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Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 1
Guillaume GIRARDIN
Director of Photonics, Sensing and Display Division
Tuesday, May 22nd 2018
From 2D to 3D: How Depth Sensing
Will Shape the Future of Vision
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 2
Technology for the Next Decade
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 3
3D imaging and sensing technologies
Courtesy of
Lytro
Courtesy of
Lenovo
Courtesy of
Heliotis
Courtesy of
Intel
Courtesy of
Stereo Labs
Courtesy of
Keyence
Courtesy of
Light
Time of Flight
Structured light
Laser triangulation
Plenoptic
Stereo vision
Computational
Time-gated
Structure from
motion
Computed
tomography
Multiple frame
3D
Single frame
3D
Interferometric (OCT)
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 4
Depth-sensing Technologies
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e 2022e CAGR
Scientific/Defence/Space 192 213 237 263 293 325 358 393 433 476 523 576 10%
Industry/Commercial 536 562 592 625 662 749 845 953 1,076 1,215 1,373 1,545 13%
Medical 141 148 155 162 169 177 186 193 202 211 220 230 5%
Automotive 0 0 0 0 23 56 99 160 232 332 475 625 49%
Consumer 3 3 3 4 6 20 385 1,211 2,102 3,211 4,623 6,058 158%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Revenue($M)
2011-2022 3D imaging & sensing revenue forecast (in $M)
TOTAL 872 927 987 1054 1153 1328 1873 2911 4045 5446 7215 9034 37.7%
YoY 6% 7% 7% 9% 15% 41% 55% 39% 35% 32% 23%
Yole’s 2017 Data
New 3D Imaging
report with updated
data coming in June
2018. Stay tuned.
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 5
Depth-sensing Technologies Adoption Rate
20Mu out of 1.7Bu
~1.2% in 2017
~5 to 8% in 2018
The Lenovo Phab 2 Pro
started the trend in 2017.
Apple released the
iPhone X in September
2017 with their
TrueDepth Camera.
The adoption rate will
depend on several
factors such as
availability, appeal of the
application and cost.
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 6
Depth-sensing Technologies
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 7
Technology Comparison
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 8
Depth-sensing Technologies
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 9
From Sub-components to Camera Modules
3D Cameras
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 10
Active Stereo
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 11
Active Stereo – Architecture & How It Works
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 12
Autonomous drones - Stereo
DJI Mavic
Advanced user experience
require obstacle detection and
image-tracking capability
DJI first started the trend in
2017 with the DJI Mavic,
quickly followed by Spark and
Mavic air
Stereo vision is mostly used.
on the smallest drone time of
flight (ToF) has been prefered
DJI Spark
Skydio R1
DJI Mavic air
$11M 0.7Mu - in 2017
$35M 3.4Mu - in 2022
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 13
Automotive ADAS - Stereo
Originaly Stereo equipment appeared on high
end vehicles
Subaru Eyesight systems has become
standard equipment on Foresters
New generation of stereo systems are
democratizing the technology
$59M 3Mu - in 2017
$243M 32Mu - in 2022
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 14
Active Stereo - Cost Structure
RGB camera 2MpNIR GS camera
$3.0 x2 $1.0
$1.0$2.0 x2
$2.0 x2 $1.0
TOTAL $7.0 x2 $3.0 $20.0
Optics
Chip
Mfg.
$8.0
$6.0
$6.0
IR LED Illumination
$1.0
$1.0
$3.0
Impact of assembly yield not accounted for
$1.0
NIR GS: Near InfraRed Global Shutter
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 15
Structured Light
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 16
Unlocking the Next Decade
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 17
Apple TrueDepth Workflow
*FRR: False Rejection Rate
*
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 18
Point cloud projected by the iPhone X’s DOT projector
DOE and Face Recognition
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 19
Apple iPhone X TrueDepth Camera Module
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 20
Structured light – Cost Structure
RGB camera 7MpNIR GS camera
$3.0 $3.0
$1.5$1.0
$1.0 $1.5
TOTAL $5.0 $6.0 $20.0
Optics
Chip
Mfg.
$9.0
$4.5
$6.5
Proximity+Flood
$1.0
$1.0
$2.0
Dot illuminator+Light
$2.0
$ 2.0
$1.5
$7.0
$1.5
Impact of assembly yield not accounted for
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 21
Dot Illuminator - Focus
~$2.0
~$3.0
~$7.0
~$2.0
Diffractive Optical
Element
Wafer Level Optic
Assembly
VCSEL and
packaging
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 22
Time-of-Flight
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 23
Time of Flight – Working Principle
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 24
PMD Time of Flight Solution
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 25
From Sub-components to Camera Modules
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 26
3D Camera Module Cross-Section
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 27
Time of Flight Sensor from PMD – Infineon
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 28
Pixel Size
30 µm
8 µm
17.5 µm
3 µm
1.1 µm
Samsung
Mobile
pixel
OVT
Global
Shutter
(GS)
pixel
Prophesee
(formely Chronocam)
Event based
Pixel (2016)
PMD Infineon
3D ToF pixel (2017)
STM
R&D
SPAD
pixel
©2017 | www.yole.fr | 3D Imaging & Sensing
In 2018 ToF is now in the
range of 10 to 15um
In 2018 SPAD arrays are
still in R&D stage
In 2018 small global
shutters are in the 2.5 to
2.8um range
Classic CMOS pixel size for comparison
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 29
Time of Flight – Cost Structure*
Infineon PMD ToFNIR GS camera
$3.0 $4.0
$1.0$1.5
$1.5 $3.0
TOTAL $6.0 $8.0 $30.0
Optics
Chip
Mfg.
$12.5
$4.5
$13.0
Illumination & flash
$1.5
$2.0
$3.5
RGB camera 16Mp
$4.0
$ 2.0
$ 6.5
$12.5
Impact of assembly yield not accounted for
*Based on Lenovo Phab Pro 2 structure
Classical ToF module structure would
require only illumination and ToF sensor,
thus decreasing the global cost of the
solution shown here
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 30
Comparison – Stereo / SL / ToF
Structured Light
$9.0
$4.5
$6.5
TOTAL $20.0
Optics
Chip
Mfg.
Active Stereo
$8.0
$6.0
$20.0
Time of Flight
$12.5
$ 4.5
$ 13.0
$30.0
$6.0
40%
30%
30%
45%
22.5%
32.5%
41.2%
15%
43.3%
2D and 3D imaging are taken into account
Higher cost of
optics for AS
Higher system
cost of ToF
Higher overall
cost of ToF
Higher cost of
semiconductor for
SL
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 31
Conclusion
• All approaches are currently being used in Consumer space
• They always combine 2D and 3D imaging and maturity is higher for AS and SL with
better overall costing than ToF (as of 2017).
• Before 2020 ToF should bridge the cost gap it has with AS and SL as pixel shrinks
and system optimisation occurs (SoC approach)
• All solutions involve high « system level » costs due to high accuracy positioning of
components (camera module expertise)
• The application is key for the choice of 3D imaging technology as well as implication
of computing (neural engine of iPhone X).
• SL and ToF are highly patented so free space is tight.
• Any questions? girardin@yole.fr
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 32
Yole Développement
Fields of expertise covered by our 40+ analysts
Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 33
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Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 34
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"From 2D to 3D: How Depth Sensing Will Shape the Future of Vision," a Presentation from Yole Développement

  • 1. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 1 Guillaume GIRARDIN Director of Photonics, Sensing and Display Division Tuesday, May 22nd 2018 From 2D to 3D: How Depth Sensing Will Shape the Future of Vision
  • 2. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 2 Technology for the Next Decade
  • 3. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 3 3D imaging and sensing technologies Courtesy of Lytro Courtesy of Lenovo Courtesy of Heliotis Courtesy of Intel Courtesy of Stereo Labs Courtesy of Keyence Courtesy of Light Time of Flight Structured light Laser triangulation Plenoptic Stereo vision Computational Time-gated Structure from motion Computed tomography Multiple frame 3D Single frame 3D Interferometric (OCT)
  • 4. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 4 Depth-sensing Technologies 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e 2022e CAGR Scientific/Defence/Space 192 213 237 263 293 325 358 393 433 476 523 576 10% Industry/Commercial 536 562 592 625 662 749 845 953 1,076 1,215 1,373 1,545 13% Medical 141 148 155 162 169 177 186 193 202 211 220 230 5% Automotive 0 0 0 0 23 56 99 160 232 332 475 625 49% Consumer 3 3 3 4 6 20 385 1,211 2,102 3,211 4,623 6,058 158% 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 Revenue($M) 2011-2022 3D imaging & sensing revenue forecast (in $M) TOTAL 872 927 987 1054 1153 1328 1873 2911 4045 5446 7215 9034 37.7% YoY 6% 7% 7% 9% 15% 41% 55% 39% 35% 32% 23% Yole’s 2017 Data New 3D Imaging report with updated data coming in June 2018. Stay tuned.
  • 5. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 5 Depth-sensing Technologies Adoption Rate 20Mu out of 1.7Bu ~1.2% in 2017 ~5 to 8% in 2018 The Lenovo Phab 2 Pro started the trend in 2017. Apple released the iPhone X in September 2017 with their TrueDepth Camera. The adoption rate will depend on several factors such as availability, appeal of the application and cost.
  • 6. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 6 Depth-sensing Technologies
  • 7. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 7 Technology Comparison
  • 8. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 8 Depth-sensing Technologies
  • 9. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 9 From Sub-components to Camera Modules 3D Cameras
  • 10. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 10 Active Stereo
  • 11. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 11 Active Stereo – Architecture & How It Works
  • 12. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 12 Autonomous drones - Stereo DJI Mavic Advanced user experience require obstacle detection and image-tracking capability DJI first started the trend in 2017 with the DJI Mavic, quickly followed by Spark and Mavic air Stereo vision is mostly used. on the smallest drone time of flight (ToF) has been prefered DJI Spark Skydio R1 DJI Mavic air $11M 0.7Mu - in 2017 $35M 3.4Mu - in 2022
  • 13. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 13 Automotive ADAS - Stereo Originaly Stereo equipment appeared on high end vehicles Subaru Eyesight systems has become standard equipment on Foresters New generation of stereo systems are democratizing the technology $59M 3Mu - in 2017 $243M 32Mu - in 2022
  • 14. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 14 Active Stereo - Cost Structure RGB camera 2MpNIR GS camera $3.0 x2 $1.0 $1.0$2.0 x2 $2.0 x2 $1.0 TOTAL $7.0 x2 $3.0 $20.0 Optics Chip Mfg. $8.0 $6.0 $6.0 IR LED Illumination $1.0 $1.0 $3.0 Impact of assembly yield not accounted for $1.0 NIR GS: Near InfraRed Global Shutter
  • 15. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 15 Structured Light
  • 16. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 16 Unlocking the Next Decade
  • 17. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 17 Apple TrueDepth Workflow *FRR: False Rejection Rate *
  • 18. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 18 Point cloud projected by the iPhone X’s DOT projector DOE and Face Recognition
  • 19. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 19 Apple iPhone X TrueDepth Camera Module
  • 20. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 20 Structured light – Cost Structure RGB camera 7MpNIR GS camera $3.0 $3.0 $1.5$1.0 $1.0 $1.5 TOTAL $5.0 $6.0 $20.0 Optics Chip Mfg. $9.0 $4.5 $6.5 Proximity+Flood $1.0 $1.0 $2.0 Dot illuminator+Light $2.0 $ 2.0 $1.5 $7.0 $1.5 Impact of assembly yield not accounted for
  • 21. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 21 Dot Illuminator - Focus ~$2.0 ~$3.0 ~$7.0 ~$2.0 Diffractive Optical Element Wafer Level Optic Assembly VCSEL and packaging
  • 22. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 22 Time-of-Flight
  • 23. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 23 Time of Flight – Working Principle
  • 24. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 24 PMD Time of Flight Solution
  • 25. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 25 From Sub-components to Camera Modules
  • 26. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 26 3D Camera Module Cross-Section
  • 27. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 27 Time of Flight Sensor from PMD – Infineon
  • 28. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 28 Pixel Size 30 µm 8 µm 17.5 µm 3 µm 1.1 µm Samsung Mobile pixel OVT Global Shutter (GS) pixel Prophesee (formely Chronocam) Event based Pixel (2016) PMD Infineon 3D ToF pixel (2017) STM R&D SPAD pixel ©2017 | www.yole.fr | 3D Imaging & Sensing In 2018 ToF is now in the range of 10 to 15um In 2018 SPAD arrays are still in R&D stage In 2018 small global shutters are in the 2.5 to 2.8um range Classic CMOS pixel size for comparison
  • 29. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 29 Time of Flight – Cost Structure* Infineon PMD ToFNIR GS camera $3.0 $4.0 $1.0$1.5 $1.5 $3.0 TOTAL $6.0 $8.0 $30.0 Optics Chip Mfg. $12.5 $4.5 $13.0 Illumination & flash $1.5 $2.0 $3.5 RGB camera 16Mp $4.0 $ 2.0 $ 6.5 $12.5 Impact of assembly yield not accounted for *Based on Lenovo Phab Pro 2 structure Classical ToF module structure would require only illumination and ToF sensor, thus decreasing the global cost of the solution shown here
  • 30. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 30 Comparison – Stereo / SL / ToF Structured Light $9.0 $4.5 $6.5 TOTAL $20.0 Optics Chip Mfg. Active Stereo $8.0 $6.0 $20.0 Time of Flight $12.5 $ 4.5 $ 13.0 $30.0 $6.0 40% 30% 30% 45% 22.5% 32.5% 41.2% 15% 43.3% 2D and 3D imaging are taken into account Higher cost of optics for AS Higher system cost of ToF Higher overall cost of ToF Higher cost of semiconductor for SL
  • 31. Copyright © 2018 - Yole Développement 31 Conclusion • All approaches are currently being used in Consumer space • They always combine 2D and 3D imaging and maturity is higher for AS and SL with better overall costing than ToF (as of 2017). • Before 2020 ToF should bridge the cost gap it has with AS and SL as pixel shrinks and system optimisation occurs (SoC approach) • All solutions involve high « system level » costs due to high accuracy positioning of components (camera module expertise) • The application is key for the choice of 3D imaging technology as well as implication of computing (neural engine of iPhone X). • SL and ToF are highly patented so free space is tight. • Any questions? girardin@yole.fr
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