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Factors Influencing Initial Total
     Mastectomy Rate for
    Invasive Breast Cancer
     Heather Spencer Feigelson, PhD, MPH

         Institute for Health Research
         Kaiser Permanente Colorado
Purpose
 Using a multi-institution Breast Cancer
 Surgical Outcomes (BRCASO) database, we
 analyzed how practice, patient, and tumor
 characteristics contributed to variation in initial
 total mastectomy (TM) for invasive breast
 cancer.
The BRCASO Study
        U Vermont
   Database established
     By McCahill et al                                            KPCO
          Chart
                                              VDW
        Abstraction
                                               and                GHRI
                                              Chart
                                            Abstraction

    Van Andel Institute
(Data Coordinating Center)
                                                                  Marshfield


                             For detail, see Aiello Bowles, et al, BMC Cancer, 2012
BRCASO Database
  Female breast cancer cases, 2003–2008
  18 years and older at diagnosis
  Initial breast cancer surgery performed by a surgeon
   employed by a BRCASO study site
  Includes 4684 breast cancers in 4580 women
Analysis of Variation in Total Mastectomy
    Excluded:
      stage 0 and stage IV
      patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy
      inflammatory breast cancer
      multifocal or multicentric disease
      prior breast cancer or prior chest radiation

    Included:
      2384 breast cancers
      397 (16.7%) mastectomies as first procedure
Analysis
 Bivariate analysis followed by logistic regression
    Covariates that were statistically significantly associated with TM rate in bivariate
       analysis were included in the multivariate analysis


 Random effects models were used to examine the impact of individual
   surgeon on TM variation

 Due to the greater feasibility of breast conservation with smaller tumors, we
   conducted analyses on all tumors and then separately for tumors <20mm
Frequency of TM by Patient Characteristics
                                        All
                                      Tumors                    <20mm
                variable        N      % TM    p-value    N      %TM   p-value
  Age             <45          189     23.81             109     16.51
                 45-54         528     17.05             355      10.7
                 55-64         656     12.35             488      6.15
                 65-74         528     15.91             403     10.17
                 >=75          483     20.08   0.0005    357     13.73 0.0011

Ethnicity      Caucasian       1859   15.44              1349    9.79
            African-American   49     16.33              28      7.14
                  Asian        59      32.2              32     21.88
                 Hispanic      44     18.18              29      6.9
            Other/unknown      373    20.11    0.0037    274    12.04   0.1583

Insurance     Commercial       1240   15.16              865     8.9
               Medicare        1012   17.79              761    11.56
               Medicaid         37    16.22              22      4.55
             Private/Other      91    24.18    0.0841    61     14.75   0.1534
Initial Total Mastectomy is Strongly
     Associated with Tumor Size
                                                        71.88


P for trend<0.0001
                                              48.98


                                    36.54


                      23.33


             11.36
  8.49


                                1
 <10mm      10-20mm   20-30mm       30-40mm   40-50mm   >50mm


 73% of all tumors
Frequency of TM by Tumor Characteristics
                                        All
                                      Tumors                   <20mm

                    variable    N     % TM p-value       N     %TM     p-value
 Tumor Type           IDC      2129   15.64             1556   10.15
                      ILC      255     25.1    0.0001   156    11.84   0.5873


    Grade         Low/Medium   1723   13.52             1350    8.96

                     High      638    24.76 <0.0001     343    14.87   0.0012



Receptor Status     ER/PR+     2044   15.56             1512    9.72
                    ER/PR-     325    23.08    0.0007   188    14.36   0.0478
Frequency of TM by Practice Characteristics
                                       All
                                     Tumors                    <20mm
                  variable     N     % TM     p-value    N     %TM     p-value
 Use of pre-
operative MRI       No        2199   15.55              1585    9.65
                    Yes        185   29.73    <.0001     127   18.11   0.0025

     Site            1        549    10.38              407     5.16
                     2        849    20.97              579    14.16
                     3        763    17.82              536    10.63
                     4        223    11.66    <.0001    190     8.42   <.0001


Surgeon Volume
   (cases/yr)    <=10 cases    533    18.2              380    13.16
                   11-25      1035   17.97              738    11.38
                   26-49       222   14.86              172     7.56
                   >=50       594    13.64    0.0851    422     6.87   0.0113
Multivariate Analysis of Mastectomy Rates
                                           OR     95% CI     p-value
         Age group              <45       1.63   1.00-2.66    0.003
                               45-54      1.29   0.88-1.88
                               55-64       ref
                               65-74      1.36   0.93-1.99
                               >=75       2.09   1.43-3.05

         Ethnicity            Caucasian    ref
                                Asian     2.17   1.11-4.27    0.04

      Max Tumor Size                      1.06   1.05-1.07   <.0001

       Tumor Grade           low/medium   ref                0.004
                                 high     1.6    1.17-2.19

  Use of pre-operative MRI       No        ref
                                 Yes      2.44   1.58-3.77   <.0001
Observed and Expected Initial Total
  Mastectomy Rates by Surgeon


          Median OR=1.86 (95% CI: 1.60-2.47, p<0.001)
Conclusions
   Tumor size, high nuclear grade and patient age were all
    important predictors of initial total mastectomy.

   The high variability of TM frequency by individual
    surgeon and the influence of pre-operative MRI are of
    concern, and deserve further study.
       Even when limited to tumors <20mm


   Our results are generalizable to the majority of breast
    cancer practice patterns in the U.S.
Acknowledgements:
Lacks Cancer Center/ Van Andel Research Institute, MI
      Laurence McCahill, MD – PI
      Tom Barney

University of Vermont:
       Ted James, MD, Richard Single, PhD, Hannah Sheehey-Jones, Jordan Bakerman

Marshfield Clinic:
       Adedayo Onitilo, MD, Jessica Engel

Group Health:
       Erin Aiello Bowles, Gabrielle Gundersen

Kaiser Permanente Colorado:
       Kimberly Bischoff, Andrew Sterrett, PhD

This project was supported by ARRA Award RC1CA145402

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Variation in Mastectomy Rate for Invasive Breast Cancer Results from the Breast Cancer Surgical Outcomes Study FEIGELSON

  • 1. Factors Influencing Initial Total Mastectomy Rate for Invasive Breast Cancer Heather Spencer Feigelson, PhD, MPH Institute for Health Research Kaiser Permanente Colorado
  • 2. Purpose  Using a multi-institution Breast Cancer Surgical Outcomes (BRCASO) database, we analyzed how practice, patient, and tumor characteristics contributed to variation in initial total mastectomy (TM) for invasive breast cancer.
  • 3. The BRCASO Study U Vermont Database established By McCahill et al KPCO Chart VDW Abstraction and GHRI Chart Abstraction Van Andel Institute (Data Coordinating Center) Marshfield For detail, see Aiello Bowles, et al, BMC Cancer, 2012
  • 4. BRCASO Database  Female breast cancer cases, 2003–2008  18 years and older at diagnosis  Initial breast cancer surgery performed by a surgeon employed by a BRCASO study site  Includes 4684 breast cancers in 4580 women
  • 5. Analysis of Variation in Total Mastectomy Excluded: stage 0 and stage IV patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy inflammatory breast cancer multifocal or multicentric disease prior breast cancer or prior chest radiation Included: 2384 breast cancers 397 (16.7%) mastectomies as first procedure
  • 6. Analysis  Bivariate analysis followed by logistic regression  Covariates that were statistically significantly associated with TM rate in bivariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis  Random effects models were used to examine the impact of individual surgeon on TM variation  Due to the greater feasibility of breast conservation with smaller tumors, we conducted analyses on all tumors and then separately for tumors <20mm
  • 7. Frequency of TM by Patient Characteristics All Tumors <20mm variable N % TM p-value N %TM p-value Age <45 189 23.81 109 16.51 45-54 528 17.05 355 10.7 55-64 656 12.35 488 6.15 65-74 528 15.91 403 10.17 >=75 483 20.08 0.0005 357 13.73 0.0011 Ethnicity Caucasian 1859 15.44 1349 9.79 African-American 49 16.33 28 7.14 Asian 59 32.2 32 21.88 Hispanic 44 18.18 29 6.9 Other/unknown 373 20.11 0.0037 274 12.04 0.1583 Insurance Commercial 1240 15.16 865 8.9 Medicare 1012 17.79 761 11.56 Medicaid 37 16.22 22 4.55 Private/Other 91 24.18 0.0841 61 14.75 0.1534
  • 8. Initial Total Mastectomy is Strongly Associated with Tumor Size 71.88 P for trend<0.0001 48.98 36.54 23.33 11.36 8.49 1 <10mm 10-20mm 20-30mm 30-40mm 40-50mm >50mm 73% of all tumors
  • 9. Frequency of TM by Tumor Characteristics All Tumors <20mm variable N % TM p-value N %TM p-value Tumor Type IDC 2129 15.64 1556 10.15 ILC 255 25.1 0.0001 156 11.84 0.5873 Grade Low/Medium 1723 13.52 1350 8.96 High 638 24.76 <0.0001 343 14.87 0.0012 Receptor Status ER/PR+ 2044 15.56 1512 9.72 ER/PR- 325 23.08 0.0007 188 14.36 0.0478
  • 10. Frequency of TM by Practice Characteristics All Tumors <20mm variable N % TM p-value N %TM p-value Use of pre- operative MRI No 2199 15.55 1585 9.65 Yes 185 29.73 <.0001 127 18.11 0.0025 Site 1 549 10.38 407 5.16 2 849 20.97 579 14.16 3 763 17.82 536 10.63 4 223 11.66 <.0001 190 8.42 <.0001 Surgeon Volume (cases/yr) <=10 cases 533 18.2 380 13.16 11-25 1035 17.97 738 11.38 26-49 222 14.86 172 7.56 >=50 594 13.64 0.0851 422 6.87 0.0113
  • 11. Multivariate Analysis of Mastectomy Rates OR 95% CI p-value Age group <45 1.63 1.00-2.66 0.003 45-54 1.29 0.88-1.88 55-64 ref 65-74 1.36 0.93-1.99 >=75 2.09 1.43-3.05 Ethnicity Caucasian ref Asian 2.17 1.11-4.27 0.04 Max Tumor Size 1.06 1.05-1.07 <.0001 Tumor Grade low/medium ref 0.004 high 1.6 1.17-2.19 Use of pre-operative MRI No ref Yes 2.44 1.58-3.77 <.0001
  • 12. Observed and Expected Initial Total Mastectomy Rates by Surgeon Median OR=1.86 (95% CI: 1.60-2.47, p<0.001)
  • 13. Conclusions  Tumor size, high nuclear grade and patient age were all important predictors of initial total mastectomy.  The high variability of TM frequency by individual surgeon and the influence of pre-operative MRI are of concern, and deserve further study.  Even when limited to tumors <20mm  Our results are generalizable to the majority of breast cancer practice patterns in the U.S.
  • 14. Acknowledgements: Lacks Cancer Center/ Van Andel Research Institute, MI Laurence McCahill, MD – PI Tom Barney University of Vermont: Ted James, MD, Richard Single, PhD, Hannah Sheehey-Jones, Jordan Bakerman Marshfield Clinic: Adedayo Onitilo, MD, Jessica Engel Group Health: Erin Aiello Bowles, Gabrielle Gundersen Kaiser Permanente Colorado: Kimberly Bischoff, Andrew Sterrett, PhD This project was supported by ARRA Award RC1CA145402