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Title
Decision Making
• Decision
  – Making a choice from two or more alternatives.
• The Decision-Making Process
  – Identifying a problem and decision criteria and
    allocating weights to the criteria.
  – Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative
    that can resolve the problem.
  – Implementing the selected alternative.
  – Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
The Decision-Making Process
Step 1: Identifying the Problem
• Problem
  – A discrepancy between an existing and desired
    state of affairs.
• Characteristics of Problems
  – A problem becomes a problem when a manager
    becomes aware of it.
  – There is pressure to solve the problem.
  – The manager must have the authority, information,
    or resources needed to solve the problem.
Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria

• Decision criteria are factors that are important
  (relevant) to resolving the problem.

   – Costs that will be incurred (investments required)
   – Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure)
   – Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm)
Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria


• Decision criteria are not of equal importance:

  Assigning a weight to each item places the
   items in the correct priority order of their
   importance in the decision making process.




                © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All     6–6
                     rights reserved.
Criteria and Weights for Computer
           Replacement Decision

Criterion                Weight
Memory and Storage         10
Battery life               8
Carrying Weight            6
Warranty                   4
Display Quality            3
Step 4: Developing Alternatives


• Identifying viable alternatives

  – Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can
    resolve the problem.
Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives

• Appraising each alternative’s strengths and
  weaknesses

   An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to
    resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.




                                                        6–9
Assessed Values of Laptop Computers
      Using Decision Criteria
Step 6: Selecting an Alternative

• Choosing the best alternative

  – The alternative with the highest total weight is
    chosen.
Step 7: Implementing the Alternative
• Putting the chosen alternative into action.

   Conveying the decision to and gaining
    commitment from those who will carry out the
    decision.




                © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All     6–12
                     rights reserved.
Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives
   Against Weighted Criteria
Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s
              Effectiveness

• The soundness of the decision is judged by
  its outcomes.


  – How effectively was the problem resolved by
    outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives?


  – If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
Decisions in the
Management Functions
The Role of Intuition
• Intuitive decision making


  – Making decisions on the basis of experience,
    feelings, and accumulated judgment.
Types of Problems and Decisions

• Structured Problems
  – Involve goals that clear.
  – Are familiar (have occurred before).
  – Are easily and completely defined—information
    about the problem is available and complete.

• Programmed Decision
  – A repetitive decision that can be handled by a
    routine approach.
Decision-Making Styles
• Types of Decision Makers
  – Directive
     • Use minimal information and consider few alternatives.
  – Analytic
     • Make careful decisions in unique situations.
  – Conceptual
     • Maintain a broad outlook and consider many
       alternatives in making decisions.
  – Behavioral
     • Avoid conflict by working well with others and being
       receptive to suggestions.
Decision-Making Matrix

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Decision making

  • 2. Decision Making • Decision – Making a choice from two or more alternatives. • The Decision-Making Process – Identifying a problem and decision criteria and allocating weights to the criteria. – Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative that can resolve the problem. – Implementing the selected alternative. – Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
  • 4. Step 1: Identifying the Problem • Problem – A discrepancy between an existing and desired state of affairs. • Characteristics of Problems – A problem becomes a problem when a manager becomes aware of it. – There is pressure to solve the problem. – The manager must have the authority, information, or resources needed to solve the problem.
  • 5. Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria • Decision criteria are factors that are important (relevant) to resolving the problem. – Costs that will be incurred (investments required) – Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure) – Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm)
  • 6. Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria • Decision criteria are not of equal importance: Assigning a weight to each item places the items in the correct priority order of their importance in the decision making process. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All 6–6 rights reserved.
  • 7. Criteria and Weights for Computer Replacement Decision Criterion Weight Memory and Storage 10 Battery life 8 Carrying Weight 6 Warranty 4 Display Quality 3
  • 8. Step 4: Developing Alternatives • Identifying viable alternatives – Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can resolve the problem.
  • 9. Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives • Appraising each alternative’s strengths and weaknesses  An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3. 6–9
  • 10. Assessed Values of Laptop Computers Using Decision Criteria
  • 11. Step 6: Selecting an Alternative • Choosing the best alternative – The alternative with the highest total weight is chosen.
  • 12. Step 7: Implementing the Alternative • Putting the chosen alternative into action.  Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment from those who will carry out the decision. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All 6–12 rights reserved.
  • 13. Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives Against Weighted Criteria
  • 14. Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s Effectiveness • The soundness of the decision is judged by its outcomes. – How effectively was the problem resolved by outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives? – If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
  • 16. The Role of Intuition • Intuitive decision making – Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings, and accumulated judgment.
  • 17. Types of Problems and Decisions • Structured Problems – Involve goals that clear. – Are familiar (have occurred before). – Are easily and completely defined—information about the problem is available and complete. • Programmed Decision – A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine approach.
  • 18. Decision-Making Styles • Types of Decision Makers – Directive • Use minimal information and consider few alternatives. – Analytic • Make careful decisions in unique situations. – Conceptual • Maintain a broad outlook and consider many alternatives in making decisions. – Behavioral • Avoid conflict by working well with others and being receptive to suggestions.