function of baseline
  BP status, BP control status in the 12 months after hypertension (HT) onset, BP medication
 initiation in the 12-months after hypertension onset, and hypertension recognition in the 12
                                months after hypertension onset.

  Characteristics                        Cerebrovascular Event         Acute Myocardial                 Total Major
                                                                          Infarction               Cardiovascular Event*
                                         2.76(2.34-3.26)          3.37(2.90-3.92)                5.90(5.26-6.62)
  Mean SBP at HT onset
                 <130                    3.16(2.10-4.76)          2.05(1.24-3.40)                5.10(3.69-7.04)
                130-139                  2.17(1.62-2.90)          2.22(1.67-2.96)                4.27(3.47-5.25)
                 140+                    2.54(1.95-3.31)          4.34(3.27-5.71)                6.94(5.57-8.64)
                p-value                            0.33                      <.0001                          .004
  Blood pressure status in the first
  year after HT onset
                <130/80                  2.11(1.51-2.94)          2.76(2.06-3.71)                4.75(3.80-5.95)
             130-139/80-89               2.50(1.93-3.23)          2.76(2.16-3.52)                5.02(4.19-6.02)
               140+/90+                  3.01(2.17-4.19)          4.32(3.27-5.71)                6.94(5.57-8.64)
                p-value                            0.31                       0.03                           0.03
  HT treatment initiation in the first
  year
                  Yes                    2.62(2.01-3.42)          3.42(2.70-4.32)                5.77(4.82-6.92)
                  No                     2.40(1.90-3.03)          2.89(2.34-3.51)                5.07(4.32-5.96)
                p-value                            0.60                       0.28                           0.27
  HT recognition in the first year
                  Yes                    2.54(1.87-3.45)          3.26(2.48-4.28)                5.46(4.42-6.73)
                  No                     2.46(1.98-3.05)          3.03(2.50-3.68)                5.31(4.58-6.15)
                p-value                            0.86                       0.83                           0.66

   Rates were calculated using Poisson regression model with age centered at the mean of the population; p-values
   correspond to type 3 likelihood ratio statistics.
   *Total major cardiovascular events include myocardial infarction, hemorrhagic stroke, and thrombotic stroke.
Rate Ratios (95% CI ) for Cerebrovascular Event (CeVD), Acute Myocardial Infarction
(MI) and Total Major Cardiovascular Events (Any) estimated based on mean BP in the
 12-month period after hypertension of: (a) above versus below 130/80 mmHg, and
                         (b) above versus below 140/90 mmHg
Conclusions—1
• BP control to < 140/90 mmHg within 12
  months of HT Onset date was associated with
  significantly lower rates of Total CV Events and
  MI within a mean f/u period of 38 months.
• BP control to < 130/80 mmHg did not show
  benefits that were as significant.
• Early BP control within 1 year of HT onset may
  provide important clinical benefits to patients
  in a relatively short period of time.
Conclusions—2
• Patients with higher baseline FRS or
  microvascular complications index (more
  severe DM) had a greater absolute (but not
  relative) risk reduction in number of CV events
  prevented by early BP control.
• However, the difference was not statistically
  significant
• Larger or longer study needed to fully resolve
Conclusions—3
• Many patients with new onset HT returned to
  normal BP levels in absence of a HT diagnosis
  or HT medications.
• It may be that some of this related to lifestyle
  changes, but other possibilities include:
  – Accuracy and consistency of BP measures
  – Need to revise diagnostic criteria for HT to require
    more elevated BP readings, or higher BP readings.
More Information?


Please Contact:

Patrick.j.oconnor@healthpartners.com

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Impact of Early Hypertension Control on CV Events in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes OCONNER

  • 1. Impact of Early Hypertension Control on CV Events in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes Patrick J. O’Connor MD MA MPH1, Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez Ph.D. 1, Julie A. Schmittdiel Ph.D.2, Emily D. Parker Ph.D. 1, Nicole K. Trower BS1, Jay R. Desai MPH1 , Karen L. Margolis MD MPH1, David J. Magid MD MPH3 1HealthPartnersResearch Foundation, Minneapolis, MN; 2Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, Oakland, CA 3Kaiser Permanente of Colorado, Denver, CO; Division of Research,
  • 2. Duality of Interest: Dr. O’Connor • No duality of Interest • Funded by AHRQ HHSA 290-2005-0033-I
  • 3. Significance • About 70% of T2DM patients have hypertension • Uncontrolled BP control increases risk of both macro and micro complications • Timing of BP control has not been well studied • Debate between BP < 130/80 versus < 140/90 • Time lag from control to benefit not very well defined
  • 4. Design, Study Sites, Data Sources • Retrospective Cohort Study • 3-HMO sites: KP Colorado, KP Northern California, HealthPartners • CVRN Hypertension Superset • Years of Data: 2003-2009 • Used about 10 Data Tables: demo, vitals, Dx, Rx, diagnoses, enrollment, ut ilization, etc.
  • 5. Study Subjects • Age 30-74 years • Already have T2DM, then get new-onset HT • No CHD or CeVD at date of HT onset • HT Onset Date= Second of 2+ consecutive dates with elevated EBP • Must have >1 yr follow up after hypertension onset; AND >= 2 BP measures within 12 months of HT onset date
  • 6. Blood Pressure Measures: Within 12 months of HT Onset Date • Hypertension control status: mean of all (2+) SBP/DBP measures within the first year a. SBP < 130 AND DBP < 80 b. SBP >= 140, OR DBP >= 90 c. Else SBP 130-139 and DBP 80-89 • Hypertension recognition: was there 1+ HT diagnosis code (401.xx) within first year • Hypertension treatment initiation: 1+ fills for HT medication within the first year • Systolic BP at HT onset (mean of 2 SBP measures)
  • 7. Covariate Definitions • 10-Year Framingham CV risk score (FRS) (D’Agostino 2008) • Diabetes Microvascular severity score • Count of common diabetes complications based on ICD-9 codes (Young, et al @GHC, AJMC 2008) • Risk factors (age, gender, race, BMI, smoking, HDL, Total Cholesterol)
  • 8. Outcome Definitions Major CV events ascertained using inpatient claims data from 1 year after HT onset date to censoring date (mean of 38 months follow-up) Major CV Events Included: • Acute myocardial infarction (410.xx) • Cerebrovascular event (430.xx-434.xx, 436.xx)
  • 9. Analysis Plan • Consistency of data across sites was assessed • Age adjusted incident CV event rates in 38 month follow-up period by categories of BP control, HT identification, and HT Treatment within 12 months of HT Onset • Incidence Rate Ratio of BP control defined as – <130/80 vs. >= 130/80 mmHg – 140/90 vs. >= 140/90 mmHg Adjusting for FRS, micro complication score, and site
  • 10. Diabetes with Incident hypertension cohort based on study exclusion criteria
  • 11. Table 1. Characteristics of patients with diabetes and new onset hypertension (HT) classified by BP status in the 12-month after HT date of onset.* Characteristic <130/80 mmHg 130-140 /80-90 >=140/90 mmHg mmHg Number of Subjects 5158 7409 3098 Mean age at baseline± SD, years 51.2 10.5 51.2 10.3 53.0 10.4 Female 51.3% 42.5% 39.7% Lipids-Framingham Risk Categories† <10% 35.0% 29.3% 16.8% 10-19% 36.1% 37.9% 34.8% 20+% 28.9% 32.9% 38.4% Microvascular diabetes complications at baseline†† None 74.0% 80.5% 80.2% Mean SBP at onset ± SD, mmHg 133.1 + 8.5 135.9 + 8.5 145.3 + 10.8 Mean SBP w 1 yr HT onset ± SD, mmHg 122.2 + 5.4 131.7 + 5.5 145.9 + 8.4 A1c % <7% 48.5% 46.6% 44.1% 7-7.9% 20.2% 21.5% 22.3% 8+% 25.5% 26.4% 30.4% Not Available 5.7% 5.5% 3.2%
  • 12. Table 2. Rates of hypertension recognition, hypertension treatment initiation and BP control status within 12-months of HT onset in patients with diabetes and incident hypertension. Incident hypertension was based on two or more consecutive BP measures >= 130/80 mmHg. Systolic BP Number Percent with Percent Percent with specified BP Status in the 12 month Status at of HT Started on period after date of HT onset* Time of HT Subjects Recognition HT Onset (mmHg) (diagnosis Medications Code) within Within 12 <130/80 130-140/80-90 ≥140/90 mmHg 12 months of Months of mmHg mmHg HT onset HT onset <130** 2,821 13.1 25.1 49.5 45.8 4.6 130-139 6,643 21.2 34.7 38.1 52.5 9.4 ≥140 6,201 46.1 53.6 19.9 42.4 37.8 Overall 15,665 29.6 40.5 32.9 47.3 19.8 *Based on a median of 4 BP measures per patient in the 12-month period. **Subjects classified as hypertensive with SBP < 130 mmHg had DBP >= 80 mmHg
  • 13. Table 3. Age adjusted rates of Major CV Events per 1000 person years as a function of baseline BP status, BP control status in the 12 months after hypertension (HT) onset, BP medication initiation in the 12-months after hypertension onset, and hypertension recognition in the 12 months after hypertension onset. Characteristics Cerebrovascular Event Acute Myocardial Total Major Infarction Cardiovascular Event* 2.76(2.34-3.26) 3.37(2.90-3.92) 5.90(5.26-6.62) Mean SBP at HT onset <130 3.16(2.10-4.76) 2.05(1.24-3.40) 5.10(3.69-7.04) 130-139 2.17(1.62-2.90) 2.22(1.67-2.96) 4.27(3.47-5.25) 140+ 2.54(1.95-3.31) 4.34(3.27-5.71) 6.94(5.57-8.64) p-value 0.33 <.0001 .004 Blood pressure status in the first year after HT onset <130/80 2.11(1.51-2.94) 2.76(2.06-3.71) 4.75(3.80-5.95) 130-139/80-89 2.50(1.93-3.23) 2.76(2.16-3.52) 5.02(4.19-6.02) 140+/90+ 3.01(2.17-4.19) 4.32(3.27-5.71) 6.94(5.57-8.64) p-value 0.31 0.03 0.03 HT treatment initiation in the first year Yes 2.62(2.01-3.42) 3.42(2.70-4.32) 5.77(4.82-6.92) No 2.40(1.90-3.03) 2.89(2.34-3.51) 5.07(4.32-5.96) p-value 0.60 0.28 0.27 HT recognition in the first year Yes 2.54(1.87-3.45) 3.26(2.48-4.28) 5.46(4.42-6.73) No 2.46(1.98-3.05) 3.03(2.50-3.68) 5.31(4.58-6.15) p-value 0.86 0.83 0.66 Rates were calculated using Poisson regression model with age centered at the mean of the population; p-values correspond to type 3 likelihood ratio statistics. *Total major cardiovascular events include myocardial infarction, hemorrhagic stroke, and thrombotic stroke.
  • 14. Rate Ratios (95% CI ) for Cerebrovascular Event (CeVD), Acute Myocardial Infarction (MI) and Total Major Cardiovascular Events (Any) estimated based on mean BP in the 12-month period after hypertension of: (a) above versus below 130/80 mmHg, and (b) above versus below 140/90 mmHg
  • 15. Conclusions—1 • BP control to < 140/90 mmHg within 12 months of HT Onset date was associated with significantly lower rates of Total CV Events and MI within a mean f/u period of 38 months. • BP control to < 130/80 mmHg did not show benefits that were as significant. • Early BP control within 1 year of HT onset may provide important clinical benefits to patients in a relatively short period of time.
  • 16. Conclusions—2 • Patients with higher baseline FRS or microvascular complications index (more severe DM) had a greater absolute (but not relative) risk reduction in number of CV events prevented by early BP control. • However, the difference was not statistically significant • Larger or longer study needed to fully resolve
  • 17. Conclusions—3 • Many patients with new onset HT returned to normal BP levels in absence of a HT diagnosis or HT medications. • It may be that some of this related to lifestyle changes, but other possibilities include: – Accuracy and consistency of BP measures – Need to revise diagnostic criteria for HT to require more elevated BP readings, or higher BP readings.