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Using Candlestick charts with Support and
Resistance as the basis for a trading
strategy.
Part 2 – Candlestick Charts – Introduction
ShowFx World Expo – Kiev – 20th May 2017
Written and presented by Clive Lambert MSTA MCSI, Director - FuturesTechs
Clive Lambert
• 31 years market experience including 10 years on
LIFFE Floor
• Founding director of FuturesTechs in 2000
• Leading figure in UK Society of Technical Analysts
• - Board Member from 2004 to 2011, 2013 - present
• - Regular speaker on yearly Diploma Courses
• - Spoke at IFTA Conference on 2011
• Author of “Candlestick Charts”, published in 2009
• Appearances on CNBC, Reuters TV. Regularly
quoted on DJ Newswires, Bloomberg and Reuters
• 6 times winner at the Technical Analyst Awards
Agenda
Candlestick Charts
• Introduction
– History
– Construction
– Day Types – Doji vs Marabuzo
• Basic Patterns
– Hammer
– Shooting Star
• Some recent examples of using Candlesticks and Support and Resistance
together
• More Patterns / My 10 rules / Recommended Reading / Final thoughts*
*Time permitting!
 Candlestick Charts have only become popular in the Western World in
the last 20 or so years, however this is not a passing “fad”
 The psychology behind Candlesticks has been used by Japanese traders
as far back as the 1700’s
 Charts similar to those that we see Today probably came into use in the
late 1800’s
A brief history
Until the mid 1980’s candlesticks were only used by
Japanese traders. Then Steve Nison kindled an interest in the
Western world which he ignited with the publication of his book
“Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques”.
In January 2009 my book; “Candlestick Charts – An
Introduction to using Candlestick Charts” was published by
Harriman House
A brief history
 Based on the fact that Candles use the same data as the
traditional western “Bar Charts” – what is the attraction?
 Candlesticks present the basic data set in a different way to Bar
Charts. The briefest of glances instantly gives a clue as to how
they can aid us in looking at charts
Construction
Bar Chart
Construction
Candlestick Chart
Construction
close
high
open
low
Open/White/Green candle - Bullish Filled/Black/Red candle - Bearish
open
high
close
low
Construction
close
high
open
low
Open/White/Green candle - Bullish Filled/Black/Red candle - Bearish
open
high
close
low
Construction
open
high
close
low
Real Body
Lower Shadow
Upper Shadow
Construction
• The Japanese used Candlesticks as a graphical representation of the
psychology of the market. It is important to think of them in this way
• Candlesticks give you a graphical representation of the state of mind of
each group
- Who is winning the battle?
- In an uptrend are the Bulls in charge or are the Bears emerging from the
sidelines?
- In a downtrend are the Bears running out of steam, finding it hard to continue
relentlessly selling?
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
Doji = Indecision Marabuzo = Conviction
O C
O
C O
C
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
• Candles with small real bodies are the result of a session where the market
opened and closed at similar prices
• A large bodied candlestick is formed when the market closes a long way
away from the opening price
• REMEMBER: The real body of a Candlestick merely represents the
difference between the open and the close
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
In an uptrend the Buyers are running out
of steam, the sellers are starting to make
themselves heard
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
In a downtrend the sellers, who have
previously dominated, are now meeting
an equal and opposite force (in this case
at a previous support levels)
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
Dow Jones Futures Candle Chart
Nov 02-Feb 03 showing 3 “Doji”, all
at/near the key turning points
Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
• There are a myriad of patterns which occur time and time again and
signal either a reversal or a continuation of the current trend
• We’ve already looked at a strong continuation candlestick - the
“Marabuzo” line
• We’ve also looked at an example of a reversal in the Doji
• The Hammer is the simplest and probably one of the
more potent Candlestick Reversal Patterns
• Every Candlestick Pattern has a set of rules:
• Hammer “rules”:
1. Small Real Body
2. Real Body is at the top end of the day’s range with very little
upper shadow present
3. The lower shadow must be at least twice the length of the
real body
4. Seen during a downtrend
Hammer
This one stopped the 2007 “sub-
prime” sell-off, bang on the 200 day
MA
Hammer
E-mini S&P 5000 Futures Candle Chart,
Summer 2010 showing several
“Hammer” Reversals
Hammer
• In the same way that every candlestick pattern has a set
of rules there is also a “psychology” behind each pattern
• The best way to think through this psychology is by
thinking about the intra-day price action that gave us the
formation in the first place
Hammer
Mini S&P 500 Futures 10
Minute chart for 1st July
2010 “Hammer” day.
O
L
C
H
Hammer
Psychology
• At the start of the session in question the market was
travelling lower, as it had been doing in preceding
sessions. This was no surprise to anyone, then
• But then there was a change: Buyers came into the
market and pushed prices higher
• By the end of the session we were right back up where
we started the day, on the highs
• This is a significant change from what has gone before
and suggests that the market has found support
• In this instance the Hammer did indeed stop the rot and a
few days later we started a rally that added over 10% in a
month.
Hammer
Note the level at which this reversal
occurred…
Hammer
Weekly Chart for Euro/USD: May ’00-October ‘01
Hammer
• This chart shows clearly the importance of waiting for confirmation, either in
the form of further subsequent gains, or another form of analysis – like Slow
Stochastics, for example
Hammer
A filter of “Slow Stochastics must be coming
out of oversold” would have negated the
signals from the first two Hammers
Hammer
We gapped lower on this day, then posted a
Hammer on the 10 minute chart…
Hammer
…which was also a Hammer on the 30
minute chart…
Hammer
…and the 60 minute chart
Hammer
• So we had this strong reversal pattern on three different short term
timeframes
• This would really boost confidence that we’ve seen a bottom
• As you will have noted, the key resistance was the same whatever the
timeframe, though
• All three time-frames had Hammers, but most traders would have still been
waiting to see whether gap resistance would break to confirm the pattern,
and when it did we went on a strong run, accompanied by strong volume
Hammer
• Remember! Whatever the timeframe the message was the same: We just
saw a sell-off then a recovery
• Candlesticks merely map what’s just happened, but if on all time frames you
are being told that things are bouncing, it’s a pretty compelling argument for
higher prices going forward
Hammer
• Common question – Does the colour of the
real body matter?
• Answer: NO!
Hammer
• The Shooting Star is pretty much the opposite pattern to
the Hammer
• Shooting Star “rules”:
1. Small real body
2. Real body at the bottom end of the candle with little or no lower
shadow
3. The long upper shadow must be at least twice the length of the real
body
4. Shooting Stars are reversal patterns when seen in an Uptrend
Shooting Star
Gold Futures Daily Chart, April
2006 - June 2006 showing 12th and
17th May
“Shooting Stars”
Shooting Star
Psychology
• At the start of the session the buyers come in, just as
they have done in previous sessions during the uptrend.
Nothing new there, then!
• But this buying is met by sellers, and this selling
continues into the close, with the market closing near it’s
lows
• The Bears win the battle for that day with the negative
close. The Bull’s could not sustain the push higher
Shooting Star
O
L
H
C
Gold Futures 15 minute
Candle Chart for 12/05/06
“Shooting Star” day
Shooting Star
Psychology
• This is a significant change from what has gone before
and suggests that the market has hit strong resistance,
or found a level where the sellers are attracted to enter
the fray
• This was the top of the move on Gold, a failure right on
a resistance level from, 26 years earlier!
Shooting Star
Gold, Quarterly chart going back to the
1980’s “boom and bust” move!
Shooting Star
Shooting Star
Shooting Star
• Does the colour of the real body
matter?
• Answer: NO!
• Shooting Star is about the shape,
and the length of the upper shadow
Shooting Star
Shooting Star
Sep 17th 2015 –
Shooting Star at
resistance
Notes
• The strength of these patterns is increased if the shadow
has breached a major level (Support for a Hammer,
Resistance for a Shooting Star)
Shooting Star and Hammers
Shooting Star
Examples
USDCAD 30 Minute chart - 5th - 11th May 2017
Examples
GBPUSD Daily - Feb - May 2017
Examples
GBPUSD 4 Hourly – 13th April - 12th May
Examples
GBPUSD 15 Min Chart – 11th and 12th May
Star
A small real body gapping away
from a larger real body signals a
reversal. Shown is a Bearish
Star, can also be seen in a
downtrend with the second small
candle gaping lower
Doji Star
So called if the second Candle of
a Star is a Doji –an even more
potent reversal than a normal
“Star”. Shown is a Bullish Doji
Star
Morning Star
A significant reversal if seen in
a downtrend. It has three
candles, the first two are a “Star”,
the third confirms, closing well
into the real body of the first
candle
Evening Star
An important Bearish Pattern if
seen in an uptrend. The middle
candle has a small real body
which gaps way from the first.
The third candle confirms the
change of sentiment
Other Candlestick Patterns
Morning/Evening Stars
Abandoned Baby
A major reversal with a name that often prompts a frown!
A small candle that gaps away from the candles either side and
is left “abandoned” above or below the rest of the chart.
Morning Doji Star
A Morning Star with a Doji for a
middle candle.
Obviously a reversal!
Evening Star
An Evening Star where the
middle candle is a Doji.
Again, clearly a reversal!
Other Candlestick Patterns
Piercing Pattern
Bullish if seen during a
downtrend. The second
open/green candle closes well
into the real body of the first
candle (Above the Marabuzo line)
Dark Cloud Cover
Bearish when you’re in an
Uptrend. The real body of the
second filled/dark candle closes
well into the real body of the first
day (below it’s Marabuzo line)
Bullish Harami
A small real body contained
within the previous day’s real
body signals a reversal if the
first real body is in line with the
underlying trend. Shown is a
Bullish Harami. Not a strong
signal
Bearish Harami
A small real body contained
within the previous day’s real
body signals a reversal if the
first real body is in line with the
underlying trend. Shown is a
Bullish Harami. Not a strong
signal
Other Candlestick Patterns
My top ten rules for charting and trading using (candlestick) charts
• An excerpt from “Candlestick Charts”
1.Never use candlestick charts to bat against established, obvious trends
Some people like to use a chart as a way of backing up their view of a particular stock or market. You need to be
totally objective when viewing charts. I have worked with people before who have asked me to look at charts for this
and that. I’ve always requested that they don’t tell me what their view is at this point. I prefer the question “What do
you think of Vodafone?” rather than “I think Vodafone is going up, what does the chart say?” I’m a big believer that
the best traders and money managers in the world have a strong fundamental background and they use technicals
to back this up and to help them time their trades. If they believe something’s undervalued and should go up they
wait until the chart agrees!
2. Never use candlesticks in isolation
I think this has been drummed home enough in the last few chapters; you need to combine candlesticks with at
least one method of confirmation. Using candles on their own is unlikely to reap rewards.
3. Don’t restrict yourself to one time frame
You can get different information from different time frame charts, and it adds an extra dimension to your reading of
the markets. Short term time frames can be good for entering into trades, while longer term time frames can remove
the apparent volatility from your viewing of the chart once you’re in a position.
4. Remember your support and resistance levels
Looking for candlestick reversal patterns at former highs and lows, or near to an important level like a well watched
moving average can be extremely effective.
5. Do your homework and find the patterns that work well for the chart you use
If Shooting Stars have hardly ever worked in the past on your chart, it’s probable that that poor run will continue - so
don’t use them as reversal signals! Back-testing is so important when you’re searching for the candlesticks worth
looking out for on your charts.
My top ten rules for charting and trading using (candlestick) charts
• An excerpt from “Candlestick Charts”
6. Don’t kid yourself when back-testing
There’s nothing worse than thinking you’ve got the best system in the world, then finding out once you’re putting
your money where your mouth is that you messed up when back-testing because you weren’t honest about entry
and exit points. A “worst case scenario” approach towards where you get in and out of trades serves one well as this
should mean results actually improve in the real world.
7. Don’t enter into a trade without knowing where your stop is
I’ve seen this in many a “trading rules” list. It’s nothing new, and it’s essential! Having a stop is paramount in trading.
Hopefully you can move your stop after a short time, so it’s no longer a Stop Loss but becomes a Stop Profit! I
recommend you try to develop a trailing stop strategy.
8. Keep the “Cheat Sheet” handy until you’ve learnt the patterns off by heart
This can save you from continually having to flick through the book.
9. Don’t bother with bar charts ever again
Why would you want to look at charts in “black and white”, when the candle chart can add so much extra information
even at the first glance.
10. Always make sure you look at the candlestick chart in future when checking out a stock or a market
Even if you don’t want to learn the patterns (see rule number 8), surely you’re now going to afford yourself a brief
glance at a chart from now on every time you’re thinking of doing something with a stock or a market. The chart can
quickly give you an idea of the market’s overall thinking, and you can stop yourself from batting against an obvious
trend. It can stop you buying a “dog” stock, or can stop you from jumping out of something that’s quite obviously
heading in the right direction.
So what makes a good trader?
EDUCATION
Fundamentals
Psychology/Behaviour
- Discipline & patience
Technical
Analysis
Trade and Money
Management
Technical Analysis
Candlestick charts – Clive Lambert
Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets – John J Murphy
Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques – Steve Nison
Cloud Charts – Trading success with the Ichimoku Technique – David Linton
Mind over Markets – Dalton/Jones/Dalton
The Definitive Guide to Point and Figure – Jeremy du Plessis
Other reading/non Technical
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator – Edwin Lefevre
Market Wizards – Interviews with top traders – Jack Schwager
The Financial Spread Betting Handbook - Malcolm Pryor
Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds – Charles Mackay
When Money Dies – Adam Fergusson
Books Shameless plug ALERT!
www.sta-uk.org
Contact Details
web:
www.futurestechs.co.uk
e-mail:
info@futurestechs.co.uk
twitter:
@futurestechs
linkedin:
Clive Lambert
ipad/iphone/Android App:
App Store

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Using Candlestick charts with Support and Resistance as the basis for a trading strategy

  • 1. Using Candlestick charts with Support and Resistance as the basis for a trading strategy. Part 2 – Candlestick Charts – Introduction ShowFx World Expo – Kiev – 20th May 2017 Written and presented by Clive Lambert MSTA MCSI, Director - FuturesTechs
  • 2. Clive Lambert • 31 years market experience including 10 years on LIFFE Floor • Founding director of FuturesTechs in 2000 • Leading figure in UK Society of Technical Analysts • - Board Member from 2004 to 2011, 2013 - present • - Regular speaker on yearly Diploma Courses • - Spoke at IFTA Conference on 2011 • Author of “Candlestick Charts”, published in 2009 • Appearances on CNBC, Reuters TV. Regularly quoted on DJ Newswires, Bloomberg and Reuters • 6 times winner at the Technical Analyst Awards
  • 3. Agenda Candlestick Charts • Introduction – History – Construction – Day Types – Doji vs Marabuzo • Basic Patterns – Hammer – Shooting Star • Some recent examples of using Candlesticks and Support and Resistance together • More Patterns / My 10 rules / Recommended Reading / Final thoughts* *Time permitting!
  • 4.  Candlestick Charts have only become popular in the Western World in the last 20 or so years, however this is not a passing “fad”  The psychology behind Candlesticks has been used by Japanese traders as far back as the 1700’s  Charts similar to those that we see Today probably came into use in the late 1800’s A brief history
  • 5. Until the mid 1980’s candlesticks were only used by Japanese traders. Then Steve Nison kindled an interest in the Western world which he ignited with the publication of his book “Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques”. In January 2009 my book; “Candlestick Charts – An Introduction to using Candlestick Charts” was published by Harriman House A brief history
  • 6.  Based on the fact that Candles use the same data as the traditional western “Bar Charts” – what is the attraction?  Candlesticks present the basic data set in a different way to Bar Charts. The briefest of glances instantly gives a clue as to how they can aid us in looking at charts Construction
  • 9. close high open low Open/White/Green candle - Bullish Filled/Black/Red candle - Bearish open high close low Construction
  • 10. close high open low Open/White/Green candle - Bullish Filled/Black/Red candle - Bearish open high close low Construction
  • 12. • The Japanese used Candlesticks as a graphical representation of the psychology of the market. It is important to think of them in this way • Candlesticks give you a graphical representation of the state of mind of each group - Who is winning the battle? - In an uptrend are the Bulls in charge or are the Bears emerging from the sidelines? - In a downtrend are the Bears running out of steam, finding it hard to continue relentlessly selling? Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 13. Doji = Indecision Marabuzo = Conviction O C O C O C Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 14. • Candles with small real bodies are the result of a session where the market opened and closed at similar prices • A large bodied candlestick is formed when the market closes a long way away from the opening price • REMEMBER: The real body of a Candlestick merely represents the difference between the open and the close Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 15. In an uptrend the Buyers are running out of steam, the sellers are starting to make themselves heard Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 16. In a downtrend the sellers, who have previously dominated, are now meeting an equal and opposite force (in this case at a previous support levels) Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 17. Dow Jones Futures Candle Chart Nov 02-Feb 03 showing 3 “Doji”, all at/near the key turning points Day Types – Marabuzo vs Doji
  • 18. • There are a myriad of patterns which occur time and time again and signal either a reversal or a continuation of the current trend • We’ve already looked at a strong continuation candlestick - the “Marabuzo” line • We’ve also looked at an example of a reversal in the Doji
  • 19. • The Hammer is the simplest and probably one of the more potent Candlestick Reversal Patterns • Every Candlestick Pattern has a set of rules: • Hammer “rules”: 1. Small Real Body 2. Real Body is at the top end of the day’s range with very little upper shadow present 3. The lower shadow must be at least twice the length of the real body 4. Seen during a downtrend Hammer
  • 20. This one stopped the 2007 “sub- prime” sell-off, bang on the 200 day MA Hammer
  • 21. E-mini S&P 5000 Futures Candle Chart, Summer 2010 showing several “Hammer” Reversals Hammer
  • 22. • In the same way that every candlestick pattern has a set of rules there is also a “psychology” behind each pattern • The best way to think through this psychology is by thinking about the intra-day price action that gave us the formation in the first place Hammer
  • 23. Mini S&P 500 Futures 10 Minute chart for 1st July 2010 “Hammer” day. O L C H Hammer
  • 24. Psychology • At the start of the session in question the market was travelling lower, as it had been doing in preceding sessions. This was no surprise to anyone, then • But then there was a change: Buyers came into the market and pushed prices higher • By the end of the session we were right back up where we started the day, on the highs • This is a significant change from what has gone before and suggests that the market has found support • In this instance the Hammer did indeed stop the rot and a few days later we started a rally that added over 10% in a month. Hammer
  • 25. Note the level at which this reversal occurred… Hammer
  • 26. Weekly Chart for Euro/USD: May ’00-October ‘01 Hammer
  • 27. • This chart shows clearly the importance of waiting for confirmation, either in the form of further subsequent gains, or another form of analysis – like Slow Stochastics, for example Hammer
  • 28. A filter of “Slow Stochastics must be coming out of oversold” would have negated the signals from the first two Hammers Hammer
  • 29. We gapped lower on this day, then posted a Hammer on the 10 minute chart… Hammer
  • 30. …which was also a Hammer on the 30 minute chart… Hammer
  • 31. …and the 60 minute chart Hammer
  • 32. • So we had this strong reversal pattern on three different short term timeframes • This would really boost confidence that we’ve seen a bottom • As you will have noted, the key resistance was the same whatever the timeframe, though • All three time-frames had Hammers, but most traders would have still been waiting to see whether gap resistance would break to confirm the pattern, and when it did we went on a strong run, accompanied by strong volume Hammer
  • 33. • Remember! Whatever the timeframe the message was the same: We just saw a sell-off then a recovery • Candlesticks merely map what’s just happened, but if on all time frames you are being told that things are bouncing, it’s a pretty compelling argument for higher prices going forward Hammer
  • 34. • Common question – Does the colour of the real body matter? • Answer: NO! Hammer
  • 35. • The Shooting Star is pretty much the opposite pattern to the Hammer • Shooting Star “rules”: 1. Small real body 2. Real body at the bottom end of the candle with little or no lower shadow 3. The long upper shadow must be at least twice the length of the real body 4. Shooting Stars are reversal patterns when seen in an Uptrend Shooting Star
  • 36. Gold Futures Daily Chart, April 2006 - June 2006 showing 12th and 17th May “Shooting Stars” Shooting Star
  • 37. Psychology • At the start of the session the buyers come in, just as they have done in previous sessions during the uptrend. Nothing new there, then! • But this buying is met by sellers, and this selling continues into the close, with the market closing near it’s lows • The Bears win the battle for that day with the negative close. The Bull’s could not sustain the push higher Shooting Star
  • 38. O L H C Gold Futures 15 minute Candle Chart for 12/05/06 “Shooting Star” day Shooting Star
  • 39. Psychology • This is a significant change from what has gone before and suggests that the market has hit strong resistance, or found a level where the sellers are attracted to enter the fray • This was the top of the move on Gold, a failure right on a resistance level from, 26 years earlier! Shooting Star
  • 40. Gold, Quarterly chart going back to the 1980’s “boom and bust” move! Shooting Star
  • 43. • Does the colour of the real body matter? • Answer: NO! • Shooting Star is about the shape, and the length of the upper shadow Shooting Star
  • 44. Shooting Star Sep 17th 2015 – Shooting Star at resistance
  • 45. Notes • The strength of these patterns is increased if the shadow has breached a major level (Support for a Hammer, Resistance for a Shooting Star) Shooting Star and Hammers
  • 47. Examples USDCAD 30 Minute chart - 5th - 11th May 2017
  • 48. Examples GBPUSD Daily - Feb - May 2017
  • 49. Examples GBPUSD 4 Hourly – 13th April - 12th May
  • 50. Examples GBPUSD 15 Min Chart – 11th and 12th May
  • 51. Star A small real body gapping away from a larger real body signals a reversal. Shown is a Bearish Star, can also be seen in a downtrend with the second small candle gaping lower Doji Star So called if the second Candle of a Star is a Doji –an even more potent reversal than a normal “Star”. Shown is a Bullish Doji Star Morning Star A significant reversal if seen in a downtrend. It has three candles, the first two are a “Star”, the third confirms, closing well into the real body of the first candle Evening Star An important Bearish Pattern if seen in an uptrend. The middle candle has a small real body which gaps way from the first. The third candle confirms the change of sentiment Other Candlestick Patterns
  • 53. Abandoned Baby A major reversal with a name that often prompts a frown! A small candle that gaps away from the candles either side and is left “abandoned” above or below the rest of the chart. Morning Doji Star A Morning Star with a Doji for a middle candle. Obviously a reversal! Evening Star An Evening Star where the middle candle is a Doji. Again, clearly a reversal! Other Candlestick Patterns
  • 54. Piercing Pattern Bullish if seen during a downtrend. The second open/green candle closes well into the real body of the first candle (Above the Marabuzo line) Dark Cloud Cover Bearish when you’re in an Uptrend. The real body of the second filled/dark candle closes well into the real body of the first day (below it’s Marabuzo line) Bullish Harami A small real body contained within the previous day’s real body signals a reversal if the first real body is in line with the underlying trend. Shown is a Bullish Harami. Not a strong signal Bearish Harami A small real body contained within the previous day’s real body signals a reversal if the first real body is in line with the underlying trend. Shown is a Bullish Harami. Not a strong signal Other Candlestick Patterns
  • 55. My top ten rules for charting and trading using (candlestick) charts • An excerpt from “Candlestick Charts” 1.Never use candlestick charts to bat against established, obvious trends Some people like to use a chart as a way of backing up their view of a particular stock or market. You need to be totally objective when viewing charts. I have worked with people before who have asked me to look at charts for this and that. I’ve always requested that they don’t tell me what their view is at this point. I prefer the question “What do you think of Vodafone?” rather than “I think Vodafone is going up, what does the chart say?” I’m a big believer that the best traders and money managers in the world have a strong fundamental background and they use technicals to back this up and to help them time their trades. If they believe something’s undervalued and should go up they wait until the chart agrees! 2. Never use candlesticks in isolation I think this has been drummed home enough in the last few chapters; you need to combine candlesticks with at least one method of confirmation. Using candles on their own is unlikely to reap rewards. 3. Don’t restrict yourself to one time frame You can get different information from different time frame charts, and it adds an extra dimension to your reading of the markets. Short term time frames can be good for entering into trades, while longer term time frames can remove the apparent volatility from your viewing of the chart once you’re in a position. 4. Remember your support and resistance levels Looking for candlestick reversal patterns at former highs and lows, or near to an important level like a well watched moving average can be extremely effective. 5. Do your homework and find the patterns that work well for the chart you use If Shooting Stars have hardly ever worked in the past on your chart, it’s probable that that poor run will continue - so don’t use them as reversal signals! Back-testing is so important when you’re searching for the candlesticks worth looking out for on your charts.
  • 56. My top ten rules for charting and trading using (candlestick) charts • An excerpt from “Candlestick Charts” 6. Don’t kid yourself when back-testing There’s nothing worse than thinking you’ve got the best system in the world, then finding out once you’re putting your money where your mouth is that you messed up when back-testing because you weren’t honest about entry and exit points. A “worst case scenario” approach towards where you get in and out of trades serves one well as this should mean results actually improve in the real world. 7. Don’t enter into a trade without knowing where your stop is I’ve seen this in many a “trading rules” list. It’s nothing new, and it’s essential! Having a stop is paramount in trading. Hopefully you can move your stop after a short time, so it’s no longer a Stop Loss but becomes a Stop Profit! I recommend you try to develop a trailing stop strategy. 8. Keep the “Cheat Sheet” handy until you’ve learnt the patterns off by heart This can save you from continually having to flick through the book. 9. Don’t bother with bar charts ever again Why would you want to look at charts in “black and white”, when the candle chart can add so much extra information even at the first glance. 10. Always make sure you look at the candlestick chart in future when checking out a stock or a market Even if you don’t want to learn the patterns (see rule number 8), surely you’re now going to afford yourself a brief glance at a chart from now on every time you’re thinking of doing something with a stock or a market. The chart can quickly give you an idea of the market’s overall thinking, and you can stop yourself from batting against an obvious trend. It can stop you buying a “dog” stock, or can stop you from jumping out of something that’s quite obviously heading in the right direction.
  • 57. So what makes a good trader? EDUCATION Fundamentals Psychology/Behaviour - Discipline & patience Technical Analysis Trade and Money Management
  • 58. Technical Analysis Candlestick charts – Clive Lambert Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets – John J Murphy Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques – Steve Nison Cloud Charts – Trading success with the Ichimoku Technique – David Linton Mind over Markets – Dalton/Jones/Dalton The Definitive Guide to Point and Figure – Jeremy du Plessis Other reading/non Technical Reminiscences of a Stock Operator – Edwin Lefevre Market Wizards – Interviews with top traders – Jack Schwager The Financial Spread Betting Handbook - Malcolm Pryor Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds – Charles Mackay When Money Dies – Adam Fergusson Books Shameless plug ALERT!