SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 24
ninth edition
STEPHEN P. ROBBINS
PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook
The University of West Alabama
MARY COULTER
Decision-Making:
The Essence of
the Manager’s Job
6–2
Decision Making
• Decision
Making a choice from two or more alternatives.
• The Decision-Making Process
Identifying a problem and decision criteria and
allocating weights to the criteria.
Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative
that can resolve the problem.
Implementing the selected alternative.
Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
6–3
Exhibit 6–1
The Decision-Making Process
6–4
Step 1: Identifying the Problem
• Problem
A discrepancy between an existing and desired state
of affairs.
• Characteristics of Problems
A problem becomes a problem when a manager
becomes aware of it.
There is pressure to solve the problem.
The manager must have the authority, information, or
resources needed to solve the problem.
6–5
Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria
• Decision criteria are factors that are important
(relevant) to resolving the problem.
Costs that will be incurred (investments required)
Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure)
Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm)
Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria
• Decision criteria are not of equal importance:
Assigning a weight to each item places the items in
the correct priority order of their importance in the
decision making process.
6–6
Step 4: Developing Alternatives
• Identifying viable alternatives
Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can
resolve the problem.
Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives
• Appraising each alternative’s strengths and
weaknesses
An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to
resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.
6–7
Step 6: Selecting an Alternative
• Choosing the best alternative
The alternative with the highest total weight is
chosen.
Step 7: Implementing the Alternative
• Putting the chosen alternative into action.
Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment
from those who will carry out the decision.
6–8
Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s
Effectiveness
• The soundness of the decision is judged by its
outcomes.
How effectively was the problem resolved by
outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives?
If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
6–9
Exhibit 6–5 Decisions in the Management Functions
6–10
Making Decisions
• Rationality
Managers make consistent, value-maximizing choices
with specified constraints.
Assumptions are that decision makers:
 Are perfectly rational, fully objective, and logical.
 Have carefully defined the problem and identified all viable
alternatives.
 Have a clear and specific goal
 Will select the alternative that maximizes outcomes in the
organization’s interests rather than in their personal interests.
6–11
Making Decisions (cont’d)
• Bounded Rationality
Managers make decisions rationally, but are limited
(bounded) by their ability to process information.
Assumptions are that decision makers:
 Will not seek out or have knowledge of all alternatives
 Will satisfice—choose the first alternative encountered that
satisfactorily solves the problem—rather than maximize the
outcome of their decision by considering all alternatives and
choosing the best.
Influence on decision making
 Escalation of commitment: an increased commitment to a
previous decision despite evidence that it may have been
wrong.
6–12
The Role of Intuition
• Intuitive decision making
Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings,
and accumulated judgment.
6–13
Types of Problems and Decisions
• Structured Problems
Involve goals that clear.
Are familiar (have occurred before).
Are easily and completely defined—information about
the problem is available and complete.
• Programmed Decision
A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine
approach.
6–14
Types of Programmed Decisions
• Policy
A general guideline for making a decision about a
structured problem.
• Procedure
A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use
to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem.
• Rule
An explicit statement that limits what a manager or
employee can or cannot do.
6–15
Policy, Procedure, and Rule Examples
• Policy
Accept all customer-returned merchandise.
• Procedure
Follow all steps for completing merchandise return
documentation.
• Rules
Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00.
No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
6–16
Problems and Decisions (cont’d)
• Unstructured Problems
Problems that are new or unusual and for which
information is ambiguous or incomplete.
Problems that will require custom-made solutions.
• Nonprogrammed Decisions
Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring.
Decisions that generate unique responses.
6–17
Decision-Making Conditions
• Certainty
A situation in which a manager can make an accurate
decision because the outcome of every alternative
choice is known.
• Risk
A situation in which the manager is able to estimate
the likelihood (probability) of outcomes that result
from the choice of particular alternatives.
6–18
Decision-Making Conditions
• Uncertainty
Limited information prevents estimation of outcome
probabilities for alternatives associated with the
problem and may force managers to rely on intuition,
hunches, and “gut feelings”.
6–19
Decision-Making Styles
• Dimensions of Decision-Making Styles
Ways of thinking
 Rational, orderly, and consistent
 Intuitive, creative, and unique
Tolerance for ambiguity
 Low tolerance: require consistency and order
 High tolerance: multiple thoughts simultaneously
6–20
Decision-Making Styles (cont’d)
• Types of Decision Makers
Directive
 Use minimal information and consider few alternatives.
Analytic
 Make careful decisions in unique situations.
Conceptual
 Maintain a broad outlook and consider many alternatives in
making decisions.
Behavioral
 Avoid conflict by working well with others and being receptive
to suggestions.
6–21
Exhibit 6–12 Decision-Making Matrix
6–22
Exhibit 6–13 Common Decision-Making Errors and Biases
6–23
Decision Making for Today’s World
• Guidelines for making effective decisions:
Understand cultural differences.
Know when it’s time to call it quits.
Use an effective decision-making process.
• Habits of highly reliable organizations (HROs)
Are not tricked by their success.
Defer to the experts on the front line.
Let unexpected circumstances provide the solution.
Embrace complexity.
Anticipate, but also anticipate their limits.
6–24
Characteristics of an Effective Decision-
Making Process
• It focuses on what is important.
• It is logical and consistent.
• It acknowledges both subjective and objective thinking
and blends analytical with intuitive thinking.
• It requires only as much information and analysis as is
necessary to resolve a particular dilemma.
• It encourages and guides the gathering of relevant
information and informed opinion.
• It is straightforward, reliable, easy to use, and flexible.

More Related Content

Similar to 1607065595-decision-making-process.ppt

Management book...........................
Management book...........................Management book...........................
Management book...........................marriamjaved89
 
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............690839558-Decision making.ppt.............
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............marriamjaved89
 
Robbins9 ppt06
Robbins9 ppt06Robbins9 ppt06
Robbins9 ppt06umar0007
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision makingOnline
 
Decision making the essence of managers job MBA
Decision making the essence of managers job MBADecision making the essence of managers job MBA
Decision making the essence of managers job MBABabasab Patil
 
Decision making process
Decision making process Decision making process
Decision making process talhamansab
 
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESS
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESSManagerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESS
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESSRamasubramanian H (HRS)
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision makingJC
 
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision Makers
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision MakersChapter 6: Managers as Decision Makers
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision MakersNardin A
 
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdf
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdfchapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdf
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdfsyedkaramalishah2
 
50709056 decision-making
50709056 decision-making50709056 decision-making
50709056 decision-makingJayesh Martin
 
Principle of management decision makings
Principle of management decision makingsPrinciple of management decision makings
Principle of management decision makingsMuhammadArif877294
 

Similar to 1607065595-decision-making-process.ppt (20)

Management book...........................
Management book...........................Management book...........................
Management book...........................
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............690839558-Decision making.ppt.............
690839558-Decision making.ppt.............
 
Management ch6
Management ch6Management ch6
Management ch6
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
Robbins9 ppt06
Robbins9 ppt06Robbins9 ppt06
Robbins9 ppt06
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
Decision making the essence of managers job MBA
Decision making the essence of managers job MBADecision making the essence of managers job MBA
Decision making the essence of managers job MBA
 
chapter 2.pptx
chapter 2.pptxchapter 2.pptx
chapter 2.pptx
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
Chap 3 MGT162
Chap 3 MGT162Chap 3 MGT162
Chap 3 MGT162
 
Chap06
Chap06Chap06
Chap06
 
Decision making process
Decision making process Decision making process
Decision making process
 
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESS
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESSManagerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESS
Managerial Decision Making - MANAGEMENT PROCESS
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision Makers
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision MakersChapter 6: Managers as Decision Makers
Chapter 6: Managers as Decision Makers
 
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdf
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdfchapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdf
chapter06-130706025030-phpapp01.pdf
 
50709056 decision-making
50709056 decision-making50709056 decision-making
50709056 decision-making
 
Decision making
Decision makingDecision making
Decision making
 
Principle of management decision makings
Principle of management decision makingsPrinciple of management decision makings
Principle of management decision makings
 

Recently uploaded

SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 MonthsSEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 MonthsIndeedSEO
 
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGParadip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGpr788182
 
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All TimeCall 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Timegargpaaro
 
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration PresentationUneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentationuneakwhite
 
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdf
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdfTVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdf
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdfbelieveminhh
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business Growth
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business GrowthFalcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business Growth
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business GrowthFalcon investment
 
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024Marel
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...daisycvs
 
Power point presentation on enterprise performance management
Power point presentation on enterprise performance managementPower point presentation on enterprise performance management
Power point presentation on enterprise performance managementVaishnaviGunji
 
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...ssuserf63bd7
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business PotentialFalcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business PotentialFalcon investment
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challenges
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow ChallengesFalcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challenges
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challengeshemanthkumar470700
 
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...Falcon Invoice Discounting
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecZurliaSoop
 
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxPutting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxCynthia Clay
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial Wings
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial WingsFalcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial Wings
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial WingsFalcon Invoice Discounting
 
Organizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with CultureOrganizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with CultureSeta Wicaksana
 

Recently uploaded (20)

SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 MonthsSEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60%  in 6 Months
SEO Case Study: How I Increased SEO Traffic & Ranking by 50-60% in 6 Months
 
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGParadip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Paradip CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
 
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All TimeCall 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
 
!~+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUD...
!~+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUD...!~+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUD...
!~+971581248768>> SAFE AND ORIGINAL ABORTION PILLS FOR SALE IN DUBAI AND ABUD...
 
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration PresentationUneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
Uneak White's Personal Brand Exploration Presentation
 
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdf
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdfTVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdf
TVB_The Vietnam Believer Newsletter_May 6th, 2024_ENVol. 006.pdf
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business Growth
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business GrowthFalcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business Growth
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Empowering Your Business Growth
 
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
 
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
Marel Q1 2024 Investor Presentation from May 8, 2024
 
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
Quick Doctor In Kuwait +2773`7758`557 Kuwait Doha Qatar Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharj...
 
Power point presentation on enterprise performance management
Power point presentation on enterprise performance managementPower point presentation on enterprise performance management
Power point presentation on enterprise performance management
 
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
Horngren’s Cost Accounting A Managerial Emphasis, Canadian 9th edition soluti...
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business PotentialFalcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challenges
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow ChallengesFalcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challenges
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Aviate Your Cash Flow Challenges
 
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
 
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxPutting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptx
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial Wings
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial WingsFalcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial Wings
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Tailored Financial Wings
 
Organizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with CultureOrganizational Transformation Lead with Culture
Organizational Transformation Lead with Culture
 
Mifty kit IN Salmiya (+918133066128) Abortion pills IN Salmiyah Cytotec pills
Mifty kit IN Salmiya (+918133066128) Abortion pills IN Salmiyah Cytotec pillsMifty kit IN Salmiya (+918133066128) Abortion pills IN Salmiyah Cytotec pills
Mifty kit IN Salmiya (+918133066128) Abortion pills IN Salmiyah Cytotec pills
 

1607065595-decision-making-process.ppt

  • 1. ninth edition STEPHEN P. ROBBINS PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook The University of West Alabama MARY COULTER Decision-Making: The Essence of the Manager’s Job
  • 2. 6–2 Decision Making • Decision Making a choice from two or more alternatives. • The Decision-Making Process Identifying a problem and decision criteria and allocating weights to the criteria. Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative that can resolve the problem. Implementing the selected alternative. Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
  • 4. 6–4 Step 1: Identifying the Problem • Problem A discrepancy between an existing and desired state of affairs. • Characteristics of Problems A problem becomes a problem when a manager becomes aware of it. There is pressure to solve the problem. The manager must have the authority, information, or resources needed to solve the problem.
  • 5. 6–5 Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria • Decision criteria are factors that are important (relevant) to resolving the problem. Costs that will be incurred (investments required) Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure) Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm) Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria • Decision criteria are not of equal importance: Assigning a weight to each item places the items in the correct priority order of their importance in the decision making process.
  • 6. 6–6 Step 4: Developing Alternatives • Identifying viable alternatives Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can resolve the problem. Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives • Appraising each alternative’s strengths and weaknesses An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.
  • 7. 6–7 Step 6: Selecting an Alternative • Choosing the best alternative The alternative with the highest total weight is chosen. Step 7: Implementing the Alternative • Putting the chosen alternative into action. Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment from those who will carry out the decision.
  • 8. 6–8 Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s Effectiveness • The soundness of the decision is judged by its outcomes. How effectively was the problem resolved by outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives? If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
  • 9. 6–9 Exhibit 6–5 Decisions in the Management Functions
  • 10. 6–10 Making Decisions • Rationality Managers make consistent, value-maximizing choices with specified constraints. Assumptions are that decision makers:  Are perfectly rational, fully objective, and logical.  Have carefully defined the problem and identified all viable alternatives.  Have a clear and specific goal  Will select the alternative that maximizes outcomes in the organization’s interests rather than in their personal interests.
  • 11. 6–11 Making Decisions (cont’d) • Bounded Rationality Managers make decisions rationally, but are limited (bounded) by their ability to process information. Assumptions are that decision makers:  Will not seek out or have knowledge of all alternatives  Will satisfice—choose the first alternative encountered that satisfactorily solves the problem—rather than maximize the outcome of their decision by considering all alternatives and choosing the best. Influence on decision making  Escalation of commitment: an increased commitment to a previous decision despite evidence that it may have been wrong.
  • 12. 6–12 The Role of Intuition • Intuitive decision making Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings, and accumulated judgment.
  • 13. 6–13 Types of Problems and Decisions • Structured Problems Involve goals that clear. Are familiar (have occurred before). Are easily and completely defined—information about the problem is available and complete. • Programmed Decision A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine approach.
  • 14. 6–14 Types of Programmed Decisions • Policy A general guideline for making a decision about a structured problem. • Procedure A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem. • Rule An explicit statement that limits what a manager or employee can or cannot do.
  • 15. 6–15 Policy, Procedure, and Rule Examples • Policy Accept all customer-returned merchandise. • Procedure Follow all steps for completing merchandise return documentation. • Rules Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00. No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
  • 16. 6–16 Problems and Decisions (cont’d) • Unstructured Problems Problems that are new or unusual and for which information is ambiguous or incomplete. Problems that will require custom-made solutions. • Nonprogrammed Decisions Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring. Decisions that generate unique responses.
  • 17. 6–17 Decision-Making Conditions • Certainty A situation in which a manager can make an accurate decision because the outcome of every alternative choice is known. • Risk A situation in which the manager is able to estimate the likelihood (probability) of outcomes that result from the choice of particular alternatives.
  • 18. 6–18 Decision-Making Conditions • Uncertainty Limited information prevents estimation of outcome probabilities for alternatives associated with the problem and may force managers to rely on intuition, hunches, and “gut feelings”.
  • 19. 6–19 Decision-Making Styles • Dimensions of Decision-Making Styles Ways of thinking  Rational, orderly, and consistent  Intuitive, creative, and unique Tolerance for ambiguity  Low tolerance: require consistency and order  High tolerance: multiple thoughts simultaneously
  • 20. 6–20 Decision-Making Styles (cont’d) • Types of Decision Makers Directive  Use minimal information and consider few alternatives. Analytic  Make careful decisions in unique situations. Conceptual  Maintain a broad outlook and consider many alternatives in making decisions. Behavioral  Avoid conflict by working well with others and being receptive to suggestions.
  • 22. 6–22 Exhibit 6–13 Common Decision-Making Errors and Biases
  • 23. 6–23 Decision Making for Today’s World • Guidelines for making effective decisions: Understand cultural differences. Know when it’s time to call it quits. Use an effective decision-making process. • Habits of highly reliable organizations (HROs) Are not tricked by their success. Defer to the experts on the front line. Let unexpected circumstances provide the solution. Embrace complexity. Anticipate, but also anticipate their limits.
  • 24. 6–24 Characteristics of an Effective Decision- Making Process • It focuses on what is important. • It is logical and consistent. • It acknowledges both subjective and objective thinking and blends analytical with intuitive thinking. • It requires only as much information and analysis as is necessary to resolve a particular dilemma. • It encourages and guides the gathering of relevant information and informed opinion. • It is straightforward, reliable, easy to use, and flexible.