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Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania - who has done the best?! Kaspar Oja
GDP and domestic demand – recovery is about to begin GDP, volume 2000=100 Domestic demand, volume 2000=100 GDP, yoy growth Domestic demand, yoy growth
GDP and domestic demand 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sharp decline in consumption due to low savings
Investments as % of GDP
Industrial production shows good growth ,[object Object],[object Object]
Export volumes are growing in all three countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Exports of goods, value, index 2007=1
Growth of exports is positive in all three countries Exports (goods and services), volume, yoy growth
External balance (current account + capital account)
LABOUR MARKET  AND COMPETITIVENESS
HICP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Price growth at the moment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Export deflator ,[object Object]
Flexibility in labour markets - contributions to compensation of employees Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Unemployment will remain high in  the coming years
Youth unemployment could harm future potential
One of several explanations for fast growth of unemployment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Although it is hard to find a job people seem to have hope as activity rates remain high
WHAT WAS DONE DIFFERENTLY BEFORE THE CRISES?
Estonian fiscal policy has been much different than in Latvia and Lithuania Budget surplus as % of GDP  Government debt as % of GDP
Government expenditures 2005=1
Government expenditures yoy growth
Two opposing views on government expenditure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concluding remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Future? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You!

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Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania - who has done the best?! Kaspar Oja

Editor's Notes

  1. Eesti -47%, Läti -67%, Leedu -36%