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Decision
Making
PREPARED BY : HIMANSHU KUSHWAHA
BTECH(CSE)
Definition
The selection of a course of action from among
alternatives.
Definition
 Decision-making is the selection based on some
criteria from two or more possible alternatives. “-
—George R. Terry
 A decision is an act of choice, wherein an executive
forms a conclusion about what must be done in a
given situation. A decision represents a course of
behaviour chosen from a number of possible
alternatives.
— Mc. Farland
Features
1. Decision making is a selection process and is
concerned with selecting the best type of alternative.
2. The decision taken is aimed at achieving the
organisational goals.
3. It is concerned with the detailed study of the available
alternatives for finding the best possible alternative.
Features
4. Decision making is a mental process.
5. It leads to commitment. The commitment depends
upon the nature of the decision whether short term or
long term.
Types of Decisions
Strategic Decisions
 Strategic decisions are taken by upper and
middle-level management.
 They usually relate to the policies of the firm
or the strategic plan for the future.
 Such decisions require analysis and careful
study.
 Because strategic decisions taken at this level
will affect the routine decisions.
Programmed decisions
 Well structured, routine and repetitive, occurring on a regular basis.
They are usually made at lower levels in the organisation, have short-
term consequences and are based on readily available information.
 A decision rule can be developed that tells the organisation or
decision maker which alternative to choose once the information is
available.
 The decision rule ensures that a definite method for obtaining a
solution can be found and that the decision does not have to be
treated as something new each time it occurs.
 Frequently simple formulae can be applied to the situation. Examples
of programmed decisions include ordering raw materials
Non-programmed decisions
 Are new and unstructured and consequently a previously
established decision rule cannot be applied.
 The organisation has no established procedures or records for
dealing with the decision, which can therefore appear to be
highly complex.
 Non-programmed decisions tend to occur at higher levels in the
organisation, have long-term consequences and require a
degree of judgement and creativity.
 Examples: decision to try an unproven technology or to expand
into a previously unknown market
PROGRAMMED V/s NON-PROGRAMMED DECISIONS
Well-structured Poorly structured
Routine New
Information available Little information
Taken at lower levels Taken at higher levels
Short time frame Long time frame
Decision rules and set
procedures used
Judgement and creativity
used
Organizational Decisions and Personal
Decisions
 When an executive takes a decision in an official
capacity, on behalf of the organization, this is an
organizational decision. Such decisions can be
delegated to subordinates.
 However, if the executive takes a decision in a personal
capacity, that does not relate to the organization in
any way this is a personal decision. Obviously, these
decisions cannot be delegated
Individual Decisions and Group
Decisions
 Any decision taken by an individual in an official
capacity it is an individual decision. Organizations that
are smaller and have an autocratic style of
management rely on such decisions.
 Group decisions are taken by a group or a collective of
the firm’s employees and management. For example,
decisions taken by the board of directors are a group
decision.
Decision Making Process
1. Identify and diagnose the problem.
2. Identify alternative solutions.
3. Evaluate alternatives.
4. Choose an alternative
5. Implement the decision.
6. Evaluate the decision
Step 1: Problem identification and
diagnosis
 The first stage of the decision-making process is recognising that a
problem exists and that action has to be taken.
 A problem is a discrepancy between the current state of affairs and a
desired state of affairs.
 Unless the problem is identified in precise terms, solutions are very
difficult to find.
 In seeking to identify a problem, managers can use a variety of
sources of data
Step 1: Problem identification and
diagnosis
 Problem identification must be followed by a willingness to do
something to rectify the situation.
 Before taking action the problem needs accurate diagnosis.
 Diagnosis involves assessing the true cause of the problem by
carefully selecting all relevant material and discarding information
which is not relevant to the problem at hand.
 Sometimes decisions need to be made when a problem does not
exist:
 Example, a company might want to grow rapidly to capitalise on
market opportunities and will have to decide on what route to take.
Step 2: Identification of alternatives
 Managers should try to identify as many alternatives as
possible in order to broaden options for the
organisation.
 In generating alternatives the organisation may look
toward ready-made solutions that have been tried
before, or custom-made solutions that have to be
designed specifically for the problem at hand.
 In today’s business environment more and more
organisations are applying custom-made solutions to
enhance competitive advantage.
Step 2: Identification of alternatives
 organisation seeking growth opportunities, some of
the alternatives open to the company are:
 growth through acquisition
 growth through establishing an overseas facility
 using an agent to market and distribute the product
abroad
 growth through diversification of the existing product
line.
Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives
 A manager needs to evaluate each alternative in
order to choose the best one.
 Costs and benefits associated with each option.
 Most alternatives will have positive and negative
aspects and the manager will have to try to
balance anticipated outcomes
Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives
 Depending on the situation, evaluation of alternatives
may be intuitive or based on scientific analysis.
 When evaluating alternatives, managers may consider
the potential consequences of alternatives under
several different scenarios.
 In doing so they can develop contingency plans which
can be implemented with possible future scenarios in
mind.
Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives
 The organisation will consider the cost
associated with each option as well as
the time taken to complete each
alternative.
 The chances of success of each of the
options will also have to be
considered, as will the impact of any
decision on employees, training and
culture.
Step 4: Choice of alternative
 In coming to a decision the manager will be
confronted by many conflicting requirements that will
have to be taken into account. For example, some
trade-offs may involve quality versus acceptability of
the decision, and political and resource constraints.
Step 4: Choice of alternative
 Based on an analysis of the market and the
organisation’s capabilities they decide to purchase a
small company with a strong market presence in a
geographical region presently unserved by the
organisation.
Step 5: Implementation
 Once the decision has been made it needs to be
implemented.
 This stage of the process is critical to the success of
the decision and is the key to effective decision
making.
 The best alternative is worth nothing if it is not
implemented properly.
 In order to successfully implement a decision,
managers must ensure that those who are
implementing it fully understand why the choice was
made, why it is being implemented, and are fully
committed to its success.
Step 5: Implementation
 Decisions often fail at the implementation stage
because managers do not ensure that people
understand the rationale behind the decision and that
they are fully committed to it.
 For this reason many organisations are attempting to
push decision making further down the organisation
to ensure that employees feel some sense of
ownership in the decisions that are made.
Step 5: Implementation
 To implement the decision to acquire
another smaller business in a different
country requires good conceptual skills
and could prove challenging.
Step 6: Evaluation
 Once the decision is implemented, it needs to be
evaluated to provide feedback.
 The process of evaluation should take place at all
managerial levels.
 This step allows managers to see the results of the
decision and to identify any adjustments that need to
be executed.
 In almost all cases some form of adjustment will be
made to ensure a more favourable outcome.
 Evaluation and feedback are not one-off activities,
however, and they should form part of an ongoing
process.
Step 6: Evaluation
 As conditions change, decisions should be re-
evaluated to ensure that they are still the most
appropriate for the organisation.
 Evaluation of the acquisition of a new business will be
measured on the success and profitability of the
venture.
 As the primary goal of the decision was to increase
growth opportunities, the organisation should
carefully monitor growth rates.
Management Focus: Coca-Cola’s
negative decision frame
 In the mid-1980s Coca-Cola was the biggest-
selling soft drink worldwide, yet the company
decided to change the formula and introduce a
‘new’ Coca-Cola to the market. The result was
disastrous: consumers disliked the new formula
and preferred the old one. As a result, after three
months the company had to reintroduce the old
formula, using the brand name Coca-Cola Classic.
What events led to the company taking such a
poor decision? The decision was the product of a
negative decision frame. Coca-Cola’s share of the
market had been steadily declining and the
company’s options were to make no changes and
continue to decline, or to take the risky option to
Source: https://www.gilleducation.ie/AcuCustom/Sitename/DAM/058/Modern_Management_4th_ed_-_Look_Inside_Sample.pdf
Rationality
 A process that is perfectly logical and
objective, whereby managers gather
information objectively, evaluate
available evidence, consider all
alternatives and eventually make
choices that will lead to the best
outcomes for the organisation.
Rationality
 Such a rational approach to decision making
assumes that four conditions are fulfilled:
1. There is perfect knowledge of all the available
alternatives
2. There is perfect knowledge of all of the
consequences of the available alternatives.
3. Managers have the capacity to objectively
evaluate the consequences of the available
alternatives.
4. Managers have a well-structured and definite set
of procedures to allow them to make optimum
decisions.
Bounded rationality
 Managers cannot always make decisions under
certainty conditions, and in a rational manner, they
have to apply a less than perfect form of rationality.
Herbert Simon called this ‘bounded rationality’, and
argued that decisions taken by managers are bounded
by limited mental capacity and emotions, and by
environmental factors over which they have no control.
Due to these limitations managers rarely maximise or
take ideal decisions with the best possible outcomes.

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Decision Making 10.3.22.pptx

  • 1. Decision Making PREPARED BY : HIMANSHU KUSHWAHA BTECH(CSE)
  • 2. Definition The selection of a course of action from among alternatives.
  • 3. Definition  Decision-making is the selection based on some criteria from two or more possible alternatives. “- —George R. Terry  A decision is an act of choice, wherein an executive forms a conclusion about what must be done in a given situation. A decision represents a course of behaviour chosen from a number of possible alternatives. — Mc. Farland
  • 4. Features 1. Decision making is a selection process and is concerned with selecting the best type of alternative. 2. The decision taken is aimed at achieving the organisational goals. 3. It is concerned with the detailed study of the available alternatives for finding the best possible alternative.
  • 5. Features 4. Decision making is a mental process. 5. It leads to commitment. The commitment depends upon the nature of the decision whether short term or long term.
  • 7. Strategic Decisions  Strategic decisions are taken by upper and middle-level management.  They usually relate to the policies of the firm or the strategic plan for the future.  Such decisions require analysis and careful study.  Because strategic decisions taken at this level will affect the routine decisions.
  • 8. Programmed decisions  Well structured, routine and repetitive, occurring on a regular basis. They are usually made at lower levels in the organisation, have short- term consequences and are based on readily available information.  A decision rule can be developed that tells the organisation or decision maker which alternative to choose once the information is available.  The decision rule ensures that a definite method for obtaining a solution can be found and that the decision does not have to be treated as something new each time it occurs.  Frequently simple formulae can be applied to the situation. Examples of programmed decisions include ordering raw materials
  • 9. Non-programmed decisions  Are new and unstructured and consequently a previously established decision rule cannot be applied.  The organisation has no established procedures or records for dealing with the decision, which can therefore appear to be highly complex.  Non-programmed decisions tend to occur at higher levels in the organisation, have long-term consequences and require a degree of judgement and creativity.  Examples: decision to try an unproven technology or to expand into a previously unknown market
  • 10. PROGRAMMED V/s NON-PROGRAMMED DECISIONS Well-structured Poorly structured Routine New Information available Little information Taken at lower levels Taken at higher levels Short time frame Long time frame Decision rules and set procedures used Judgement and creativity used
  • 11. Organizational Decisions and Personal Decisions  When an executive takes a decision in an official capacity, on behalf of the organization, this is an organizational decision. Such decisions can be delegated to subordinates.  However, if the executive takes a decision in a personal capacity, that does not relate to the organization in any way this is a personal decision. Obviously, these decisions cannot be delegated
  • 12. Individual Decisions and Group Decisions  Any decision taken by an individual in an official capacity it is an individual decision. Organizations that are smaller and have an autocratic style of management rely on such decisions.  Group decisions are taken by a group or a collective of the firm’s employees and management. For example, decisions taken by the board of directors are a group decision.
  • 13. Decision Making Process 1. Identify and diagnose the problem. 2. Identify alternative solutions. 3. Evaluate alternatives. 4. Choose an alternative 5. Implement the decision. 6. Evaluate the decision
  • 14.
  • 15. Step 1: Problem identification and diagnosis  The first stage of the decision-making process is recognising that a problem exists and that action has to be taken.  A problem is a discrepancy between the current state of affairs and a desired state of affairs.  Unless the problem is identified in precise terms, solutions are very difficult to find.  In seeking to identify a problem, managers can use a variety of sources of data
  • 16. Step 1: Problem identification and diagnosis  Problem identification must be followed by a willingness to do something to rectify the situation.  Before taking action the problem needs accurate diagnosis.  Diagnosis involves assessing the true cause of the problem by carefully selecting all relevant material and discarding information which is not relevant to the problem at hand.  Sometimes decisions need to be made when a problem does not exist:  Example, a company might want to grow rapidly to capitalise on market opportunities and will have to decide on what route to take.
  • 17. Step 2: Identification of alternatives  Managers should try to identify as many alternatives as possible in order to broaden options for the organisation.  In generating alternatives the organisation may look toward ready-made solutions that have been tried before, or custom-made solutions that have to be designed specifically for the problem at hand.  In today’s business environment more and more organisations are applying custom-made solutions to enhance competitive advantage.
  • 18. Step 2: Identification of alternatives  organisation seeking growth opportunities, some of the alternatives open to the company are:  growth through acquisition  growth through establishing an overseas facility  using an agent to market and distribute the product abroad  growth through diversification of the existing product line.
  • 19. Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives  A manager needs to evaluate each alternative in order to choose the best one.  Costs and benefits associated with each option.  Most alternatives will have positive and negative aspects and the manager will have to try to balance anticipated outcomes
  • 20. Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives  Depending on the situation, evaluation of alternatives may be intuitive or based on scientific analysis.  When evaluating alternatives, managers may consider the potential consequences of alternatives under several different scenarios.  In doing so they can develop contingency plans which can be implemented with possible future scenarios in mind.
  • 21. Step 3: Evaluation of alternatives  The organisation will consider the cost associated with each option as well as the time taken to complete each alternative.  The chances of success of each of the options will also have to be considered, as will the impact of any decision on employees, training and culture.
  • 22. Step 4: Choice of alternative  In coming to a decision the manager will be confronted by many conflicting requirements that will have to be taken into account. For example, some trade-offs may involve quality versus acceptability of the decision, and political and resource constraints.
  • 23. Step 4: Choice of alternative  Based on an analysis of the market and the organisation’s capabilities they decide to purchase a small company with a strong market presence in a geographical region presently unserved by the organisation.
  • 24. Step 5: Implementation  Once the decision has been made it needs to be implemented.  This stage of the process is critical to the success of the decision and is the key to effective decision making.  The best alternative is worth nothing if it is not implemented properly.  In order to successfully implement a decision, managers must ensure that those who are implementing it fully understand why the choice was made, why it is being implemented, and are fully committed to its success.
  • 25. Step 5: Implementation  Decisions often fail at the implementation stage because managers do not ensure that people understand the rationale behind the decision and that they are fully committed to it.  For this reason many organisations are attempting to push decision making further down the organisation to ensure that employees feel some sense of ownership in the decisions that are made.
  • 26. Step 5: Implementation  To implement the decision to acquire another smaller business in a different country requires good conceptual skills and could prove challenging.
  • 27. Step 6: Evaluation  Once the decision is implemented, it needs to be evaluated to provide feedback.  The process of evaluation should take place at all managerial levels.  This step allows managers to see the results of the decision and to identify any adjustments that need to be executed.  In almost all cases some form of adjustment will be made to ensure a more favourable outcome.  Evaluation and feedback are not one-off activities, however, and they should form part of an ongoing process.
  • 28. Step 6: Evaluation  As conditions change, decisions should be re- evaluated to ensure that they are still the most appropriate for the organisation.  Evaluation of the acquisition of a new business will be measured on the success and profitability of the venture.  As the primary goal of the decision was to increase growth opportunities, the organisation should carefully monitor growth rates.
  • 29. Management Focus: Coca-Cola’s negative decision frame  In the mid-1980s Coca-Cola was the biggest- selling soft drink worldwide, yet the company decided to change the formula and introduce a ‘new’ Coca-Cola to the market. The result was disastrous: consumers disliked the new formula and preferred the old one. As a result, after three months the company had to reintroduce the old formula, using the brand name Coca-Cola Classic. What events led to the company taking such a poor decision? The decision was the product of a negative decision frame. Coca-Cola’s share of the market had been steadily declining and the company’s options were to make no changes and continue to decline, or to take the risky option to Source: https://www.gilleducation.ie/AcuCustom/Sitename/DAM/058/Modern_Management_4th_ed_-_Look_Inside_Sample.pdf
  • 30. Rationality  A process that is perfectly logical and objective, whereby managers gather information objectively, evaluate available evidence, consider all alternatives and eventually make choices that will lead to the best outcomes for the organisation.
  • 31. Rationality  Such a rational approach to decision making assumes that four conditions are fulfilled: 1. There is perfect knowledge of all the available alternatives 2. There is perfect knowledge of all of the consequences of the available alternatives. 3. Managers have the capacity to objectively evaluate the consequences of the available alternatives. 4. Managers have a well-structured and definite set of procedures to allow them to make optimum decisions.
  • 32. Bounded rationality  Managers cannot always make decisions under certainty conditions, and in a rational manner, they have to apply a less than perfect form of rationality. Herbert Simon called this ‘bounded rationality’, and argued that decisions taken by managers are bounded by limited mental capacity and emotions, and by environmental factors over which they have no control. Due to these limitations managers rarely maximise or take ideal decisions with the best possible outcomes.

Editor's Notes

  1. granting leave to employees, purchasing spare parts etc are programmed decisions where a specific procedure is followed